Corporate Finance- Session 10

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    Net Present Value and OtherInvestment Rules

    Session 10

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    Evaluation Criteria

    1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)Criteria

    Net Present Value (NPV)

    Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Profitability Index (PI)

    2. Non-discounted Cash Flow Criteria

    Payback Period (PB) Discounted payback period (DPB)

    Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)

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    Net Present Value Method

    The formula for the net present value canbe written as follows:

    n

    1t

    0t

    t

    0n

    n

    3

    3

    2

    21

    C

    )k1(

    CNPV

    C)k1(

    C

    )k1(

    C

    )k1(

    C

    )k1(

    CNPV

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    Why Use Net Present Value?

    Accepting positive NPV projectsbenefits shareholders.

    NPV uses cash flows

    NPV uses all the cash flows of the projectNPV discounts the cash flows properly

    Reinvestment assumption: the NPV

    rule assumes that all cash flows canbe reinvested at the discount rate.

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    The Net Present Value (NPV)Rule

    Net Present Value (NPV) =

    Total PV of future CFs - Initial Investment

    Estimating NPV:

    1. Estimate future cash flows: how much? and when?2. Estimate discount rate

    3. Estimate initial costs

    Minimum Acceptance Criteria: Accept if NPV> 0

    Ranking Criteria: Choose the highest NPV

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    Calculating Net Present Value

    Assume that Project X costs Rs 2,500 now and isexpected to generate year-end cash inflows of Rs 900,Rs 800, Rs 700, Rs 600 and Rs 500 in years 1 through5. The opportunity cost of the capital may be assumed

    to be 10 per cent.

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    Calculating NPV withSpreadsheets

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    The Payback Period Method

    How long does it take the project topay back its initial investment?

    Payback Period = number of years to

    recover initial costs Minimum Acceptance Criteria:

    Set by management

    Ranking Criteria: Set by management

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    Example

    Assume that a project requires anoutlay of Rs 50,000 and yields annualcash inflow of Rs 12,500 for 7 years.

    The payback period for the project is:

    years412,000Rs

    50,000RsPB

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    Acceptance Rule

    The project would be accepted if itspayback period is less than themaximum or standard payback

    period set by management. As a ranking method, it gives highest

    ranking to the project, which has theshortest payback period and lowest

    ranking to the project with highestpayback period.

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    The Payback Period Method

    Disadvantages: Ignores the time value of money

    Ignores cash flows after the payback period

    Biased against long-term projects

    Requires an arbitrary acceptance criteria

    A project accepted based on the paybackcriteria may not have a positive NPV

    Advantages: Easy to understand

    Biased toward liquidity

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    The Discounted PaybackPeriod How long does it take the project to

    pay back its initial investment, taking

    the time value of money into account?

    Decision rule: Accept the project if itpays back on a discounted basiswithin the specified time.

    By the time you have discounted thecash flows, you might as well calculatethe NPV.

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    Average Accounting Return

    Another attractive, but fatally flawed,approach

    Ranking Criteria and Minimum

    Acceptance Criteria set by management

    InvestmentofValueBookAverage

    IncomeNetAverageAAR

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    Example

    See page 209.

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    Average Accounting Return

    Disadvantages: Ignores the time value of money

    Uses an arbitrary benchmark cutoff rate

    Based on book values, not cash flows andmarket values

    Advantages:

    The accounting information is usuallyavailable

    Easy to calculate

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    The Internal Rate of Return

    IRR: the discount rate that sets NPV tozero

    Minimum Acceptance Criteria: Accept if the IRR exceeds the requiredreturn

    Ranking Criteria: Select alternative with the highest IRR

    Reinvestment assumption: All future cash flows assumed reinvested at

    the IRR

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    INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN METHOD

    The internal rate of return (IRR) is therate that equates the investmentoutlay with the present value of cash

    inflow received after one period. Thisalso implies that the rate of return isthe discount rate which makes NPV =

    0.

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    CALCULATION OF IRR

    Uneven Cash Flows: Calculating IRRby Trial and Error

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    CALCULATION OF IRR

    Level Cash Flows Let us assume that an investment would cost Rs

    20,000 and provide annual cash inflow of Rs5,430 for 6 years

    The IRR of the investment can be found out asfollows

    NPV Rs 20,000 + Rs 5,430(PVAF ) = 0

    Rs 20,000 Rs 5,430(PVAF )

    PVAFRs 20,000

    Rs 5,430

    6,

    6,

    6,

    r

    r

    r3683.

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    NPV Payoff Profile

    0% $100.00

    4% $73.888% $51.11

    12% $31.13

    16% $13.52

    20% ($2.08)

    24% ($15.97)

    28% ($28.38)32% ($39.51)

    36% ($49.54)

    40% ($58.60)

    44% ($66.82)

    If we graph NPV versus the discount rate, we can see the IRRas the x-axis intercept.

    IRR = 19.44%

    ($80.00)

    ($60.00)

    ($40.00)($20.00)

    $0.00

    $20.00

    $40.00

    $60.00

    $80.00$100.00

    $120.00

    -1% 9% 19% 29% 39%

    Discount rate

    NPV

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    Calculating IRR withSpreadsheets You start with the cash flows the same

    as you did for the NPV.

    You use the IRR function:

    You first enter your range of cash flows,beginning with the initial cash flow.

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    Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

    Disadvantages: Does not distinguish between investing

    and borrowing IRR may not exist, or there may be

    multiple IRRs Problems with mutually exclusive

    investments

    Advantages: Easy to understand and communicate

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    Acceptance Rule

    Accept the project when IRR > cost ofcapital

    Reject the project when IRR < cost ofcapital

    May accept the project when IRR = cost ofcapital

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    The Profitability Index (PI)

    Minimum Acceptance Criteria: Accept if PI > 1

    Ranking Criteria: Select alternative with highest PI

    InvestentInitial

    FlowsCashFutureofPVTotalPI

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    The Profitability Index

    Disadvantages: Problems with mutually exclusive

    investments

    Advantages: May be useful when available investment

    funds are limited

    Easy to understand and communicate Correct decision when evaluating

    independent projects

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    Lets solve

    Q8 and 9 on pg 233

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    The Practice of Capital Budgeting

    Varies by industry:

    Some firms use payback, others use

    accounting rate of return. The most frequently used technique for

    large corporations is IRR or NPV.

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    thankyou