Corporate Financial Managementfaculty.sjcny.edu/~barkocy/CFMSlides/Chpt 5.pdfNet Present Value...

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McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Professor James J. Barkocy Corporate Financial Management “There are three kinds of people: the ones that can count and the ones that can’t.”

Transcript of Corporate Financial Managementfaculty.sjcny.edu/~barkocy/CFMSlides/Chpt 5.pdfNet Present Value...

  • McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

    Professor James J. Barkocy

    Corporate Financial Management

    “There are three kinds of

    people: the ones that can

    count and the ones that

    can’t.”

  • Net Present Value

    Opportunity Cost of Capital - Expected rate of return given up by investing in a project.

    Net Present Value - Present value of cash

    flows minus initial investments.

    2

  • Net Present Value

    Example

    Suppose we can invest $350,000 today and receive $400,000 in one year. What is our increase in value given a 7% expected return?

    This is NPV

    Profit = -350,000 +400,000

    1.07= $23,832

    Initial Investment

    Added Value

    $350,000

    $23,832

    3

  • Net Present Value

    NPV = PV - required investment

    NPV CC

    r

    t

    t=

    0

    1( )

    NPV CC

    r

    C

    r

    C

    r

    t

    t=

    0

    1

    1

    2

    21 1 1( ) ( )...

    ( )

    4

  • Net Present Value

    Example

    You have the opportunity to purchase an

    office building. You have a tenant lined

    up that will generate $25,000 per year in

    cash flows for three years. At the end of

    three years you anticipate selling the

    building for $450,000. How much would

    you be willing to pay for the building?

    5

  • Net Present Value

    Example - continued

    0 1 2 3

    $25,000$25,000$25,000

    $450,000

    $475,000

    Present Value

    23,364

    21,836

    387,741

    $432,942

    6

    FV=450,000

    PMT= 25,000

    N=3

    I=7

  • Net Present Value

    Example - continued

    If the building is being offered for

    sale at a price of $375,000, would you

    buy the building and what is the

    added value generated by your

    purchase and management of the

    building?

    7

  • Net Present Value

    Example - continued

    If the building is being offered for sale at a price of $375,000, would

    you buy the building and what is the added value generated by your

    purchase and management of the building?

    942,57$

    )07.1(

    000,475

    )07.1(

    000,25

    )07.1(

    000,25000,375

    321

    =

    =

    NPV

    NPV

    8

  • Net Present Value

    Net Present Value Rule

    Managers increase shareholders’ wealth by

    accepting all projects that are worth more than they

    cost.

    Therefore, they should accept all projects with a

    positive net present value.

    9

  • Net Present ValueCalculating the NPV can be a laborious task. Fortunately,

    financial calculators can perform this function easily.

    HP-10B HP-12C

    -375,000 CFj -375,000 g CF0

    25,000 CFj 25,000 g CFj

    25,000 CFj 25,000 g CFj

    475,000 CFj 475,000 g CFj

    7 i 7 i

    NPV f NPV Both produce

    NPV=57,941.95

    10

  • The Net Present Value Rule

    Net Present Value (NPV) =

    Total PV of future CF’s - Initial Investment

    Estimating NPV: 1. Estimate future cash flows: how much? and when?

    2. Estimate discount rate

    3. Estimate initial costs

    Minimum Acceptance Criteria: Accept if NPV > 0

    Ranking Criteria: Choose the highest NPV

    11

  • Example:

    You may purchase a computer anytime within the next five years. While the computer will save your company money, the cost of computers continues to decline. If your cost of capital is 10% and given the data listed below, when should you purchase the computer?

    Year Cost PV Savings NPV at Purchase NPV Today

    0 50 70 20 20.0

    1 45 70 25 22.7

    2 40 70 30 24.8

    3 36 70 34 Date to purchase 25.5

    4 33 70 37 25.3

    5 31 70 39 24.2

    Investment Timing

    12

  • Equivalent Annual Annuity (Cost)

    Equivalent Annual Annuity (Cost) - The payment per

    period with the same present value as the cash flows.

    Calculate the NPV of both projects.

    Use NPV as your present value and find the

    appropriate annuity payment.

    13

  • Equivalent Annual Cost

    Example

    Given the following costs of operating two machines and a

    10% cost of capital, select the lower cost machine using

    equivalent annual cost method.

    Year Annual

    0 1 2 3 4 (N)PV@10% Cost

    A -500 -120 -120 -120 -798.42 -321.05

    B -600 -100 -100 -100 -100 -961.99 -289.28

    14

  • Replacement Chain Method

    NPV @10%= $-2,187.59

    NPV @10%= $-1,971.08

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

    -500 -120 -120 -120

    -500 -120 -120 -120

    -500 -120 -120 -120

    -500 -120 -120 -120

    -500 -120 -120 -620 -120 -120 -620 -120 -120 -620 -120 -120 -120

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

    -600 -100 -100 -100 -100

    -600 -100 -100 -100 -100

    -600 -100 -100 -100 -100

    -600 -100 -100 -100 -700 -100 -100 -100 -700 -100 -100 -100 -100

    15

  • Other Investment Criteria

    Internal Rate of Return (IRR) - Discount rate at which NPV = 0.

