CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the...

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PREPARED FOR: Conejo Valley Unified School District 1400 East Janss Road Thousand Oaks, CA 91362 T 805.497.9511 PREPARED BY: Cooperative Strategies 8955 Research Drive Irvine, CA 92618 T 949.258.8300 CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY MARCH 13, 2017

Transcript of CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the...

Page 1: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

 

PREPARED FOR:Conejo Valley Unified School District 1400 East Janss Road Thousand Oaks, CA 91362 T 805.497.9511  PREPARED BY: Cooperative Strategies 8955 Research Drive Irvine, CA 92618 T 949.258.8300 

 

  

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT 

ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY 

MARCH 13, 2017

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TOC 

 SECTION  PAGE  I.  INTRODUCTION ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 1  II.  OVERVIEW OF HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 4 

A.   Enrollment Trends ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 4 B.        Transfer Trends ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 7 

 III.  ATTENDANCE BOUNDARIES AND STUDY AREA ZONES ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 9  IV.  INPUTS AND METHODOLOGY ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 14 

A.   Cohort Survival Factors ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 14 B.         Birth Rates ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 16 C.         Student Generation Factors ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 17 D.        Residential Development ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 17 

 V.  DISTRICTWIDE ENROLLMENT PROJECTION ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 20 

A.   Elementary School Enrollment Projection ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 22 B.   Middle School Enrollment Projection ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 41 C.   High School Enrollment Projection ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 48 

 VI.  CONCLUSION ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ 70  EXHIBITS  EXHIBIT A: School of Attendance Information EXHIBIT B: Enrollment Projections by School of Residence  EXHIBIT C: Enrollment Projections by School of Attendance  EXHIBIT D: School Facilities Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

I.   INTRODUCTION   Conejo  Valley  Unified  School  District  (ʺSchool  Districtʺ),  serves  students  in  grades transitional kindergarten (ʺTKʺ) through 12 residing within the City of Thousand Oaks (ʺCityʺ) and a portion of the unincorporated County of Ventura (ʺCountyʺ). The School District’s facilities consist of 15 elementary schools serving grades TK through 5, one (1) elementary  magnet  school  serving  grades  kindergarten  through  5,  one  (1)  school serving grades kindergarten  through 8  (ʺK‐8 Schoolʺ),  four  (4) middle schools serving grades  6  through  8,  three  (3)  high  schools  serving  grades  9  through  12,  and  two  (2) alternative education facilities serving students  in grades 9 through 12 (please refer to Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006  school  year,  the  enrollment  of  the  School District  has  decreased  by  3,456 students, with an average annual decrease of approximately 314 students per year over that  period.    In  order  to  determine  the  estimated  growth  or  decline  of  the  student population over the next ten (10) years (ʺStudy Periodʺ), the School District has retained the services of Cooperative Strategies  to  review data and projections provided by  the School District and to prepare an Enrollment Projection Study (ʺStudyʺ).   In  school  year  2016/2017,  the  enrollment  of  the  School District was  19,000  students. Based on the information contained in the Study, the enrollment of the School District is expected to continue to decline through the end of the Study Period  As  is the case with any  long‐term projection of student enrollment, the School District should keep in mind that the Study is a living document based on information gathered during the first quarter of 2017. Due to fluctuations in population, changes in residential development,  unforeseen  economic  conditions,  and  alterations  in  School  District enrollment  policy,  adjustments  to  this  Study  will  be  necessary  as  fluctuations  in population, economy, and housing market take place over the Study Period.     

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

While the Study’s mission is to provide future student enrollment projections, it is also valuable  to  analyze  historical  and  current  trends.  The  following  is  an  outline  of  the Study’s six (6) subsequent sections:    Section II reviews the historical enrollment trends of the School District.   Section III identifies the current attendance boundaries and Study Area Zones of the 

School District   Section  IV provides  the  inputs  and methodologies used  to project  the  number  of 

students  in  the  School  District  over  the  Study  Period.  This  section  includes  a discussion  of  cohort  survival  factors,  birth  rates,  and  the method  used  to  project future student enrollment. 

  Section V projects the districtwide enrollment for the School District over the Study 

Period for each school by attendance area.  

Section VI summarizes the findings of the Study.  

   

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C i t y o fC i t y o fM o o r p a r kM o o r p a r k

C i t y o f C i t y o f A g o u r a H i l l sA g o u r a H i l l s

C i t y o fC i t y o fW e s t l a k eW e s t l a k e

V i l l a g eV i l l a g e

AspenES

Maple ES

AcaciaES

BanyanES

ConejoES

LaderaES

Walnut ES

Cypress ES

MadronaES

GlenwoodES

WestlakeES

WildwoodES

EARTHSMagnet

Lang RanchES

WeathersfieldES

Westlake HillsES

Sycamore CanyonSchool

ColinaMS

RedwoodMS

SequoiaMS

Los CerritosMS

WestlakeHS

Newbury ParkHS

Thousand OaksHS

CenturyAcademy

Conejo Valley HS

C i t y o fC i t y o fT h o u s a n d O a k sT h o u s a n d O a k s

C i t y o fC i t y o fS i m i V a l l e yS i m i V a l l e y

C i t y o fC i t y o fC a m a r i l l oC a m a r i l l o

M o o r p a r kM o o r p a r k

1st St

Erbes RdLy

nnRd

S Lewis Rd

E Los Angeles Ave

Las Posas Rd

Madera Rd

Santa Rosa Rd

WHi l lcre st Dr

Pleasant Valley Rd

N Lewis Rd

E Janss Rd

Upland Rd

Adolfo Rd

S omisRd

O ls en Rd

S West lake

Blvd

Wood Ranch Pkwy

la Granada Dr

Pede rson RdCarm

enD r E Pond erosa Dr Long Canyon Rd

Mission Oaks Blvd

W Olsen Rd

Deer

Path

Rd

Ventura Blvd

Ponder osaDr

Arne

ill Rd

S Las

Posas

Rd

Moorpark Rd

E Leisure V illage Dr Sunset Hills BlvdPonderosa Dr

Las Posas Rd

Potre

ro Rd

Kanan Rd

Co H

wy N9

Agoura Rd

Mulholland Hwy

Cornell Rd

Linder

o Can

yon Rd

Lynn Rd

Co H

wy N

1

Reye

s Ado

be Rd

Fountainwood St

Co H

wy N

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAP 1 - GEOGRAPHIC PROFILE

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February 2017

Conejo Valley Unified School DistrictNeighboring School Districts

School Facilitiesn Elementary School

n K-8 School

n Middle School

n High School

n Alternative SchoolJurisdictions

City of CamarilloCity of MoorparkCity of Simi ValleyCity of Thousand OaksCity of Agoura HillsCity of Westlake VillageUnincorporated Counties

County of Ventura

County of Los Angeles

£¤101

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

II.  OVERVIEW OF HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT   To analyze the total districtwide enrollment, Cooperative Strategies utilized data from the California Department  of  Education  (ʺCDEʺ)  for  school  years  2000/2001  through school  year  2015/2016  and  the  School  District  enrollment  database  for  school  year 2016/2017.   In order to analyze the enrollment trends by grade level and region, the School District provided Cooperative  Strategies with  a  database  of  the  enrolled  students  for  school years 2013/2014  through 2016/2017  (for more  information on  this process,  see Section III.A.).  This  allowed  Cooperative  Strategies  to  assess  the  concentration  of  where students  reside  within  their  respective  attendance  boundaries  regardless  of  which school the student attends.   A. Enrollment Trends 

 The School District experienced growth  in student enrollment  from school year 2000/2001 to school year 2005/2006. In school year 2006/2007, the School District experienced a sharp decline in student enrollment at the elementary school level which  has  has  continued  through  to  school  year  2016/2017.  The  decline  in student  enrollment  at  the  elementary  school  level  subsequently  lead  to  the decline  at  the  middle  school  and  high  school  levels  as  smaller  classes matriculated  through. The historical enrollment of  the School District  is shown on Graph 1 on the following page while the annual change of student enrollment is shown in Table 1.   The enrollment shown on Graph 1 is based on the current school level configuration of the School District where elementary schools serve students  in  grades  TK  through  5, middle  schools  serve  students  in  grades  6 through 8, and high schools serve students in grades 9 through 12. 

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

Table 1 Annual Rate of Change in Student Enrollment 

School Year Growth/ (Decline)

Growth/(Decline) Percentage 

2000/2001 to 2001/2002 248  1.18% 

2001/2002 to 2002/2003 608  2.86% 

2002/2003 to 2003/2004  388  1.78% 

2003/2004 to 2004/2005 140  0.63% 

2004/2005 to 2005/2006 73  0.33% 

2005/2006 to 2006/2007  (182)  (0.81%) 

2006/2007 to 2007/2008 (1,065)  (4.78%) 

2007/2008 to 2008/2009 446  2.10% 

2008/2009 to 2009/2010  (456)  (2.11%) 

2009/2010 to 2010/2011 (108)  (0.51%) 

2010/2011 to 2011/2012 (369)  (1.75%) 

2011/2012 to 2012/2013  (127)  (0.61%) 

2012/2013 to 2013/2014 (453)  (2.20%) 

2013/2014 to 2014/2015 (417)  (2.07%) 

2014/2015 to 2015/2016  (391)  (1.98%) 

2015/2016 to 2016/2017 (334)  (1.73%) 

Average Growth/Decline (125)  (0.59%) 

 As shown in Graph 1 and Table 1, the School Districtʹs enrollment has declined by 9.52 percent (1,999 students) since school year 2000/2001. Currently, there are a  lower number of students per grade at the elementary school  level relative to the high school  level. As  those elementary students progress  to  the high school level, future high school enrollment would be expected to decline. However, the School District has experienced growth as elementary school and middle school students  progress  to  the  next  grade  level.  More  information  regarding  the matriculation of students can be found in Section IV A.  

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

B. Transfer Trends  

Each year the School District enrolls a number of  incoming students that reside outside  of  the  School District  boundaries.    Incoming  students  that  attend  the School District but  reside  in another school district are  referred  to as  incoming interdistrict transfers (ʺIDTsʺ).     Overall,  the number of  IDTs has declined  from school year 2013/2014  to school year 2016/2017.  In conjunction with  the decline  in  total student enrollment,  the percentage  share  of  the  student  enrollment  as  IDTs has  also declined. Table  2 shows  the  number  of  IDTs  in  each  year,  the  total  enrollment  of  the  School District, and the percentage of incoming IDTs from 2013/2014 through 2016/2017.  

 Table 2 

Incoming Inter‐District Transfers 

Item  2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 

IDTs  1,247  1,245  1,171  1,118 

Total Enrollment  20,142  19,725  19,334  19,000 

Percentage  6.19%  6.31%  6.06%  5.88% 

 Individual  schools  within  the  School  District  receive  varying  numbers  of incoming  IDTs. Table 3 shows  the number of  incoming  IDTs by grade and  the schools that they attend. 

 

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

Table 3 Incoming IDTs by School and Grade in School Year 2016/2017 

School Name  Grade Level

Elementary School  K 01 02 03 04  05  Total

Acacia ES  2  2  4  0  2  1  11 

Aspen ES  2  1  1  0  3  3  10 

Banyan ES  2  4  0  1  0  2  9 

Conejo ES  3  2  1  1  4  0  11 

Cypress ES  0  0  0  0  1  0  1 

EARTHS Magnet  2  2  0  3  0  7  14 

Glenwood ES  2  2  1  1  3  0  9 

Ladera ES  1  0  1  0  0  1  3 

Lang Ranch ES  1  3  1  5  3  4  17 

Madrona ES  0  1  1  1  0  2  5 

Maple ES  1  0  1  1  0  2  5 

Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5)  1  2  2  1  1  1  8 

Walnut ES  1  0  1  1  7  1  11 

Weathersfield ES  1  1  2  2  3  0  9 

Westlake ES  4  0  3  1  1  2  11 

Westlake Hills ES  0  2  1  2  4  2  11 

Wildwood ES  2  4  1  4  1  4  16 

ISEL  0  0  0  1  0  0  1 

Total Elementary IDTs  25 26 21 25 33  32  162

Middle School  6 7 8 Total       

Colina MS  20  20  18  58        

Los Cerritos MS  24  21  28  73        

Redwood MS  14  11  19  44        

Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8)  6  16  8  30        

Sequoia MS  2  1  2  5        

Total Middle School IDTs  66 69 75 210       

High School  9 10 11 12 Total   

Century Academy  2  0  8  5  15     

Conejo Valley HS  0  1  0  1  2     

Newbury Park HS  50  69  75  67  261     

Thousand Oaks HS  53  41  60  44  198     

Westlake Hills HS  60  46  69  95  270     

Total High School IDTs  165 157 212 212 746 

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

 

III.  ATTENDANCE BOUNDARIES AND STUDY AREA ZONES   Attendance  boundaries  are  defined  as  geographic  areas within  a  school  district  that serve  the  students assigned  to a particular  school. Currently,  there are 16 attendance boundaries  at  the  elementary  school  level,  seven  (7)  at  the  middle  school  level (including  two  (2)  optional  attendance  areas),  and  four  (4)  at  the  high  school  level (including one  (1) optional attendance area). Attendance boundaries allow  the School District  to effectively control enrollment at each  facility and will be shifted as  (i) new schools  are  constructed  within  the  School  District  and/or  (ii)  student  population distribution necessitates  it.   The  existing  elementary  school, middle  school,  and high school attendance boundaries are shown on Maps 2, 3, and 4, respectively.  In order to more accurately project the number of students generated from existing and future  residential units,  the  Study  incorporates  the  School District’s boundary  zones, hereafter  referred  to  as  Study  Area  Zones  (ʺSAZsʺ).  A  SAZ  constitutes  a  region  of residential  units  with  similar  characteristics  such  as  land  use  (e.g.,  single  family detached  (ʺSFDʺ)  units  or  multi‐family  attached  (ʺMFAʺ)  units),  elementary  school, middle school, and high school attendance boundaries, access to major roads, and other characteristics.  In addition  to  identifying  the exact  location of  future  residential units, SAZs  promote  a  more  accurate  analysis  of  demographic  trends  and  projections  of student enrollment. Map 5 illustrates the boundaries of the School District with all 352 SAZs. Each SAZ belongs to one (1) elementary school, middle school, and high school attendance  boundary  (this  includes  option  areas where  students may  have  a  choice between multiple schools at each school level).      

