COPPER Brochure
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Transcript of COPPER Brochure
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HEDGING PRICE RISK OPP R
Copper, a versatile, beautiful metal, is one of the world s most useful natural resource.
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OVERVIEW
Copper is one of the first metals used byhumans and used at least 10,000 yearsago for items such as coins andornaments. Copper is a ductile,corrosion-resistant, malleable, metallic
element that is an excellent conductorof heat and electricity. It is alsocorrosion resistant, antimicrobial andeminently recyclable. The versatility ofthis beautiful metal makes it one of theworld’s most useful natural resources.Alloyed with other metals, it can acquireadditional invaluable characteristicssuch as hardness, tensile strength andeven greater resistance to corrosion.Copper and copper-based alloys areused in a variety of applications that arenecessary for a reasonable standard ofliving. Its continued production and use
is essential for society's development.
Risk management techniques are ofcritical importance for participants suchas producers, exporters, marketers,processors, SMEs amongst others.
PRICE RISK MANAGEMENT
Modern techniques and strategies,including market-based riskmanagement financial instruments suchas ‘Copper Futures’, offered on the MCXplatform can improve efficiencies andconsolidate competitiveness through
price risk management. The importanceof risk management cannot beoverstated; the government too has setup high-level committees to suggeststeps for fulfilling the objectives of pricediscovery and price risk managementon commodity derivatives exchanges.
The role of commodity futures in riskmanagement consists of anticipatingprice movement and shaping resourceallocations and achieving these endscan be met through hedging.
Hedging is the process of reducing orcontrolling risk. It involves taking equaland opposite positions in two differentmarkets (such as physical and futuresmarket), with the objective of reducingor limiting risks associated with pricechange. It is a two-step process, where again or loss in the physical position due
HEDGING MECHANISM
to changes in price will be offset bychanges in the value on the futuresplatform, thereby reduces or limits risksassociated with unpredictable changesin price.
In the International arena, hedging in
Copper futures takes place on a numberof exchanges, the major exchangesbeing London Metal Exchange (LME),Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) andShanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE).
Hedging is critical for stabilizingincomes of corporates and individuals.Reducing risks may not always improveearnings but failure to manage risk willhave direct repercussion on the riskbearers’ long term income.
In order to gain the most from hedging,it is essential to identify and understandthe objectives behind hedging.
A good hedging practice, hence,encompasses efforts on the part ofcompanies to get a clear picture of theirrisk profile and benefit from hedgingtechniques.
IMPORTANCE OF HEDGING
From the beginning of civilization copper has been used by various societies to
make coins for currency. In addition, in areas known to have copper-deficient
soil, copper is used by farmers as a supplement in livestock and crop feed. It
can also kill or inhibit health threatening fungi, bacteria, and viruses,
including water-borne organisms. Copper s excellent heat transfer capabilities
make it an ideal choice for heat exchange equipment, pressure vessels and
vats. It is used for gears, bearings and turbine blades. Aesthetically appealing,
copper and its alloys, such as architectural bronze, are used in roofing , and as
facades, canopies, doors and window frames. Copper s excellent corrosion
resistance make it essential for seawater applications, including vessels, tanks,
piping, propellers, oil platforms and coastal power stations and roofing.
From the beginning of civilization copper has been used by various societies to
make coins for currency. In addition, in areas known to have copper-deficient
soil, copper is used by farmers as a supplement in livestock and crop feed. It
can also kill or inhibit health threatening fungi, bacteria, and viruses,
including water-borne organisms. Copper's excellent heat transfer capabilities
make it an ideal choice for heat exchange equipment, pressure vessels and
vats. It is used for gears, bearings and turbine blades. Aesthetically appealing,copper and its alloys, such as architectural bronze, are used in roofing , and as
facades, canopies, doors and window frames. Copper's excellent corrosion
resistance make it essential for seawater applications, including vessels, tanks,
piping, propellers, oil platforms and coastal power stations and roofing.
