CONSOL Energy Inc. Second Quarter 2012 Earnings...

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CONSOL Energy Inc. – Second Quarter 2012 Earnings Call July 26, 2012 J. Brett Harvey, Chairman and CEO Nicholas J. DeIuliis, President William J. Lyons, CFO Robert F. Pusateri, EVP, Sales, Marketing, & Transportation

Transcript of CONSOL Energy Inc. Second Quarter 2012 Earnings...

Page 1: CONSOL Energy Inc. Second Quarter 2012 Earnings Callinvestors.cnx.com/~/media/Files/C/CNX-Resources-IR/... · CONSOL Energy and CNX Gas currently maintain strong leverage ratios Both

CONSOL Energy Inc. – Second Quarter 2012 Earnings Call

July 26, 2012

J. Brett Harvey, Chairman and CEO

Nicholas J. DeIuliis, President

William J. Lyons, CFO

Robert F. Pusateri, EVP, Sales, Marketing, & Transportation

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Cautionary Language

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This presentation contains statements, estimates and projections which are forward-looking statements (as defined in

Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). Such statements include estimates of reserves and

resources, projections and estimates concerning the timing and rates of return of future projects, and our future production,

revenues, income and capital spending. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause

actual results to differ materially from those statements, estimates and projections. Accordingly, investors should not place

undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of future actual results. Factors that could cause future actual

results to differ from the forward-looking statements are described in detail under the captions "Forward Looking

Statements" and "Risk Factors" in CONSOL Energy Inc.’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,

2011 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), as updated by any subsequent Form 10-Qs. The forward-

looking statements in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation; we disclaim any obligation to update

the statements, and we caution you not to rely on them unduly.

The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible oil and

gas reserves that a company anticipates as of a given date to be economically and legally producible and deliverable by

application of development projects to known accumulations. We may use certain terms in this press release, such as EUR

(estimated ultimate recovery), unproved reserves and total resource potential, that the SEC's rules strictly prohibit us from

including in filings with the SEC. These measures are by their nature more speculative than estimates of reserves prepared

in accordance with SEC definitions and guidelines and accordingly are less certain. We also note that the SEC strictly

prohibits us from aggregating proved, probable and possible reserves in filings with the SEC due to the different levels of

certainty associated with each reserve category.

Except for proved reserve data, the information this presentation is based on a summary review of the title to the gas rights

we hold, as well as a summary review of the title to the coal from which many of our coalbed methane rights derive. As is

customary in the gas industry, prior to the commencement of gas drilling operations on our properties, we conduct a

thorough title examination and perform curative work with respect to significant defects. We are typically responsible for

curing any title defects at our expense. This curative work may include the acquisition of additional property rights in order

to perfect our ownership for development and production of the gas estate.

This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy securities of CONSOL Energy Inc.

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Investment Thesis and Scorecard

Tier One coal, gas, and land assets provide synergies and risk reduction

Low cost, high-BTU coal that can travel and transform target markets

Low cost gas assets; adding liquid targets to the 2012 program

Land assets give CONSOL a strategic advantage, especially in Southwest Pennsylvania

Long-lived assets enable strategic value enhancements

Integration with partners going well

Monetized underutilized assets to pull value forward

Solid balance sheet and liquidity enables us to develop our organic

projects

$2.6B of liquidity and solid debt leverage ratios

Consistent operating and financial results

Solid earnings and operational cash flow – hit our 2Q12 production guidance

CONSOL continues to respond to challenging market conditions

Blacksville, Robinson Run, and Buchanan mines have extended vacation weeks

Fola Complex placed on long-term idle

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Our coal and gas operations ran safely and efficiently

We faced challenging thermal and metallurgical coal markets

We continued to sell non-core assets, which generated

earnings and cash flow

As a result, CONSOL Energy:

Earned $153 million, or $0.67 per diluted share

Generated $138 million of cash flow from operations, and

Generated $414 million in EBITDA (a non-GAAP financial measure)*

*See second quarter 2012 earnings release for reconciliation.

Posted Solid Quarterly Results

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Strong Liquidity Position of $2.6 Billion

Cash on hand of $200 Million

Accounts receivable securitization and revolving credit facilities

of nearly $2.4 billion

Amount/ Amount Letters Amount

June 30, 2012 ($MM) Capacity Drawn of Credit Available

Cash and Cash Equivalents $200 $0 $0 $200

Accounts Receivable Securitization $200 $0 $161 $39

Revolving Credit Facilities $2,500 $0 $170 $2,330

TOTAL $2,900 $0 $331 $2,569

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Goal is to Maintain our Strong Liquidity Position

Operating Cash Flow - $MM

2012 2011

Net Cash Provided by Operations $138 $360 ($222)

Capital Expenditures ($408) ($331) ($77)

Proceeds From Assets of Sales $224 $7 $217

Net Payments on Short-Term and Long-Term Debt $0 ($106) $106

Dividends Paid ($28) ($23) ($5)

Other ($13) ($8) ($5)

Net (Decrease)/Increase in Cash ($87) ($101) $14

QTR Ended QTR-Over

QTR

Change

June 30,

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Revolving Credit Facilities Debt Covenants

CONSOL Energy and CNX Gas currently maintain strong leverage ratios

Both facilities are well within debt covenants

Limit

June 30,

2012

CONSOL Energy Revolver:

Maximum Leverage Ratio > 4.75 to 1.0 1.92 to 1.0

Minimum Interest Coverage Ratio < 2.50 to 1.0 6.29 to 1.0

Senior Secured Leverage Ratio > 2.00 to 1.0 0.07 to 1.0

CNX Gas Revolver:

Maximum Leverage Ratio > 3.50 to 1.0 0.46 to 1.0

Minimum Interest Coverage Ratio < 3.00 to 1.0 35.17 to 1.0

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Gas Division Goals Migrating Capital and Activity to High Value Areas

Program goals to drive CBM and Marcellus costs lower

Marcellus: multi-well pads and lengthening laterals

CBM: lower contractor and field service costs

Marcellus Shale objectives

Ramp up development of our wet acreage position with our partner Noble Energy

Focusing on 100% NRI acreage in Greene and Westmoreland counties, PA

Further delineate Central PA and Northern WV position

91 gross wells expected for 2012; 31 wells targeting liquids

Utica Shale objectives

Explore and exploit the Ohio Utica Shale with our partner Hess Corporation

18 gross wells expected for 2012; all 18 wells targeting liquids

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2012 Drilling Focuses on Liquids Exposure

OH

PA

WV

MD

VA

Dry Gas

Wet Gas

18 (Gross) Utica Shale Wells 91 (Gross) Marcellus Shale Wells

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Drilling Results and Forecast

Formation Region 2009 2010 2011 1Q12A 2Q12A 2012E

Coalbed Methane Virginia 204 181 214 14.0 8.0 52.0

Total Shales: (Gross) 17 24 78 27.0 23.0 109.0

Marcellus Shale Central PA 0 4 19 8.0 5.0 13.0

Southwest PA

(incl. NBL) 17 20 50 14.0 16.0 72.0

West Virginia 0 0 9 4.0 2.0 6.0

Totals 17 24 78 26.0 23.0 91.0

Utica Shale (incl. HES) 0 0 0 1.0 0.0 18.0

Conventional and Other 18 129 36 13.0 8.0 25.0

Totals (net to CONSOL) 239 334 328 40.5 27.5 131.5

% Shales Wells: Dry gas target 100% 100% 100% 78% 74% 55%

% Shales Wells: Liquids target 0% 0% 0% 22% 26% 45%

% Shales Wells: Completed 100% 96% 88% NM 100% 100%

Total Production (Bcfe) 94 128 154 38 37 157-159

Total Capital ($MM) 335 420 662 98.5 143 623

Gross Wells Drilled By Formation From 2009 Through 2012E

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Marketing 3Q12 and 2012 Forecasts

85%

7% 7% 1%

Sales Tons by Product Year 2012

Thermal Low Vol High Vol Mid Vol

3rd

Quarter

2012

Year

2012

3rd

Quarter

2011

Year

2011

Thermal 12.7 50.5 12.4 52.9

Low Vol 1.2 4.4 1.5 5.6

High Vol 0.9 4.2 1.0 4.8

Mid Vol 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0

Total 14.9 59.4 14.9 63.3

Contracted tons for 2012: 96%

Priced: About 95% with more under negotiation

Unpriced: Almost all is Metallurgical Coal

Approximately 80% of the Low-Vol & High-Vol met coal tons are forecasted to be shipped overseas

Approximately 90% of the thermal coal tons are forecasted to be delivered domestically

Developing new markets for all thermal and met

17% of the overseas thermal coal sales are forecasted to be shipped to our new market in India

85%

8%

6% 1%

Sales Tons by Product 3rd Quarter 2012

Thermal Low Vol High Vol Mid Vol

2012 Coal Sales Facts and Goals

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Energy Markets

Experienced a slowdown in both sides of our business

and CONSOL is adjusting

Coal

Largely matched production and sales in order to

minimize inventory increases

Gas

Reduced horizontal shale well count as prices softened

Actions

Redoubling efforts to manage costs

Continuing to pull value forward

Adjusting To Weak Energy Markets

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2011 Marcellus Shale JV with Noble Energy: $3.3 billion in

aggregate payments of cash and carry

2011 Antero Resources ORRI sale: $193 million in cash

2011 Utica Shale JV with Hess Corporation: $593 million in

aggregate payments of cash and carry

2012 misc. asset sales: $54 million in cash

2012 sale of Youngs Creek reserves/resources: $170 million

in cash, plus 8% royalty

2012 Western Allegheny Mining JV: Self-funded ramp of

metallurgical coal production (NPV not yet disclosed)

Bringing $4.31 Billion in Value Forward Since 2010

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Developing metallurgical coal assets organically at a cost

($/ton) well below competitors’ recent acquisition rates

When added to existing production, met capacity increases to

over 14 MM tons by 2015

An expanded product mix will better enable CONSOL to meet

customer needs

Investing in Metallurgical Coal Production

*Note: Western Allegheny’s 2012 production, net to CONSOL, is expected to be

0.15 MTs and expected to be self-funding.

Amonate BMX

Western

Allegheny

Est.Capital Expenditures ($ MM) $51 $662 $54

Annual Production (MM tons) 0.6 5.1 1.2*

CapEx per Annual Ton $85 $130 $22.50

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Our Assets, Strategy and People Create An

Investment Opportunity

Coal and gas operations are long-lived, low-cost, and provide solid growth

Our well-capitalized assets provide more consistent operational execution

Our emphasis on safety and compliance increases reliability

Balance sheet remains strong with $2.6 billion of liquidity

Valuation remains compelling using sum of the parts

Marcellus liquids and Utica results (3Q12) to drive valuation improvement

Stabilization and rebound in the met coal markets

Solid Execution of our core program and coal projects to serve a rebounding market

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CONSOL Energy Inc. – Questions?

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