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Avenida De Las Flores

Avenida De Los Robles

AspenES

Maple ES

AcaciaES

BanyanES

ConejoES

LaderaES

Walnut ES

Cypress ES

MadronaES

GlenwoodES

WestlakeES

WildwoodES

EARTHSMagnet

Lang RanchES

WeathersfieldES

Westlake HillsES

Sycamore CanyonSchool

1st St

Erbes RdLy

nnRd

S Lewis Rd

E Los Angeles Ave

Las Posas Rd

Madera Rd

Santa Rosa Rd

WHi l lcre st Dr

Pleasant Valley Rd

N Lewis Rd

E Janss Rd

Upland Rd

Adolfo Rd

S omisRd

O ls en Rd

S West lake

Blvd

Wood Ranch Pkwy

la Granada Dr

Pede rson RdCarm

enD r E Pond erosa Dr Long Canyon Rd

Mission Oaks Blvd

W Olsen Rd

Deer

Path

Rd

Ventura Blvd

Arne

ill Rd

S Las

Posas

Rd

Moorpark Rd

Sunset Hills Blvd

Mulholland Hwy

Potre

ro Rd

Kanan Rd

Co Hwy N9

Agoura Rd

Cornell Rd

Lindero Canyon Rd

Lynn Rd

Las Virgenes Rd

Lake Vista Dr

Reye

s Ado

be Rd

Rondell St

Co Hw

y N9

Kanan Rd

Co H

wy N

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAP 2 - ELEMENTARY SCHOOL ATTENDANCE BOUNDARIES

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Conejo Valley Unified School DistrictNeighboring School Districts

School Facilitiesn Elementary School

n K-8 SchoolElementary School Attendance Boundaries

Acacia ESAspen ESBanyan ESConejo ESCypress ESGlenwood ESLadera ESLang Ranch ESMadrona ESMaple ESLadera ES/Westlake Hills ES Option AreaSycamore Canyon SchoolWalnut ESWeathersfield ESWestlake ESWestlake Hills ESWildwood ES

County of Ventura

County of Los Angeles

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Avenida de Los Robles

Avenida de Las Flores

Moorp

ark Rd

Sycamore CanyonSchool

ColinaMS

RedwoodMS

SequoiaMS

Los CerritosMS

1st St

Erbes RdLy

nnRd

S Lewis Rd

E Los Angeles Ave

Las Posas Rd

Madera Rd

Santa Rosa Rd

WHi l lcre st Dr

Pleasant Valley Rd

N Lewis Rd

E Janss Rd

Upland Rd

Ad olfo Rd

S omis Rd

O ls en Rd

S West lake

Blvd

Wood Ranch Pkwy

la Granada Dr

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enD r E Pond e rosa D r

Long Canyon RdMissi

on Oaks Bl vd

W Olsen Rd

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Path

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Ventura Blvd

Arne

ill Rd

S Las

Posas

Rd

Moorpark Rd

E Leisure Vil l age Dr Sunset Hills Blvd

Mulholland Hwy

Potre

ro Rd

Kanan Rd

Agoura Rd

Cornell Rd

Lindero Canyon Rd

Lynn Rd

Las Virgenes Rd

Lake Vista Dr

Reye

s Ado

be Rd

Rondell St

Kanan Rd

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAP 3 - MIDDLE SCHOOL ATTENDANCE BOUNDARIES

µ0 1 2 3 40.5Miles

February 2017

Conejo Valley Unified School DistrictNeighboring School Districts

School Facilitiesn K-8 School

n Middle SchoolMiddle School Attendance Boundaries

Colina MSLos Cerritos MSOption Area 1Option Area 2Redwood MSSequoia MSSycamore Canyon School

County of Ventura

County of Los Angeles

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WestlakeHS

Newbury ParkHS

Thousand OaksHS

CenturyAcademy

Conejo Valley HS

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Agoura

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Lynn RdS Lewis Rd

E Los Angeles Ave Made

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Santa Rosa Rd

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N Mo

orpark

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W Hillcrest D r

Pleasant Valley Rd

N Lewis Rd E O lsen

RdUpland Rd

Adolfo Rd

E Ave de Los A rboles

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Wood Ranch Pkwy

la Granada Dr

Peder s onE Pond e rosa Dr Long Canyon Rd

MissionOak s Blvd

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Paige L

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W Gainsborough Rd

Moorpark Rd

Sunset Hills Blvd

Las Posas Rd

Lynn

Rd

Potrero Rd

Kanan Rd

Co Hw

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Agoura Rd

Lynn Rd

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAP 4 - HIGH SCHOOL ATTENDANCE BOUNDARIES

µ0 1 2 3 40.5Miles

February 2017

Conejo Valley Unified School DistrictNeighboring School Districts

School Facilitiesn High School

n Alternative SchoolHigh School Attendance Boundaries

Newbury Park HSOption AreaThousand Oaks HSWestlake HS

County of Ventura

County of Los Angeles

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Avenida De Las Flores

Avenida De Los Robles

1stSt

ErbesRdLy

nnRd

S Lewis Rd

E Los Angeles Ave

Las Posas Rd

Madera Rd

Santa Rosa Rd

WHi l lcre st Dr

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E Janss Rd

Upland Rd

Adolfo Rd

S omisRd

O ls en Rd

S West lake

Blvd

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la Granada Dr

Pede rson RdCarm

enD r E Pond erosa Dr Long Canyon Rd

Mission Oaks Blvd

W Olsen Rd

Deer

Path

Rd

Ventura Blvd

Arne

ill Rd

S Las

Posas

Rd

Moorpark Rd

Sunset Hills Blvd

Mulholland Hwy

Potre

ro Rd

Kanan Rd

Co Hwy N9

Agoura Rd

Cornell Rd

Lindero Canyon Rd

Lynn Rd

Las Virgenes Rd

Lake Vista Dr

Reye

s Ado

be Rd

Rondell St

Co Hw

y N9

Kanan Rd

Co H

wy N

1

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAP 5 - STUDY AREA ZONES

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February 2017

Conejo Valley Unified School DistrictNeighboring School DistrictsStudy Area Zones

Elementary School Attendance BoundariesAcacia ESAspen ESBanyan ESConejo ESCypress ESGlenwood ESLadera ESLang Ranch ESMadrona ESMaple ESSycamore Canyon SchoolWalnut ESWeathersfield ESWestlake ESWestlake Hills ESWildwood ES

County of Ventura

County of Los Angeles

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

IV.  INPUTS AND METHODOLOGY   This section identifies the components used by Cooperative Strategies to project student enrollment by grade  level and  location  for  the School District. Cooperative Strategies identified  and  analyzed  various  connections  or  linkages  between  (i)  the  existing housing  stock  and  (ii)  future  student  enrollment. The primary  linkages  identified  by Cooperative Strategies include:  

Cohort Survival Factors  (i.e.,  the percentage of students  that progress  from one grade level to the next), 

Birth Rates  Student Generation Factors (ʺSGFsʺ)  Residential Development 

 These  enrollment projections  are based  on  each  student’s  school  of  residence, not where they attend.   A.  Cohort Survival Factors 

 Cohort survival factors represent the number of students that progress from one grade to the next (e.g., the number of first graders who become second graders, etc.).  In  order  to  compute  cohort  survival  factors,  Cooperative  Strategies analyzed the enrollment of the School District for school years 2013/2014 through 2016/2017.  A  cohort  survival  factor  greater  than  100%  indicates  that  student enrollment  is  increasing  from  one  grade  to  the  next.  Conversely,  a  cohort survival  factor  less  than  100%  indicates  that  student  enrollment  is  decreasing from one grade to the next. Cooperative Strategies calculated the grade‐to‐grade progression of  students over past  four  (4)  school years within each elementary school, middle school, and high school attendance area, which are summarized in Table 4.   

      

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

Table 4 Cohort Survival Factors 

Schools  Grade Level 

Elementary School  K to 1st 1st to 2nd 2nd to 3rd  3rd to 4th 4th to 5th

Acacia ES  81.56%  103.00%  106.21%  97.32%  102.00% 

Aspen ES  79.00%  97.99%  103.09%  99.34%  105.44% 

Banyan ES  88.98%  98.99%  101.37%  106.55%  96.65% 

Conejo ES  91.14%  95.96%  96.30%  100.95%  103.34% 

Cypress ES  77.72%  102.76%  98.60%  97.82%  103.45% 

Glenwood ES  85.11%  99.71%  94.58%  103.29%  99.80% 

Ladera ES  87.30%  97.02%  102.23%  95.71%  101.14% 

Ladera ES/Madrona ES Option Area[1]  88.50%  100.52%  100.54%  100.16%  102.11% 

Lang Ranch ES  94.17%  95.71%  107.54%  100.35%  102.68% 

Madrona ES  83.42%  102.94%  98.11%  97.03%  103.20% 

Maple ES  88.32%  99.01%  90.38%  100.64%  104.06% 

Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5)/ 

Cypress ES 94.74%  107.05%  102.74%  101.20%  100.41% 

Walnut ES  90.54%  91.22%  94.42%  96.03%  103.65% 

Weathersfield ES  78.51%  96.18%  97.35%  95.66%  98.74% 

Westlake ES  97.83%  108.09%  102.81%  99.57%  101.34% 

Westlake Hills ES  95.95%  108.60%  108.16%  102.87%  115.93% 

Wildwood ES  96.42%  105.81%  103.62%  104.20%  99.89% 

Middle School   5th to 6th  6th to 7th  7th to 8th       

Colina MS  106.77%  101.07%  102.25%       

Los Cerritos MS  111.11%  100.06%  102.61%       

Redwood MS  112.42%  98.60%  102.03%       

RMS/SMS Option Area 1[1]  111.32%  100.11%  101.28%       

RMS/SMS Option Area 2[1]  111.32%  100.11%  101.28%       

Sequoia MS  121.40%  101.65%  100.51%       

Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8)/ 

Sequoia MS 100.78%  97.54%  97.36%       

High School  8th to 9th  9th to 10th 10th to 

11th 

11th to 

12th   

Newbury Park HS  101.96%  99.76%  99.62%  97.94%    

NPHS/TOHS Option Area[1][2]  105.08%  99.61%  98.38%  97.00%    

Thousand Oaks HS  109.49%  98.48%  97.85%  96.86%    

Westlake HS  105.10%  100.55%  97.42%  96.18%    

[1] Due to an insufficient sample size, Districtwide CSFs were utilized. 

[2] NPHS/TOHS Option Area shares the same boundary as RMS/SMS Option Area 2.

 

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

B.  Birth Rates  

In  order  to  project  transitional‐kindergarten/kindergarten  (ʺTK/Kindergartenʺ) enrollment during  the  Study Period,  information on  actual births by ZIP  code was  obtained  from  the County  and projected  births within  the were  obtained from  the California Department  of  Finance  (ʺDOFʺ). A  summary  of  the  actual and projected birth rates are shown in Table 5.  

