Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the...

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Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011

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Page 1: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Constance MalpasProgram Officer, OCLC Research

The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud

The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud

Annual Meeting28 April 2011

Page 2: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

RoadmapRoadmap

• Think Big – sourcing and scaling, mega regions

• Emerging infrastructure – managing collections ‘in the cloud’

• Shared print service provision - opportunities, challenges

• ASERL in perspective – regional and system-wide context

Page 3: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

You are … where?You are … where?

http://www.creativeclass.com/whos_your_city/maps/#Mega-Regions_of_North_America

Page 4: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

A Master Plan for a mega regionA Master Plan for a mega region

“[Midwestern universities ] work together on both regional and national agendas, merging library and research resources, and sharing curricula and instructional resources with faculty and students. Aggregating these spires of excellence by linking these institutions gives the Midwest region many of the world’s leading programs in a broad range of key knowledge areas.” (p. 37)

“Sharing of library and researchfacilities can augment scholarly production and assure fuller use of cultural assets without great extra cost to the state.” (p. 37)

Page 5: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Shared print is a prime example: a core operation that

is moving “outside” institutional boundaries

University of California Orbis Cascade WEST CIC TRLIN Hathi Print CAVAL, UKRR, JURA etc.

Boundary work and the library ‘service bundle’Boundary work and the library ‘service bundle’

Page 6: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

A ‘Big Shift’ in attention, resourcesA ‘Big Shift’ in attention, resources

Page 7: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Shared Print: what’s the problem?Shared Print: what’s the problem?

Shift in scholarly attention from print to electronic means low-use retrospective print collections are perceived to deliver less library value

Competing demands for library space: teaching, learning, collaborative research vs. “warehouse of books”

Among academic libraries, a shrinking pool of institutions with mandate, capacity to support print preservation

As transaction costs for managing legacy print collections decrease, libraries will seek to externalize print operations to shared repositories

Page 8: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Shared Print: OCLC ResearchShared Print: OCLC Research

Active portfolio of work since 2007:

• North American library storage capacity (2007)

• ~70M volumes in storage; cooperative models in the minority

• Policy requirements shared print repositories (2009)

• critical need: disclosure of print preservation commitments

• Leveraging infrastructure: MARC21 583 Action Note (2009/2011)

• copy-level retention, condition statements are required

• Cloud-sourcing research collections (2010)

• mass digitization of monographs accelerates shift to shared print

Page 9: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Shared Print value proposition(s)Shared Print value proposition(s)

1) Ensures long-term survivability of ‘last copies’ and low-use print journals and books

Extension of traditional repository function; limited motivation to subsidize

2) Enables reduction in redundant inventory for moderately and widely-held titles, facilitating redirection of library resources toward more distinctive service portfolio

Strategic reserve provides a hedge against disruption in the marketplace, rapid fluctuations in scholarly value & function of print; provides tangible value to participant

Page 10: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Growth of US library storage infrastructureGrowth of US library storage infrastructure

Aggregate off-site capacity has increased exponentially

+ 70 million volumes in storage (2007)

Derived from L. Payne (OCLC, 2007)

2 high-density facilities

68 high-density facilities

Date of Original Construction

Page 11: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Aggregate preservation resource: a black box?Aggregate preservation resource: a black box?

Of 68 storage facilities identified in Payne (OCLC, 2007):

• 2 are visible in WorldCat today: UC NRLF & UC SRLF

• Proxies: CRL, LC?

Among 9 ASERL storage collections profiled in 2004:

• 80% of monographic titles held in a single storage facility

Titles in ‘shared print’ collections less widely held?

Less widely held

More widely held

Page 12: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Projected growth of HathiTrust Digital LibraryProjected growth of HathiTrust Digital Library

*

Harvard University Library in constant 2008 volumes

* Library of Congress in constant 2008 volumes

OCLC Research. June 2010

Page 13: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Premise of Cloud Library project (2009-2010)Premise of Cloud Library project (2009-2010)

Emergence of large scale shared print and digital repositories creates an opportunity for strategic externalization of traditional repository function

• Reduce total costs of preserving scholarly record• Enable reallocation of institutional resources• Support renovation of library service portfolio• Create new business relationships among

libraries

A bridge strategy to guarantee access and preservation of long tail, low use collections

during ongoing p- to e- transition

Page 14: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

25 years

+70M vols.

0101010101010

1010101010101

0101010101010

1010101010101

0101010101010

15 months

+5M vols.

