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COP 21: UN Climate Change Conference: Hearing the public's voice
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Transcript of COP 21: UN Climate Change Conference: Hearing the public's voice
1 Document Name Here | Month 2015 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
BY
COP21:
LOREM IPSUM DOLOR SIT AMET
FIRSTNAME LASTNAME
AND
FIRSTNAME LASTNAME
v1
Latest trends in public attitudes to taking action on climate change
UN Climate Change Conference:
Hearing the public’s voice
Ipsos MORI Social Research Institute, December 2015
2 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Introduction
What do the public feel about climate change and
will they support an agreement at COP21? These
slides present findings from research conducted by
Ipsos MORI between 2005 to 2015* including:
Levels of concern about the impacts of climate change, and beliefs around its causes - how have views changed over time?
Climate change action at COP21 and beyond - should action be taken, what are the trade offs and where does responsibility lie?
Helping at home vs. abroad - if action is taken, who should pay and how should the costs be shared across the developed and developing world?
Between 30th November and 11th December 2015,
50,000 members from 195 countries will meet in
Paris to discuss efforts on how to keep average
global temperature rises below 2°C.
This is the 21st meeting of the Conference of Parties
to the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change (COP21). The goal is to reach a
consensus on a legally binding agreement that will
enable member states to move into a more energy-
efficient and greenhouse gas-reducing economy.
COP21 is seen by many as crucial to combat
climate change; it is the first time in 20 years a
legally binding agreement will be discussed.
* The research has been collected from different research projects, and consists of data collected from various methodologies.
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Main findings
The public’s take on COP21
From Ipsos MORI’s latest research, three key findings have emerged:
1. The British public are supportive of the government taking action on climate change
and the majority say we should sign up to a legally binding agreement at COP21.
2. However, the public is divided on whether climate change investment should be
prioritised at the expense of other priorities such as healthcare and education.
3. Finally, the public recognise that foreign aid is beneficial to the global economy,
although there is a slight preference for climate change investment to be spent
domestically, rather than in developing countries.
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A majority believe climate change
91
4 5
2005
% Yes
% No
% Don’t know Q. “As far as you know, do you personally think the world’s climate is changing, or not?”
Bases: 2005: 1,491 GB adults, aged 15 and over, 1st October – 6th November 2005; 2010: 1,822 GB adults, aged 15 and over, 6th January - 26th March 2010; 2013: 973 GB adults,
aged 15 and over, 8th - 26th March 2013; 2014: 1,002 GB adults aged 16 and over , 28th August – 31st October 2014. Methodology: face-to-face in-home.
78
15
6
2010
72
19
9
2013
is happening
88
6 6
2014
6 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Though concern about climate change
has fallen over the last decade
Bases: 2005: 1,491 GB adults, aged 15 and over, 1st October – 6th November 2005; 2010: 1,822 GB adults, aged 15 and over, 6th January - 26th March 2010; 2013: 973 GB
adults, aged 15 and over, 8th - 26th March 2013; 2014: 1,002 GB adults aged 16 and over, 28th August - 31st October 2014. Methodology: face-to-face in-home.
2005
82% concerned
2010
71% concerned
2013
60% concerned
Q. “How concerned, if at all, are you about climate change, sometimes referred to as ‘global warming’?”
68% concerned
2014
7 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Base: 13,492 adults across 13 countries (GB: 1,003), 5th July – 6th August 2012. Methodology: online.
86
99
97
97
94
92
91
91
86
81
78
77
69
67
14
1
3
3
6
8
9
9
14
19
22
23
31
33
All
Mexico
Turkey
Indonesia
Hong-Kong
Italy
Spain
Japan
Germany
Switzerland
Belgium
France
GB
US
And Brits are not as worried about impact of
climate change as many other countries
How worried are you
by the possible
consequences of
climate change?
% Worried
% Not worried
Q.