Table 5 Actual and Projected Birth Rates as Reported by DOF 

Birth  Year 

Actual Births By ZIP Code 

Actual/ Projected County Births

Birth Rate

Corresponding Kindergarten 

Year

Projected/Actual Kindergarten Enrollment

2011  1,184  N/A  N/A  2016/2017  1,306 

2012  1,258  N/A  106.25%  2017/2018  1,381 

2013  1,223  N/A  97.22%  2018/2019  1,351 

2014  1,255  N/A  102.62%  2019/2020  1,385 

2015  1,139  N/A  90.76%  2020/2021  1,267 

2016  1,065  11,016  93.50%  2021/2022  1,193 

 

2017  N/A  11,140  101.12%  2022/2023  1,206 

2018  N/A  11,258  101.06%  2023/2024  1,217 

2019  N/A  11,375  101.03%  2024/2025  1,229 

2020  N/A  11,469  100.83%  2025/2026  1,238 

2021  N/A  11,564  100.83%  2026/2027  1,247 [1] Actual births by ZIP Codes 91362,  91320, 91360, and 91361 provided by the County. 

[2] Actual and projected births documented for the County provided by DOF. 

[3] Projected kindergarten enrollment includes students generated from future residential units. 

 

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

C.  Student Generation Factors  In order  to project  the  impact on  the School Districtʹs  student enrollment  from Future Units, Cooperative  Strategies  calculated  SGFs  for  SFD  and MFA  units (which include condominiums, townhomes, duplexes, triplexes, and apartments) by cross referencing the student enrollment data provided by the School District against the County Assessorʹs residential data.   Sorting  and  extracting  the County Assessor  records  by  land  use, Cooperative Strategies  developed  a  database  consisting  of  44  SFD  and  44  MFA  units constructed within the last five (5) years. This database was then compared with the student enrollment database to identify the propensity for future residential units to generate students. These SGFs are shown in Table 6. 

 Table 6 

Student Generation Factors 

School Level Single Family Detached Units 

Multifamily Attached Units 

Elementary School (Grades TK‐5)  0.1549  0.1426 

Middle School (Grades 6‐8)  0.0976  0.0713 

High School (Grades 9‐12)  0.1511  0.0978 

Total  0.4036  0.3117 

 D.  Residential Development  

Based on  information provided by the Cities, County, and  local developers, the School District currently has 354 residential units planned within its boundaries through  2026,  excluding  age‐restricted  residential  units.    Table  7  shows  the projected absorption of residential units by year for the next 10 years, while Map 6 details the residential projects and the number of units planned with respect to each project within the School District. (Please note that residential development is expected to continue beyond the period of this Study.) 

 

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

Table 7 Residential Absorption 

Year Single Family Detached Units

Multifamily Attached Units

Total Residential Units[1] 

2016[1]  0 0 0 

2017  39  174  213 

2018  5 68 73 

2019  1 18 19 

2020  0  13  13 

2021  0 36 36 

2022  0 0 0 

2023  0  0  0 

2024  0 0 0 

2025  0 0 0 

Total  45 309 354 [1] As the student enrollment data was provided as of February 2017, residential development from 2016 was not considered in the projections. 

    

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Made

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W Hillcrest Dr

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Las Posas Rd

Potre

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Kanan Rd

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT MAP 6 - FUTURE RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT

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February 2017

Conejo Valley Unified School DistrictNeighboring School DistrictsFuture Residential Developement

County of Ventura

County of Los Angeles

Map Number

Unit Type

Total Units

Location

1 MF 40 135 N. Conjeo School Rd2 SFD 5 Skyline Road3 SFA 23 950 Warwick Dr4 SFA 26 80 - 90 Clay Ct5 SFA 55 1200 Newbury Dr6 SFD 1 157 Rimrock Drive7 SFD 24 1154 Arroyo View St8 SFA 4 136 N. Oakview Dr9 SFA 6 3236 Royal Oaks Dr10 SFA 3 3190 Los Robles Rd11 MF 19 271 Erbes Rd12 Mixed 40 1850 E. Thousand Oaks Blvd13 MF 36 1708 E. Thousand Oaks Blvd14 SFD 3 1481, 1485, & 1489 Rancho Lane15 SFD 5 600 Lone Oak Dr16 SFD 3 Highgate Rd17 MF 45 1815 & 1825 Los Feliz Dr18 MF 36 1475 E. Thousand Oaks Blvd19 SFD 20 Mayflower St. and Warwick St.20 SFD 3 Kanan Rd. And Mayburn St.21 SFD 7 Hillcrest Dr. and Lone Oak Dr.

22 SFD 4 730, 742, 766, 778 & 786 Calle Contento

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V.  DISTRICTWIDE ENROLLMENT PROJECTION    All  of  the  items  analyzed  in  prior  sections were  employed  to  project  the  number  of students within the School District in the Study Period.  

 Cohort  survival  factors were  incorporated  to determine  the percentage of  students  in any given year who matriculate to enter the next grade in the following year. Secondly, kindergarten  rates  and  new  residential  development  were  incorporated  into  the projection  to project new  students  entering  the School District. Utilizing  these  inputs and methods, the total student enrollment of the School District is projected to continue to decline through school year 2026/2027.   As  shown  in Graph  2  on  the  following  page,  the  student  enrollment  of  the  School District  is projected  to decrease by 10.66 percent  to 16,976  students by  the end of  the Study Period.  

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

 

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

A.  Elementary School Enrollment Projection  

At  the  elementary  school  level,  enrollment  is projected  to decrease  from  7,360 students  in  School Year  2016/2017  to  6,805  students  in  school  year  2026/2027, equating  to  a  7.54  percent  decline.  Based  on  facilities  capacity  information provided  by  the  School  District,  the  elementary  schools  have  a  combined maximum  capacity  of  9,600  students  and  a  utilized  capacity  of  7,357.  Table  8 shows  the projected  elementary  school  enrollment  in  school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 4 below shows the projected student enrollment against both maximum  and  utilized  facilities  capacity  (Please  see  Exhibit D  for  the  School Facilities  Capacity).  Tables  9  through  26  and  graphs  5  though  22  show  the projected elementary school enrollment for each school and may not sum due to rounding.  

Table 8 Projected Elementary School Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade 2016/2017Enrollment

2026/2027Enrollment

Growth/ (Decline) 

Percentage Change

Grade K  1,306   1,247   (59)  (4.50%) 

Grade 1  1,129   1,110  (19)  (1.70%) 

Grade 2  1,124   1,104  (20)  (1.79%) 

Grade 3  1,174   1,104  (70)  (6.00%) 

Grade 4  1,286   1,117  (169)  (13.11%) 

Grade 5  1,341   1,123  (218)  (16.28%) 

Grand Total  7,360  6,805  (555)  (7.54%) 

 

7,360 

7,316 

7,295 

7,380 

7,378 

7,316 

7,227 

7,072 

6,961 

6,825 

6,805 

9,600 

7,357 

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 4: Projected Elementary School Enrollment

Student Enrollment Maximum Facilities Capacity Utilized Facilities Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

1. Acacia Elementary School  

The enrollment for Acacia Elementary School (ʺAcacia ESʺ) is projected to decrease  from  338  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  337  students  in school  year  2026/2027.    Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School District, Acacia ES has a maximum capacity of 430 seats and a utilized capacity of 320 seats. Table 9 shows the projected enrollment for Acacia ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  5  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period.  

Table 9 Projected Acacia ES Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade 2016/2017Enrollment

2026/2027Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  68  65  (3) 

Grade 1  46  54  8 

Grade 2  61  54  (7) 

Grade 3  52  55  3 

Grade 4  54  55  1 

Grade 5  57  55  (2) 

Grand Total  338  337  (1) 

Percent Change  (0.29%)

 

    

338 

344 

355 

368 

361 

365 

360 

351 

345 

338 

337 

430 

320 

0

100

200

300

400

500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 5: Projected Enrollment at Acacia ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

2. Aspen Elementary School  

The enrollment for Aspen Elementary School (ʺAspen ESʺ) is projected to decrease  from  375  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  348  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Aspen ES has a maximum capacity of 460 seats and a utilized capacity of 340 seats. Table 10 shows the projected enrollment for Aspen ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  6  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period.  

Table 10 Projected Aspen ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  87  69  (18) 

Grade 1  52  56  4 

Grade 2  45  55  10 

Grade 3  66  55  (11) 

Grade 4  66  55  (11) 

Grade 5  59  56  (3) 

Grand Total  375  348  (27) 

Percent Change  (7.32%)

 

375 

380 

377 

375 

386 

388 

370 

362 

356 

349 

348 

460 

340 

0

100

200

300

400

500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 6: Projected Enrollment at Aspen ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

3. Banyan Elementary School  

The enrollment for Banyan Elementary School (ʺBanyan ESʺ)  is projected to decline  from 440  students  in  school year 2016/2017  to 428  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Banyan ES has a maximum capacity of 570 seats and a utilized capacity of 465 seats. Table 11 shows the projected enrollment for Banyan ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  7  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period. 

 Table 11 

Projected Banyan ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  72  80  8 

Grade 1  68  70  2 

Grade 2  73  69  (4) 

Grade 3  74  68  (6) 

Grade 4  82  72  (10) 

Grade 5  71  69  (2) 

Grand Total  440  428  (12) 

Percent Change  (2.62%)

 

440 

452 

450 

456 

453 

453 

457 

447 

439 

430 

428 

570 

465 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 7: Projected Enrollment at Banyan ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

4. Conejo Elementary School  

The enrollment for Conejo Elementary School (ʺConejo ESʺ) is projected to decline  from  366  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  342  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Conejo ES has a maximum capacity of 660 seats and a utilized capacity of 291 seats. Table 12 shows the projected enrollment for Conejo ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  8  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period. 

 Table 12 

Projected Conejo ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  52  65  13 

Grade 1  66  58  (8) 

Grade 2  57  56  (1) 

Grade 3  63  54  (9) 

Grade 4  67  54  (13) 

Grade 5  61  55  (6) 

Grand Total  366  342  (24) 

Percent Change  (6.45%)

 

366 

368 

370 

370 

369 

355 

365 

356 

351 

343 

342 

660 

291 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 8: Projected Enrollment at Conejo ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

5. Cypress Elementary School  

The enrollment for Cypress Elementary School (ʺCypress ESʺ) is projected to decline  from 338  students  in  school year 2016/2017  to 305  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Cypress ES has a maximum capacity of 540 seats and a utilized capacity of 303  seats.  Table  13  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for  Cypress  ES  in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 9 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period. 

 Table 13 

Projected Cypress ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  90  61  (29) 

Grade 1  55  50  (5) 

Grade 2  40  50  10 

Grade 3  57  49  (8) 

Grade 4  56  48  (8) 

Grade 5  40  48  8 

Grand Total  338  305  (33) 

Percent Change  (9.77%)

 

   

   

338 

353 

352 

351 

362 

354 

325 

318 

312 

306 

305 

540 

303 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 9: Projected Enrollment at Cypress ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

6. Glenwood Elementary School  

The  enrollment  for  Glenwood  Elementary  School  (ʺGlenwood  ESʺ)  is projected  to  decline  from  344  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  291 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Glenwood ES has a maximum capacity of 620 seats and a utilized capacity  of  367  seats.  Table  14  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for Glenwood ES in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 10 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 14 

Projected Glenwood ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  63  57  (6) 

Grade 1  50  48  (2) 

Grade 2  70  48  (22) 

Grade 3  46  45  (1) 

Grade 4  54  47  (7) 

Grade 5  61  46  (15) 

Grand Total  344  291  (53) 

Percent Change  (15.39%)

 

    

344 

336 

335 

342 

321 

317 

310 

303 

298 

292 

291 

620 

367 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 10: Projected Enrollment at Glenwood ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

7. Ladera Elementary School  

The enrollment for Ladera Elementary School (ʺLadera ESʺ) is projected to decline  from  305  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  255  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Ladera ES has a maximum capacity of 440 seats and a utilized capacity of 304 seats. Table 15 shows the projected enrollment for Ladera ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  11  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period. 