Shared infrastructure: books & bitsShared infrastructure: books & bits

Will this intersection create new operational efficiencies? For which libraries? Under what conditions? How soon and with what impact?

HathiTrust

Academic off-site storage

Page 15: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

A global change in the library environmentA global change in the library environment

June 2010Median duplication: 31%

June 2009Median duplication: 19%

Academic print book collection already substantially duplicated in mass digitized book corpus (HathiTrust)

OCLC Research. June 2010

Page 16: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

A mirror of the academic print collectionA mirror of the academic print collection

C. Malpas Cloud-sourcing Research Collections (OCLC, 2010)

A critical mass of retrospective literature in the humanities, social sciences

Page 17: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

An opportunity and a challengeAn opportunity and a challenge

>50% of titles are ‘widely held’

>80% of titles are in copyright

An opportunity to rationalize holdings, but…

library print supply chain will be needed for some time

OCLC Research. June 2010

Page 18: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Mass-digitized books in print repositoriesMass-digitized books in print repositories

~75% of mass digitized corpus is ‘backed up’ in one or more shared print repositories

~3.5M titles

~2.5M

Page 19: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

PredictionPrediction

Within the next 5-10 years, focus of shared print archiving and service provision will shift to

monographic collections

• large scale service hubs will provide low-cost print management on a subscription basis;

• reducing local expenditure on print operations, releasing space for new uses and facilitating a redirection of library resources;

• enabling rationalization of aggregate print collection and renovation of library service portfolioMass digitization of retrospective print

collections will drive this transition

Page 20: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

WHAT WILL IT TAKE?WHAT WILL IT TAKE?Shared print service provision . . .

Page 21: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Shared Print provision: capacity variesShared Print provision: capacity varies

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of February 2011.% o

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Page 22: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Shared print marketplace: who has the edge?Shared print marketplace: who has the edge?

C. Malpas Cloud-sourcing Research Collections (OCLC, 2010)

Page 23: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Or, reconfigure resource to maximize value Or, reconfigure resource to maximize value

C. Malpas Cloud-sourcing Research Collections (OCLC, 2010)

Page 24: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Management Perspective: How Much is Enough?Management Perspective: How Much is Enough?

Shared Print service must deliver• Space recovery equal to “one floor” at outset• Volume reduction equal to X years of print

acquisitions• Cost not to exceed current storage options• Minimize (visible) disruption in operations

If management of mass-digitized monographs could be externalized to large scale providers today: average space recovery of 20,000 ASF per ARL library cost avoidance of ~$1M for new storage module cost avoidance of $1M per year for on-site management

Page 25: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Staff Perspective: What’s Good EnoughStaff Perspective: What’s Good Enough

Shared Print service provision must equal or exceed

• Turnaround/delivery from local storage (<2 days)• Local loan period • Local access/availability guarantee, ability to

recall etc• Discoverability of local resource

Local retention mandated when title held by <10 libraries

No one mentioned . . . Home delivery option direct to patron Acceptable loss rate repository viability Penalties for late return impact on other clients

Page 26: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Implications: Shared PrintImplications: Shared Print

A small number of repositories may suffice for ‘global’ shared print provision of low-use monographs

Generic service offer is needed to achieve economies of scale, build network; uniform T&C

Fuller disclosure of storage collections is needed to judge capacity of current infrastructure, identify potential hubs

Service hubs will need to shape inventory to market needs; more widely duplicated, moderately used titles

If extant providers aren’t motivated to change service model, a new organization may be needed

Page 27: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

LOCAL CONTEXTLOCAL CONTEXTShared print in perspective . . .

Page 28: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

ASERL in system-wide contextASERL in system-wide context

~880 academic libraries in ASERL region (2008)

• represents 23% of all academic libraries in the US

• 134 (15%) support institutions offering doctoral programs

38 ASERL libraries provide backbone for academic institutions throughout the region

• Rich collections, robust infrastructure, reliable fulfillment

• ASERL holdings account for ~47% of regional academic collection

• Upholding print preservation mandate an increasing challenge

Page 29: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Diversity of institutional mandates Diversity of institutional mandates

OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Survey, 2008.

Least reliant on traditional

library infrastructure

Page 30: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Circulation per FTE student is on a declineCirculation per FTE student is on a decline

OCLC Research. Derived from NCES Academic Libraries Surveys, 1992-2000.

Declining ROA?

Page 31: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Same trend holds within ASERLSame trend holds within ASERL

OCLC Research. Derived from ASERL Annual Statistics, 2002/2003 – 2009/2010.