PRICE MOVEMENT
CME Parity ( ` /Kg)
MCX /Kg `
300
350
400
450
500
550
J a n - 1 1
A p r - 1
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Weakness in INR
COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
Strike in Escondida, Chile
Fear of tapering of stimulus
measures by Fed in USChinese economic
concerns
Correlation: 99.2%
EU Debt distress
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COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
PARTICIPANT HEDGERS
FACTORS IMPACTING COPPER PRICES
MCX offers a transparent platform,besides bringing about economic andfinancial efficiencies by de-riskingproduction, processing and trade. TheExchange's engagement has led to largeefficient gains in supply chains, withexporters gaining a larger share of
global prices and producers not onlygetting better prices but also muchbetter access to markets.
All those who have or intend to havepositions in physical COPPER areparticipant hedgers.
! Importers! Exporters! Refiners! Processors! Stockists! Fabricators
! Prices ruling in the internationalmarkets
! Fluctuations in USD-INR
! Economic factors: industrial growth,
global financial crisis, recession andinflation
! Commodity-specific events:construction of new productionfacilities or processes, new uses orthe discontinuance of historical uses,unexpected mine or plant closures(natural disaster, supply disruption,
accident, strike, and so forth), orindustry restructuring, all affectmetal prices
! Government trade policies(implementation or suspension oftaxes, penalties, and quotas)
! Geopolitical events
! As societies develop, their demandfor metal increases based on theircurrent economic position, whichcould also be referred as ‘NationalEconomic Growth Factor’.
! Understand the risk profile andappetite while formulating clearhedging objectives.
! Hedging can shield the revenuestream, the profitability, and the
FACTS ON HEDGING
HEDGING EXPERIENCES
1. Hindustan Copper Limited
“Hedging of copper through commodity
exchanges, as a risk management initiative has
been introduced. Requisite steps, likeappointment of brokers, etc., have been
completed for start up of hedging operations.”
(Source: Annual Report 2007-08)
“The Company entered into derivative contract
in the nature of forward contract for sale with
an intention to hedge sale of copper in the
Commodity Exchange Market to minimize LME
price fluctuation.”
(Source: Annual Report 2012-13)
2. Siemens India Limited
“The Company uses Commodity Future
Contracts to hedge against fluctuation incommodity prices.”
(Source: Annual Report, 2013)
3. Aurubis
(Aurubis is a leading integrated copper group
and the world’s largest copper recycler, with
production sites in US, Europe and an extensive
service and sales system for copper products inEurope, Asia and North America)
“ Metal price and exchange rate fluctuations
represent a potential risk in the buying and
selling of metals. This risk is substantially
reduced with foreign exchange and metal price
hedging.”
(Source: Annual report 2012-13)
4. Antofagasta plc
Antofagasta is a Chilean-based copper mining
group with significant by-product production
and interests in transport and water distribution.
“ The Group monitors the commodity marketsclosely to determine the effect of price
fluctuations on earnings, capital expenditures
and cash flows. From time to time, the Group
uses derivative instruments to manage its
exposure to commodity price fluctuations
where appropriate. “
(Source: Annual Report and Financial Statements
2013)
5. Boliden
New Boliden is a Swedish mining and smelting
company focusing on production of copper, zinc,
lead, gold and silver.
“ Boliden’s policy stipulates that risks from
exposure in conjunction with binding
undertakings shall be hedged in full, with the
exception of the smelters’ process inventory.
The Group uses futures contracts to ensure that
the sale price and exchange rate correspond to
those applicable in conjunction with the
signing of a sales agreement at a fixed price.”
(Source: Annual Report 2013.
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balance-sheet against adverse pricemovements.
! Hedging can maximize shareholdervalue.
! Under ‘International FinancialReporting Standards’ (IFRS) beneficialoptions arise in case of effectivehedges.
! Common avoidable mistake is tobook profits on the hedge whileleaving the physical leg open to risk.
! Hedging provides differentiation tocompanies in a highly competitiveenvironment
! Hedging also significantly lowersdistress costs in the event of adversecircumstances confronting acompany.
! A properly designed hedgingstrategy enables corporations toreduce risk. Hedging does not
eliminate risk it merely helps totransform risk.
! In order to gain the most fromhedging, it is very essential toidentify and understand theobjectives behind hedging and get aclear picture of the risk profile.