 Table 15 

Projected Ladera ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  51  50  (1) 

Grade 1  46  43  (3) 

Grade 2  46  41  (5) 

Grade 3  50  41  (9) 

Grade 4  50  40  (10) 

Grade 5  62  40  (22) 

Grand Total  305  255  (50) 

Percent Change  (16.40%)

 

305 

290 

286 

284 

280 

275 

272 

265 

261 

256 

255 

440 

304 

0

100

200

300

400

500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 11: Projected Enrollment at Ladera ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

8. Lang Ranch Elementary School  

The enrollment within  the Lang Ranch Elementary School  (ʺLang Ranch ESʺ) is projected to decrease from 666 students in school year 2016/2017 to 528  students  in  school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the School District, Lang Ranch ES has a maximum capacity of 730 seats and a utilized capacity of 679 seats. Table 16 shows the projected enrollment for Lang Ranch ES  in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 12 shows the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity  and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 16 

Projected Lang Ranch ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  88  94  6 

Grade 1  103  87  (16) 

Grade 2  90  83  (7) 

Grade 3  113  87  (26) 

Grade 4  134  88  (46) 

Grade 5  138  89  (49) 

Grand Total  666  528  (138) 

Percent Change  (20.78%)

 

666 

635 

599 

585 

581 

561 

564 

551 

541 

529 

528 

730 679 

0

200

400

600

800

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 12: Projected Enrollment at Lang Ranch ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

9. Madrona Elementary School  

The  enrollment  for  Madrona  Elementary  School  (ʺMadrona  ESʺ)  is projected  to  decline  from  438  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  408 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Madrona ES has a maximum capacity of 740 seats and a utilized capacity  of  460  seats.  Table  17  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for Madrona ES in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 13 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

 Table 17 

Projected Madrona ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  97  79  (18) 

Grade 1  64  67  3 

Grade 2  56  67  11 

Grade 3  68  66  (2) 

Grade 4  71  64  (7) 

Grade 5  82  65  (17) 

Grand Total  438  408  (30) 

Percent Change  (6.83%)

 

438 

431 

439 

445 

457 

456 

435 

425 

418 

409 

408 

740 

460 

0

200

400

600

800

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 13: Projected Enrollment at Madrona ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

10. Maple Elementary School  

The enrollment for Maple Elementary School (ʺMaple ESʺ) is projected to decline  from  317  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  256  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Maple ES has a maximum capacity of 380 seats and a utilized capacity of 292 seats. Table 18 shows the projected enrollment for Maple ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  14  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period. 

 Table 18 

Projected Maple ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  50  50  0 

Grade 1  50  44  (6) 

Grade 2  59  43  (16) 

Grade 3  55  40  (15) 

Grade 4  55  39  (16) 

Grade 5  48  40  (8) 

Grand Total  317  256  (61) 

Percent Change  (19.30%)

 

317 

317 

306 

296 

282 

274 

272 

266 

262 

257 

256 

380 

292 

0

100

200

300

400

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 14: Projected Enrollment at Maple ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

11. Sycamore Canyon School  

At  the  elementary  school  level  for  Sycamore  Canyon  School  (K‐5)  is projected  to  decline  from  739  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  608 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Sycamore Canyon School  (K‐5) has a maximum  capacity of 870 seats  and  a utilized  capacity  of  809  seats. Table  19  shows  the projected enrollment for Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5) in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 15 shows  the projected student enrollment compared to  facilities  capacity and utilized  capacity over  the Study Period  (Please see  Graph  27  for  the  projected middle  school  enrollment  at  Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8)). 

 Table 19 

Projected Elementary School Enrollment at  Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5) through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  91  103  12 

Grade 1  108  96  (12) 

Grade 2  118  101  (17) 

Grade 3  135  103  (32) 

Grade 4  120  103  (17) 

Grade 5  167  102  (65) 

Grand Total  739  608  (131) 

Percent Change  (17.67%)

 

739 

694 

691 

673 

658 

643 

652 

636 

625 

611 

608 

870 809 

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 15: Projected Elementary School Enrollment at 

Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5)

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

12. Walnut Elementary School  

The enrollment  for Walnut Elementary School  (ʺWalnut ESʺ)  is projected to decline  from 340  students  in  school year 2016/2017  to 334  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Walnut ES has a maximum capacity of 500 seats and a utilized capacity of 339 seats. Table 20 shows the projected enrollment for Walnut ES in school year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  16  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period. 

 Table 20 

Projected Walnut ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  76  67  (9) 

Grade 1  65  60  (5) 

Grade 2  43  55  12 

Grade 3  38  52  14 

Grade 4  58  50  (8) 

Grade 5  60  51  (9) 

Grand Total  340  334  (6) 

Percent Change  (1.82%)

 

340 

339 

340 

360 

372 

365 

354 

346 

341 

335 

334 

500 

339 

0

150

300

450

600

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 16: Projected Enrollment at Walnut ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

13. Weathersfield Elementary School  

The enrollment for Weathersfield Elementary School (ʺWeathersfield ESʺ) is projected  to decline  from 351 students  in school year 2016/2017  to 326 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Weathersfield  ES  has  a maximum  capacity  of  490  seats  and  a utilized capacity of 384 seats. Table 21 shows the projected enrollment for Weathersfield ES in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 17 shows the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity  and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 21 

Projected Weathersfield ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  85  70  (15) 

Grade 1  43  55  12 

Grade 2  36  53  17 

Grade 3  47  51  4 

Grade 4  59  49  (10) 

Grade 5  81  48  (33) 

Grand Total  351  326  (25) 

Percent Change  (7.15%)

 

351 

327 

325 

336 

351 

358 

346 

338 

333 

327 

326 

490 

384 

0

100

200

300

400

500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 17: Projected Enrollment at Weathersfield ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

14. Westlake Elementary School  

The  enrollment  for  Westlake  Elementary  School  (ʺWestlake  ESʺ)  is projected  to  increase  from  532  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  544 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Westlake ES has a maximum capacity of 580 seats and a utilized capacity  of  519  seats.  Table  22  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for Westlake ES in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 18 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 22 

Projected Westlake ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  103  91  (12) 

Grade 1  89  87  (2) 

Grade 2  84  91  7 

Grade 3  76  92  16 

Grade 4  94  92  (2) 

Grade 5  86  92  6 

Grand Total  532  544  12 

Percent Change  2.27%

 

532 

553 

563 

591 

603 

597 

583 

569 

558 

546 

544 

580 519 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 18: Projected Enrollment at Westlake ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

15. Westlake Hills Elementary School  

The enrollment for Westlake Hills Elementary School (ʺWestlake Hills ESʺ) is projected to increase from 495 students in school year 2016/2017 to 559 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Westlake Hills  ES  has  a maximum  capacity  of  600  seats  and  a utilized capacity of 515 seats. Table 23 shows the projected enrollment for Westlake  Hills  ES  in  school  year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  19 shows  the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 23 

Projected Westlake Hills ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  92  92  0 

Grade 1  66  86  20 

Grade 2  81  89  8 

Grade 3  61  93  32 

Grade 4  100  95  (5) 

Grade 5  95  104  9 

Grand Total  495  559  64 

Percent Change  12.95%

 

495 

515 

518 

567 

577 

605 

601 

586 

576 

562 

559 

600 

515 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 19: Projected Enrollment at Westlake Hills ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

16. Wildwood Elementary School  

The  enrollment  for  Wildwood  Elementary  School  (ʺWildwood  ESʺ)  is projected  to  decline  from  426  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  385 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Wildwood ES has a maximum capacity of 450 seats and a utilized capacity  of  426  seats.  Table  24  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for Wildwood ES in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 20 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 24 

Projected Wildwood ES Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  53  65  12 

Grade 1  70  61  (9) 

Grade 2  78  63  (15) 

Grade 3  84  64  (20) 

Grade 4  67  67  0 

Grade 5  74  65  (9) 

Grand Total  426  385  (41) 

Percent Change  (9.52%)

 

426 

433 

440 

430 

415 

403 

412 

403 

396 

387 

385 

450 426 

0

100

200

300

400

500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 20: Projected Enrollment at Wildwood ES

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

17. EARTHS Magnet School  

The  enrollment  for  EARTHS  Magnet  School  (ʺEARTHS  Magnetʺ)  is projected  to  remain  constant at 536  students  in  school year 2016/2017  to 536  students  in  school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the School District,  EARTHS Magnet  has  a maximum  capacity  of  540  seats and a utilized capacity 544 seats. Table 25 shows the projected enrollment for EARTHS Magnet  in  school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 21 shows  the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period. 

 Table 25 

Projected EARTHS Magnet School Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  86  86  0  

Grade 1  87  87  0  

Grade 2  87  87  0  

Grade 3  84  84  0  

Grade 4  95  95  0  

Grade 5  97  97  0  

Grand Total  536  536  0  

Percent Change  N/A 

 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

536 

540 544 

500

510

520

530

540

550

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 21: Projected Enrollment at EARTHS Magnet

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

18. ISEL and Non‐Public Schools  

The enrollment for ISEL and Non‐Public Schools (ʺOther ESʺ) is projected to  remain  constant with 14  students  through  the Study Period. Table 26 shows the projected enrollment for Other ES  in school year 2026/2027 by grade. 

 Table 26 

Projected Enrollment at Other ES through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade K  2  2  0  

Grade 1  1  1  0  

Grade 2  0  0  0  

Grade 3  5  5  0  

Grade 4  4  4  0  

Grade 5  2  2  0  

Grand Total  14  14  0  

Percent Change  N/A 

   

   

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

B. Middle School Enrollment Projection  At the middle school level, enrollment is projected to decline from 4,473 students in  school  year  2016/2017  to  4,023  students  in  school  year  2026/2027. Based  on facilities capacity information provided by the School District, the middle school level has a combined maximum capacity of 5,716 seats and a utilized capacity of 4,417 seats. Table 27 shows the projected middle school enrollment in school year 2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  22  shows  the  projected  student  enrollment against both maximum and utilized  facilities capacity  (Please see Exhibit D  for the School Facilities Capacity). Tables 28  through 34 and graphs 23  through 27 show the projected middle school enrollment for each school and may not sum due to rounding.  

Table 27 Projected Middle School Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade 2016/2017 Enrollment

2026/2027Enrollment

Growth/ (Decline) 

Percentage Change

Grade 6  1,429  1,259  (170)  (11.93%) 

Grade 7  1,530  1,386  (144)  (9.43%) 

Grade 8  1,514  1,379  (135)  (8.95%) 

Grand Total  4,473  4,023  (450)  (10.06%) 

 

4,473 

4,411 

4,286 

4,148 

3,967 

3,820 

3,839 

3,977 

4,074 

4,148 

4,023 

5,716 

4,417 

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 22: Projected Middle School Enrollment

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

1. Colina Middle School  The  enrollment  for Colina Middle  School  (ʺColina MSʺ)  is  projected  to increase  from 992  students  in  school year 2016/2017  to 1,084  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Colina MS has a maximum capacity of 1,299 seats and a utilized capacity of  980  seats. Table  28  shows  the projected  enrollment  for Colina MS  in school  year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  23  shows  the  projected student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity  and utilized  capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 28 Projected Colina MS Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  358  337  (21) 

Grade 7  326  374  48 

Grade 8  308  372  64 

Grand Total  992  1,084  92 

Percent Change  9.30%

 

992 

1,031 

1,068 

1,023 

1,008 

974 

1,008 

1,058 

1,098 

1,118 

1,084 

1,299 

980 

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 23: Projected Enrollment at Colina MS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

2. Los Cerritos Middle School  The  enrollment  for  Los  Cerritos Middle  School  (ʺLos  Cerritos MSʺ)  is projected  to  decline  from  971  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  747 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Los Cerritos MS  has  a maximum  capacity  of  1,299  seats  and  a utilized capacity of 907 seats. Table 29 shows the projected enrollment for Los Cerritos MS in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 24 shows the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity  and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 29 Projected Los Cerritos MS Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  289  234  (55) 

Grade 7  329  257  (72) 

Grade 8  353  256  (97) 

Grand Total  971  747  (224) 

Percent Change  (23.07%)

 

971 

945 

895 

862 

782 

741 

725 

745 

756 

770 

747 

1,299 

907 

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 24: Projected Enrollment at Los Cerritos MS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

3. Redwood Middle School  The enrollment for Redwood Middle School (ʺRedwood MSʺ) is projected to decline  from 893  students  in  school year 2016/2017  to 674  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Redwood  MS  has  a  maximum  capacity  of  1,419  seats  and  a  utilized capacity  of  882  seats.  Table  30  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for Redwood MS in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 25 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 30 Projected Redwood MS Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  290  212  (78) 

Grade 7  300  230  (70) 

Grade 8  303  231  (72) 

Grand Total  893  674  (219) 

Percent Change  (24.57%)

 

893 

817 

747 

675 

668 

653 

654 

669 

682 

693 

674 

1,419 

882 

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 25: Projected Enrollment at Redwood MS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

4. Sequoia Middle School  The enrollment for Sequoia Middle School (ʺSequoia MSʺ)  is projected to decline  from 1,093 students  in school year 2016/2017  to 1,015 students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Sequoia MS has a maximum capacity of 1,319 seats and a utilized capacity of 1,106 seats. Table 31 shows the projected enrollment for Sequoia MS in school  year  2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  26  shows  the  projected student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity  and utilized  capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 31 Projected Sequoia MS Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  313  316  3 

Grade 7  406  352  (54) 

Grade 8  374  348  (26) 

Grand Total  1,093  1,015  (78) 

Percent Change  (7.11%)

 

1,093 

1,044 

985 

983 

970 

940 

959 

1,003 

1,029 

1,048 

1,015 

1,319 

1,106 

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 26: Projected Enrollment at Sequoia MS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

5. Sycamore Canyon School  At the middle school  level, Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8)  is projected to decline  from  516  students  in  school  year  2016/2017  to  495  students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8) has a maximum capacity of 380 seats and a utilized capacity of 542 seats. Table 32 shows the projected enrollment for Sycamore Canyon  School  (6‐8)  in  school  year  2026/2027  by  grade while Graph  27  shows  the projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 32 Projected Middle School Enrollment at  

Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8) through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  177  157  (20) 

Grade 7  167  171  4 

Grade 8  172  167  (5) 

Grand Total  516  495  (21) 

Percent Change  (4.12%)

 

516 

565 

582 

596 

531 

504 

483 

494 

501 

511 

495 

380 

542 

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 27: Projected Middle School Enrollment at 

Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8) through 2026/2027

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

6. Century Academy  The  middle  school  enrollment  for  Century  Academy  is  projected  to remain constant with four (4) students through the Study Period. Table 33 shows  the projected middle  school  enrollment  for Century Academy  in school  year  2026/2027  (Please  see  Graph  32  for  a  comparison  of  the student  enrollment  to  facilities  capacity  and  utilized  capacity  over  the Study Period).  