-41%

Page 32: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

A long term, system-wide trendA long term, system-wide trend

OCLC Research. Derived from data reported in NCES Digest of Education Statistics: 2008.

Page 33: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Higher Education funding cuts in 43 StatesHigher Education funding cuts in 43 States

Page 34: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Institutional autonomy variesInstitutional autonomy varies

OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Survey, 2008.

Modes of cooperation will vary … as will motivation to share

Page 35: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Increasing privatization of Higher Education Increasing privatization of Higher Education

OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Surveys, 2000-2008.

Page 36: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Visible differences, hidden similarities Visible differences, hidden similarities

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

>56M holdings in aggregate

~34% of collective ASERL coll’n duplicated~2M unique (discrete) titles

Page 37: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Median ASERL duplication in HathiTrust: 33%Median ASERL duplication in HathiTrust: 33%

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

Tennessee: 41%

Florida: 27%

[Standard deviation: 3%]

OCLC Research. Derived from U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Academic Libraries Survey, 2008.

Page 38: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

This edition held in print by more than 2,200 libraries . . .

including all 38 ASERL members

A total of 3 ILL requests since 2007

0 from (or to) ASERL members

Page 39: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

An example: the University of MiamiAn example: the University of Miami

~1.2 million University of Miami (FQG) library holdings in WorldCat

393,877 (33%) duplicated in HathiTrust Digital Library

30,472 titles

363,405 titles

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

Page 40: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Weighing risks and benefitsWeighing risks and benefits

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

77% of mass-digitized titles in Miami’s collection are held by >99 libraries … low risk but print supply chain still needed

96% of mass-digitized titles in Miami’s collection are held by >24 libraries

N = 393,877 titles

Page 41: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Sizing up a potential shared print supplierSizing up a potential shared print supplier

Represents at least 2.75 miles of library shelving @ Miami

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

232,827 titles

~1.2 million Miami (FQG) holdings

Page 42: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Risk and opportunity profiles differRisk and opportunity profiles differ

Locally held titles in mass-digitized corpus abundant in system-wide collection

HathiTrust undergirds stewardship mission, redistributes costs of curationOCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

N=1.16M titles

N=370K titles

Page 43: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Stewardship & sustainability: a pragmatic viewStewardship & sustainability: a pragmatic view

Using recent life-cycle adjusted cost model* for library print collections,

$4.25 per volume per year -- on campus$ .86 per volume per year -– in high-density storage

East Carolina University is spending, at minimum, between

[373K titles * $.86 =] $320K to $1.6M [=373K titles * $4.25 ] annually

to retain local copies of content preserved in the HathiTrust Digital Library and widely-held in the ASERL communityThe library is not financially accountable for

these costs but it is responsible for managing them

*Paul Courant and M. “Buzzy” Nielson, “On the Cost of Keeping a Book” in The Idea of Order (CLIR, 2010)

Page 44: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Where to turn?Where to turn?

• Existing cooperative network: UNC system

• UNC, NCSU & Duke are HathiTrust partners, participate in TRLN shared copy program – potential shared print suppliers?

~1.2 million ECU (ERE) holdings

Represents at least 4 miles of library shelving @ East Carolina

373,370 (32%) in HathiTrust Digital Library

Page 45: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Sep 2012Dec 2012

Sep 2013

Jun 2013

ASERL libraries: a common trajectory, different timelines

ASERL libraries: a common trajectory, different timelines

OCLC Research. Analysis based on HathiTrust and WorldCat snapshot data. Data current as of April 2011.

The next few years are critical

How can regional infrastructure be leveraged to support this change?

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Page 46: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

A closing thoughtA closing thought

If we don’t demonstrate a little backbone

developing shared print solutions

the future of legacy print could look likethis

Guillotined books en route to recycling station.

Page 47: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

Thanks for your attention.Thanks for your attention.

Comments, Questions?

Constance [email protected]

@ConstanceM

Page 48: Constance Malpas Program Officer, OCLC Research The Big Shift: Managing Research Collections in the Cloud Annual Meeting 28 April 2011.

For discussionFor discussion

• What criteria matter most in assessing potential shared print partners?

• Geographic proximity, institutional governance, scope of collection, delivery guarantee, etc?

• Is the economic integration of Southeastern mega-region(s) a factor to consider in shared print business planning?

• Are partnerships in zones of strong economic integration be likely to be more sustainable?

• How is the increasing privatization of higher education likely to affect regional shared print planning?

• Do private and charter universities have greater flexibility in externalizing print operations?