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APPRECIATING THE BENEFITS OF HEDGING
Situations prevailing in the Copper industry are given below, which will demonstrate how MCX platform may be used by
participants to manage price risk by entering into Copper Futures contracts. We will look at the impact of price movement in
either direction.
SCENARIO 1
SCENARIO 2
THE SITUATION
Cool Fans is a company involved in the manufacture and retail sales of fans. Significant boom in housing segment has led to sharp growth in consumer durables
segment in terms of volume and sales. Price volatility is of big concern to the company. A consultant appointed by the management has recommended that pricerisk should be managed by taking up position on MCX.
EXPLANATIONst th
The Treasury Team of Cool Fans, short sells 20 lots (1 lot = 1 tonne) of 31 August contract on 12 July and squares the contracts on 30th July. The value of raw material in
the finished goods sale is ` 78,80,000 (394x20x1000) and cash inflow from MCX due to fall in prices is 2,20,000 (11x20x1000). Thus, the net value realized from the sale
of finished goods is 81,00,00 (78,80,000 + 2,20,000), making the net selling price 405 per kg (81,00,000/20,000), which is the budgeted price.
`
` `
EXPLANATIONst th
The Treasury Team of Cool Fans, short sells 20 lots (1 lot = 1 tonne) of 31 August contract on 12 July and squaresth
the contract on 30 July, making a loss of ` 11 per kg. The value of raw material in the finished goods sale isth
83,20,000 (416x20x1000) on 30 July and cash flow outgo on MCX due to rise in prices is 2,20,000
(11x20x1000). Thus, the net value realized from the sale of finished goods is 81,00,00 (83,20,000 – 2,20,000),
making the net selling price 405 per kg (81,00,000/20,000), which is the budgeted price.
` `
`
`
The company, Cool Fans has routine sales of 5000 pieces of fans every month. Based on experience, the company has put forward the following facts
Ÿ The company purchases 20 tonnes of Copper every week to conduct routine production.
Ÿ The processed material will be ready to be sold in 2 weeks.
Ÿ The sale price of finished goods will be as per prevailing price at the time of final sales.
Ÿ
It is difficult to predict the sales price 2 weeks aheadŸ The company’s objective is to lock prices.
GOING SHORT: Scenarios where prices either rise or fall
IF PRICES WERE TO RISE
IF PRICES WERE TO FALL
DETAILSth
12 July
30 Julyth
SELL Copper Futures Contract
Processed material sold,
at ruling price
The net position of the above transactions will negate price risk
MCX PLATFORM PHYSICAL MARKET
DETAILSth
12 July
th30 July BUY Copper Futures Contract
SELL Copper Futures Contract
Processed material sold,
at ruling priceThe net position of the above transactions will negate price risk
MCX PLATFORM PHYSICAL MARKET
Futures
Futures
12-07-201X
12-07-201X
30-07-201X
30-07-201X
406
406
395
417
11 (profit)
11 (loss)
39430-07-201X
30-07-201X
30-07-201X
30-07-201X
Spot
Spot
SELL
SELL
SELL
SELL
BUY
BUY
DATE
12-07-201X
30-07-201X
405 406
395394
COPPER SPOT PRICE COPPER FUTURES PRICEst (expiry 31 August 201X)
DATE
12-07-201X
30-07-201X
405 406
417416
COPPER SPOT PRICE COPPER FUTURES PRICEst
(expiry 31 August 201X)
Net price: 405 ( 416 - 11)selling ` ` `
Net selling price: 405 ( 394 + 11) ` ` `
Raw material bought
BUY Copper Futures Contract
BUY 405
Raw material bought
BUY 405 416
HEDGING AGAINST DOMESTIC SALE
COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
Note:The objective is to lock in prices, to obtain protectionfrom unwanted price volatility, which impacts thebalance-sheet of the company. This has been achieved,through hedging on MCX in both the scenario of risingand falling prices, by which Cool Fans has been able to sell the finished material at the budgeted price itself.