Table 33 Projected Century Academy Middle School Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  1  1  0  

Grade 7  0  0  0  

Grade 8  3  3  0  

Grand Total  4  4  0 

Percent Change  N/A 

 7. Home School and Non‐Public School 

 The  middle  school  enrollment  for  home  schooled  students  and  Non‐Public Schools (ʺOther MSʺ) are projected to remain constant with a total of  four  (4)  students  through  the  Study  Period.  Table  34  shows  the projected middle enrollment for Other MS in school year 2026/2027.  

Table 34 Projected Enrollment at Other MS through 2026/2027 

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 6  1  1  0  

Grade 7  2  2  0  

Grade 8  1  1  0  

Grand Total  4  4  0 

Percent Change  N/A 

 

   

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C. High School Enrollment Projection  At the high school level, enrollment is projected to decrease from 7,167 students in  school  year  2016/2017  to  6,148  students  in  school  year  2026/2027. Based  on facilities  capacity  information provided by  the  School District,  the high  school level has a combined maximum capacity of 8,311 seats and a utilized capacity of 7,111 seats. Table 35 shows  the projected high school enrollment  in school year 2026/2027  by  grade  while  graph  28  shows  the  projected  student  enrollment against both  the maximum and utilized  facilities capacity  (Please see Exhibit D for  the School Facilities Capacity). Tables 36  through 40 and graphs 29  through 33 show the projected student enrollment for each school and may not sum due to rounding.  

Table 35 Projected High School Enrollment through 2026/2027 

Grade 2016/2017Enrollment

2026/2027Enrollment

Growth/ (Decline) 

Percentage Change

Grade 9  1,674  1,588  (86)  (5.15%) 

Grade 10  1,772  1,533  (239)  (13.46%) 

Grade 11  1,868  1,537  (331)  (17.73%) 

Grade 12  1,828  1,465  (363)  (19.86%) 

Adult Education  25  25  0  0.00% 

Grand Total  7,167  6,148  (1,019)  (14.22%) 

 

7,167 

7,039 

7,016 

6,914 

6,867 

6,767 

6,518 

6,317 

6,131 

6,045 

6,148 

8,311 

7,111 

0

1,500

3,000

4,500

6,000

7,500

9,000

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 28: Projected High School Enrollment

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

1. Newbury Park High School  The enrollment  for Newbury Park High School  (ʺNewbury Park HSʺ)  is projected to decline from 2,420 students in school year 2016/2017 to 1,988 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Newbury Park HS has a maximum capacity of 2,400 seats and a utilized capacity of 2,392  seats. Table 36  shows  the projected enrollment for Newbury Park HS  in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 29 shows  the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 36 Projected Newbury Park HS Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 9  579  518  (61) 

Grade 10  619  487  (132) 

Grade 11  630  507  (123) 

Grade 12  592  475  (117) 

Grand Total  2,420  1,988  (432) 

Percent Change  (17.85%) 

2,420 

2,439 

2,446 

2,372 

2,329 

2,255 

2,139 

2,058 

2,018 

1,974 

1,988 

2,400 2,392 

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 29: Projected Enrollment at Newbury Park HS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

2. Thousand Oaks High School  The enrollment for Thousand Oaks High School (ʺThousand Oaks HSʺ) is projected to decline from 2,184 students in school year 2016/2017 to 1,816 students  in school year 2026/2027. Based on data provided by the School District, Thousand Oaks HS has a maximum capacity of 2,985 seats and a utilized capacity of 2,315  seats. Table 37  shows  the projected enrollment for Thousand Oaks HS in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 30 shows  the  projected  student  enrollment  compared  to  facilities  capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 37 Projected Thousand Oaks HS Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 9  514  492  (22) 

Grade 10  531  460  (71) 

Grade 11  610  435  (175) 

Grade 12  529  429  (100) 

Grand Total  2,184  1,816  (368) 

Percent Change  (16.86%)

 

2,184 

2,159 

2,088 

2,065 

2,067 

2,022 

1,952 

1,882 

1,800 

1,785 

1,816 

2,985 

2,315 

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 30: Projected Enrollment at Thousand Oaks HS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

3. Westlake High School  The enrollment for Westlake High School (ʺWestlake HSʺ)  is projected to decline  from 2,305 students  in school year 2016/2017  to 2,087 students  in school  year  2026/2027.  Based  on  data  provided  by  the  School  District, Westlake  HS  has  a  maximum  capacity  of  2,656  seats  and  a  utilized capacity  of  2,250  seats.  Table  38  shows  the  projected  enrollment  for Westlake HS in school year 2026/2027 by grade while Graph 31 shows the projected student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 38 Projected Westlake HS Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 9  563  560  (3) 

Grade 10  565  529  (36) 

Grade 11  533  500  (33) 

Grade 12  644  498  (146) 

Grand Total  2,305  2,087  (218) 

Percent Change  (9.47%)

 

2,305 

2,183 

2,225 

2,219 

2,213 

2,231 

2,169 

2,119 

2,056 

2,027 

2,087 

2,656 

2,250 

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 31: Projected Enrollment at Westlake HS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

4. Century Academy  

The high school enrollment  for Century Academy  is projected  to remain constant with 124 high school students through the Study Period. Table 39 shows  the  projected  high  school  enrollment  for  Century  Academy  in school year 2026/2027 while Graph 32 shows the total student enrollment to facilities capacity and utilized capacity over the Study Period.  

Table 39 Projected High School Enrollment at Century Academy through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 9  16  16  0 

Grade 10  30  30  0 

Grade 11  40  40  0 

Grade 12  13  13  0 

Adult Education  25  25  0 

Grand Total  124  124  0 

Percent Change  N/A

 

 [1] The enrollment shown in Graph 32 includes the middle school students attending Century Academy and the 

students attending the Home School Program.    

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

128 

60 

87 

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 32: Projected Enrollment at Century Academy[1]

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT PAGE 53

ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

5. Conejo Valley High School  The  enrollment  for  Conejo Valley High  School  (ʺConejo Valley HSʺ)  is projected to remain constant through the Study Period with 124 students. Based  on data provided by  the  School District, Conejo Valley HS has  a maximum capacity of 210 seats and a utilized capacity of 67 seats. Table 40 shows  the  projected  enrollment  for  Conejo  Valley  HS  in  school  year 2026/2027  by  grade  while  Graph  33  shows  the  projected  student enrollment compared  to  facilities capacity and utilized capacity over  the Study Period.  

Table 40 Projected Conejo Valley HS Enrollment through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 9  0  0  0  

Grade 10  24  24  0  

Grade 11  52  52  0  

Grade 12  48  48  0  

Grand Total  124  124  0  

Percent Change  N/A 

 

    

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

124 

210 

67 

0

50

100

150

200

250

Student Enrollment

School Year

Graph 33: Projected Enrollment at Conejo Valley HS

Student Enrollment Maximum Capacity Utilized Capacity

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT PAGE 54

ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY  MARCH 13, 2017

 

6. Non‐Public Schools  The  high  school  enrollment  for  Non  Public  Schools  (ʺOther  HSʺ)  is projected  to  remain  constant  through  the  Study Period. Table  41  shows the projected high school enrollment at Other HS in school year 2026/2027.  

Table 41 Projected Enrollment at Other HS through 2026/2027  

Grade  2016/2017 Enrollment 2026/2027 Enrollment Growth/(Decline)

Grade 9  2  2  0  

Grade 10  3  3  0  

Grade 11  3  3  0  

Grade 12  2  2  0  

Grand Total  10  10  0  

Percent Change  N/A 

 

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT PAGE 55

ENROLLMENT PROJECTION STUDY   MARCH 13, 2017

VI.  CONCLUSION   Based on the projections provided in the Study, total student enrollment is expected to decline  throughout  the  the Study Period. Major contributors  to  the decline  in student enrollment includes smaller class sizes at the elementary school, a low number of future residential  projects  within  the  Study  Period,  and  a  low  propensity  for  newly constructed residential units to generate students.  As shown  in Graph 1,  the School Districtʹs elementary school enrollment has declined significantly since school year 2005/2006. The Study projects this decline to continue for the next ten (10) school years to approximately 6,805 students by the end of the Study Period.  Consequently,  as  the  smaller  elementary  school  classes matriculate  into  the middle school and high school  levels, the total enrollment at each  level  is projected to decline.   While the Study indicates that a modest number of future residential developments are projected  to  be  constructed within  the  Study Period,  it  is  important  to  note  that  the impact of future residential development is hampered by the low estimated propensity to  generate  students.  As  indicated  in  the  Study,  the  impact  of  future  residential development is closely associated with the unit type of the home.   As mentioned  in  Section  I,  the  Study  is  a  living document based on  the  information gathered during the first quarter of 2017. Fluctuations in population, economy, and the housing market  are  expected  to  occur  over  time  and may  require  reevaluations  of and/or  adjustments  to  the  Study.  It  is,  therefore,  important  for  the  School District  to monitor the enrollment on an annual basis and evaluate any changes in trends that may occur.                S:\Clients\Conejo Valley Unified SD\Demographics\Enrollment Projections\SY1617\Reports\Final\CVUSD_EnrollmentAnalysis_FN.docx 

 

Page 58: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

EXHIBIT A  

School Attendance Information    

Page 59: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Acacia ES

Aspen ES

Banyan ES

Conejo ES

Cypress ES

Glenwood ES

Ladera ES

Lang Ranch ES

Madrona ES

Maple ES

Sycamore Canyon 

School (K‐5)

Walnut ES

Weathersfield ES

Westlake ES

Westlake Hills ES

Wildwood ES

Earths Manget

ISEL

Non‐Public School

Total

Acacia ES

232

323

112

197

320

63

52

611

914

10

386

Aspen ES

7195

52

00

10

107

05

02

16

290

0270

Ban

yan ES

38

374

430

41

320

1017

130

33

092

00

585

Conejo ES

913

1271

217

53

95

04

479

104

19

00

536

Cypress ES

11

90

225

01

05

1315

110

00

066

10

348

Glenwood ES

3460

227

3256

4019

154

16

242

98

250

0535

Lad

era ES

96

05

22

208

384

30

011

614

45

20

319

Lan

g Ran

ch ES

51

04

03

7536

21

01

34

72

50

0581

Mad

rona ES

512

43

64

01

296

74

20

26

254

01

409

Map

le ES

13

122

131

10

7196

61

01

00

521

0297

Sycamore Can

yon School (K‐

5)/Cypress ES

03

41

211

10

36

678

20

00

020

20

742

Walnut ES

54

1710

320

11

1149

6279

14

30

125

20

550

Weathersfield ES

812

07

026

2513

112

00

294

15

2311

20

440

Westlake ES

01

01

10

22

30

10

0395

90

30

0418

Westlake Hills ES

11

00

02

024

31

00

013

312

02

00

359

Wildwood ES

713

07

00

26

142

00

33

0355

101

0423

Inter‐District Transfer

1110

911

19

317

55

811

911

1116

141

0162

Total

338

375

440

366

338

344

305

666

438

317

739

340

351

532

495

426

536

131

7,360

School of Residence

School of Attendance

CONEJO UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

SCHOOL OF RESIDENCE TO SCHOOL OF ATTENDANCE MATRIX

Page 60: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

SCHOOL OF RESIDENCE TO SCHOOL OF ATTENDANCE MATRIX

Colina MS

Los Cerritos MS

Redwood MS

Sycamore Canyon 

School (6‐8)

