Contingent business interruption and other special...

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Contingent business interruption and other special covers Technical publishing

Transcript of Contingent business interruption and other special...

Contingent business interruptionand other special covers

Technical publishing

Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Contents

Introduction 3

1 Contigent business interruption 51.1 Suppliers’ and customers’ extensions 51.2 CBI – an underestimated risk 61.3 Underwriting aspects 7

Risk quality of suppliers and/or customers 7Degree of insured’s dependency 8Some principles affecting the extension 9Insurance terms and conditions 11Further conditions and extensions 13Accumulation and reinsurance aspects 14

1.4 Public utilities 161.5 Loss of access (ingress/egress) 16

Annex 1: The risk management process with external dependencies 19

2 Virtual world, real threats 23Exposures 24The legal environment 24Technical dependency 25Malicious acts and hacktivity 25

2.1 Information Systems Business Interruption (ISBI) 26The sum insured 27What cannot be covered 27Extensions 27Risk assessment 28

2.2 Conclusion 29

Annex 2: E-commerce business marketplaces and the electronic supply chain 30

3 Other special covers 333.1 Contingencies 33

Non-physical damage 34Accumulation 34

3.2 Advance loss of profits insurance (ALOP) 36Cover 36Insured party 36Exclusions 36Sum insured 36Period of insurance 36Loss settlement 37

3.3 Liquidated damages and force majeure covers 38The liabilities 39The insurance covers 39Conclusion 40

Annex 3: Business interruption in livestock production 41

4 Related reading 45

Introduction

After an insured business interruption, the insured should find himself in nearlythe same financial position he would have been in had the loss never occurred.Easier said than done! Anyone ever involved in a business interruption claimcan attest to how difficult it is to juggle its many inherent challenges. These notonly include “intangibles” such as reduction in turnover compared to projectedbusiness results, but also relate to various problems of business operationmaintenance and/or re-launch of production under adverse circumstances.

A Swiss Re business interruption publication which appeared in 1998addressed major characteristics such as internal and external susceptibility todisruptions, income at risk, objectives and forms of cover, but it touched onlybriefly on special issues. The publication in hand probes BI specialities whichhave gained importance over the past few years.

In today’s “global village”, business processes in industry and commerce forma chain of interrelated activities by highly diverse, but interdependent parties.Technological progress is moving at tremendous speed. Raw materials andproducts need to be finished and assembled according to extremely tightschedules. In particular, international companies now outsource part of theiroriginal activities or enter complex partnerships with external organisations.By doing so, they lose a degree of control over resources, business processesand the very product itself.

Insurance markets and insurance products could hardly stagnate in this ever-changing environment. The growing exposure linked to the use of internet andtelecommunication services has become crucial. Sudden and accidental failureof IT systems, minimum requirements on protection and backup procedures,and the assessment of new types of cyber risks are among these burningissues.

Not all the products, wordings, extensions and alleged simplifications devisedby the trade in the soft cycle represented genuine improvements. Indeed, withregard to business interruption, some rather suspect methods of insuring largecompanies’ interdependencies were occasionally applied. Non-transparentexposures and accumulations were the unfortunate result of such practice.

Outlining the problems of BI insurance and offering some solutions in thispublication is to underline Swiss Re’s decisive strategy. In return, the authorsanticipate a fruitful dialogue with underwriters around the globe.

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4 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

A Fire in Albuquerque Sparks Crisis forEuropean Cell-Phone Giants

Extract adapted from a report by Almar Latour,Staff Reporter, “The Wall Street Journal”, 29 January 2001

. . . the blaze in an Albuquerque, N. M. semi-conductor plant burned for just 10 minuteslast March. But far away in Scandinavia, thefire touched off a corporate crisis that shiftedthe balance of power between two of Europe’sbiggest electronics companies, both majorplayers in the global electronics industry.

Both companies bought computer chips fromthe plant, which is owned and operated byPhilips Electronics NV of the Netherlands. Theflow of those chips, which are crucial compo-nents in the mobile phones they sell aroundthe world, suddenly stopped.

Philips needed weeks to get the plant back tocapacity. With mobile phone sales boomingaround the world, neither customer companycould afford to wait.

But how the two companies responded to the crisis couldn’t have been more different.Company “A”, which was Europe’s largestcorporation by market capitalisation at thetime, met the challenge with textbook crisismanagement effort.

Company “B” moved far more slowly. And itwas less prepared for the problem in the firstplace. It didn’t have other suppliers, and in the end, came up millions of chips short ofwhat it needed for a key new product.

“We did not have a contingency plan”, con-ceded the marketing director for consumergoods at Company “B”.

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1 Contingent business interruption

What happens to a business after a fire? Production slows down or stops andturnover decreases; profits begin to diminish and eventually turn into losses aswages and other charges continue to accrue.

What happens, however, if goods or services cannot be supplied to the busi-ness because of material damage at the premises of a supplier or, perhapseven worse, after a fire on the premises of an important customer? Dependingon the type of industry, it may be difficult to find alternative suppliers or newcustomers. For some businesses, in fact, the risk of reduction in turnovertriggered by an event outside their control may be as high as that of materialdamage on their own premises.

Since most business processes extend beyond the boundaries of a singlemanufacturing or assembly plant, management’s awareness of dangerousinterdependencies has risen sharply. The importance of adequate insuranceagainst the consequences of business interference after property damageelsewhere than on the insured’s premises is growing fast, triggered by rapidtechnological and organisational changes. Therefore, it is essential for under-writers to pay strict attention to the assessment of contingent business inter-ruption exposure and to apply technical underwriting of the risk.

1.1 Suppliers’ and customers’ extensionsInsurance for business interruption at the insured’s premises caused by mate-rial damage at the premises of a supplying company or customer is neither new nor “exotic”. In fact, almost every business – be it large or small – dependson raw material, semi-finished and finished products from outside sources and on customers to whom its goods and services are sold. In the motortrade, for instance, dependencies on certain sole producers of critical partsand components triggered the development of suppliers’ extension from thefirst half of the last century.

Terms and conditions of the extension, as well as terminology, vary greatlyfrom country to country. They may even differ according to the insured’s tradeand occupation. Further, they are influenced heavily by diverse underlying BIsystems, the US versus the UK system, for example.

The purpose of CBI insurance (suppliers’ and customers’ extensions)

US� To pay for the insured’s actual loss of busi-

ness income arising from the necessarysuspension of his operations during theperiod of restoration and extra expenses ...

UK and elsewhere� To indemnify the insured for loss of gross

profits arising from reduced turnover andhigher working costs during the indemnityperiod ...

... as a result of an insured event (materialdamage at outside premises which theinsured does not own, operate or control).

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It is neither possible nor necessary to outline the existing differences in terms,variations in conditions and terminology. Technical literature describes thesystems relevant to their particular markets. However, where it may provehelpful, differences are referred to in the relevant chapters.

The principal elements of contingent business interruption are the same allover the world, and this publication addresses the main underwriting features.In difficult market periods, underwriters run the risk of overlooking some ofthese characteristics.

1.2 CBI – an underestimated riskIndustry and commerce today are facing fierce competition, extreme cost con-sciousness and smaller margins. Raw material is transported in the most rapid,rather than the safest way, industrial robots are working at full or over their fullcapacity in serial production, semi-finished products and finished componentsare delivered only minutes before they are assembled. Duplication processes,back-up for critical elements and buffer stock to ease the effect of an incident

Suppliers’ bottlenecks: Figure A

There are basically two methods for estimat-ing a production outage. When only very littleis known about a given production process, itis necessary to fall back on a “black box”model.

In this example, the paint shop of an automo-tive assembly plant is gutted by fire, with theresult that the subsequent steps – assemblyand finish, for example – can no longer beexecuted. In fact, the preceding steps cannotbe carried out either, and the entire operationis brought to a standstill. As a result, thepurchaser – a sales organisation – sustains acontingent loss.

The black box view: no matter which processsegment is affected, the entire plant isforced to close. If information is scarce, anyestimate regarding the loss probability andresulting business interruption period willonly be very rough – if at all possible.

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have been abandoned and certain businesses depend on single-source supplyto a dangerous degree. In short: in a modern, complex supply chain, redundan-cies are reduced and vulnerabilities greatly increased.

How have business interruption insurers responded to this increasinglychallenging environment within the last ten years? In many cases, they have not!

1.3 Underwriting aspectsThe main underwriting features for the extension of business interruptioninsurance to suppliers or customers can be categorised as follows:� risk quality of supplier and/or customer;� insured’s degree of dependency;� insurance terms and conditions; � accumulation and reinsurance aspects.

Risk quality of suppliers and/or customers Whether directly or indirectly, everyone in a supply chain is interdependent;the main problem for the insureds’ business is that both the performance andsafety measures of suppliers and customers are beyond their control. There-fore, delivery of vital material, parts and components cannot be safeguarded.Modern industrial concepts such as “extended enterprise” may mitigate theproblem some, since close cooperation fosters better knowledge and under-standing of what transpires in the chain. Conversely, close cooperation maymean that products are developed and designed jointly. In case of an incident,replacement may become an even greater problem.

Surprisingly, underwriting features – such as suppliers’ and customers’ situa-tions, the condition and locations, working processes, material, machineryand equipment, as well as protection and prevention measures – seem to havebeen of little concern to business interruption insurers in the recent past.