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THE SITUATION
Bharat Copper is a copper dealer, who buys, stocks and sells refined copper in various forms to a host of users. The Copper market has been extremely unpredictable due to
the price volatility, which is a reflection of international and domestic factors. Bharat Copper enters into tenders to procure large quantities, which are then actually lifted
based on the prevail ing prices. The Company assumes procurement to be done “Just-In-Time” to meet production schedule - WHICH MEANS INPUT PRICES MAY CHANGE !!!
The Company, Bharat Copper buys Copper through tenders and has put forward the following facts.th
Ÿ Tender is passed on 20 September to procure 150 tonnes of Copper
Ÿ The tender is structured, such that 30 tonnes will be physically bought every week at the prevailing priceth
Ÿ The first lot of 30 tonnes is bought physically on 20 September 201X. Thus, the first lot does not undergo any price change.
Ÿ The remaining 120 tonnes will be bought in subsequent weeks in lots of 30 tonnes, every week at ruling prices.
Ÿ The company hedges for 120 tonnes.
GOING LONG: Scenarios where prices either rise or fall
EXPLANATIONth th
The Treasury Team of Bharat Copper, buys 120 lots (1 lot = 1 tonne) of 30 November contract on 20
September and squares the position in a staggered manner in subsequent weeks, whenever the Company lifts
Copper from the physical market at the prevailing spot market price. The company by hedging its position and
making a staggered exit from the futures contract makes the net buying price at Rs. 405 per kg, which is the
budgeted price.
DATE MCX PLATFORMPHYSICAL MARKET OPEN INTEREST
on MCX
th20 September
th27 September
BUY 30 Tonnes BUY 120 lots of Copper FuturesContract of 1 Tonne each
SELL 30 lots of Copper FuturesBUY 30 Tonnes
BUY 30 Tonnes
BUY 30 Tonnes
BUY 30 Tonnes SELL 30 lots of Copper Futures
SELL 30 lots of Copper Futures
SELL 30 lots of Copper Futures
120
90
60
30
0
th4 October
th11 October
th18 October
DATE
th20 September
th27 September
Copper Futures Prices (expiryth
30 November 201X)
COPPER SPOT PRICES
405
408
413
402
401th4 October
th11 October
th18 October
406
409
414
403
402
DATEth
20 September
th27 September
FUTURES MARKET ACTIONSPOT MARKET ACTION Profit/Loss per KG on MCX
BUY BUY
SELL BUY
BUY
BUY
BUY SELL
SELL
SELL
th4 October
th
11 Octoberth
18 October
NET PURCHASE PRICE/KG
30 MT @ 405
30 MT @ 408
30 MT @ 401
30 MT @ 413
30 MT @ 402
120 lots @ 406
30 lots @ 409
30 lots @ 402
30 lots @ 414
30 lots @ 403
3 (Profit)
4 (Loss)
8 (Profit)
3 (Loss)
405
405(408-3)
405(401+4)
405(413-8)
405(402+3)
HEDGING AGAINST TENDERS
COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
The scrap and alloy industry can also use the MCX copper futures contract very easily to hedge their raw material price
risk as along as the price correlation of the physical market is in sync with the copper futures on MCX. For example, a
brass (alloy of copper and zinc ) product manufacturer can easily hedge his copper requirement on MCX futures, to lockin his copper purchase price so that it doesn't have an effect on his final product price.
Note:The objective is to lock in prices, to obtain protectionfrom unwanted price volatility, which impacts thebalance-sheet of the company. This has been achieved,through hedging on MCX in both the scenario of risingand falling prices, by which Bharat Copper has been ableto purchase at the budgeted price itself.
COPPER FACTS
Copper is one of the most recycled of all metals. It is our ability to recycle metals over and over
again that makes them a material of choice. Copper stands at the third place after steel and
aluminium, in the context of consumption. It is an important contributor to the national
economies of mature, newly developed and developing countries.
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REGULATORY BOOSTS FOR HEDGERS
1. Income tax exemptions for
hedging. The Finance Act, 2013 has
provided for coverage of commodity
derivatives transactions undertaken in
recognized commodity exchanges
under the ambit of Section 43(5) of the
Income Tax Act, 1961, on the lines of the
benefit available to transactionsundertaken in recognized stock
exchanges.