Sequoia MS

Century Academy

Home School

Non‐Public School

Total

Colina MS

774

6259

221

10

0919

Los Cerritos MS

82778

8510

02

02

959

Red

wood M

S47

44638

684

10

1803

Sycamore Can

yon School (6‐

8)/Sequoia M

S28

1065

947

510

10

1,102

Sequoia M

S3

42

16455

00

0480

Inter‐District Transfer

5873

4430

50

00

210

Unknown

00

00

00

00

0

Total

992

971

893

1,093

516

41

34,473

Newbury Park HS

Thousand Oaks HS

Westlake HS

Century Academy

Conejo Valley HS

Non‐Public School

Total

New

bury Park H

S2,017

153

120

3238

22,362

Thousand Oaks HS

901475

267

3740

41913

Westlake HS

52358

1648

4044

42146

Inter‐District Transfer

261

198

270

152

0746

Unknown

00

00

00

0

Total

2,4202,1842,305

124

124

107,167

School of Residence

School of Residence

School of Attendance

School of Attendance

Page 61: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

 EXHIBIT B 

 Enrollment Projections by School of Residence 

  

   

Page 62: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Acacia ES 386 402 415 437 437 435 429 419 412 403 402

Aspen ES 270 272 270 272 278 278 275 269 265 260 259

Banyan ES 585 596 590 605 608 613 606 594 585 574 572

Conejo ES 536 535 544 550 546 538 535 523 514 503 502

Cypress ES 348 357 351 344 350 343 339 333 328 323 322

Glenwood ES 535 514 501 499 481 468 462 452 445 436 435

Ladera ES 319 302 295 295 285 280 276 270 265 260 259

Lang Ranch ES 581 551 517 502 495 474 468 457 449 439 437

Ladera ES/Westlake 

Hills ES Option Area0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Madrona ES 409 407 402 404 411 410 405 396 391 384 383

Maple ES 297 296 281 267 252 239 236 232 229 225 225

Sycamore Canyon 

School (K‐5)/

Cypress ES

742 700 696 678 669 661 652 636 625 611 609

Walnut ES 550 554 568 590 600 586 579 568 562 553 552

Weathersfield ES 440 421 422 434 451 455 449 439 432 424 424

Westlake ES 418 434 447 474 479 472 465 454 445 435 434

Westlake Hills ES 359 384 396 433 455 489 483 471 463 451 448

Wildwood ES 423 428 437 433 421 412 407 397 390 381 380

IDT 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162

Total 7,360 7,316 7,295 7,380 7,378 7,316 7,227 7,072 6,961 6,825 6,805

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Colina MS 919 933 954 908 910 875 940 999 1,062 1,082 1,047

Los Cerritos MS 959 997 962 927 803 742 719 743 751 766 742

Redwood MS 803 760 751 728 731 718 717 730 744 758 733

Redwood MS/

Sequoia MS Option 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Redwood MS/

Sequoia MS Option 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Sequoia MS 1,102 1,036 975 972 952 923 925 966 973 992 960

Sycamore Canyon MS (6‐

8)/Sequoia MS480 475 434 403 361 352 328 330 335 341 330

IDT 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210

Total 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

Enrollment Projection from Existing and New Residential Units

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Elementary School

Middle School

School of Residence

Page 63: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Enrollment Projection from Existing and New Residential Units

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

School of Residence

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Newbury Park HS 2,362 2,372 2,374 2,315 2,264 2,183 2,056 1,970 1,931 1,882 1,894

Newbury Park HS/

Thousand Oaks HS0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Thousand Oaks HS 1,913 1,869 1,813 1,793 1,794 1,736 1,672 1,601 1,515 1,508 1,530

Westlake HS 2,146 2,052 2,084 2,059 2,063 2,102 2,044 2,001 1,939 1,908 1,978

IDT 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746

Total 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Grades TK‐3 4,733 4,812 4,912 5,033 4,980 4,798 4,671 4,521 4,486 4,526 4,565

Grades 4‐5 2,627 2,503 2,383 2,347 2,397 2,518 2,556 2,551 2,475 2,299 2,240

Grades 6‐8 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

Grades 9‐12 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

Total 19,000 18,766 18,597 18,441 18,211 17,903 17,583 17,366 17,166 17,018 16,976

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Elementary School 7,360 7,316 7,295 7,380 7,378 7,316 7,227 7,072 6,961 6,825 6,805

Middle School 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

High School 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

Total 19,000 18,766 18,597 18,441 18,211 17,903 17,583 17,366 17,166 17,018 16,976

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Kindergarten 1,306 1,381 1,351 1,385 1,267 1,193 1,206 1,217 1,229 1,238 1,247

1st Grade 1,129 1,170 1,241 1,211 1,240 1,136 1,071 1,081 1,092 1,102 1,110

2nd Grade 1,124 1,129 1,178 1,246 1,215 1,244 1,140 1,073 1,083 1,094 1,104

3rd Grade 1,174 1,133 1,142 1,190 1,258 1,226 1,256 1,150 1,082 1,093 1,104

4th Grade 1,286 1,199 1,164 1,167 1,215 1,283 1,251 1,280 1,174 1,107 1,117

5th Grade 1,341 1,304 1,219 1,180 1,182 1,235 1,304 1,271 1,301 1,192 1,123

6th Grade 1,429 1,421 1,391 1,290 1,245 1,250 1,307 1,384 1,347 1,380 1,259

7th Grade 1,530 1,433 1,430 1,399 1,295 1,250 1,256 1,313 1,390 1,353 1,386

8th Grade 1,514 1,557 1,464 1,458 1,426 1,320 1,275 1,281 1,338 1,416 1,379

9th Grade 1,674 1,689 1,739 1,640 1,633 1,597 1,487 1,439 1,444 1,506 1,588

10th Grade 1,772 1,701 1,721 1,768 1,667 1,661 1,626 1,514 1,467 1,472 1,533

11th Grade 1,868 1,832 1,768 1,785 1,829 1,729 1,723 1,688 1,579 1,532 1,537

12th Grade 1,828 1,792 1,763 1,696 1,712 1,755 1,657 1,650 1,616 1,510 1,465

Adult Education (14) 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

Total 19,000 18,766 18,597 18,441 18,211 17,903 17,583 17,366 17,166 17,018 16,976

Grade Level Summary

School Level Summary

Grade

High School

Page 64: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 78 83 81 84 76 71 72 73 73 74 75

01 64 69 73 72 73 67 63 64 64 65 65

02 63 62 67 72 70 71 65 61 61 62 63

03 57 68 67 73 77 75 77 70 65 66 67

04 65 60 71 70 75 79 77 79 72 68 68

05 59 61 56 67 66 71 76 73 75 68 64

Total 386 402 415 437 437 435 429 419 412 403 402

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 55 58 57 58 53 50 50 51 51 52 52

01 41 45 48 47 48 44 42 42 42 43 43

02 33 36 41 43 42 43 39 37 37 38 38

03 44 36 39 44 46 45 46 42 40 40 41

04 46 44 36 39 44 46 45 46 42 40 40

05 51 52 50 41 45 50 52 51 52 48 46

Total 270 272 270 272 278 278 275 269 265 260 259

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 106 112 109 112 102 97 98 98 99 100 101

01 81 95 100 97 100 91 86 87 88 89 89

02 95 87 101 106 104 106 98 92 93 94 95

03 89 93 85 99 104 102 104 96 90 91 92

04 121 102 106 98 112 118 115 118 109 103 104

05 93 108 89 93 85 99 105 102 105 96 91

Total 585 596 590 605 608 613 606 594 585 574 572

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 94 100 100 104 95 89 91 92 92 93 94

01 85 87 95 93 96 87 83 84 84 85 86

02 86 84 88 94 92 94 87 81 82 83 84

03 87 82 83 85 90 88 91 83 78 78 79

04 92 87 85 83 85 90 89 91 83 77 78

05 92 96 94 90 88 89 95 93 95 86 81

Total 536 535 544 550 546 538 535 523 514 503 502

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Residence

Acacia ES

Aspen ES

Banyan ES

Conejo ES

Page 65: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Residence

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 65 69 67 68 63 59 60 60 61 61 62

01 60 58 60 59 60 56 53 54 54 54 55

02 47 58 56 59 57 58 54 51 52 52 53

03 62 44 56 53 56 55 56 51 49 49 50

04 64 65 48 59 56 59 58 59 55 52 52

05 50 64 65 47 58 56 58 57 58 54 51

Total 348 357 351 344 350 343 339 333 328 323 322

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 94 99 97 99 91 85 86 87 88 89 89

01 79 74 79 77 79 71 67 68 68 69 70

02 91 82 77 82 79 81 74 70 70 71 72

03 82 88 80 75 79 77 79 72 68 69 69

04 89 82 88 79 74 79 77 79 72 67 68

05 100 89 81 88 79 74 79 76 78 71 67

Total 535 514 501 499 481 468 462 452 445 436 435

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 52 55 54 55 50 47 47 48 48 49 49

01 45 45 48 47 48 44 41 41 42 42 43

02 53 45 45 48 46 48 43 41 41 41 42

03 49 54 46 46 49 48 49 44 42 42 42

04 54 49 54 46 46 49 48 49 44 42 42

05 66 54 48 53 45 46 48 47 48 44 41

Total 319 302 295 295 285 280 276 270 265 260 259

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Ladera ES/Westlake Hills ES Option Area

Cypress ES

Glenwood ES

Ladera ES

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Residence

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 81 86 84 86 78 73 74 74 75 76 76

01 88 76 81 79 81 73 69 69 70 71 71

02 78 85 74 79 76 78 71 67 67 68 69

03 99 84 92 80 84 82 84 77 72 72 73

04 116 99 84 92 80 85 82 85 77 72 73

05 119 120 103 87 95 83 88 86 88 80 75

Total 581 551 517 502 495 474 468 457 449 439 437

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 75 79 79 80 74 69 70 71 71 72 72

01 62 68 73 71 72 67 63 64 64 65 65

02 57 61 69 72 71 72 66 63 63 64 64

03 64 52 58 64 67 65 67 61 58 58 59

04 81 68 58 62 68 71 70 71 66 62 63

05 70 78 66 55 59 65 68 66 68 62 59

Total 409 407 402 404 411 410 405 396 391 384 383

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 48 50 49 50 47 44 45 45 45 46 46

01 48 38 40 39 40 37 35 35 35 36 36

02 55 51 40 42 42 42 39 37 38 38 38

03 52 50 46 36 38 37 38 35 34 34 34

04 50 50 48 44 35 36 36 36 34 32 32

05 44 58 58 56 51 42 44 43 44 41 39

Total 297 296 281 267 252 239 236 232 229 225 225

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 105 112 108 111 101 95 96 97 98 98 99

01 102 104 110 107 109 100 94 95 96 97 97

02 114 107 108 115 112 115 104 98 99 100 101

03 137 119 112 113 120 117 120 109 102 104 105

04 120 137 118 111 113 120 116 119 108 102 103

05 164 122 139 121 113 115 122 119 122 111 104

Total 742 700 696 678 669 661 652 636 625 611 609

Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5)/Cypress ES

Lang Ranch ES

Madrona ES

Maple ES

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Residence

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 117 123 120 123 114 108 109 110 111 112 112

01 111 106 112 109 112 104 98 99 100 101 101

02 79 98 95 99 97 99 92 87 88 88 89

03 75 79 97 93 98 96 98 91 86 87 87

04 73 65 69 86 82 87 85 87 80 76 76

05 95 83 75 79 97 93 97 95 97 90 86

Total 550 554 568 590 600 586 579 568 562 553 552

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 99 105 102 105 95 89 90 91 92 93 94

01 59 75 79 77 79 72 67 68 69 69 70

02 50 59 74 78 76 78 71 67 67 68 69

03 64 48 56 71 75 73 75 68 64 65 65

04 75 65 50 58 72 76 74 76 69 65 66

05 93 70 61 45 53 67 71 69 71 64 60

Total 440 421 422 434 451 455 449 439 432 424 424

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 74 79 76 78 71 67 67 68 69 69 70

01 72 72 77 75 77 70 65 66 67 67 68

02 73 79 79 84 82 84 76 71 72 73 74

03 58 74 80 81 86 83 85 77 72 73 74

04 70 59 75 81 81 86 84 86 78 73 74

05 71 71 60 76 82 82 87 85 87 79 74

Total 418 434 447 474 479 472 465 454 445 435 434

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 73 78 75 77 70 66 66 67 68 68 69