But the revival of technical underwriting in the current market has seen athorough risk analysis of key suppliers and customers once again become a standard, if not indispensable part of the job. We strongly suggest that,without exception, suppliers’ and customers’ risk quality be checked, the keyelements of such an examination being:� address and situation of premises;� exposure of locations to fire, explosion and natural perils;� exposure of locations to socio-political perils (if insured); � structural and technical fire and explosion protection; � organisational protection (eg intervention, emergency planning, staff

resources);� machinery, equipment, state of technology;� work processes, storage, critical components and materials;� neighbourhood; and� key suppliers’ and customers’ own dependencies.

New production methods and impact on risksJust-in-time production, outsourcing, single-source supply, the discontinuation of bufferstorage and other “lean production methods”all have the effect of reducing safety margins.They also increase vulnerabilities and depend-encies in almost all industries and commercialenterprises.

Underwriters with in-depth knowledge of these elements will better under-stand the vulnerabilities to material damage and be able to locate the “Achillesheel” of suppliers and customers.

Degree of insured’s dependencySuppliers’ and customers’ extensions can only be granted to those businessorganisations – be they manufacturers, assemblers or distributors – which are aware of the effects of material damage to their suppliers’ or customers’premises. While incidents at outside premises would invariably be beyondtheir immediate control, they – and their insurers! – should be able to assessthe impact on their own operations.

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Suppliers’ bottlenecks: Figure B

A more sophisticated approach can be taken if more information is available about the plant.For example, in the automotive productionprocess, the paint shop is a bottleneck becausethere is no redundancy within the plant, andevery car body must go through this stage.Moreover, since the finish coat contains sol-vents, there is the possibility of an explosionand fire occurring at this vital point.

This type of information facilitates the evalua-tion of organisational, technical and construc-tion-related fire-prevention measures, andconclusions as to what can happen if there is an “incident” in the paint shop. Estimatesregarding property damage and the businessinterruption period will thus be considerablymore accurate.

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Such an analysis embraces the following:� probability and duration of an insured loss;� quantifiable effect on own business operations;� loss mitigation possibilities (eg Can critical parts, equipment, components

be ordered elsewhere? What is the time element under normal conditionsand in the worst case to resume normal supply or to find alternativecustomers?); and

� extra expenses for the above measures.

The insured’s business recovery plans should include:� a general response concept in respect of supply shortage and delivery

impediments;� impact mitigation management (eg buffer storage of critical components,

alternative outlets);� resources planning for critical situations;� image management (because of additional increase in cost of working!);� adequate insurance programmes.

Any incident at premises outside the insured’s control can become a crisisand any crisis may provoke a disaster. The underwriter’s duty is to determinewhether or not the insured has taken all measures to minimise the “rippleeffect”.

Some principles affecting the extensionUnderwriters would do well to consider the following:

Material damage proviso (UK system)One must understand that this clause does not apply to CBI extensions.Among other things, it cannot be automatically assumed that the cause of theloss is accepted by the material damage insurer. Without the suppliers’ or cus-tomers’ consent, it may even be difficult to find out the exact cause of the loss.Therefore, insurers do well to envisage an additional claims condition in orderto expand the insureds’ actions in obtaining the required particulars.

However, the non-appliance of the proviso mentioned above should not bemisunderstood. The CBI extension is governed by the underlying businessinterruption cover which must be in respect of material damage. The effect of the extension is only to add certain premises over which the insured has no direct influence and not to expand the character of the cover – for exampleby the inclusion of non-physical loss or damage.

Difference in perilsAnother effect of the missing material damage proviso for premises outsidethe insured’s control may be that extra perils are added to the extension.However, if suppliers’ or customers’ premises are heavily exposed to naturalperils (eg flood) and if such perils are added, these considerations must, ofcourse, be reflected in the rating. For the sake of better transparency, it is farpreferable to keep insured perils identical.

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Schematic representation of the insured’sexternal dependencies Many organisations are linked up with theinsured company, creating dependency cas-cades across many levels including suppliersand their suppliers, customers and their suppli-ers, power suppliers and communicationsservices, and even operations that are notcontracturally linked up with the insured, eg leader locations.

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Insurance terms and conditionsFurther to be considered are:

RatingCBI risks are often underrated or even “tend to be forgotten” in the ratingprocess. However, in order to technically rate the risk, the following simple, yeteffective approach, should be considered:

Parameters� The basis is each supplier’s/customer’s material damage rate (within the

relevant locations). This indicates best how often a CBI loss may occur atthe insured’s premises. In other words: it reflects the probability.

� Once the probability has been determined, the likelihood of a CBI loss, iethe vulnerability, must be assessed. This is no easy task, as the relevantfactor is not automatically available. Roughly, the factor can be expressed asthe supplier’s/customer’s theoretical “BI loading” in respect of the item(s)upon which the insured depends. The underwriter may improvise by esti-mating the adjustment factor – which should correct the underlying materialdamage rate – to achieve this artificial loss of profits rate.

� There may be a mitigation factor for redundancies and recuperationpossibilities on the suppliers’/customers’ and on the insured’s side. Thisfactor mainly depends on satisfactory results of supply chain audits andimpact analyses.

� The degree of dependency is represented by the percentage of estimatedgross profits chosen for each and every supplier/customer, ie the corre-sponding limits.

� Finally, credits may apply for deductible, waiting period and – in exceptionalcases – for loss limits which do not meet the full exposure.

Expressed as a formula, the above reads as:

Net CBI premium = MD rate • vulnerability adjustment • mitigation factor •degree of dependency • BI TSI – (corrections for deductible + loss limit)

Example:

Net MD rate 0.5‰Vulnerability factor 1.8

ie artificial BI rate for relevant item(s) = 0.9‰Mitigation factor 0.7BI sum Insured 50 millionDegree of dependency 30%

ie 15 millionLoss limit 10 million

credit, say, of 5%Deductible 2 million

credit, say, of 20%

Net CBI premium = 0.5‰ • 1.8 • 0.7 • 0.3 • 50 m • 0.75 = 7 086

The resulting net premium must be loaded for cost and expenses as required.

Limits It is best practice to calculate the percentage of the insured’s dependancy asprecisely as possible for each and every named supplier and customer. Theresults of these estimates should be indicated either as a percentage of grossprofits or as monetary limits. In view of the accumulation risk, underwritersshould not tolerate any deviation from this practice.

Deductibles and waiting periods Similarly, what might be considered “alibi” deductibles are no longer admissible.Production techniques that are geared to minimum costs and maximum outputhave made large companies increasingly vulnerable to supply-chain disruption.What is worse, there seems to be little room left for buffer stock. This means thatbusiness interruption following a supplier’s failure to deliver immediately is partof an entrepreneurial risk taken willingly and consciously, which, as such, shouldnot be insured. Hence, underwriters must insist on meaningful monetary or timedeductibles.

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Further conditions and extensions

Named suppliers of suppliers (and the like)Although this type of extension may be perfectly legitimate for certain businessclasses, such as chemical and semiconductor industries and motor trade, under-writers should stay reserved. The cover can only be granted exceptionally andfor specific reasons; it takes risk carriers another step back in the supply chain,thereby reducing transparency and creating almost uncontrollable accumula-tions. Technically, a simple amendment of the ordinary (named!) suppliers’extension clause will do the trick: the named suppliers’ suppliers and the exactpremises are added beneath the direct suppliers. If this type of risk is underwritten, the following principles apply:� geographical limits (no “global approach”);� exact addresses and situations of suppliers’ suppliers premises; � low limits (say maximum 10% of limits for direct suppliers);� full documentation of every acceptance in the underwriting file;� increased rates (security loading because of lack of information);� only in connection with (named) direct suppliers.

Similar underwriting rules apply for suppliers of customers and customers’customers extensions and the like.

Unnamed suppliers and unnamed customers Some manufacturers depend on a majority of small, frequently changingsuppliers; wholesalers usually deliver products to a vast number of customers:these are the main reason for the existence of the extension mentioned above.Formerly, it was granted exceptionally, both for small local businesses and onthe basis of modest loss limits.

However, as the market softened during the 90s, unnamed suppliers and un-named customer extensions began to mushroom into large national and inter-national accounts. It was not unusual for those extensions to bear extremelylarge limits or even to be unlimited.

Meanwhile, in the aftermath of some large contingent BI losses, underwriters’awareness of accumulations is rapidly growing. As the current market allows tocharge commensurate premiums, underrated extensions or the inclusion ofunspecified customers’ or suppliers’ extensions are rarely seen. Insurers andreinsurers are once again questioning the wisdom of exaggerated practices andpatchwork policy wordings. If, under exceptional circumstances, covers are stillextended to unnamed suppliers or unspecified customers, very low overall limitsand increased premium rates should be introduced.

Four reminders for CBI underwriters1 Reconsider the offered premium: does it

represent market price, target price ortechnical price?

2 To be actively involved in business steer-ing means to state ones own terms andconditions.

3 Is there CBI accumulation potential?4 Nobody can assess or price risks involving

unknown suppliers at unknown premisesin unknown situations!

Accumulation and reinsurance aspectsOrdinary proportional treaties deal with usual business and are not geared tospecial risks and extensions.

Therefore, whether or not CBI should continue to be accepted under ordinarytreaties deserves examination. For the time being, Swiss Re suggests that atleast the following extensions are found on proportional treaties’ exclusion lists:� CBI under global master policies; � CBI unless realistically sub-limited;� CBI including unspecified suppliers and unspecified customers;� CBI including suppliers’ suppliers (especially if unnamed), suppliers’

customers and the like.