8 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Economy NHS Environment Unemployment
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index. Base: c.1,000 GB adults aged 18+ per month. Data based on annual aggregates for each year, using January – November for 2015. Methodology: face-to-face in-home interviews.
Each month, Ipsos MORI asks the public to name the biggest issues they feel are affecting Britain. Concern for the
environment, including climate change, falls behind other issues such as immigration, the NHS and the economy
Immigration, health and economic issues
dominate British public’s concerns
Immigration
39%
5%
44%
30%
19%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jan 98 Jan 99 Jan 00 Jan 01 Jan 02 Jan 03 Jan 04 Jan 05 Jan 06 Jan 07 Jan 08 Jan 09 Jan 10 Jan 11 Jan 12 Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 151998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
9 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Brits less convinced it is proven by science
though majority think it is
Which one of the two
following statements best
corresponds to your opinion?
% Climate change has
been
proven by science
% Climate change has not
been proven by science
77
95
89
86
85
83
82
79
76
74
69
65
63
58
13
5
11
14
15
17
18
21
24
26
31
35
37
42
All
Indonesia
Hong-Kong
Turkey
Mexico
Italy
Germany
Spain
Switzerland
Belgium
France
US
GB
Japan
Q.
Base: 13,492 adults across 13 countries (GB: 1,003), 5th July – 6th August 2012. Methodology: online.
10 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Base: 16,039 adults across 20 countries (GB: 1,000), 3rd – 17th September 2013. Methodology: online.
A similar story for the role of human activity
% Agree
% Disagree
93
84
84
82
80
80
80
79
78
77
76
76
74
72
71
70
68
67
64
64
54
5
9
13
12
15
15
16
13
14
19
20
17
18
21
22
18
22
24
25
24
32
China
Argentina
Italy
Spain
Turkey
France
India
Brazil
Belgium
S Korea
S Africa
Total
Sweden
Germany
Canada
Japan
Poland
Russia
Australia
GB
US
The climate change
we are currently
seeing is largely
the result of
human activity?
To what extent do you
agree or disagree…
The British public are less convinced than many other countries that climate change is largely the result of human activity, although a
majority do believe that climate change is anthropogenic.
Q.
11 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
What does this mean
In recent years the British public
have become less concerned about
climate change, and are less
convinced of the science and a
human role in its cause than others
around the world.
1 in 3 Brits does not believe that
climate change is anthropogenic or
scientifically proven. So how do the
British public respond to a potential
agreement at COP21?
for COP21?
13 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Most agree that the UK Government should
Base: 1,168 UK online community members aged 18-75, 21st – 23rd October 2015. Methodology: online.
31
34
22
6 5 2
“The UK Government should
be taking a lead role in
global action on tackling
climate change.”
To what extent do you
agree or disagree with the
following statement?
Q.
take a lead global role in tackling climate change
% Strongly agree
% Tend to agree
% Neither agree nor disagree
% Tend to disagree
% Strongly disagree
% Don’t know
14 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
And there’s broad support for the UK to sign
Base: 1,087 GB adults, aged 16-75, 27th November – 2nd December 2015. Methodology: online.
29
28
23
7
7 6
a legally binding agreement
“The UK Government should
sign up to a legally binding
agreement to combat climate
change at the Paris Conference.”
To what extent do you
agree or disagree with the
following statement?
Q. % Strongly agree
% Tend to agree
% Neither agree nor disagree
% Tend to disagree
% Strongly disagree
% Don’t know
15 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Opinion is divided on whether climate investment
can be at the expense of other priorities
Base: 1,087 GB adults, aged 16-75, 27th November – 2nd December 2015. Methodology: online.
15
21
25
22
12
5
“Climate change should be one
of the top priorities for the UK
Government when considering
the budget for the next few
Q.
years, even if this means that
less money is spent on other
priorities such as education and
healthcare.”
