Conversion of Nature’s economy to the Human economy.
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Transcript of Conversion of Nature’s economy to the Human economy.
A - Action does not proceed if it is not practical.
An action that is not diverted for further consideration represents a lowest
common denominator consensus. After consideration it is a highest common
denominator consensus.
B - Ideas/plans proceed to the fast track after advocacy and the achievement
of consensus amongst the relevant parties.
Action
MonitoringAction
IssueDetection /
Goals Action Plans
Fast TrackEnv.Monitoring
A A
Learning inputs from the whole system
B B
A GENERIC STRATEGY / ACTION SYSTEM
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Too HardBasket
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Solutions& Visions
Action ideas
Action Styles: Entrepreneur (1,4 or 3,4); Incremental reactive (1,2 or 8,2)
Comprehensive systematic (3,5); Env. ethical opportunist (1,3,4 or 8,3,4)
Env. pioneer (3,5,6) Green Innovations, 1994. Version 2.b
There is a rapid switch in the ratio of Indirect vs Direct Costs of
developments as nature’s economy shrinks and the human economy grows
Moving goal posts?
• Accelerating scale and speed of sustainability challenge
• Prepare for strategies to suffer rapid obsolescence (due to failure to address fundamental issues and real uncertainty about real unfolding environmental and social change)
• Best option is to anchor on making a full and fast transition to a truly sustainable economy/society
Handling multiple issues
• Pick calibrating issues– eg. Climate change, peaking of world
production of conventional cheap oil, water shortage, food shortage/high prices
• Pick issues that must affect solutions– eg. biodiversity loss
• Unfreezing of old patterns permits free kicks (and added value)– Economic and social renewal
Generic model
Current world New worldTransition world
(driven by active intervention)
Each world has its own dynamics
Backcasting
Industry planning
• Use sectors to locate problems
• For solutions - build up from supply chains
• Then can reconstruct the model of regional economies and new industry sectors by aggregating new supply chains