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Suppliers’ bottlenecks: Figure C

The information level with respect to these “2nd

tier” suppliers is usually low. In this case, the 1st

tier supplier is known and sufficient informationabout this risk is available. As a rule, however,information is scarce concerning the probabil-ity of a contingent loss triggered by the failureof a “supplier’s supplier”, ie the 2nd tier, andnothing is known about 3rd tier suppliers.

Accumulation control� Does the loss estimate (sum insured, max-

imum possible loss or anticipated losspotential) on which you base the share ofyour acceptance take all dependenciesinto account?

� Have you checked whether your compa-nies’ man-made or natural perils catastro-phe limits in exposed zones are affectedby contingent business interruption risks?

� Have you made sure that the identifiedexposures were entered into your accu-mulation control system?

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Risks including the above features are best dealt with by facultative underwriterswho judge them on their own merits.

Moreover, it should be borne in mind that the accumulation of net retentionscould lead to direct insurers suffering from unexpectedly large losses inrespect of CBI exposures even under well-construed pro rata protection. Thiswould most probably happen if:� a single-source supplier (eg of an indispensable and not otherwise pro-

curable component) for several manufacturers suffered serious materialdamage at its premises;

� floods, earthquake or another natural peril damaged or destroyedcustomers’ or suppliers’ premises, or made access to and from insureds’premises impossible for several days or even weeks;

� ordinary suppliers, customers or energy providers suffered an attack(only in as far as insured under the insured’s original policy).

For the reasons above, we propose that cedants query their reinsuranceprotection:� Are net retentions set correctly?� What is the effect of per event and/or annual aggregate limits under pro

rata treaties in the event of worst case scenarios?� Has sufficient catastrophe reinsurance protection been arranged?

Under prevailing market conditions, and for technical reasons, reinsurers will notbe in a position to remove limits under surplus treaties in the foreseeable future;relief must be sought outside the pro rata field. Non-proportional catastrophereinsurance should protect the cedant against an accumulation in his net and apossible overflow owing to the surplus treaties’ event and aggregate limits.

1.4 Public utilities A wide range of different wordings exists for this special form of suppliers’extension often referred to as “public utilities”. The term refers to failure of anyor all of the following:� electricity supply,� water supply,� gas supply, and� telecommunication services.

A word of caution in respect of the ambiguous term “public”: In many coun-tries over the last decade, public services were privatised. As such, the mean-ing of the word “public” may only signify “used” and not “owned” by thepublic. This seemingly small discrepancy must not be underestimated. Under-writers should take into consideration that private operators’ duties towardsthe public are reduced in comparison with state-owned companies. This factmight be reflected in a longer restoration period after accidental failure of sup-ply if, for example, delivery after an incident would be less than economical. Like other suppliers, suppliers of electricity, gas, water and telecommunicationservices need not suffer from business interruption themselves; it suffices forthem to be hit by material or accidental damage as defined in the policy word-ing. The effect of such damage will then result in reduced turnover and, mostprobably, extra expenses at the insured’s premises.

The more transparent forms of the various wordings used in the markets limit theextent of cover to the same perils as insured under the BI insurance to whichthey attach. Other clauses, however, refer to a much wider range of perils up to a type of all risks protection for “accidental failure”. Such broad forms of all risksshould, of course, be accompanied by a list of exclusions. These should refer notonly to the standard exclusions of the underlying cover – war, civil war, nuclearrisks and so on – but must also embrace a number of “undesirables”, such asinterference due to weather disturbances without material damage to suppliers’buildings, machinery or equipment.

The extension to public utilities supply must be strongly limited per incidentand overall. Additionally, a time deductible of several hours should apply tominimise frequency losses. Underwriters should be aware that a large numberof different insureds could be affected by a comparatively short supply failure.A word of caution: the extension was frequently underrated in the recent past.

1.5 Loss of access (ingress/egress)So far, this publication has dealt with extensions caused by the insured’s busi-ness relations. The reason for the “loss of access” clauses is different, namelymaterial damage to adjacent property or to property – outside the insured’scontrol, of course – in the immediate vicinity.

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There is a wide range of various wordings in many markets. Some are morerestrictive and require access to be prohibited by the authorities, while othersare more open. Some are even satisfied with “hindrance of use” of theinsured’s premises.

An additional “extension of the extension” is loss of attraction. It operates ifthe so-called “leader location” – whose name and address are stipulated in theschedule – suffers insured material damage, thereby triggering reduction inturnover of the insured’s business. If a market, however, consists of a number ofsmall shops and boutiques without a single “outstanding location”, the covershould be limited to an appropriate, narrow radius.

From an underwriting standpoint, we suspect the effect of “loss of access and attraction” clauses is often greatly underestimated. If natural and socio-political perils are insured in shopping malls, general markets or in the vicinityof “leaders” – such as huge department stores – there may be a genuine catas-trophe exposure!

Suppliers’ bottlenecks: Figure D

For reinsurers, the information level should be as high as possible with respect to the 1st, 2nd, and ideally even the 3rd tier suppliers.Normally, though, they have such extensiveknowledge only if these risks are also in theirportfolios – which in turn would constitute afairly significant accumulation risk.

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For reasons given above, the minimum underwriting requirements are:� same named perils as underlying cover or restricted to “Flexa”;� if the underlying BI policy is of an “all risks” or “accidental damage” nature,

the extension must be restricted to “named perils”;� strict monetary limit (rule of thumb: two weeks of worst possible loss of

turnover, eg December, or reduced indemnity period, correspondingly);� monetary deductible or waiting period of at least one day;� increased rates in case of above-average vulnerability of “leading location”.

A number of related special covers are available in the insurance market. Theydeal with “loss of use” in its widest sense: not triggered by material, but by non-physical damage. Bomb threats, adverse weather warnings, suicide and murderare among these, to name but a few. For more details about such special coversagainst loss of income, see Part 3 of this publication.

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Annex 1: The risk management process with external dependencies

Imagine being a large telecommunica-tions manufacturer who produces bothsystems equipment and consumer prod-ucts. As part of the risk managementprocess, the risk manager should knowthe company’s external dependencies onits suppliers.

Objective: The risk manager should be able to iden-tify suppliers who are in a position tocause CBI losses to the company inexcess of EUR 100 million. Theoretically,the result of a related study could be illustrated by a table listing the suppliersand their respective CBI exposures.

The study would include the following five steps:

1 Define relevant productsTo keep costs down, the study could belimited to high-volume products, eg toproduct lines with sales exceeding EUR10 m. It should not cover less than 80%of total turnover, however.

2 Break down into procured parts and systems

� A breakdown of purchased parts canbe established using the parts data-base. Since each part has a uniquenumber, the company will be able toidentify each part in the final product.An automobile, for example, may con-sist of some 28,000 parts.

� Systems are generally more difficult toreplace as they are often developed incooperation with the client, creating a technological dependency on thesupplier.

� Data usually needs to be cleaned up atthis stage. For example, supplier XYZmay be listed in the database underdifferent names, eg XYZ, XYZ Belgium,XYZ Switzerland, etc.

� Suppliers are often selected on thebasis of price, quality, volume ortechnology. Risk management is notusually a major selection criterion.

� Company A, the original equipmentmanufacturer (OEM), might have the following relationships with itssuppliers:

� The following can be concluded fromthe figure:– The OEM does not usually know

who supplies its suppliers. Theamount and quality of informationdecreases as the distance betweenthe OEM and the supplier’s suppli-ers increases.

– CEM Z produces an entire productline for Company A (outsourcing).This trend can be observed in boththe electronics and the automotivesectors. In an assembly operation,the main share of the costs (morethan 80% in the electronics indus-try) is accounted for by compo-nents purchasing. By outsourcingthe assembly to external contrac-tors, Company A hopes the con-tractor will be able to purchasethese parts more efficiently (iecheaper), which will render theentire product less expensive. Atthe same time, Company A losescontrol over these component sup-pliers, since CEM Z negotiates thecontracts with its own suppliers.

Raw material

CEM: contract electronic manufacturer

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� Another problem arises due to the factthat the company negotiates with itssales departments rather than with theproduction unit. Thus, Company A maynot know where Company B’s produc-tion is located. Company A may dis-cuss the technology with Company B’sR&D department during the develop-ment phase. This is usually the casewhen the components under negotia-tion play a key role in the product. Inthis case, Company A should beacquainted with Company B’s produc-tion facility. Large companies (forexample in the automotive industry)subject their suppliers to a qualifica-tion process. This includes audits byCompany A’s personnel in CompanyB’s production unit.

3 List critical parts and systemsIn theory, a part may cause a CBI evenif it is supplied by several differentcompanies (multisourcing). For exam-ple, a part may be procured from threeindependent suppliers. Supplier Adelivers 50% of the required quantity,Supplier B delivers 30% and Supplier C20%. All three suppliers are able todeliver ±10% of the agreed quantity. If Supplier A is unable to deliver, whatpart of the deliveries could then betaken over by suppliers B and C? 10% x (30% + 20%) = 5%.

4 Estimate downtime This estimate concerns the timerequired to substitute the same part –ie to procure it from a competing sup-plier – rather than the time requiredfor the standard supplier to restoreproduction. If the competitor’s part isalready qualified (certified as suitableby quality control), the lead time tobring the new source on line will bemuch shorter.

Time

Delivered quantity

0%

100%

Ramp-up

Quantity delivered by old Supplier A

Quantity delivered by new Supplier B

Production quantity with substitute part

Lost production

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5 Analyse consequences� A product goes through several

“sourcing phases” during its life cycle.Often, as in the startup phase, there isonly a single supplier. Accordingly, thepoint in time at which a loss occursmay massively influence its impact.