% Strongly agree
% Tend to agree
% Neither agree nor disagree
% Tend to disagree
% Strongly disagree
% Don’t know
16 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
50% 50%
% The government should take whatever actions
necessary to deal with climate change, even if it
harms economic growth
% The government should take whatever actions
necessary to deal with climate change, but only if it
does not harm economic growth
% The government should only take actions to deal
with climate change if it also increases economic
growth
% The government should not take any action at all
to deal with climate change
% Don’t know
Though a majority favour climate action that
Q. “Which, if any, of the following best describes your view on how the UK government
should deal with climate change”
does not harm economic growth
23
46
13
6
12
Base: 1,087 GB adults, aged 16-75, 27th November – 2nd December 2015. Methodology: online.
18 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
The Government vs. Business:
Base: 2,225 UK adults, aged 16-75, 21st – 23rd October 2015. Methodology: online.
both are seen as having a role to play
9
17
33
24
12 5
34
36
20
3 2 5
“I think climate
change is more of
an issue for
governments to
tackle rather
To what extent do you
agree or disagree with the
following statement:
Q.
than businesses.”
“Companies
across the UK
should do more to
reduce their
impact on
To what extent do you
agree or disagree with the
following statement:
Q.
climate change.”
% Strongly agree
% Tend to agree
% Neither agree nor disagree
% Tend to disagree
% Strongly disagree
% Don’t know
20 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
A key goal for COP21 is to mobilise financial support to developing countries. But how is foreign aid perceived by the public? There is
recognition of the benefit of global aid, but three in four believe investment would be more worthwhile spent domestically.
Base: 12,709 across 16 countries (GB: 1,019), 24th July – 7th August. Methodology: online.
Public see economic benefit to foreign aid
though think money is better spent at home
62 71 77
50 62
77
Foreign aid is
beneficial to the
domestic economy
Foreign aid is
beneficial to the global
economy
Money is better spent
on domestic
programmes
% Global average % GB
21 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
which two or three, if any,
of the following areas do you
think the UK Government
should cut the most
money from?
Q.
Base: 1,021 GB adults aged 18 and over, 14th – 17th November 2015. Methodology; telephone.
59%
36%
19%
15%
8%
5%
4%
3%
3%
1%
1%
3%
5%
9%
Overseas Aid
Benefit payments
Police and armed forces
Transport
Local Authority services
Social Services
State Pensions
The NHS/Healthcare
Police
Schools
Care for the Elderly
Other
Don't know
None
55%
44%
28%
0%
10%
8%
3%
5%
4%
2%
1%
9%
7%
0%
Overseas Aid
Benefit payments
Police and armed forces
Transport
Local Authority services
Social Services
State Pensions
The NHS/Healthcare
Police
Schools
Care for the Elderly
Other
Don't know
None
2013 2015
And overseas aid is the area most commonly
suggested as in need of cutting
If the Government were to
make further cuts in spending,
22 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
50% 50%
% The UK government should put money into the
fund to help developing countries respond to
climate change
% The UK government should not put money into
this fund, and should only put money into helping
the UK respond to climate change
% The UK government should not put money into
responding to climate change, either in the UK or
in developing countries
% Don’t know
Public support idea of climate fund, but more
Q. “Which of these statements do you most agree with, if any?
want this spent in UK than in developing world
Base: 1,087 GB adults, aged 16-75, 27th November – 2nd December 2015. Methodology: online.
33
39
13
15
23 COP21 | December 2015 | Version 1 | Internal Use Only
Summary
What does this mean for COP21
and the UK’s approach to
climate change?
• Despite lower concern around climate change than in
the past, the British public do show support for action
and want UK Government to play a leading role
• A majority agree the UK should sign up to a legally
binding agreement and more agree than disagree that
climate change should be a priority even if takes
spending away from other priority areas – a significant
minority even support taking action if it harms
economic growth
• Investment is wanted to help deal with climate change,
though slightly more place a priority for this money to
be spent on a domestic response, rather than helping
the developing world.
24
For more
Contact us
information
Matthew Evans
Joint Head of Environment Research
Antonia Dickman
Joint Head of Environment Research