CONTENT VOLUME-IV, ISSUE-1, SERIAL #37crs.agripunjab.gov.pk/system/files/CRS CROP... · KHANEWAL...

The Crop Reporting Service is also working in GIS & RS technology

with the collaboration of

The other collaborating partner are.

FAO, SUPARCO.

OVERTURE

Agriculture Extension

Agriculture Marketing

Bureau of Statistics Punjab

Agriculture Policy Institute, Islamabad

Pakistan Bureau of Statistics

National Food Security & Research

Revenue Department Punjab

requirement of the Federal Government.

CRS, the Wing of Agriculture Department Punjab, is responsible

for estimation of Area, Production and Average yield of

Agricultural Crops in the Province. The acreage and the yield of

major and minor crops are estimated through objective sample

surveys, conducted in 1240 randomly selected village all over the

province. Estimates of other minor crops are compiled through

subjective methods based on input use, farmer’s interviews and

assessment make by the field staff. Crop estimates indicating area

and production of all major and minor crops are released

according to crop forecast calendar designed in conformity with the

CROP BULLETIN

Directorate of AgricultureCrop Reporting Service, Punjab, LahorePh: (042)99239232, Web: crs.agripunjab.gov.pk, Email: [email protected]

CONTENT

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PUNJABPROVINCE

BAHAWALPURBAHAWALPUR

D.G. KHAND.G. KHAN

RAJANPURRAJANPUR

LEIAHLEIAH

JHANGJHANG

BHAKKARBHAKKAR

RAHIM YAR KHANRAHIM YAR KHAN

OKARAOKARA

KASURKASUR

BAHAWALNAGARBAHAWALNAGAR

VEHARIVEHARI

MUZAFFARGARHMUZAFFARGARH

FAISALABADFAISALABAD

MULTANMULTAN

KHANEWALKHANEWAL

SAHIWALSAHIWAL

CHINIOTCHINIOT

LODHRANLODHRAN

SHEIKHUPURASHEIKHUPURA

PAKPATTANPAKPATTAN

LAHORELAHORE

TOBA TEK SINGHTOBA TEK SINGH

NANKANA SAHIBNANKANA SAHIB

ATTOCKATTOCK

CHAKWALCHAKWAL

KHUSHABKHUSHAB

MIANWALIMIANWALI

SARGODHASARGODHA

JHELUMJHELUM

RAWALPINDIRAWALPINDI

GUJRATGUJRAT

SIALKOTSIALKOT

GUJRANWALAGUJRANWALA

HAFIZABADHAFIZABAD

NAROWALNAROWALMANDI BAHAUDDINMANDI BAHAUDDIN

ISLAMABADISLAMABAD

VOLUME-IV, ISSUE-1, SERIAL #37 Jan

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Crop Situation SummaryDecember, 2016

Rabi Crops Situation 2016-17Average Market Price Kharif & RabiDecember 2016

1

2-6

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Normalized Difference Vegetationindex (NDVI Graph) Growth Profile atDivision Level (Dec, 2016 GLAM MAP)

7

Average maximum & minimumTemperature & Rainfall for theMonth of December 2016

Whether summary for themonth of December2016

Irrigation water supply month wisecanal withdrawal (December 2016)

Tarbela and Mangla dam waterinflow and outflow

11-13

Fertilizer consumption in Rabi2016-17

14-17

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Cotton Out Look (Index)

Rabi Crop Situation 2016-17 8

Normally Expected Weatherduring January 2017

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CRS CROP BULLETIN CROPS SITUATION DECEMBER,2016

SUMMARY Wheat is the leading grain crop of Punjab ,largest acreage under single crop. Wheat contribute 10.0 % to the value added in agriculture and 2.1 % to GDP. Dry air/foggy atmosphere prevailed over most of the agriculture plains of the province. The NDVI profiles of the month of December shows increasing trend. Harvesting/crushing of sugarcane, seasonal vegetables and fruit orchids especially citrus were the major field operations in most of the agricultural areas of the Punjab during the month. The sowing of wheat crop has been completed in the Punjab. It has been reported that area under this crop is expected to decrease over the previous year. The germination/growth of crop is observed/ reported satisfactory in irrigated area areas while in barani area it is under stress due to dry weather conditions. The sowing of Gram crop has been completed in the Punjab. The that the area of gram crop is expected to slightly decrease. Growth of the crop is reported somewhat normal in plane area so far ,however it is affecting on sand dunes. The sowing of different oilseed crop has been completed. Germination and growth of the crop is reported satisfactory. The early sown crop is on flowering & pod formation stage.