� Depending on the product involved,different approaches are taken to esti-mate BI potential. With mass products(eg cellular phones), market share islikely to drop radically shortly after theloss, since customers will simply buy acompeting product. Company A, how-ever, might be in a position to supplyclients from its inventory.

� In the case of systems, there is nor-mally a stronger bond to the client. Thecompany will test systems before con-cluding a procurement contract. Some-times, the company wants the systemsmodified to fit its needs. The supplierwill then produce and deliver systemsespecially for that company. In the caseof a loss, it may be possible to deliveran older version of the product, andretrofit the finished product with thenewer version after the client hasalready made the purchase.

Brain teaser:Manufacturer A makes a product compris-ing ten individual components. Each com-ponent is delivered by a different supplier.For all the suppliers, the hazards and thestandard of protection can be assumed tobe comparable with Manufacturer A itself.

Thus, the probability of any one partyexperiencing a loss is approximately the same. Under these conditions, the proba-bility of Manufacturer A experiencing aCBI loss is (... ?...) times greater than theprobability of a direct BI loss!

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On 4 May 2000, a massive virus called“Loveletter” flooded and paralysed the mailservers of numerous corporations, includingpublishing companies and banks, publicauthorities and government offices. Conse-quently, some computers had to be shutdown. Experts estimate that some 45 millioncomputers were affected worldwide.

The virus was concealed in an e-mail attach-ment entitled “I LOVE YOU”. The reader wasasked to “kindly check the attached Lovelettercoming from me.” Opening the attachmentactivated a program which raced through therecipient’s address book, then forwarded itselfautomatically to every address it contained,using the victim’s name as sender ...

Employees in many companies reading thesee-mails unleashed an avalanche which ITspecialists could not control. Networks werejammed within seconds, countless e-mailsaccumulated in people’s inboxes. Anyone whowanted to work was constantly interrupted by the message: “You have new mail. Do youwant to read it?”

Source: www.sicheres.web.glossar.de/glossar/z_loveletter.htm

23 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

2 Virtual world, real threats

The emergence of the computer is often compared to the introduction ofsteam or electricity in factories during the Industrial Revolution. However, amore suitable comparison might be to the invention of printing or even thewheel. Despite the ever-increasing capacity of computers to calculate andstore information, the profound changes taking place today primarily relate tothe capacity to communicate and provide the network structure for activitieswhich were previously organised individually. The advent of new communi-cation tools has invariably influenced social organisations. In companies, theyhave the effect of opening up processes, removing partitions and bringingtogether ideas generated at long distances from each other.

Another revolution currently in full swing is the dematerialisation process,which creates new tasks and workflows with the ultimate goal of acquiringnew clients or increasing efficiency. For example, rather than buy the 25volumes of the Encyclopaedia Britannica, why not subscribe to the electronicversion via the internet and use the most up-to-date version at a lower price?Cost reduction is achieved by rationalising processes, often by way of out-sourcing or moving production to another location. Another key concern is toavoid the duplication of costly centres of competence whose experts must beaccessible from anywhere in the world.

Dematerialisation also profoundly alters the client-supplier relationship andaffects the roles of the intermediaries. The client’s direct access to the supplierweakens the position of the intermediaries, who fail to generate sufficientadded value. Long-term relationships with selected suppliers foster the devel-opment of computerised tools necessary to deliver optimally-priced productsjust in time.

New means of communication also enable companies to acquire new clients.Web airline booking systems, such as Amadeus, Galileo and Sabre, seek toestablish direct client access. Virtual bookstores inform their clients of a bookwhich may be of interest to them based on preferences shown on a previouswebsite visit. Using information systems which detect and record the prefer-ences of their clients, retailers try to tailor their offers and create individualmarketing solutions.

If the modern version of “to be or not to be” now reads as “access and speedilyprocess information or cease to exist”, then the vital nature of infrastructures forcomputers centralised in networks becomes readily clear.

WalMart is an early and successful exampleof integration of new communication tech-nology. In 1970, WalMart invested in theconstruction of a computer centre, centralis-ing orders from the various stores to thecentral warehouses. In 1983, it invested instandardised marking of products to improvethe waiting time at the checkout counters.This resulted in a 30% increase in salesvolume.

In 1989, 80% of orders to suppliers wereplaced through computerised systems.WalMart is reported to offer all its products at a price lower than those of competitors,the margin being higher than one-third.

24 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

The new shape of business:the fragmented company

ExposuresWhen conducting business activities on the internet, the user must be awarethat the web is an open network, which today links some 100 million computersto some 300 million users. Its penetration rate is expected to increase by 30%every year. While this presents a tremendous opportunity to companies andorganisations, it also harbours specific threats arising out of the ever-changinglegal environment, the (inter)dependency of complex technical systems andexposure to malicious behaviour.

The legal environmentThe virtual world knows no national boundaries. At the same time, liabilitiesarising out of task performance or the delivery of services or goods are realand, if a claim arises, it may be difficult to clearly identify the applicable lawssince legislation has not yet matured sufficiently in this field. For example, thevalue of an electronic signature is different in the US than in Japan or in theEuropean Union. Although efforts in this respect are being made, convergenceof various legislative principles has not yet been achieved.

Another key issue is the unpredictable pace of evolution among informationsystems and the related social impact. The internet boom started unexpect-edly in 1995. Today, the internet can be accessed through cell phones andhandhelds. Can this pace of developments be matched by correspondingregulations? Industries, including the insurance sector, require a stable legalenvironment to maintain sustainable development.

25 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Technical dependency Computer systems organised in networks are a marvel of engineering. Localnetworks or dedicated lines are complemented by shared networks consistingof telephone lines, cables, undersea lines and satellites grouped under aninternet organisation. Unfortunately, this complex world is prone to failures,malfunctions and disorders, and ever-changing technology is a challenge forusers and companies who are constantly obliged to upgrade their programs,verify compatibility and train their staff.

Technical problems account for the vast majority of computer outages. Whilethey are not entirely new to industrial processes, the consequences are farmore severe when they affect information systems and thus impair businessprocesses. The distribution of recent computer outages according to cause isillustrated in the figure below.

Malicious acts and hacktivity As an open network, the internet is exposed to many forms of malicious activityranging from virus attacks, mobile codes, denial of services, automated attacks,Trojan Horses and hybrid attacks to the occasional manual attack. IT securityauditing firms and antivirus producers are engaged in a fierce battle against the virtually unlimited imagination of hackers. The figure below illustrates thevariations in the number of malicious incidents over four years.

26 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

A comparison of BI and ISBI triggers

There is a possibility that a virus will successfully pass through the various protection systems. The potentially severe consequences are a prime concernfor risk managers. The damage a successful virus attack causes may alsoinvolve a liability aspect. Further, where the depositary has failed to enforcethe necessary measures of protection, theft of credit card codes, bank infor-mation or industrial secrets may lead to prosecution. Equipment or programmalfunctions, or malicious acts resulting in system outages or loss of data, arepotential causes of a business interruption or impaired operations.

Since data and software are not tangible property, they do not sustain materialdamage and, accordingly, traditional insurance contracts do not grant protec-tion against any corresponding business interruption losses.

2.1 Information Systems Business Interruption (ISBI)Swiss Re developed the Information Systems Business Interruption (ISBI) policyto remedy the situation described above. This policy is dedicated to coveringthe financial consequences of a temporary reduction in a company’s activitiesresulting from a failure of its information systems. A necessary condition totrigger the cover is that the affected systems are under the care and custody ofthe insured. While cover is granted for the failure of a server on a local network,it is not provided for the unavailability of an internet provider or even of a tele-communication company. Physical damage and the corresponding businessinterruption resulting, for example, from fire or a head crash on a hard disk, are covered under traditional policies. By contrast, ISBI cover is limited to non-physical causes which do not result in permanent and visible loss to IT systems.

The comparison of the trigger of traditional BI with that of the ISBI policy isillustrated in the figure below.

27 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

The sum insuredThe sum insured is based on gross profit. This may have significant seasonalvariations which are taken into account by setting a maximum daily indemnity.The maximum indemnity during the period of the policy is also limited to anaggregate which clearly identifies the insurer’s maximum liability per policy.

Since the intention of this policy is to provide cover on a full-value basis, anaccurate evaluation of the sum insured is absolutely essential. An averageclause is included to reduce the indemnity proportionally in cases where thesum insured is significantly underestimated.

What cannot be covered A prerequisite for IT systems covers is that the systems are fully and successfullytested, licensed and commissioned. Failures due to malfunction of equipment orprograms are indemnified only for the time required to replace or reinstate theprograms or data to the condition they were in prior to the loss. Delays causedby the addition or improvement of software are excluded, as they clearly fallunder the contractual liability of the software provider. Just so, failures caused by a test or experiment, including system overloading, are beyond the scope ofthe policy.

Given that, for years, it has been an industry standard to back-up data or pro-grams, the insured is expected to take this precaution. Excluded, therefore, aredelays arising out of lack of, or inadequate, back-up data.

Extensions By endorsement, cover can be extended to business interruption resultingfrom an event covered under the standard Swiss Re “Computer all risks/Lowvoltage and electronic equipment” or equivalent policy. In this case, it isimperative for the insurer to participate under both the business interruptionand the material damage policies. By doing so, it can properly address theloss settlement, which may involve increased working costs.

The other possible extension is for business interruption following an outageof external services, ie power suppliers and telecommunication providers. Thisextension is only granted following an in-depth study of the exposure involved.