    Rate of Return Rule - Invest in any project offering a rate of return that is higher than the opportunity cost of capital.

    16

  • Internal Rate of ReturnExample

    You can purchase a building for $375,000. The investment

    will generate $25,000 in cash flows (i.e. rent) during the first

    three years. At the end of three years you will sell the

    building for $450,000. What is the IRR on this investment?

    321 )1(

    000,475

    )1(

    000,25

    )1(

    000,25000,3750

    IRRIRRIRR

    =

    IRR = 12.56%

    17

  • Internal Rate of ReturnCalculating the IRR can be a laborious task. Fortunately,

    financial calculators can perform this function easily.

    HP-10B HP-12C

    -375,000 CFj -375,000 g CF0

    25,000 CFj 25,000 g CFj

    25,000 CFj 25,000 g CFj

    475,000 CFj 475,000 g CFj

    {IRR/YR} f IRR

    Both produce

    IRR=12.56

    18

  • -$60.00

    -$40.00

    -$20.00

    $0.00

    $20.00

    $40.00

    $60.00

    $80.00

    $100.00

    $120.00

    9% 19% 29% 39%

    Discount rate

    NP

    V

    NPV Payoff Profile

    Discount Rate NPV

    0% $100.00

    4% $71.04

    8% $47.32

    12% $27.79

    16% $11.65

    20% -$1.74

    24% -$12.88

    28% -$22.17

    32% -$29.93

    36% -$36.43

    40% -$41.86

    If we graph NPV versus discount rate, we can see the

    IRR as the x-axis intercept.

    IRR = 19.44%

    19

  • The Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Rule

    IRR: the discount that sets NPV to zero

    Minimum Acceptance Criteria: Accept if the IRR exceeds the required return.

    Ranking Criteria: Select alternative with the highest IRR

    Disadvantages: Does not distinguish between investing and borrowing. IRR may not exist or there may be multiple IRR Problems with mutually exclusive investments

    Reinvestment assumption: All future cash flows assumed reinvested at the IRR.

    Advantages: Easy to understand and communicate

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  • Multiple IRRs

    There are two IRRs for this project:

    0 1 2 3

    $200 $800

    -$200 - $800

    ($120.00)

    ($100.00)

    ($80.00)

    ($60.00)

    ($40.00)

    ($20.00)

    $0.00

    $20.00

    $40.00

    $60.00

    -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%

    NP

    V

    Discount rate

    100% = IRR2

    0% = IRR1

    Which one

    should we use?

    21

  • The Timing Problem

    ($4,000.00)

    ($3,000.00)

    ($2,000.00)

    ($1,000.00)

    $0.00

    $1,000.00

    $2,000.00

    $3,000.00

    $4,000.00

    $5,000.00

    10% 20% 30% 40%

    Discount rate

    NP

    V

    Project A

    Project B

    10.55% = crossover rate

    16.04% = IRRA12.94% = IRRB

    The preferred project in this case depends on the discount rate…

    …not the IRR. 22

  • Calculating the Crossover Rate

    Compute the IRR for either project “A-B” or

    “B-A”Year Project A Project B Project A-B Project B-A

    0 ($10,000) ($10,000) $0 $0

    1 $10,000 $1,000 $9,000 ($9,000)

    2 $1,000 $1,000 $0 $0

    3 $1,000 $12,000 ($11,000) $11,000

    ($3,000.00)

    ($2,000.00)

    ($1,000.00)

    $0.00

    $1,000.00

    $2,000.00

    $3,000.00

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

    Discount rate

    NP

    V A-B

    B-A

    10.55% = IRR

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  • Project C0 C1 C2 C3 IRR NPV@7%

    Initial Proposal -350 400 14.29% 23,832$

    Revised Proposal -375 25 25 475 12.56% 57,942$

    Internal Rate of ReturnExample

    You have two proposals to choice between. The initial

    proposal has a cash flow that is different than the revised

    proposal. Using IRR, which do you prefer?

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  • The Payback Period Rule

    How long does it take the project to “pay back” its initial investment?

    Payback Period = number of years to recover initial costs

    Minimum Acceptance Criteria:

    set by management

    Ranking Criteria:

    set by management

    25

  • Payback Method

    Example

    The three projects below are available. The company accepts all

    projects with a 2 year or less payback period. Show how this will

    impact our investment decision.

    Cash Flows

    Prj. C0 C1 C2 C3 Payback NPV@10%

    A -2000 +500 +1000 +10000 2+ +6,794

    B -2000 +1000 +1000 0 2 - 264

    C -2000 0 +2000 0 2 - 347

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  • Capital Rationing

    Capital Rationing - Limit set on the amount of funds available for investment.

    Soft Rationing - Limits on available funds imposed by management.

    Hard Rationing - Limits on available funds imposed by the unavailability of funds in the capital market.

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  • Profitability

    Project PV Investment NPV Index

    L 4 3 1 1/3 = .33

    M 6 5 1 1/5 = .20

    N 10 7 3 3/7 = .43

    O 8 6 2 2/6 = .33

    P 5 4 1 1/4 = .25

    Profitability Index

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