This effectively means that business
profits/losses can be offset by losses/
profits undertaken in the commodity
derivatives transactions. This enhances
the attractiveness of risk management
on recognized commodity derivative
exchanges and incentivizes hedging.
Hedgers are no longer forced to
undertake physical delivery of
commodities in order to prove that their
transactions are in the nature of
hedging and not ‘speculation’.
2. Limit on open position as against
hedging. Genuine hedgers havingunderlying exposure that exceed the
prescribed OI limits given in the
contract specifications can be allowed
higher limits based on approvals. This
enables hedgers to take positions to the
extent of their exposure on the physical
market and is allowed to take position
over and above prescribed position
limits on approval by the exchange.
ŸCopper: Witnessed annualized price volatility of 19% in 2013
ŸWhich means: A firm in the copper business, with an annual turnover of ` 100 crores was exposedto a price risk of ` 19 crores in 2013;
ŸIndia with an annual copper market size of 6 lakh tons, worth about ` 25,500 crores is exposed to a
risk on account of price volatility to the tune of ` 4,845 crores. (i.e. 19% of the holding value)
HOW MUCH VOLATILITY RISK ARE YOU EXPOSED TO?
ARE YOU PREPARED FOR VOLATILITY RISK?
(Adoption of a risk management practice, such as hedging on the MCX Platform can
help shield against the perils of price volatility)
DAILY AVERAGE VOLATILITY (COPPER MCX PRICES)
VolYEAR 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
31% 21% 24% 15% 19%
Source: MCX Research Team
ANNUALIZED VOLATILITY
-8.00%
-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
J a n -
0 9
J u l -
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COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
BENEFITS OF HEDGING ON MCX:
! India's no. 1 commodity exchange to
trade Copper futures
! Rupee-based contracts
! Time-zone advantage
! Smaller contracts aid hedgers with
smaller tonnage exposure.
! Efficient price discovery mechanism
wherein there is convergence of
financial and commodity market
participants.
! Highly liquid contracts
! Highly efficient and transparent
market
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SALIENT CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS OF COPPER FUTURES CONTRACTS
Symbol COPPER COPPER MINI
Trading Unit 1 MT 250 kilograms
Contracts Available February, April, June, August, Novemberst
Contract Start Day 1 day of contract launch month. If 1st day is a holiday then the following working day.
Last Trading Day Last calendar day of the contract expiry month. If last calendar day is a holiday then preceding
working day.
Trading Period Mondays through Friday : 10.00 a.m. to 11.30/11.55 p.m.
Quotation/ Base Value 1 kg
Maximum Order Size 70 MT
Price Quote Ex-Bhiwandi (exclusive of all taxes and levies relating to import duty, customs, Sales Tax/VAT as
the case may be, special additional duty and octroi). At the time of delivery, the buyer has to pay
these taxes and levies in addition to Delivery order rate.Tick Size 5 paise per kg
Daily Price Limit The base price limit will be 4%. Whenever the base daily price limit is breached, the relaxation
will be allowed upto 6% without any cooling off period in the trade. In case the daily price limit
of 6% is also breached, then after a cooling off period of 15 minutes, the daily price limit will be
relaxed upto 9%.
In case price movement in international markets is more than the maximum daily price limit (i.e
9%), the same may be further relaxed in steps of 3% beyond the maximum permitted limit, and
inform the Commission immediately.
Initial Margin Minimum 5% or based on SPAN whichever is higher
Additional and/ or Special Margin In case of additional volatility, an additional margin (on both buy & sell side) and/ or special
margin (on either buy or sell side) at such percentage, as deemed fit; will be imposed in respect
of all outstanding positions.
Maximum Allowable Open Position* For individual clients: 5,000 MT for all Copper contracts combined together.
For a member collectively for all clients: 25,000 MT or 15% of the market wide open position
whichever is higher for all Copper contracts combined together.
Delivery Unit 9 MT with tolerance limit of + / - 1 % (90 kg)
Delivery Centres Within 20 kilometers outside Mumbai octroi limit.