28 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Risk assessmentA key step in underwriting ISBI cover is a risk assessment by specialists whichfocuses primarily on organisational matters, such as the presence of a code ofconduct or the existence of contingency plans and IT security matters.

The last upgrade of firewalls, detection of intrusion and recording proceduresof the users connected on the intranet or on the proxy are typically examinedin this analysis. It can be carried out by the insurance companies or, alterna-tively, outsourced to external service providers, taking into account therequired necessary skills and also the potential conflict of interests.

Finally, a traditional risk visit is prerequisite to granting the material damageextension cover.

Protection systems implementedin companiesSource: CLUSIF StatistiqueEtude sur la sécurité informatique en France 2000

The ISBI risk assessment matrix

29 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

2.2 Conclusion The emergence of information systems has created an entirely new dimensionin our lives, and private companies as well as governmental bodies havealready integrated the new rules of the e-driven economy. Insurance compa-nies and their reinsurers are now called upon to adapt their products to thenew requirements of their customers and closely monitor developments in thelegal environment. To date, traditional first-party policies have been basedlargely on the notion of material damage. The dematerialisation process hasshifted the balance between the importance of tangible properties and thepecuniary consequences of business interruption.

The ISBI policy is a limited response to what is considered one of the majorthreats to business sustainability. In the short term, this type of cover may beembedded in policies dealing with physical and non-physical losses, as wellas third party aspects.

Cyber exposures

30 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Annex 2: E-commerce business marketplacesand the electronic supply chain

Figure 1Networking of suppliers and manufacturers to form electronicmarketplaces

Electronic marketplaces, also known asbusiness-to-business (B2B) marketplaces,are not only creating new types of net-working but also a growing number ofdirect and indirect dependencies. Incontrast to business-to-customer (B2C)marketplaces, the B2B environment ischaracterised by internet communicationamong companies – the ultimate con-sumer is not necessarily linked up to thenetwork. B2B marketplaces began to takeoff in the late 1990s, when the interneteuphoria prompted many companies tostart investing in this new electronic sup-ply chain.

A key feature of electronic marketplaces isthat manufacturers, suppliers, develop-ment partners, forwarding agents, etc, arelinked globally in a network that can beaccessed 24 hours a day (See figure 1).Its purported advantages include fasterand leaner corporate processes, lowerinventories, enhanced transparency, morestreamlined procurement processes and,above all, lower costs. Large companieshave joined together to create e-businessmarketplaces not only in the automotivebut also in the aviation, metalworking and

computer industries. The optimisationpotential varies according to the industryin question.

The changeover to a web-based supplychain does not affect the status of theindividual participants. What is new com-pared with traditional business processesis the way in which the participantscommunicate with each other and theirgrowing dependence on the network.Figure 1 clearly shows that, if the supplychain is interrupted, several companies inthe network may feel the effects. What is more, a larger number of suppliers maybe affected with this network structurethan in a traditional supply chain, ie theaccumulation risk could be higher.

In addition to property damage as causedby fire, lightning or an explosion, newtypes of susceptibility could interrupt anelectronic supply chain. Hacker attacks,viruses, and hardware or software failurecan all cause computer networks to breakdown (see figure 2), thus interrupting thebusiness operations of the companiesinvolved. This new risk landscape is highlyvulnerable and requires skilled logistical

Figure 2 Schematic view of the internet

31 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Figure 3The electronic supply chain: handling orders among the dealer, manufacturer and supplier in a B2B marketplace

BI and/or CBI exposure, for instance in the event of a fire or explosion.

� Using the internet to process ordersand carry out other business processescreates a high degree of dependence.When a loss occurs in systems of thistype, the scope for human (re)actionmay be restricted and the time avail-able for intervention quite brief. Thesystem becomes more vulnerable, andthe number of companies that couldpotentially be affected rises (accumula-tion risk). The high degree of complex-ity means that minor errors can haveserious consequences, eg denial ofaccess lasting several days.

Figure 3 illustrates how dealers, manu-facturers and suppliers handle orders viaB2B marketplaces. During the productionprocess, orders are automatically placedwith the suppliers via the internet so that the production process can proceedwithout interruption. The supplier pro-cesses the order, initiating either a pro-duction process or a separate order tothe warehouse. As production continues,the supplier delivers the parts or compo-nents, adhering as closely as possible to

Production chain

Manu-facturer

Finalproduction

Delivery

Supplier

Order placedwith supplier

Coordination time: in extreme cases,as little as 15 minutes

Time

support as well as the availability, confi-dentiality and integrity of the IT systemsinvolved.

Communication among companies viaelectronic marketplaces has broughtabout a number of changes in the wayprocesses are carried out. Some of thosechanges have increased overall suscepti-bility to CBI losses:� The internet helps speed up the cycle

comprising development, design/engi-neering, testing, production and life-cycle support. Volkswagen, for exam-ple, announced in February 2002 thatthe internet has enabled it to cut pro-curement process times by as muchas 95% (car manufacturing). As aresult, the time-to-market or time-to-customer of a particular product canbe shortened, which in turn reducesthe time buffers available in the eventof a loss, thus increasing BI exposure.

� B2B marketplaces promote just-in-timeproduction by linking suppliers to man-ufacturers electronically. Stocks arekept to a minimum and costs trans-ferred as far as possible to the supplier.This phenomenon also aggravates

the lead time given by the manufacturer.This approach allows the productionprocess to be automated to a very largeextent. Meeting the individual require-ments of a customer or intermediary – eg when a tailormade product is ordereddirectly via the internet – poses a greatlogistical challenge. While, from the man-ufacturer’s point of view, this can helpsave time and costs, it also increases sys-tem dependence and the susceptibility toBI risks.

To prevent unwanted downtime in B2Bmarketplaces, risk managers must beaware of numerous issues. They musthave a clear understanding of the system.The outsourcing of IT infrastructure ormaintenance can, in the event of a loss,become a stumbling block.

Modern security measures (firewalls,security software, regular security checks,etc) are an absolute must. Redundantsystems, such as additional servers, mayhelp to keep downtime to a minimum.Contingency planning and adequate riskawareness on the part of B2B marketplaceoperators can reduce risks significantly.

British Minister for Agriculture, Nick Brown,announced that Great Britain has stopped allexports of live cattle, pigs, sheep and goats onWednesday due to an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease.

The highly contagious virus, which causesfever in infected animals, has struck Britain forthe first time in over 20 years. Symptomswere found in 28 pigs in an Essex slaughter-house ... An eight-kilometre quarantine zonewas set up around the Essex site to preventfurther spread of the epidemic. The farms inBuckinghamshire, in the south of England andon the Isle of Wight, which supplied theinfected animals to the slaughterhouse, werealso cordoned off.

Britain’s National Pig Breeders’ Associationreported that the epidemic had come at a par-ticularly bad time: consumer confidence wasalready low because of swine fever and theBSE epidemic. The National Farmers’ UnionPresident, Ben Gill, spoke of “potentially catas-trophic consequences” for cattle breedingthroughout Britain.

Source: www.schweizerbauer.com22 February 2001

32 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

33 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

3 Other special covers

3.1 ContingenciesImagine yourself as the head of the organising committee for a world cup skiingevent some twenty-four hours before the downhill race is due to start.

For two consecutive days, it has been snowing heavily, and the ski run as well as the roads leading to the resort are buried under a thick blanket of snow. Thechances that the race can be held on the next day are slim. In a final attempt to save the event from cancellation, the roads have been cleared and the ski run once more prepared at considerable extra expense by hundreds of helpersworking under tremendous time pressure. Still, there is no guarantee: moresnowfall may lead to the definitive cancellation of the event. Weeks – evenmonths – of preparation work, and now the whole investment threatens to belost.

An additional scenario factor: the organising committee of the same sportingevent receives a bomb threat. The police and local authorities are informedand, since the threat does not appear to be a hoax, they have to withdraw thepermit for the event. Since not enough time remains for a search of the areabefore the spectators arrive, the event has to be cancelled. Sponsors and TVcompanies – in line with standard television rights agreements – will ask fortheir money back. For the organisers, this spells financial disaster.

Are these losses of a purely pecuniary nature, or rather business interruptionlosses in a wider sense?

Consider another scenario: an outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease at a farm inthe vicinity of a hotel. Even though the peak season has just started, the hotelowner receives a flood of telephone cancellations from his guests, and theentire area is closed to the public. Many guests cancel their reservations forthe forthcoming months as well. The recent advertising and marketing cam-paign proves to have been entirely worthless. The hotel will not only sufferheavily from loss of income, but will also have to invest in another expensiveadvertising campaign.

The wide range of different contingency covers includes: � cancellation of events � non-appearance � denial of access � product tampering � special BI covers, such as for hotels after a murder or a suicide � disease � weather� prize indemnity � extended warranty � over-redemption.

34 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Under a standard business interruption form, cover is granted for losses arisingfrom material damage only. By contrast, cancellation insurance covers loss ofprofit and additional expenses due to cancellation, abandonment, postpone-ment or relocation of an insured event due to any cause beyond the control of the insured and excluding only specific perils. Accordingly, a standard cancel-lation insurance is a type of business interruption insurance – and sometimeseven provided as an extension to it – that includes an important element of non-physical damage. Examples of this would be the failure of performers to appear,or the lack of spectators or other participants due to inclement weather, trafficproblems or official denial of access to the venues.