The Potato crop sowing was completed. After field survey Potato Autumn acreage estimate was prepared. The area of potato crop 2016-17 placed at 402231 acres as compared to last year 3399857 acres which shows 0.59 % increase. The germination and growth of gram crop is reported satisfactory so far. The sowing of lentil and oilseeds crops has been completed. . The germination and growth of lentil and oilseeds is also reported satisfactory so far. Mean daily temperature remained normal to above normal by 1-4°C in all agricultural plains of the country. Mean daily temperature ranged between 14 to 16°C in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 15 to 18°C in Punjab. The night time temperature represented by mean minimum remained above normal in all the agricultural plains of the Punjab. The evaporative demand of the atmosphere represented by reference crop evapotranspiration (ETo normal to below normal in most of the agricultural plains of the country except Quetta valley in Balochistan, D.I. Khan in KP and Gilgit-Baltistan region where it remained slightly above normal due to mostly dry weather observed during the month in these areas. The highest value of ETo was estimated in Tandojam and D.I Khan.

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) December 2016

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) December 2016

1 CRS, Pb. Crop Bulletin January, 2017-Vol-IV, Issue 1, Serial # 37

Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth Profile At Divisional Level December,2016

Rawalpindi Division

Sargodha Division

The NDVI values for the month of November shows the Lowest value and starting upward trend.



Gujranwala Division

Lahore Division




Faisalabad Division

Multan Division




D.G. Khan Division

Bahwalpur Division



Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Crop Growth

Profile At Divisional Level December ,2016

Sahiwal Division



KHARIF CROPS SITUATION 2016-17(Field Work) (Field Work)

Source : CRS Pb Source : PCGA

Source : Agri Marketing December 2016 Market International cotton prices

fluctuated within a range of a few cents during December,

ending lower on balance. The Cotlook A Index started the

period at roughly 80.00 US cents per lb and advanced to a

high point of 80.70 cents mid-month, before declining to

reach a low of 78.20 cents around one week later. The

downward movement was prompted by lower settlements in

New York, which registered its lowest level since mid-

November. Mill buying activity was characterised by ‘on-call’

purchasing early in the period. The subsequent decline in

futures was reflected in shippers’ offering rates and

prompted a fairly active mill demand, mainly for nearby

delivery, for a relatively wide range of growths. Business was

concluded for West African, Brazilian, Central Asian and US

cotton among others, with the most persistent demand

emanating from the Indian Subcontinent. Pockets of forward

business were in evidence throughout the month. Source : Cotton Outlook


RABI CROPS SITUATION 2016-17(Field Work) WHEAT The sowing of the crop has completed in the Punjab. The area is expected to decrease over the last year due to less moisture and dry weather. Germination of crop is reported satisfactory in irrigated areas while in barani tract it is under stress due to dry weather conditions. First irrigation, application of fertilizer and spraying of weedicidies to crop remained in progress during the fortnight. The Rabi acreage Survey of crop is in progress.

GRAM

The sowing of Gram has completed. It is reported that the area of gram crop is expected to slightly decrease. Growth of the crop is reported somewhat normal in plane area so far however; it is affecting on sand dunes. A sufficient rain is required in coming fortnightly for its proper growth.

OILSEE The Germination and growth of the crop is reported satisfactory. The early sown crop is on flowering & pod formation stage.

POTATO (AUT) The sowing of Potato (Autumn) crop has completed in the Punjab. Digging of early sown crop is in progress. Growth of the crop is reported satisfactory so far.

TOMATO

The sowing of the Tomato crop has completed in District Khushab (Khatta hills) but in other part of the Punjab its sowing will start after the month of January. The growth of crop in Khushab district is reported satisfactory. The fresh Tomato is available in local market.

ONION It is reported that preparation of onion nursery for spring season is in progress and it will transplant in the month of Jan-Feb. The autumn onion crop is available in the market. LENTIL The sowing of Lentil crop has completed. The area is expected to decrease over the last year. Germination and growth of the crop is reported satisfactory so far.


FERTILIZER

Fertilizers do not only assist in increasing yields and promoting healthy growth of plants but also in their development. They contain nitrogen which acts as a growth booster which can be characterized by the green color of plants. Phosphorus substance in fertilizers aids in the faster formation of seeds and root development. The availability of Nitrogen and Phosphate fertilizers remains normal in the month of November, 2016.

IRRIGATION WATER SUPPLY SITUATION Timely availability of water greatly influences the crop production and yields. In order to meet the agricultural needs, adequate and timely availability of water is an essential pre-requisite. The average uses of Water in Rabi 2016-17 season in the Punjab is about 19.751 MAF and Punjab share based on forecast of water availability is 16.160. The canal water supply during November , 2016 is 3.795 MAF as compared to last year 3.723 MAF shows an increase of 1.93%.

Source: NDFC, AE&AR


WATER INFLOW, OUTFLOW AND LEVEL OF TARBELA AND MANGLA DAMS ARE

SHOWN BELOW.

Source: Pb Irrigation Dpt.