Quality Specifications Grade 1 electrolytic copper as per B115 specification
Due Date Rate Due date rate is calculated on the last day of the contract expir y, by taking international spot
price of Copper and it would be multiplied by Rupee-US$ rate as notified by the Reserve Bank of
India on that particular day.
Delivery Logic Both Option
Note: Please refer to the exchange circulars for latest contract specifications.
* Genuine hedgers having underlying exposure that exceed the prescribed OI limits given in the contract specifications can be allowed higher limits based on approvals.
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COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
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COPPER: HEDGING PRICE RISK
©MCX 2014. All rights reserved.
Content by: MCX Research & Planning
Designed by: Department of Corporate Communications, MCX
Please send your feedback to: [email protected]
Corporate address: Exchange Square, Chakala, Andheri (East), Mumbai - 400 093, India, Tel. No. 91-22-6731 8888,
CIN: L51909MH2002PLC135594, [email protected], www.mcxindia.com
INTERVIEW WITH MR. DEVENDRA SURANA, MD, BHAGYANAGAR INDIA LTD.
Can you briefly explain your business operations?
Do you use MCX? If so, kindly explain.
In your experience, how closely does MCX track LME?
Bhagyanagar India Limited (BIL) is primarily an auto component manufacturer that also caters to the electrical industry. Our
principal raw material, copper, accounts for about 70 - 75 per cent of the costs. Hence, it is strategic for us to keep an eye on
the copper price. We import copper on LME price basis.
Yes, we do. Since we are a listed company we need to report quarterly results. High price fluctuations in copper in the past
used to result in high variations in the inventory valuation, thereby affecting quarter-on-quarter profitability. As a business
requirement, we hold large quantities of copper to be used in various stages of manufacturing, which is usually around
400MT. Therefore, it is imperative that we hedge price exposures in our inventory holding and desensitise our P&L to the
fluctuations in copper price. This has been the primary reason behind our decision to use the MCX platform. We use MCX
copper futures contract to hedge (by selling futures contract) 60 - 70 per cent of our inventory exposures at all time.
I believe there is a high degree of correlation between these two markets. I am also very happy to see the liquidity and depth
of MCX copper contracts increasing day-by-day. Earlier, we use to see a divergence between MCX and LME prices around the
settlement time (around 5 pm – 5:30 pm) every day. Of late, these divergences in prices have disappeared. Lastly, for us, MCX
futures contracts priced in INR, is not only able to address the price fluctuation risk in copper but also the risk associated with
the fluctuation in currency.
World Refined Copper Production & Consumption Global Mine Production (’000 Tonnes)
Source: US Geological Survey
Country 2012 2013e
Chile 5,430 5,700
China 1,630 1,650
Peru 1,300 13,00
USA 1,170 1,220
Austrelia 958 990
Russia 883 930
Congo (Kinshasa) 600 900
Zambia 690 830
Canada 579 630
Mexico 440 480
Kazakhstan 424 440
Poland 427 430
Indonesia 360 380
Other Countries 2,000 2,000
World Total (Rounded) 16,900 17,900
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
20,000
21,000
22,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
P r i c e ( U S $ / T o n n e )
P r o d u c t i o n & C o n s u m p t i o n ( ' 0 0 0 T o n n e s )
Production Consumption LME Avg Price (US$/Tonne)
World Refined Copper Production - 2014 (Forecasted) World Refined Copper Consumption - 2014 (Forecasted)
Source: International Copper Study Group ( ICSG)
Source: MCX CommNews
ChinaChileJapanUSARussian Fed.GermanyIndiaKorean Rep.PolandZambia
AustraliaMexicoSpainBelgiumPeruOthers
Source: ICSG
30.0%
13.3%
6.8%5.3%4.0%
3.1%
3.2%
2.9%
2.5%
3.3%
2.2%2.0%2.0%
1.8%1.5%
16.2% ChinaUSAGermanyJapanKorean Rep.Russian Fed.IndiaItalyTaiwanBrazilTurkeySpainMexicoBelgiumOthers
Source: ICSG
41.8%
9.0%6.0%4.6%
3.8%
3.1%3.3%
2.9%
2.0%2.1%2.1%1.8%
1.5%1.3%
14.9%