Non-physical damage Non-physical damage as a trigger is certainly one of the main reasons whycontingency covers were developed mainly for the sports, leisure and enter-tainment industry. The pecuniary element has gained importance since theearly 70s. Today, the sums insured vary between a few thousands dollars for a small local music event and several hundred million dollars for the tour of a major rock group. Sums can amount to even billions, eg for the OlympicGames. As traditional business interruption insurance can not fully cope withthe requirements for such events, financing their covers would be impossiblebut for the introduction of contingency insurance. No bank will lend money,nor will an event be sponsored, unless there is insurance protecting the invest-ment in case of a cancellation. In some exceptional cases, the state guaran-tees for losses not covered under ordinary business interruption insurance.Otherwise, however, contingency covers are a domain of the private insuranceindustry.

AccumulationFor the most part, cancellation losses are based on damage involving onevenue or one event or one series of events only. Therefore, in these cases, lossaccumulation represents only a minor problem. Even adverse weather condi-tions, such as heavy rain or snow which make it impossible to erect a stage,are rather limited exposures. On the other hand, insurers should be aware thatall events taking place at one and the same venue (exhibitions, congress,music hall, stadium) within a certain period may correlate.

The underwriter’s main focus should be on threat scenarios involving manydifferent events or possible accumulations over several insurance lines. Thesescenarios would include:� natural catastrophes� terrorism/bomb threats� denial of access, withdrawal of permit

Cancellation, postponement and relocationcovers are often written on an all risks basis(including or excluding non-appearance andweather). It is important to exclude the fol-lowing:� lack of care, diligence, prudent behaviour;� breach of contract;� alteration of the event without prior

approval by underwriters;� unavailability of venues due to work being

done on them;� reduced attendance;� the assured failing to have all necessary

arrangements made or to fulfil legalrequirements, etc;

� fraud by the insured;� war, civil commotion, government/civil

intervention, etc;� radioactive contamination;� financial causes;� lack of support;� lack of attendance;� weather-related losses for outdoor events,

unless specifically insured;� events under canvas or in temporary con-

structions, if not specifically insured.

35 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

In most cases, natural catastrophes, such as earthquakes or windstorms, willcause an accumulation with losses of other covers – property, casualty, engi-neering and contingencies. Even within different types of cancellation covers,we may encounter severe accumulations since a great number of insuredevents within a certain area could be involved over a long period. This was thecase, for example, following the Northridge earthquake and following thestorm Lothar/Martin. In such situations, accumulation is always “on top” of analready high property/casualty exposure.

Concerning terrorism, the main problem is that many different sports or enter-tainment events can be directly or indirectly influenced by one single act. Someevents are cancelled, not due to the direct threat or attack, but simply becausepeople prefer not to attend the event. It is therefore vital for the insured perils tobe correctly and clearly defined. The cause for a cancellation must always bebeyond the control of the insured, the organiser and any other involved party,including participants. It is therefore absolutely necessary to limit the cover tocancellation due to a direct attack with damage to the property or to directthreats against the organiser or the event’s venue. Threats leading to a denial ofaccess or the withdrawal of permit must be confirmed by an official authority.

Other reasons for denial of access or withdrawal of permit by official authoritiesare mainly diseases or extreme weather conditions. Losses due to hurricane or tornado warnings are rare, but they constitute a serious threat with regard to(interline) accumulations.

Another important accumulation scenario is denial of access to a closed zonedue to the outbreak of a disease – as was the case during the recent outbreakof foot-and-mouth disease in England. All events in such an area may have to be cancelled and access to manufacturers and suppliers will probably berestricted.

Diseases affecting hotels, restaurants or hospitals can be food-related or con-tagious. Logically, such covers can cause accumulation problems in touristareas. In most cases, a vast number of hotels and restaurants will have toclose for several days or weeks. In addition, a food-related or contagious dis-ease could lead to a general denial of access to the area, thereby involvingmany other businesses as well.

Other contingency insurance products, such as the somewhat exotic murderand suicide cover, are more in respect of “one-off incidents”. In these cases,there does not appear to be a major accumulation problem; as a rule, only oneinsured is involved. The same applies for business interruption following prod-uct tampering, whether it be accidental or malicious. Such policies usuallycover business interruption due to the unavailability of the tampered product,the clean-up of the insured location and the inability to sell the productbecause of extortion.

After the outbreak of foot-and-mouth diseasein England, FMD was immediately excludedfrom all event cancellation covers due to thesevere accumulation problem. Even gettingcover for substantial additional premium wasimpossible. All events already insured, ofcourse, remained covered.

An FMD exclusion is standard as long as thesituation does not improve, ie before the areais declared disease-free.

36 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

3.2 Advance loss of profits insurance (ALOP)

This type of insurance may also be referred to as CAR/EAR loss of profits,delayed earnings insurance, delayed opening of business, delay in startup, lossof rent and loss of interest. As a business income protection cover, its aim is tocover the principal’s loss of gross profit resulting from a delay in completion ofthe construction and/or erection works. A prerequisite for granting ALOP is foran underlying CAR, EAR or CWAR policy to be in force. Normal working delaysare not covered under ALOP.

CoverCover is limited to the actual loss of gross profit sustained as a result of adelay in the completion of the project; the delay itself must be caused by aloss covered under a CAR, EAR or CWAR policy. However, the ALOP coverdoes not embrace the full extent of perils covered under CAR, EAR or CWARpolicies (see the exclusions).

Insured partyThe insured party is solely the principal or owner of the project to be con-structed or erected as defined in the underlying CAR, EAR or CWAR policy.

ExclusionsThe special exclusions for ALOP ensure that insurers shall not be liable forlosses resulting from delay due to:� extensions and alterations of coverage as granted to the material damage

sections of CAR, EAR and CWAR policies, unless otherwise specificallyagreed in writing;

� restrictions imposed by public authorities;� alterations, modifications and improvements to the insured works that were

effected after the material damage incident;� shortage of funds, penalties, delays of supplies, late completion, non-com-

pletion, loss of contract;� loss of or damage to existing property or objects in the care, custody or

control of the insured;� the contractors’ plant and equipment; � operating media and feedstock;� earthquake, volcanic eruption, tsunami, unless otherwise agreed in writing.

Sum insuredThe sum insured is usually either the expected annual gross profit, revenuerent or fixed costs which, obviously, have to be defined case by case.

Period of insuranceThe period of insurance is identical to that of the underlying CAR, EAR orCWAR policy, excluding the maintenance period.

37 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Only one claim per policyThere can be no more than one claim underALOP cover. Why? Because there is only oneproject completion date, regardless of thenumber of material damage losses. It is thissingle delay that triggers the insured’s singleALOP claim.

Loss settlementThe delay period – which serves as the basis of indemnity – starts on the dateat which the project would have been completed had no incident occurred,but not earlier than the originally planned completion date of the constructionand/or erection works as defined in the CAR, EAR or CWAR policy schedule. Itends with the actual date on which the project is completed, but not exceed-ing the length of time it takes with the exercise of due diligence and dispatchto rebuild, repair or replace such part of the property which has been lost ordamaged to its condition immediately prior to the incident.

After receipt of sufficient evidence that a delay has been caused by an incidentinsured under the CAR, EAR or CWAR policy, indemnification is made on thebasis of the actual incurred loss of gross profit or rental income for the actualperiod of delay. However, this period must not exceed a certain period ofindemnity (usually 12 months) which is agreed upon at inception of the policy.The ALOP policy is subject to a time excess, a period for which the insurersare not liable. The corresponding amount shall be calculated by multiplyingthe average daily value of loss sustained during the indemnity period by thenumber of days agreed upon as the time excess.

Incident

Initial estimated construction period

Incident

Incident

Act

ual p

roje

ct c

ompl

etio

n da

te

Incident

Ant

icip

ated

com

plet

ion

date

Initial estimated construction period Delay

38 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

3.3 Liquidated damages and force majeure coversThe global trends of national infrastructure privatisation and private sectorinfrastructure development have steadily increased the financial risk exposureof principals and contractors. This, in turn, has triggered a rise in demand forspecial insurance services. The following three parties are generally involvedin large infrastructure projects:� the financiers (lenders, banks);� the principal; and� the engineering, procurement, construction (EPC) contractor, including

vendors and subcontractors.

Any major project contains a variety of risks. One common aspect of these risks is that they may cause the project to be delayed or fail to be completedaltogether. The reasons for the failure of a project could be manifold: there maybe technological failures, for example, or cost overruns or force majeure events.Further, there may be complications concerning official licences and permits forthe project that are either not forthcoming or subject to costly conditions.

The relevant contract documents, ie the loan agreement and the EPC contract,effectively set down which risk has to be borne by which party. EPC contractingis probably the most popular contract form for major projects. Its main advantageis that it designates one party responsible for both design and construction ofthe project. This contract addresses the allocation of the relevant risks amongthe parties involved, namely the EPC contractor and the principal. The EPC contractor usually retains the risk of loss, the exceptions being force majeureperils and specified cases for which the principal assumes responsibility.

Works contracts of this kind generally stipulate that the EPC contractor isresponsible towards the principal for any delay and/or under-performance ofthe project caused by technological failure, or by any fault on the part of theEPC contractor or his subcontractors. At the same time, the principal’s loanagreement puts him under the strict obligation to service his debt. Not surpris-ingly, then, he tries to pass on as much of this risk as possible to other partiesinvolved in the project.

