CONTAINERS AND BEYOND€¦ · —Difficult 4th Qtr. ‘12 —Hurricane Sandy —Labor strike...

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1 CONTAINERS AND BEYOND Derrick Smith AAPA Spring Conference - March 18, 2013

Transcript of CONTAINERS AND BEYOND€¦ · —Difficult 4th Qtr. ‘12 —Hurricane Sandy —Labor strike...

Page 1: CONTAINERS AND BEYOND€¦ · —Difficult 4th Qtr. ‘12 —Hurricane Sandy —Labor strike threats —Year-over-year growth expected 19 Source: TTX Economic Monitor January 2013

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CONTAINERS AND BEYOND Derrick Smith

AAPA Spring Conference - March 18, 2013

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What are some of the major trends that are occurring?

• Increased cargo

• Significant investments

• Greater rail usage

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Many economic indicators showing some improvement

3 Source: IHS Global Insight March 2013 & U.S. Energy Information Administration

Key Economic Indicators 2012 2013 Revised

Real GDP (annualized % change) 2.2% 1.8%

Industrial Production Index (% change YOY) 3.8% 2.8%

Unemployment Rate (% labor force) 8.1% 7.8%

North American Light Vehicle Production (millions) 15.4 15.9

Housing Starts (millions annualized) 0.78 0.96

Iron & Steel Production (% change YOY) 3.6% 1.1%

Pulp & Paper Production (% change YOY) -2.7% -0.2%

Food Production Index (% change YOY) 2.4% 0.5%

Chemicals Production Index (% change YOY) 0.4% 2.3%

Natural Gas Price at Henry Hub (MMBtu) $2.84 $3.64

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International trade growing despite a modest economy

Source: IHS Global Insight – February, 2013

Imports = +1.5%

Exports = +2.4%

TYPES OF CARGO

Automobiles

Bulk

— Coal

— Grain

— Aggregates

— Phosphates

— Chemicals

Break-bulk

— Paper and forest

products

— Steel

Roll-on, Roll-off

— Agricultural machinery

— Construction equipment

Containerized

— Intermodal

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Shifts in global trade driving intermodal growth

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CSX provides the efficiency of rail transportation

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21,000K miles of infrastructure 31,000K employees $11.8B in revenue

Based in Jacksonville, FL

Originates on average 1,200 trains per day

Serves more than 70 ocean, lake, and river ports

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• Cargo potential defined by

vessel calls, trade routes &

frequency

• Relationships with port

officials, operators &

steveodores

• Rail access to specific

terminals

• Increased competition

amongst ports for

discretionary cargo

We access multiple ports throughout the Eastern U.S.

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From these ports, CSX serves 2/3 of U.S. population

New Orleans

Charleston Memphis

Piedmont

Atlantic

St Louis

Chicago

New York

Boston

Norfolk

Jacksonville

Miami

Northeast

Savannah

Wilmington

Tampa

Mobile

Baltimore

Philadelphia

Gulf Coast

Midwest

Florida

42%

14% 6%

38%

General Merchandise

Domestic Coal

Export Coal

Intermodal

2012 Volume

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American consumption drives freight movement

9 Source: U.S. Department of Transportation

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More freight challenges as population increases

2020

+30 million

more people

1.2B more tons of freight

Train that wraps

around the earth 7X

2040

10

+76 million

more people

3.0B more tons of freight

Train that wraps

around the earth 17X

Source: U.S. Department of Transportation & U.S. Census

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Longer-term competitive environment will favor rail

Today

CSX

Territory

2020

Source: USDOT FHWA Freight Analysis Framework

Freight demand projected to

grow more than 60% by 2040

Budget issues amplify highway

funding challenges

Truck driver shortage and

increased operating costs

Railroads are 3 to 4 times more

fuel efficient than highway

transportation

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Rail provides sustainable transportation solutions

Safest and most secure mode of surface transportation

One train can carry the load of 280 trucks

A ton of freight 469 miles on one gallon of gas

Capital investment relies principally on private funds

Reliable

Green

Efficient

Sustainable

Source: Association of American Railroads

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Major railroads invest heavily in capital projects

National Gateway connecting

East Coast ports to Midwest

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Heartland Corridor connecting

Hampton Roads to Midwest

Over $1.2 Billion invested in

intermodal terminals since

2000

Inland intermodal facility at

Kansas City to support West

Coast imports & exports

Total Capital Investment for Major Railroads in 2013: Over $15 Billion

PORT RELATED INVESTMENTS

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Energy supply & demand Manufacturing reshoring

Grain trade

Bulk

Break-bulk

There are several factors driving freight shifts

Increased N.A. production Stable workforce

Emerging market demand

Auto

Roll-on, Roll-off

Global production shifts Suez & Panama Canal route

More productive vessels

Containers

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Automobile exports forecast to remain strong

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0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Europe

South America

Middle East/Africa

Greater China

Other

Global platforms

allows for “export

ready” product

Increased Mexico

production

Expanded luxury

segment capability

EU sovereign debt

crisis tempers EU

exports

BRIC demand grows

North American Light Vehicle Exports

Source: IHS Global Insight

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Seaborne demand for U.S. coal is increasing

Total U.S. Seaborne Coal Exports

(net million short tons)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Europe S. America Asia All Other‘03 ‘11 ‘03 ‘11 ‘03 ‘11 ‘03 ‘11

Source: Energy Information Administration

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Expansion of low cost Brazilian

eucalyptus pulp production

North American shift from net

importer to net exporter of paper

products

Ongoing consolidation and

production shifts in steel industry

Pipe demands from U.S. shale gas

and oil increases

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Break-bulk supply and demand is evolving

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Lower energy costs helping manufacturing and exports

Bakken

Eagle Ford

Barnett

Marcellus

Utica

Woodford Fayetteville

Haynesville-Bossier

Niobrara

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Domestic

— Double-digit growth

— Aggressive

reinvestment

— Trucking industry

headwinds

International

— Difficult 4th Qtr. ‘12

— Hurricane Sandy

— Labor strike threats

— Year-over-year growth

expected

19 Source: TTX Economic Monitor January 2013

Intermodal traffic has been consistently growing

2009-2013 North America

Yearly Traffic Totals by Month

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Competitive ports have excellent rail connectivity

• Silos & storage terminals Bulk

• Distribution center & warehouses Break-bulk

• Parking & storage pads Roll-on, roll-off

• On-dock transfer facility Containerized

Efficient rail access, loading & unloading capability

— Minimizes dwell time

— Enables safe product handling

— Ensures competitive logistics cost

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Major developments at key East and West Coast ports

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Recent agreement on ICTF location

Securing authorized funding to fix immediate

and longer-term channel depth issues

Bayonne Bridge Navigational Clearance

Program

$138 million on-dock rail yard connection to the

Alameda Corridor

$88 million road, rail and utility corridor

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Shaping public perceptions is essential to gain funding

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• Import/Export demand

• Panama Canal expansion

• Discretionary cargo

• Economic development

• Draft deepening

• Attracting industry

• Road/rail improvements

• Securing funding

• Ensuring rail access

• Infrastructure funding

• Managing perception

• Gaining broad support

DRIVERS ACTIONS RESULT

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Global trade being stimulated by several factors

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CONTAINERS AND BEYOND AAPA Spring Conference - March 18, 2013