Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

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Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University

Transcript of Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

Page 1: Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

Corporate Uses and Abusesof Currency Options

Prof. Ian Giddy

New York University

Page 2: Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 2

Forwards vs Futures vs Options

Good credit: Forward usually best Sometimes, Money Market Hedge better

Perfect market: same (covered int. arb.) Imperfect market: MMH may be better

Credit problem: Futures But: limited and standardized Requires margin and daily settlement

Uncertain future cash flows: Liquid instrument (futures/forwards to assure

flexibility Options sometimes advisable

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Using Currency Options

Known cash flows + option hedge = naked optionHedging a known positionCovered call writingHedging with “cheap options”Hedging with “free options”Hedging contingent riskOptions receive favorable accounting

treatment

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Using Currency Options:1. Hedging a Known Position

Example: Buy a Swiss franc put to hedge a royalty payment to be received from Switzerland

Gain

or Loss

Value of Swiss franc

+

0

-

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Using Currency Options:1. Hedging a Known Position

Example: Buy a Swiss franc put to hedge a royalty payment to be received from Switzerland

Gain

or Loss

Value of Swiss franc

Buy a Put

Page 6: Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

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Using Currency Options:1. Hedging a Known Position

Example: Buy a Swiss franc put to hedge a royalty payment to be received from Switzerland

Gain

or Loss

Value of Swiss franc

Net effect:

Like buying a call

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Gain

or Loss

Value of Swiss franc

Plus:

Buy a put

Combining Options

Net effect:

Like buying a call

Long a currency

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Gain

or Loss

Value of Swiss franc

Plus:

Buy a put

Put-Call Parity

Net effect:

Short the currency

Sell a Call

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Don’t Kid Yourself

Profit

Forward

+

0

_

Strike

LONG CALLPLUS SHORTFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICLONG PUT

Profit

Forward Rate

+

0

_

Strike

SHORT CALLPLUS LONGFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICSHORT PUT

Profit

Forward Rate

+

0

_

Strike

LONG PUTPLUS LONGFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICLONG CALL

Profit

Forward Rate

+

0

_

Strike

SHORT PUTPLUS SHORTFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICSHORT CALL

Option combinations:

Owe currency

+ buy call

= Buy put

Own currency

+ buy put

= Buy call

Page 10: Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

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Using Currency Options:2. Covered Call Writing

ICI proposes...

+ =

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Example: Buy an out-of-the-money put to hedge a Swiss franc receivable

Question: When should a firm buy ATM options?

Answer: When the firm’s view of volatility exceds that of the market

Using Currency Options:3. Hedging with “Cheap Options”

+ =

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What Influences Option Prices?

Forward relative to strike Time to expiration Volatility Interest rate

Option

Value

Currency Value

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Using Currency Options:4. Hedging with “Free Options”

Currency collar or range forwardEg Exposure is obligation to pay for

Japanese imports in 60 days

+ +

=

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Case Study: “Options Trip”

Japanese exporters long US dollars

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Case Study: “Options Trip”

+ =$10 million

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Case Study: “Options Trip”

+ =

+ =

$10 million

$30 million

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Using Currency Options:5. Hedging Contingent Risk

Example 1: T.I bidding

to supply chips to Saudi Arabia Example 2: ABB lobbying to win high-

speed rail contract in Florida

Problem: Wrong contingency Solution: Event-contingent options

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6. Using Options to get Hedge Accounting Treatment

Pfizer, the US drug company, uses forwards to hedge short-term foreign-currency payables and receivables

Pfizer uses long-dated options, as far out as 2 years, to hedge anticipated sales. This gets expensive!

Reason: GAAP would treat forwards used to hedge future, uncertain, sales as speculative, to be marked-to-market.

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When Should Companies use Options to Hedge?

Hedge natural exposureExample: Reeves sells printing blankets

with fixed local-currency prices in Europe Hedge against extreme events that

threaten the company’s business.Example: GE could buy deep out-of-the-

money options on yen.

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Direction:

Volatility

Currencyrising

Currencyfalling

No trend

Volatilityincreasing

Buy call Buy put Buystraddle

Volatilityfalling

Sell put Sell call Sellstraddle

No trend involatility

Buyforward

Sellforward

Arbitrage

When Use Options to Take a View?

View on direction View on volatility

Page 21: Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.

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Why Use Currency Options?

Protect against downside risk Earn income from covered option

writing Buy “cheap options” Buy “free options” Hedge event-contingent risk View on both volatility and direction Hedge against financial distress

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Which Instrument?

Identifiableexposure

Debt, swaps,forward contracts

Uncertain exposure Instruments withflexibility, such asforwards and futures

Exposure thatthreatens financialdistress

Deep-out-of-the-money options

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UNDERSTANDING THE EXCHANGE

RISK MANAGEMENT PROBLEM Value of hedging Goals Nature of the business

UNDERSTANDING THE EXCHANGE

RISK MANAGEMENT PROBLEM Value of hedging Goals Nature of the business

MEASUREMENT OF EXPOSUREMEASUREMENT OF EXPOSURE

ACCOUNTINGACCOUNTING TRANSACTIONTRANSACTION ECONOMICECONOMIC

NATURE OF THE CASH FLOW EXPOSURE: One-shot? Linear? Contingent on exchange rates? Contingent on other events?

NATURE OF THE CASH FLOW EXPOSURE: One-shot? Linear? Contingent on exchange rates? Contingent on other events?

HEDGING METHODSHEDGING METHODS

OPERATIONALOPERATIONAL FINANCIALFINANCIAL

Linear Forwards Futures Debt Currency swaps

Linear Forwards Futures Debt Currency swaps

Exchange-rate

contingent Options Debt with option

features

Exchange-rate

contingent Options Debt with option

features

Contingent on

other events Event options Probability-based

hedging

Contingent on

other events Event options Probability-based

hedging

Examples: Sourcing flexibility Pricing strategy Market

diversification

Examples: Sourcing flexibility Pricing strategy Market

diversification

A Corporate Foreign Exchange Roadmap

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