39 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

The liabilities Most works contracts therefore include a clause stipulating that if the projectsuffers any delay and/or under-performance, and the EPC contractor is indefault, then the EPC contractor is obliged to pay the owner adequate finan-cial compensation, ie “liquidated damages”. The amount payable to the ownerin respect of liquidated damages generally corresponds to the project owner’sfinancial obligations towards the party lending the money for the project. Itdoes not contain any punitive and/or speculative element.

In principle, anyone selling a product is responsible for its legal complianceand contractually agreed properties. The vendor must therefore bear the con-sequences of any product deficiency and of any deviation of the product fromthe contractually agreed and/or guaranteed properties and standards. Thisoften includes the financial consequences of any delay in fulfilling contractualobligations.

Nevertheless, some events may be entirely beyond the control of the contrac-tor (eg exceptional natural events, strike). In such cases, the contractor isrelieved of his obligation due to the force majeure exoneration. Force majeureevents are specifically listed in each contract.

The insurance coversFrom the contractor’s viewpoint, insurance cover should ideally grant protec-tion against claims filed by the principal as a result of the contractor’s failureto comply with legal or contractual obligations. Insurance cover should alsoprotect the principal against debt service obligations under force majeurecircumstances.

The basic guarantee categories are:

Quality guaranteesThis term refers to the contractor’s obligation to make good – during anagreed period after the provisional acceptance of the product/plant by theprincipal – any defects resulting from faulty material or workmanship.

Performance guaranteesThese are usually found in the machinery industry and generally refer to energyand raw material consumption, production output, efficacy and the like.

Delay guaranteesContrary to the two forms above, where the crucial criteria are material war-ranties, the decisive element with this form of guarantee is the exact momentin time when the contractual obligations are complied with. Note: Perfor-mance and delay guarantee are very often grouped under liquidated damagesappellation.

40 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

RAM guaranteesReliability, availability and maintainability are further features which the EPCcontractor is often required to grant.

Force majeure coverThis is the exoneration of the contractor’s liability due to exceptional events.The financial consequences are retained by the principal, who is also thebeneficiary of the corresponding insurance cover.

Beneficiaryof cover

Contractor Owner

Contractor’s fault Force majeure perils Owner’s fault

Force majeureliability assumedunder construc-tion contract

Error andomission ofcontractor, sub-contractor andsuppliers

Physical damage Non-physicaldamage due to- strike- changes of law- other changes

beyond thecontrol of theowner and theconstructor

Owner’s requiredchanges

Liquidated damagesDelay/efficacy

Delay in startupcover

Force majeureDifference inconditionsDelay in startup

Not insured

Delay caused by

Cover

Payment to owner

Payment of debt,service to lenders

Conclusion All guarantee types and force majeure covers have a component of entre-preneurial risks and the transfer of these risks to the (re)insurance industry hasproven to be difficult.

To date, the contingency covers have been restricted, with a few exceptions,to delay and performances guarantee insurance. Even with a restricted field,the management of this line of business is difficult because it requires a highlydetailed and costly analysis of the project. This involves external experts, aswell as long-term relationships with the developers or main contractors toskirt possible adverse selection.

41 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Annex 3: Business interruption in livestock production

Introduction Business interruption (BI) or loss of profit(LoP) insurance in livestock productiongained public attention and experiencedan upswing following the detection ofBovine Spongiform Encephalopathy(BSE) in Germany and other EU countriesin 2000. The foot-and-mouth disease(FMD) outbreak in the UK in spring 2001and its subsequent spread to France andthe Netherlands brought it even moreinto the public eye. Given their rapidspread and widespread socio-economicconsequences, epidemics or transmissi-ble diseases make blockbuster headlines.

With the increasing specialisation offarms and high capital investments oflivestock farmers, risk management – andspecifically insurance against LoP – israpidly gaining in importance. The directloss of animals is generally paid by a com-pulsory livestock epidemic fund, financedwith insurance levies from livestock hold-ers and/or governmental contributions.Private insurers offer LoP covers for con-sequential losses, which are not coveredby these funds.

Covers available A wide range of covers is available, fromvery limited lump-sum payments to thecompensation of the real loss of profit ofup to one year. While standard coversindemnify the LoP only of those farmerswho have suffered a direct loss, egwhose livestock was culled, extensivecovers also compensate farms which donot sustain a direct culling loss but areaffected by commercial restrictions inareas surrounding the outbreak. Exam-ples of LoP covers in various countriesare given below.

Germany offers broad coverOne of the broadest covers is offered inGermany. It includes compensation forfarms with restrictions only, and indemni-fication periods are up to one year. Strongreasons for compensating farms withrestrictions only are the estimations thatin regions with medium-sized farms, thelikelihood of being affected by a restric-tion is some 70 times greater than that ofculling. Furthermore, in case of restric-tions, the insured LoP is about twice ashigh as in the case of a cull, as the ani-

OIE and epidemics

The Office International des Epizooties (OIE,www.oie.int), headquartered in Paris, is anintergovernmental organisation with 158member countries. Its mission includes toguarantee the transparency of animal diseasestatus worldwide, and to guarantee thesanitary safety of world trade by developingsanitary rules for international trade in animalsand animal products. OIE standards arerecognised by the WTO as reference inter-national sanitary rules. The national veterinarylaws generally follow these standards in theclassification of the notifiable diseases.

The OIE recognises three kinds of countriesor zones: those which are disease-freewithout vaccination, those disease-free with(preventive) vaccination and those where the disease is endemic (so far defined forFMD and a few other diseases).

List A:Transmissible diseases with very serious and rapid spread, that are of serious socio-economic or public health consequence andof major importance in the international tradeof animals and animal products. Currently 15 diseases, eg FMD, swine fewer and avianinfluenza (see box next page).

List B: Transmissible diseases that are considered to be of socio-economic and/or public healthimportance within countries and that aresignificant in the international trade of animalsand animal products. Classification rangesfrom cattle to aquatic diseases.

42 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

mals have to be fed without any prospectof product sale. Prerequisite to such coveris having the farm’s production andaccounting data, or reliable referencedata, at the very least.

Commercial loss of profit insurance inGermany covers the drop in gross mar-gins resulting from the interruption of pro-duction or the non-acceptance of theproducts (meat, milk). If a herd is culled,an indemnity is paid for gaps in cost ofcleansing and disinfection, and for excesscosts in rebuilding livestock – unless it isalready covered by a livestock epidemicscheme. The market leader also offers a cover including “other transmissible”(not notifiable) diseases.

Compensation can be either the quantifiedactual lost profit per animal or a prede-fined compensation rate. The latter gener-ally amounts to a lump-sum amount of 25% of the variable margin immediatelyupon culling and a further percentage foreach week of closure. The indemnityperiod varies from 16 weeks up to oneyear, depending on the insurer. Generally,a deductible of 3–6% of the indemnitylimit and a waiting period of up to three

months applies. Depending on the condi-tions, the premium amounts to between0.1% and 0.3% for cattle and 1.2 to5.5% for pigs. The market penetration isabout 50% for cattle, 30% for pigs and10% for broilers.

Northwestern Germany has a very highconcentration of livestock. Forty-sixadjacent counties (of 240) along thenorthwestern coast account for 23% ofthe German cattle and 32% of the pigpopulation, demonstrating the need foraccumulation control. Basically, livestockinsurers apply the following types ofaccumulation control: � Limit of TSI per county. While this is

easy to control, it does ignore theconsiderable differences in county size(eg LVM)

� Signing limit in PML per square kilo-metre (eg Uelzener)

� Running regular scenarios in the areawith the greatest cattle and swinedensity, considering livestock census,PML per animal head and a returnperiod of 20 to 25 years. Including thepercentage of insured livestock, theinsurer’s MPL is compared with itsreinsurance capacity (eg VTV).

FMD, swine fever, avian influenza and BSE

Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD), or aftosa, a highly contagious viral disease affectinghoofed animals (including cattle, swine,sheep, deer, camel), and elephant. Mortalityis generally low, but permanent reduction inproduction (milk, meat, etc) causes highlosses.

Classical and African swine fever, are highlycontagious viral diseases with high mortalityin young pigs, and have the greatest economicimpact of pig diseases. Wild boars are fearedas carriers in Europe, where outbreaksoccurred recently.

Avian influenza is an infectious viral diseasethat can affect both wild birds and domesticfowl; the virulent form, the highly pathogenic

avian influenza, also called fowl plague,causes high mortality. Together with therelated Newcastle disease, it is the most dangerous poultry disease.

Bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), a disease causing the destruction of the brainin cattle. Infectious meat and bone meal feedto ruminants is the favoured hypothesis for spreading the agent, called prions. It isassumed to be transmittable to humans, caus-ing vCJD (variant Creutzfeld Jakob Disease).BSE is classified as an “OIE List B disease”,being of public health importance, but with a low infectiousness, as there is no evidencefor vertical spread (mother to calf), and even less for horizontal spread (animal to anotheranimal in the herd).

ProtectionzoneR ≥ 3 km

InfectedpremisesR ca 500 m

SurveillancezoneR ≥ 10 km

InfectedareaR ca. 20 km

43 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

The estimate of a maximum total loss ofsome EU 500 million in the event of alarge epidemic outbreak in Germany, as calculated by the working group onlivestock insurance within the Germaninsurer’s association GDV, is still consid-ered valid. It considers an outbreak affect-ing the area approximatley as large as anaverage-sized state.

Limited cover as offered in the UK and the NetherlandsIn the United Kingdom, consequentialloss insurance – offered to complementthe compensation offered by the govern-ment – pays 25% of the governmentalpayment. Since the previous major foot-and-mouth (FMD) outbreak in 1967, andowing to the financial hardship in farming,only some 10% of farmers insured at theNational Farmers Union (NFU, the leadingfarm insurer) had LoP cover at the time ofthe most recent outbreak.