01 41 70 74 72 74 67 63 64 64 65 66

02 53 45 76 81 79 81 73 68 69 70 71

03 52 58 49 83 88 86 88 80 75 76 77

04 69 52 59 50 85 90 87 90 81 76 77

05 71 81 62 69 58 99 105 102 105 95 89

Total 359 384 396 433 455 489 483 471 463 451 448

Walnut ES

Weathersfield ES

Westlake ES

Westlake Hills ES

Page 68: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Residence

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 65 69 67 69 63 59 59 60 60 61 61

01 65 63 67 65 66 60 57 57 58 58 59

02 76 70 67 71 69 71 65 61 61 62 63

03 78 79 72 70 74 72 74 67 63 64 64

04 68 83 84 77 74 79 77 79 72 67 68

05 71 65 80 81 74 71 76 74 76 69 64

Total 423 428 437 433 421 412 407 397 390 381 380

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

01 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26

02 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21

03 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

04 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33

05 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32

Total 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162 162

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 1,306 1,381 1,351 1,385 1,267 1,193 1,206 1,217 1,229 1,238 1,247

01 1,129 1,170 1,241 1,211 1,240 1,136 1,071 1,081 1,092 1,102 1,110

02 1,124 1,129 1,178 1,246 1,215 1,244 1,140 1,073 1,083 1,094 1,104

03 1,174 1,133 1,142 1,190 1,258 1,226 1,256 1,150 1,082 1,093 1,104

04 1,286 1,199 1,164 1,167 1,215 1,283 1,251 1,280 1,174 1,107 1,117

05 1,341 1,304 1,219 1,180 1,182 1,235 1,304 1,271 1,301 1,192 1,123

Total 7,360 7,316 7,295 7,380 7,378 7,316 7,227 7,072 6,961 6,825 6,805

Total Elementary School Enrollment

IDT

Wildwood ES

Page 69: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 321 295 320 276 300 288 339 360 350 359 326

07 308 323 300 324 279 302 291 342 363 352 361

08 290 315 334 308 332 285 310 297 349 371 360

Total 919 933 954 908 910 875 940 999 1,062 1,082 1,047

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 299 352 299 262 230 239 239 254 247 254 230

07 334 300 353 300 263 231 240 240 255 248 255

08 326 345 310 365 310 272 239 248 249 264 257

Total 959 997 962 927 803 742 719 743 751 766 742

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 264 238 247 242 243 235 241 256 249 255 232

07 256 259 236 243 238 239 231 237 252 245 251

08 283 262 268 242 249 244 245 236 243 258 250

Total 803 760 751 728 731 718 717 730 744 758 733

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 311 310 341 308 289 313 310 329 320 329 298

07 408 317 316 347 315 295 319 316 336 327 335

08 383 409 318 317 348 315 295 320 317 337 327

Total 1,102 1,036 975 972 952 923 925 966 973 992 960

Redwood MS/Sequoia MS Option 2

Sequoia MS

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Middle School of Residence

Colina MS

Los Cerritos MS

Redwood MS

Redwood MS/Sequoia MS Option 1 

Page 70: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Middle School of Residence

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 168 160 118 135 117 109 111 118 115 118 107

07 155 164 156 115 132 114 107 108 115 112 115

08 157 151 160 152 112 128 111 104 105 112 109

Total 480 475 434 403 361 352 328 330 335 341 330

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 66 66 66 66 66 66 66 66 66 66 66

07 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69 69

08 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75

Total 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 210

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 1,429 1,421 1,391 1,290 1,245 1,250 1,307 1,384 1,347 1,380 1,259

07 1,530 1,433 1,430 1,399 1,295 1,250 1,256 1,313 1,390 1,353 1,386

08 1,514 1,557 1,464 1,458 1,426 1,320 1,275 1,281 1,338 1,416 1,379

Total 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

Total Middle School Enrollment

Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8)/Sequoia MS

IDT

Page 71: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 554 587 604 526 506 507 475 439 466 458 487

10 592 563 598 612 535 514 516 484 448 475 467

11 631 606 578 612 626 549 528 530 499 462 489

12 577 609 586 557 590 604 528 508 510 479 443

14 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Total 2,362 2,372 2,374 2,315 2,264 2,183 2,056 1,970 1,931 1,882 1,894

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 443 451 454 434 445 394 388 362 356 385 409

10 462 450 459 461 441 453 402 397 370 365 393

11 527 467 457 465 467 447 458 408 403 378 372

12 473 493 436 425 432 434 415 426 378 373 348

14 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8

Total 1,913 1,869 1,813 1,793 1,794 1,736 1,672 1,601 1,515 1,508 1,530

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 512 486 517 514 518 531 458 474 456 497 527

10 561 531 508 537 534 537 551 476 492 475 516

11 498 547 521 497 524 521 525 537 465 480 463

12 566 479 529 502 478 504 502 504 517 447 462

14 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9

Total 2,146 2,052 2,084 2,059 2,063 2,102 2,044 2,001 1,939 1,908 1,978

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 165 165 165 165 165 165 165 165 165 165 165

10 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157 157

11 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212

12 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212 212

14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746 746

IDT

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by High School of Residence

Newbury Park HS

Newbury Park HS/Thousand Oaks HS

Thousand Oaks HS

Westlake HS

Page 72: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by High School of Residence

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 1,674 1,689 1,739 1,640 1,633 1,597 1,487 1,439 1,444 1,506 1,588

10 1,772 1,701 1,721 1,768 1,667 1,661 1,626 1,514 1,467 1,472 1,533

11 1,868 1,832 1,768 1,785 1,829 1,729 1,723 1,688 1,579 1,532 1,537

12 1,828 1,792 1,763 1,696 1,712 1,755 1,657 1,650 1,616 1,510 1,465

14 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

Total 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

Total High School Enrollment

Page 73: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

 EXHIBIT C 

 Enrollment Projections by School of Attendance 

  

   

Page 74: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Acacia ES 338 344 355 368 361 365 360 351 345 338 337

Aspen ES 375 380 377 375 386 388 370 362 356 349 348

Banyan ES 440 452 450 456 453 453 457 447 439 430 428

Conejo ES 366 368 370 370 369 355 365 356 351 343 342

Cypress ES 338 353 352 351 362 354 325 318 312 306 305

Glenwood ES 344 336 335 342 321 317 310 303 298 292 291

Ladera ES 305 290 286 284 280 275 272 265 261 256 255

Lang Ranch ES 666 635 599 585 581 561 564 551 541 529 528

Madrona ES 438 431 439 445 457 456 435 425 418 409 408

Maple ES 317 317 306 296 282 274 272 266 262 257 256

Sycamore Canyon 

School (K‐5)739 694 691 673 658 643 652 636 625 611 608

Walnut ES 340 339 340 360 372 365 354 346 341 335 334

Weathersfield ES 351 327 325 336 351 358 346 338 333 327 326

Westlake ES 532 553 563 591 603 597 583 569 558 546 544

Westlake Hills ES 495 515 518 567 577 605 601 586 576 562 559

Wildwood ES 426 433 440 430 415 403 412 403 396 387 385

EARTHS Magnet 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536

ISEL 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Non‐Public School 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Total 7,360 7,316 7,295 7,380 7,378 7,316 7,227 7,072 6,961 6,825 6,805

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Colina MS 992 1,031 1,068 1,023 1,008 974 1,008 1,058 1,098 1,118 1,084

Los Cerritos MS 971 945 895 862 782 741 725 745 756 770 747

Redwood MS 893 817 747 675 668 653 654 669 682 693 674

Sequoia MS 1,093 1,044 985 983 970 940 959 1,003 1,029 1,048 1,015

Sycamore Canyon 

School (6‐8)516 565 582 596 531 504 483 494 501 511 495

Century Academy 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

Home School 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Non‐Public School 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

Total 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Newbury Park HS 2,420 2,439 2,446 2,372 2,329 2,255 2,139 2,058 2,018 1,974 1,988

Thousand Oaks HS 2,184 2,159 2,088 2,065 2,067 2,022 1,952 1,882 1,800 1,785 1,816

Westlake HS 2,305 2,183 2,225 2,219 2,213 2,231 2,169 2,119 2,056 2,027 2,087

Century Academy 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124

Conejo Valley HS 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124

Non‐Public School 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Total 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

School of Attendance

Enrollment Projection from Existing and New Residential Units

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Elementary School

Middle School

High School

Page 75: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

School of Attendance

Enrollment Projection from Existing and New Residential Units

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Grades TK‐3 4,733 4,812 4,912 5,033 4,980 4,798 4,671 4,521 4,486 4,526 4,565

Grades 4‐5 2,627 2,503 2,383 2,347 2,397 2,518 2,556 2,551 2,475 2,299 2,240

Grades 6‐8 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

Grades 9‐12 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

Total 19,000 18,766 18,597 18,441 18,211 17,903 17,583 17,366 17,166 17,018 16,976

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Elementary School 7,360 7,316 7,295 7,380 7,378 7,316 7,227 7,072 6,961 6,825 6,805

Middle School 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

High School 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

Total 19,000 18,766 18,597 18,441 18,211 17,903 17,583 17,366 17,166 17,018 16,976

2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

Kindergarten 1,306 1,381 1,351 1,385 1,267 1,193 1,206 1,217 1,229 1,238 1,247

1st Grade 1,129 1,170 1,241 1,211 1,240 1,136 1,071 1,081 1,092 1,102 1,110

2nd Grade 1,124 1,129 1,178 1,246 1,215 1,244 1,140 1,073 1,083 1,094 1,104

3rd Grade 1,174 1,133 1,142 1,190 1,258 1,226 1,256 1,150 1,082 1,093 1,104

4th Grade 1,286 1,199 1,164 1,167 1,215 1,283 1,251 1,280 1,174 1,107 1,117

5th Grade 1,341 1,304 1,219 1,180 1,182 1,235 1,304 1,271 1,301 1,192 1,123

6th Grade 1,429 1,421 1,391 1,290 1,245 1,250 1,307 1,384 1,347 1,380 1,259

7th Grade 1,530 1,433 1,430 1,399 1,295 1,250 1,256 1,313 1,390 1,353 1,386

8th Grade 1,514 1,557 1,464 1,458 1,426 1,320 1,275 1,281 1,338 1,416 1,379

9th Grade 1,674 1,689 1,739 1,640 1,633 1,597 1,487 1,439 1,444 1,506 1,588

10th Grade 1,772 1,701 1,721 1,768 1,667 1,661 1,626 1,514 1,467 1,472 1,533

11th Grade 1,868 1,832 1,768 1,785 1,829 1,729 1,723 1,688 1,579 1,532 1,537

12th Grade 1,828 1,792 1,763 1,696 1,712 1,755 1,657 1,650 1,616 1,510 1,465

Adult Education (14) 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

Total 19,000 18,766 18,597 18,441 18,211 17,903 17,583 17,366 17,166 17,018 16,976

Grade Level Summary

School Level Summary

Grade

Page 76: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 68 72 70 72 66 62 62 63 64 64 65

01 46 57 60 59 60 55 52 52 53 53 54

02 61 47 58 61 60 61 56 52 53 53 54

03 52 63 49 61 64 62 64 58 54 55 55

04 54 51 65 50 61 64 62 63 58 54 55

05 57 54 52 65 50 61 64 62 64 58 55

Total 338 344 355 368 361 365 360 351 345 338 337

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 87 77 75 77 70 66 66 67 68 68 69

01 52 72 64 62 64 58 54 55 55 56 56

02 45 52 71 63 61 63 57 54 54 55 55

03 66 46 52 73 64 62 64 58 54 55 55

04 66 66 46 53 73 64 63 64 59 55 55

05 59 67 69 48 54 75 66 64 66 60 56

Total 375 380 377 375 386 388 370 362 356 349 348

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 72 89 87 89 81 76 77 78 78 79 80

01 68 64 79 77 79 72 68 68 69 70 70

02 73 66 63 78 76 78 71 67 67 68 69

03 74 74 67 63 79 77 79 72 67 68 68

04 82 79 78 72 68 84 82 84 76 71 72

05 71 80 76 76 69 65 81 79 81 74 69

Total 440 452 450 456 453 453 457 447 439 430 428

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 52 70 70 72 66 62 63 64 64 65 65

01 66 47 65 64 65 60 56 57 57 58 58

02 57 64 47 63 61 63 58 54 55 55 56

03 63 55 64 46 61 60 62 56 53 53 54

04 67 64 58 66 48 63 62 63 57 54 54

05 61 68 67 60 67 48 64 63 64 58 55

Total 366 368 370 370 369 355 365 356 351 343 342

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Attendance

Acacia ES

Aspen ES

Banyan ES

Conejo ES

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Attendance

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 90 69 67 69 63 58 59 60 60 61 61

