Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.
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Transcript of Corporate Uses and Abuses of Currency Options Prof. Ian Giddy New York University.
Corporate Uses and Abusesof Currency Options
Prof. Ian Giddy
New York University
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 2
Forwards vs Futures vs Options
Good credit: Forward usually best Sometimes, Money Market Hedge better
Perfect market: same (covered int. arb.) Imperfect market: MMH may be better
Credit problem: Futures But: limited and standardized Requires margin and daily settlement
Uncertain future cash flows: Liquid instrument (futures/forwards to assure
flexibility Options sometimes advisable
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 7
Using Currency Options
Known cash flows + option hedge = naked optionHedging a known positionCovered call writingHedging with “cheap options”Hedging with “free options”Hedging contingent riskOptions receive favorable accounting
treatment
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 8
Using Currency Options:1. Hedging a Known Position
Example: Buy a Swiss franc put to hedge a royalty payment to be received from Switzerland
Gain
or Loss
Value of Swiss franc
+
0
-
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 9
Using Currency Options:1. Hedging a Known Position
Example: Buy a Swiss franc put to hedge a royalty payment to be received from Switzerland
Gain
or Loss
Value of Swiss franc
Buy a Put
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 10
Using Currency Options:1. Hedging a Known Position
Example: Buy a Swiss franc put to hedge a royalty payment to be received from Switzerland
Gain
or Loss
Value of Swiss franc
Net effect:
Like buying a call
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 11
Gain
or Loss
Value of Swiss franc
Plus:
Buy a put
Combining Options
Net effect:
Like buying a call
Long a currency
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 12
Gain
or Loss
Value of Swiss franc
Plus:
Buy a put
Put-Call Parity
Net effect:
Short the currency
Sell a Call
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 13
Don’t Kid Yourself
Profit
Forward
+
0
_
Strike
LONG CALLPLUS SHORTFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICLONG PUT
Profit
Forward Rate
+
0
_
Strike
SHORT CALLPLUS LONGFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICSHORT PUT
Profit
Forward Rate
+
0
_
Strike
LONG PUTPLUS LONGFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICLONG CALL
Profit
Forward Rate
+
0
_
Strike
SHORT PUTPLUS SHORTFORWARDCREATESSYNTHETICSHORT CALL
Option combinations:
Owe currency
+ buy call
= Buy put
Own currency
+ buy put
= Buy call
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 14
Using Currency Options:2. Covered Call Writing
ICI proposes...
+ =
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 16
Example: Buy an out-of-the-money put to hedge a Swiss franc receivable
Question: When should a firm buy ATM options?
Answer: When the firm’s view of volatility exceds that of the market
Using Currency Options:3. Hedging with “Cheap Options”
+ =
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 17
What Influences Option Prices?
Forward relative to strike Time to expiration Volatility Interest rate
Option
Value
Currency Value
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 18
Using Currency Options:4. Hedging with “Free Options”
Currency collar or range forwardEg Exposure is obligation to pay for
Japanese imports in 60 days
+ +
=
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 19
Case Study: “Options Trip”
Japanese exporters long US dollars
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 20
Case Study: “Options Trip”
+ =$10 million
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 21
Case Study: “Options Trip”
+ =
+ =
$10 million
$30 million
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 24
Using Currency Options:5. Hedging Contingent Risk
Example 1: T.I bidding
to supply chips to Saudi Arabia Example 2: ABB lobbying to win high-
speed rail contract in Florida
Problem: Wrong contingency Solution: Event-contingent options
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 25
6. Using Options to get Hedge Accounting Treatment
Pfizer, the US drug company, uses forwards to hedge short-term foreign-currency payables and receivables
Pfizer uses long-dated options, as far out as 2 years, to hedge anticipated sales. This gets expensive!
Reason: GAAP would treat forwards used to hedge future, uncertain, sales as speculative, to be marked-to-market.
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 26
When Should Companies use Options to Hedge?
Hedge natural exposureExample: Reeves sells printing blankets
with fixed local-currency prices in Europe Hedge against extreme events that
threaten the company’s business.Example: GE could buy deep out-of-the-
money options on yen.
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 27
Direction:
Volatility
Currencyrising
Currencyfalling
No trend
Volatilityincreasing
Buy call Buy put Buystraddle
Volatilityfalling
Sell put Sell call Sellstraddle
No trend involatility
Buyforward
Sellforward
Arbitrage
When Use Options to Take a View?
View on direction View on volatility
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 28
Why Use Currency Options?
Protect against downside risk Earn income from covered option
writing Buy “cheap options” Buy “free options” Hedge event-contingent risk View on both volatility and direction Hedge against financial distress
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 29
Which Instrument?
Identifiableexposure
Debt, swaps,forward contracts
Uncertain exposure Instruments withflexibility, such asforwards and futures
Exposure thatthreatens financialdistress
Deep-out-of-the-money options
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 30
UNDERSTANDING THE EXCHANGE
RISK MANAGEMENT PROBLEM Value of hedging Goals Nature of the business
UNDERSTANDING THE EXCHANGE
RISK MANAGEMENT PROBLEM Value of hedging Goals Nature of the business
MEASUREMENT OF EXPOSUREMEASUREMENT OF EXPOSURE
ACCOUNTINGACCOUNTING TRANSACTIONTRANSACTION ECONOMICECONOMIC
NATURE OF THE CASH FLOW EXPOSURE: One-shot? Linear? Contingent on exchange rates? Contingent on other events?
NATURE OF THE CASH FLOW EXPOSURE: One-shot? Linear? Contingent on exchange rates? Contingent on other events?
HEDGING METHODSHEDGING METHODS
OPERATIONALOPERATIONAL FINANCIALFINANCIAL
Linear Forwards Futures Debt Currency swaps
Linear Forwards Futures Debt Currency swaps
Exchange-rate
contingent Options Debt with option
features
Exchange-rate
contingent Options Debt with option
features
Contingent on
other events Event options Probability-based
hedging
Contingent on
other events Event options Probability-based
hedging
Examples: Sourcing flexibility Pricing strategy Market
diversification
Examples: Sourcing flexibility Pricing strategy Market
diversification
A Corporate Foreign Exchange Roadmap
Copyright ©1997 Ian H. Giddy Options03:26 PM Uses and Abuses 31