AGRO-MET CONDITIONS DECEMBER, 2016

Source: PMD

MAP: CRS,Pb



Source: PMD

MAP: CRS,Pb


WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER,2016 In Pakistan, winter rains generally start in the month of December. But this time dry continental air/foggy atmosphere prevailed over most of the agricultural plains of the country during the month. Accordingly, mostly dry weather was reported from the agricultural plains of the country except Peshawar in KP, Jhelum in Potohar region and Quetta valley in Balochistan where light rainfall reported during the month. Highest rainfall recorded in the country was 37 mm in Malam Jabba followed by 30.2 mm in Mirkhani, 29 mm in Dir, and 28 mm at Pattan. The evaporative demand of the atmosphere represented by reference crop evapotranspiration (ETo) remained normal to below normal in most of the agricultural plains of the country except Quetta valley in Balochistan, D.I. Khan in KP and Gilgit-Baltistan region where it remained slightly above normal due to mostly dry weather observed during the month in these areas. The highest value of ETo was estimated in Tandojam and D.I Khan. The mean daily Relative Humidity (R.H) also remained below normal in most of the agricultural plains of the country except in Tandojam where it has been recorded above normal during the month. Significant drop in R.H was observed in areas of north western Balochistan and GB region. Maximum value of mean Relative humidity was observed 71% at Lahore followed by 70% at Sargodha, while the minimum value was observed 37% at Quetta due to prevailing dry weather conditions. From an overall analysis during December, it is evident that well below normal rains have been received in most of the agricultural plains of the country. Due to persisting dry spell, farmers may use alternate resources to irrigate crops to maintain the appropriate moisture conditions in the agricultural soils. Temperature Regime during December, 2016 Temperature plays vital role in the growth and development of crops. Thermal regime in this month remained mostly normal to warmer in the agricultural plains of the country. The main reason for this trend is because of below normal rains as well as cloudy skies in the agricultural plains. Mean daily temperature remained normal to above normal by 1-4°C in all agricultural plains of the country. Mean daily temperature ranged between 14 to 16°C in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 15 to 18°C in Punjab, rounded to 20°C in agricultural plaines of Sindh, 2 to 6°C in Gilgit-Baltistan region and it was observed 10°C in the high elevated agricultural plains of Baluchistan represented by Quetta valley. The night time temperature represented by mean minimum remained above normal in all the agricultural plains of the country except Tandojam in lower Sindh and GB where it was recorded below normal. The lowest minimum temperature recorded AS -6.8°C at Skardu. Agricultural soils showed mostly normal to warmer trend at shallow, intermediate and deep layers in the major agricultural areas of the country due to the dry weather conditions. From the general analysis of air and soil in this month, it is concluded that moisture stress is observed in the agricultural plains due to continuous dry weather during the season. However, moisture deficiency still exists in lower parts of the country. Further rains are needed particularly in rainfed areas for better soil moisture conditions and normal growth of wheat crop. Solar Radiation and Wind Regime during December, 2016 Total bright sunshine hours and solar radiation intensity remained normal to below normal in most of the agricultural plains of the country except Quetta valley, Rawalpindi in Potohar region and GB region where these values observed above normal. Mean wind speed throughout agricultural plains of the country ranged between 1 to 6 km/h with North-east to North-west and South trend. Maximum wind speed was observed 6km/h in D.I.Khan.


WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER, 2016

Source:PMD

Graph: CRS,Pb



Source:PMD

Graph: CRS,Pb



Source:PMD


NORMALLY EXPECTED WEATHER DURING JANUARY, 2017 Winter rains with Pakistan region are associated with Westerly Waves and frontogeneses processes

taking place at middle latitudes. Westerly waves are always present around the globe. As soon as, perturbation

takes place in these waves due to contrasting meteorological factors, they get amplified extending their trough

down to lower latitudes in subtropical regions. Formation of fronts due to encounter of two air masses of

different characteristics, is another significant source of winter weather systems. Winter rain bearing systems

attain their maturity in December under normal meteorological behavior around the globe.

Rainfed plains of Balochistan and Potohar plateau are expected to receive 20mm to 40mm precipitation, which

recharge the soil moisture up to some extent. However, the distribution over time and space would be much

more important than the amount of the precipitation. The farmers of these areas have to show an efficient rain

water harvest skill by completely rooting out the weeds, competing their crops for food and water. In other

parts of the country, the rainfall may amount less than 20mm during January. The strict weeding practice is

also recommended in irrigated areas.

The evaporative demand of the atmosphere will be lower than December due to cooler and up to certain extent

the cloudy atmosphere. It is likely to range from 1 to 3 mm/day throughout the country. The mean daily

relative humidity may vary between 50% and 65%. The crop growth may be retarded due to low temperatures;

however, they would be beneficial in tillering process in cereal crop. The day time temperatures may range

between 16°C to 20°C in Northern Punjab and upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa while in the low elevation plains

are likely to experience them from 20°C to 24°C. The night temperatures possess a special significance; when

they drop below freezing level and keep watch on the growth of animals and plants. If protection measures are

not taken. Care of the frost kills the crop plants and even sometime badly affects their yield.


CONTENT VOLUME-IV, ISSUE-1, SERIAL #37crs.agripunjab.gov.pk/system/files/CRS CROP... · KHANEWAL...

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