01 55 76 56 55 56 51 48 48 49 49 50

02 40 56 77 57 55 57 52 48 49 49 50

03 57 39 55 76 56 55 56 51 47 48 49

04 56 56 39 54 76 55 54 55 50 47 48

05 40 57 58 40 55 77 57 55 57 51 48

Total 338 353 352 351 362 354 325 318 312 306 305

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 63 64 62 64 58 55 55 56 56 57 57

01 50 54 55 53 55 50 47 47 48 48 48

02 70 50 54 54 53 54 49 46 47 47 48

03 46 68 48 51 52 51 52 47 44 45 45

04 54 47 70 50 54 54 53 54 49 46 47

05 61 53 47 69 49 53 54 52 54 49 46

Total 344 336 335 342 321 317 310 303 298 292 291

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 51 56 55 56 51 48 48 49 49 50 50

01 46 44 48 47 48 44 41 42 42 42 43

02 46 45 43 47 46 47 43 40 41 41 41

03 50 46 45 44 48 46 48 43 40 41 41

04 50 48 46 44 43 47 45 46 42 40 40

05 62 50 49 46 44 43 47 45 47 42 40

Total 305 290 286 284 280 275 272 265 261 256 255

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 88 105 102 105 96 89 90 91 92 93 94

01 103 82 98 95 98 89 83 84 85 86 87

02 90 99 79 95 92 94 86 81 81 82 83

03 113 95 106 85 100 98 100 91 85 86 87

04 134 116 96 107 86 102 99 102 93 87 88

05 138 137 117 98 110 88 104 101 104 95 89

Total 666 635 599 585 581 561 564 551 541 529 528

Glenwood ES

Cypress ES

Ladera ES

Lang Ranch ES

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CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Attendance

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 97 88 87 89 81 76 77 77 78 79 79

01 64 83 76 73 75 68 64 65 65 66 67

02 56 65 86 77 75 77 70 65 66 67 67

03 68 55 65 85 76 74 76 69 64 65 66

04 71 67 55 64 85 75 73 75 68 64 64

05 82 73 70 57 66 86 77 74 76 69 65

Total 438 431 439 445 457 456 435 425 418 409 408

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 50 56 55 56 51 48 49 49 50 50 50

01 50 44 50 48 50 45 42 43 43 44 44

02 59 49 43 49 47 48 44 41 42 42 43

03 55 55 45 41 46 44 45 41 39 39 40

04 55 55 55 45 41 46 45 46 42 39 39

05 48 57 57 57 47 42 47 46 47 43 40

Total 317 317 306 296 282 274 272 266 262 257 256

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 91 116 113 116 105 98 99 100 101 102 103

01 108 86 109 106 109 99 92 93 94 95 96

02 118 114 91 116 112 115 105 98 99 100 101

03 135 121 117 93 118 115 118 107 100 101 103

04 120 137 124 119 95 120 117 120 109 102 103

05 167 120 137 123 119 95 120 117 120 109 102

Total 739 694 691 673 658 643 652 636 625 611 608

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 76 75 73 75 68 64 64 65 66 66 67

01 65 68 68 66 67 61 57 58 59 59 60

02 43 60 64 62 61 62 57 53 54 54 55

03 38 41 57 61 59 58 59 54 51 51 52

04 58 38 40 55 60 58 57 58 53 50 50

05 60 58 38 41 57 62 60 58 59 54 51

Total 340 339 340 360 372 365 354 346 341 335 334

Maple ES

Sycamore Canyon School (K‐5)

Walnut ES

Madrona ES

Page 79: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Attendance

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 85 78 76 78 71 66 67 68 69 69 70

01 43 68 62 61 62 57 53 54 54 55 55

02 36 41 65 60 59 60 55 51 52 52 53

03 47 35 40 64 59 57 59 53 50 50 51

04 59 47 35 39 62 57 56 57 52 49 49

05 81 58 46 34 38 61 56 55 56 51 48

Total 351 327 325 336 351 358 346 338 333 327 326

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 103 101 99 102 93 87 88 89 90 90 91

01 89 99 98 95 98 89 84 85 85 86 87

02 84 94 104 103 101 103 94 88 89 90 91

03 76 86 96 106 106 103 105 96 90 91 92

04 94 77 88 97 108 106 104 106 97 91 92

05 86 96 78 88 99 108 108 105 108 98 92

Total 532 553 563 591 603 597 583 569 558 546 544

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 92 102 100 103 94 88 89 90 91 92 92

01 66 87 97 94 97 88 83 84 84 85 86

02 81 68 92 102 99 101 92 86 87 88 89

03 61 84 71 98 107 104 107 97 91 92 93

04 100 63 87 74 100 110 107 110 100 94 95

05 95 110 70 97 81 113 123 119 122 111 104

Total 495 515 518 567 577 605 601 586 576 562 559

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 53 73 71 73 66 62 63 64 64 65 65

01 70 51 69 67 69 63 59 59 60 61 61

02 78 73 53 72 70 71 65 61 62 62 63

03 84 81 75 55 74 72 74 67 63 63 64

04 67 89 84 80 58 77 75 77 71 66 67

05 74 67 88 84 79 57 77 75 76 70 65

Total 426 433 440 430 415 403 412 403 396 387 385

Weathersfield ES

Wildwood ES

Westlake ES

Westlake Hills ES

Page 80: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Elementary School of Attendance

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86 86

01 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87

02 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87 87

03 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84

04 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95

05 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97

Total 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536 536

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

01 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

03 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5

04 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

05 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Total 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

05 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Total 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

00 1,306 1,381 1,351 1,385 1,267 1,193 1,206 1,217 1,229 1,238 1,247

01 1,129 1,170 1,241 1,211 1,240 1,136 1,071 1,081 1,092 1,102 1,110

02 1,124 1,129 1,178 1,246 1,215 1,244 1,140 1,073 1,083 1,094 1,104

03 1,174 1,133 1,142 1,190 1,258 1,226 1,256 1,150 1,082 1,093 1,104

04 1,286 1,199 1,164 1,167 1,215 1,283 1,251 1,280 1,174 1,107 1,117

05 1,341 1,304 1,219 1,180 1,182 1,235 1,304 1,271 1,301 1,192 1,123

Total 7,360 7,316 7,295 7,380 7,378 7,316 7,227 7,072 6,961 6,825 6,805

Non‐Public School

EARTHS Magnet

ISEL

Total Elementary School Enrollment

Page 81: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 358 334 354 317 322 322 351 372 361 370 337

07 326 362 340 359 321 325 325 354 375 365 374

08 308 334 374 347 366 327 332 332 361 383 372

Total 992 1,031 1,068 1,023 1,008 974 1,008 1,058 1,098 1,118 1,084

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 289 316 279 259 237 239 243 257 250 257 234

07 329 290 317 279 259 237 239 243 257 251 257

08 353 339 299 323 285 265 242 245 249 263 256

Total 971 945 895 862 782 741 725 745 756 770 747

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 290 222 227 218 217 213 219 231 226 231 212

07 300 288 223 227 218 216 212 219 231 225 230

08 303 307 297 230 233 224 223 218 225 237 231

Total 893 817 747 675 668 653 654 669 682 693 674

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 313 317 342 310 305 314 329 349 339 348 316

07 406 317 322 347 313 308 318 332 353 343 352

08 374 410 320 327 352 317 313 322 337 357 348

Total 1,093 1,044 985 983 970 940 959 1,003 1,029 1,048 1,015

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 177 228 187 184 163 161 163 173 168 172 157

07 167 173 226 185 182 161 159 161 171 167 171

08 172 163 169 227 186 183 161 160 162 172 167

Total 516 565 582 596 531 504 483 494 501 511 495

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

08 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

Total 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

Sycamore Canyon School (6‐8)

Century Academy

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Middle School of Attendance

Colina MS

Los Cerritos MS

Redwood MS

Sequoia MS

Page 82: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by Middle School of Attendance

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

07 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

07 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

08 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Total 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

06 1,429 1,421 1,391 1,290 1,245 1,250 1,307 1,384 1,347 1,380 1,259

07 1,530 1,433 1,430 1,399 1,295 1,250 1,256 1,313 1,390 1,353 1,386

08 1,514 1,557 1,464 1,458 1,426 1,320 1,275 1,281 1,338 1,416 1,379

Total 4,473 4,411 4,286 4,148 3,967 3,820 3,839 3,977 4,074 4,148 4,023

Home School

Non‐Public School

Total Middle School Enrollment

Page 83: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 579 608 623 554 536 536 505 472 496 491 518

10 619 575 605 619 550 532 532 502 468 492 487

11 630 637 589 620 634 565 547 547 517 484 507

12 592 619 628 579 609 622 555 538 537 508 475

Total 2,420 2,439 2,446 2,372 2,329 2,255 2,139 2,058 2,018 1,974 1,988

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 514 525 534 513 521 482 463 442 436 466 492

10 531 507 520 528 506 514 476 457 436 430 460

11 610 533 514 523 531 510 518 480 461 441 435

12 529 593 520 501 509 517 496 503 467 449 429

Total 2,184 2,159 2,088 2,065 2,067 2,022 1,952 1,882 1,800 1,785 1,816

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 563 538 564 555 558 562 500 508 494 531 560

10 565 562 539 564 554 557 561 499 506 493 529

11 533 567 570 547 570 560 563 567 506 513 500

12 644 517 552 554 531 553 544 546 549 491 498

Total 2,305 2,183 2,225 2,219 2,213 2,231 2,169 2,119 2,056 2,027 2,087

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16

10 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30

11 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40

12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13

14 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

Total 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24

11 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52

12 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48 48

Total 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124 124

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by High School of Attendance

Newbury Park HS

Thousand Oaks HS

Westlake HS

Century Academy

Conejo Valley HS

Page 84: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

Enrollment Projections by High School of Attendance

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

10 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

11 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3

12 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

Total 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10

Grade 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27

09 1,674 1,689 1,739 1,640 1,633 1,597 1,487 1,439 1,444 1,506 1,588

10 1,772 1,701 1,721 1,768 1,667 1,661 1,626 1,514 1,467 1,472 1,533

11 1,868 1,832 1,768 1,785 1,829 1,729 1,723 1,688 1,579 1,532 1,537

12 1,828 1,792 1,763 1,696 1,712 1,755 1,657 1,650 1,616 1,510 1,465

14 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

Total 7,167 7,039 7,016 6,914 6,867 6,767 6,518 6,317 6,131 6,045 6,148

Total High School Enrollment

Non‐Public School

Page 85: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

 EXHIBIT D 

 School Facilities Capacity 

  

 

Page 86: CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT...Map 1 on the following page for a geographic profile of the School District). Since the 2005/2006 school year, the enrollment of the School

CONEJO VALLEY UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT

SCHOOL FACILITIES CAPACITY

Permanent Modular Total

Acacia ES 24 1 25 430 320

Aspen ES 20 5 25 460 340

Banyan ES 23 4 27 570 465

Conejo ES 16 13 29 660 291

Cypress ES 25 1 26 540 303

Glenwood ES 18 13 31 620 367

Ladera ES 19 4 23 440 304

Lang Ranch ES 27 8 35 730 679

Madrona ES 25 10 35 740 460

Maple ES 22 2 24 380 292

Sycamore Canyon ES[1] 29 12 41 870 809

Walnut ES 18 6 24 500 339

Weathersfield ES 16 7 23 490 384

Westlake ES 23 1 24 580 519

Westlake Hills ES 6 22 28 600 515

Wildwood ES 17 5 22 450 426

EARTHS Magnet 18 12 30 540 544

ES Subtotal 346 126 472 9,600 7,357

Colina MS 22 23 45 1,299 980

Los Cerritos MS 32 13 45 1,299 907

Redwood MS 36 12 48 1,419 882

Sequoia MS 35 10 45 1,319 1,106

Sycamore Canyon MS[1] 26 1 27 380 542

MS Subtotal 151 59 210 5,716 4,417

Newbury Park HS 87 6 93 2,400 2,392

Thousand Oaks HS 93 12 105 2,985 2,315

Westlake HS 87 5 92 2,656 2,250

Century Academy 2 0 2 60 87

Conejo Valley HS 0 16 16 210 67

HS Subtotal 269 39 308 8,311 7,111

Districtwide Total 766 224 990 23,627 18,885

Teaching Stations Maximum 

Capacity[1]School

Utilized 

Capacity[1]

[1] School facilities capacity information provided by the School District.

[2] Sycamore Canyon Schoolʹs facilities capacity is broken into two (2) categories based on the grade configuration of the School 

District.