Ironically, only months before the outbreak,a working party in the Ministry of Agricul-ture, whose members were concernedabout the low level of insurance, discusseda compulsory insurance levy to build up afund against future epidemic outbreaks.

In the Netherlands, LoP insurance is avail-able for farmers with calamity insuranceand covers the direct loss of events withmore than one dead animal. In case ofsuch a direct loss or an ordered cullingfollowing an epidemic, the consequentialloss cover pays an additional 15% of thedirect loss (or governmental indemnifica-tion), which covers an LoP of about 6–8weeks. The premium is 0.8‰ to 1.0‰(deductible: 3% or 6% of TSI). About 30%of medium and large-sized cattle farmshave this type of cover.

Countries with limited demand In Switzerland, compensation from theepidemics fund is comparatively high,and the last significant losses occurred in the 1980s. Accordingly, there is nosignificant demand for additional cover.However, LoP cover is offered successfullyfor poultry breeders, and a limited coverfor pig breeders.

In France, livestock mortality insurance isavailable for direct losses caused by sixepidemic diseases, BSE among them.Compensation is supplementary to statepayments, but may not exceed the mar-ket value of the cattle. Additionally, dairyfarmers can buy a cover for LoP after an epidemic disease. This covers the lossof gross margin following the orderedculling of stock and/or movement restric-tions for animals and their products.Experts argue that there has been littleincentive for farmers to buy this coversince the French government has alwaysgranted generous indemnification in thepast (full market value).

Finally, in most European Union candidatecountries, the veterinary authorities canorder cull and restrictions, but there is no fund for indemnification. In thesecountries, the private insurers limit theirindemnities to the direct loss.

Measurements in quarantine areasaround an epidemic outbreak

Infected premises: All stock culled (slaugh-tered) and destroyed as quickly as possible(“stamping out”). Disinfection of premises.

Protection zone: No movement of animalspermitted (“standstill”). Cull on suspiciouspremises. Regular veterinary checks andreview 28 days after slaughter. Movementrestrictions for population.

Surveillance zone: Movement of animalswithin the surveillance zone is permitted only under licence and directly to slaughter at an approved slaughterhouse within thesurveillance zone. Movement restrictions forpopulation.

A wider infected area may sometimes bedeclared if several outbreaks occur within anarea. Animals’ movements out of the infectedarea are allowed only under licence.

Source: AVIS Consortium (www.aleffgroup.com/avisfmd)

� Exposure: The crucial diseases in epi-demic covers are FMD for pigs andcattle, avian influenza and Newcastledisease for poultry, and classical swinefever for pigs. Other diseases are ofminor importance.

� Accumulation: Areas with high live-stock density require special attention.These areas may cause considerableaccumulation problems for the insurer(mainly local ones), as well as for rein-surers.

� Pricing: The main criteria for this typeof cat insurance are accumulation con-siderations and long-term aspects.Prices come under pressure after aseries of loss-free years, and condi-tions tend to improve in the wake of a major event.

Not only livestock farmers, but all activitieswithin the area suffering from movementrestrictions are affected by the outbreakof an epidemic and the measures taken in response. Horticultural farms and alltypes of industry stand to be affected,increasingly so if they depend on regulartransportation (just-in-time production).The insured may influence the measurestaken by the authorities in consultations,as described in a publication by theGerman horticulture insurer “GartenbauVersicherung” (see related reading, page45).

Challenges of the cover–technicalconsiderations � Measure taken by the veterinary

authorities have to be familiar andconsistent. While rigorous culling maywell contain the disease, it causesheavy insured losses at the same time.Measures influenced by politics mustbe excluded, as experience gatheredfrom BSE showed.

� There is no correlation between FMDand other diseases normally coveredby epidemic policies, nor with perilscovered by crop insurance (hail, frost,drought, flood).

� The event definition is of paramountimportance in XL covers. An outbreakmay last longer than the commonlyused three-month event definition (seebelow).

� BSE is insurable in Western Europe.The incidence rate has peaked and nohidden reservoir is expected. To pre-vent politically motivated culls, indem-nity must be paid only to farmers withat least one animal proven to sufferfrom BSE.

� Risk of change: A change from thestamp-out method to another contain-ment policy (preventive vaccination,endemic infection) is highly unlikely.

� Frequency: The return period is some20 to 25 years for severe FMD out-breaks, and 1 to 15 years for minorlocal outbreaks (eg swine fever).

44 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Underwriter provisionsBusiness interruption can be granted inlivestock insurance, provided that there isan appropriate accumulation control inplace and the event definition is clear.Further, the policy and measurementstaken by the government have to beknown, to facilitate the calculation of anadequate exposure scenario. The follow-ing points must be respected to ensure asound accumulation check:� the insured must present the way in

which he controls risk accumulation in his area;

� the reinsurer must know the geograph-ical spread of the current portfolio;

� the reinsurance treaty contains a limitof SI or PML per defined area (considerselecting an area unit with as homo-genous an extension as possible).

With XL covers, (re)insurers must ensurethat the event definition is clear, under-stood and accepted by all parties duringthe underwriting process. The solutionsproposed include: � introducing an annual aggregate limit

(AAL);� considering the outbreak of the event,

independent of the duration;� adjusting the reinsurance capacity and

price in light of the fact that one out-break will cost more than one line.

High capital input in livestock production,huge loss potential and the constanthealth threats through international ani-mal transportation, will guarantee thefuture of business interruption insurancein livestock production.

The FMD outbreak in Europe 2001

� No country is safe from the introduction or re-introduction of the disease1.

� International trade in live animals (live-stock, exotic pets, game species, zooanimals) and of animal products in mostregions of the world is increasing. Thisremains the primary risk for the spread of FMD1.

� Improvements in road, air and sea trans-portation increase the risk of diseasespread1.

� The deterioration of national veterinaryservices in many countries due to under-staffing, poor salaries and cutbacks inresources seriously undermines their abil-ity to quickly uncover an exotic diseaseproblem and respond appropriately1.

� Eradicating FMD by emergency or “ring”vaccination around the FMD spot followedby organised slaughter proved to be viable(NL) and tends to reduce the indemnities.Estimates suggest that with a ring vacci-nation strategy in the UK, the cull wouldhave been 30% lower.

� Return period for FMD is still in line withthe assumed 20 to 25 years. The UK’sprevious epidemic was in 1967/68, 33years before the last outbreak in 2001; incontinental Europe 1936/37, 1960/64and 2001 (23 and 37 years respectively).

� The stamp-out method is maintained. Itprevents import restrictions and hasstrong technical and logistical reasons.

1 EUFMD report, see related reading, page 45

Part 1Contingent business interruption

Hiles, A. and Barnes, P. Feb. 2001,The Definite Handbook of BusinessContinuity Management (Chichester: John Wiley + Sons Ltd.)

Belz, C. and Mühlmeyer, J. 2001, Key Supplier Management (St. Gallen: Hermann Luchterhand)

Gamlen, E. and Philips, J. 1992, Business Interruption Insurance –Theory and Practice (London: Buckley Press Ltd.)

Cloughton, D. 1999, Riley on Business Interruption (London: Sweet & Maxwell)

Hickmott, G.J.R. 1999, Interruption Insurance Practical Issues(London: Witherby & Co. Ltd.)

Meier, W., Kuhn, M., Simone, A., Sormani, E. 1998, Business Interruption Insurance, (Zurich: Swiss Reinsurance Company)

Part 2Virtual world, real threats

Schwartau, W. 1996, Information Warfare (New York: Winn Schwartau Thunder’sMouth Press)

André, A., Habib, J., Guez, J-C., Van de Brouck, G. 1996, first edition, L’entreprise digitale (Paris: Andersen Consulting)

Etudes et Statistiques sur la sinistralitéinformatique en France: Année 2000,(Paris: Clusif GMV conseil, 2001)

45 Swiss Re: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

4 Related reading

Part 3Other special covers

Walmsley, R.M. 1999, Business Interruption Law and Practice(London: Witherby & Co. Ltd.)

Luck, P. 1998, Special Risks (Zurich: Swiss Reinsurance Company)

Session of the Research Group of theStanding Technical Committee ofEUFMD, 12–15 September 2001, (Island of Moen, Denmark www.fao.org/WAICENT)

Merkblatt Risikobewältigung MKS-Sperrgebiet, 2001, (Wiesbaden: Gartenbauversicherung, www.gevau.de)

BSE Bulletin, 2/2001, (Zurich: Swiss Reinsurance Company)

Dimmer, K. 2001,Loss of Profits Insurance – quo vadis?EXPOSURE No. 6, 2001 (Munich: GE Frankona Re, www.erc-frankona.com/exposure)

Bommeli, M. 1999, Contingency covers – Force majeure and liquidated damages insurance (Zurich: Swiss Reinsurance Company)

©2002 Swiss Reinsurance Company, Zurich

Title: Contingent business interruption and other special covers

Principal author: Georges Galey

Contributing authors:Andrea ChristoffelRoland GmürPeter Luck Patrice NigonEzio SormaniOscar TrecenoErnst Urech

Translation:Swiss Re Language Services

Editing and production:Technical CommunicationsChief Underwriting Office

Graphic design:Galizinski Gestaltung, Zurich

Photographs:Cover, page 32: Keystone, ZurichPage 4: Zefa, ZurichPage 22: Galizinski Gestaltung, Zurich

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