COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in...

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COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS

Transcript of COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in...

Page 1: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS

Page 2: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

INDIAN PRODCTION EXPLANATION OF ALL VARITIES OF WHITE CHICKPEAS

Indian white chickpeas production not only limited to Kabuli Variety, Pls understand from below descriptions of other varieties grown in other states as well.

White chickpeas grown in 3 states of India, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra & Andhra Pradesh. Sowing in month of Oct/Nov/Dec and harvesting done in Feb/March/April/FH May

Madhya Pradesh well known variety grown is Kabuli chickpeas, which is one of biggest crop of white chickpeas of Pan India & rest 10% spaniola type as well grown in state, named as cok2, b2, lalitpur bitki. Yearly average production range of Kabuli chickpeas 400-500 K MT & other varieties 50-75 K MT. 30-40% Crop of this state goes for export shipments.

To be continued…

2019

Page 3: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

In Maharashtra 30% Kabuli chickpeas variety sown and rest 70% spaniola type, named mostly cok 2, virat, Pkv2 etc. , Yearly avg. size of Maharashtra crop is 75-100 K MT. 90% production of this state supplied in Domestic Market.

Andhra Pradesh here only spaniola type variety grown, known as :- cok 2 , yearly average crop size is 100 -150 K MT. 90% production of this state supplied in Domestic Market.

2019

Please see below maps of Indian states with district wise production areas in 3 states.

Page 4: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

Madhya Pradesh : Districts White Chickpeas Grown

2019

Page 5: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

Maharashtra : Districts White Chickpeas Grown

2019

Page 6: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

Andhra Pradesh : Districts White Chickpeas Grown

2019

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PAN INDIA SUPPLY-DEMAND ESTIMATES OF ALL VARITIES WHITE CHICKPEAS

2019

PAN INDIA SUPPLY-DEMAND ESTIMATES OF ALL VARITIES WHITE CHICKPEAS( UNIT : METRIC TONS )

YEAR 2017 2018 2019 % CHANGE IN 2018-19CARRYIN IN PAN INDIA FROM ALL VARITIES

4,000 5,000 206,000 4020%

PRODUCTION OF KABULI TYPE ONLY IN MADHYA PRADESH STATE

2,80,000 6,25,000 3,95,000 -37%

APPROX PRODUCTION OF ALL OTHER VARIETIES OF WHITE CHICKPEAS IN STATE OF MAHARASHTRA, ANDRA PRADESH AND MADHYA PRADESH AS WELL.

1,00,000 2,50,000 135,000 -46%

IMPORTS 75,000NIL BECOZ OF

IMPORT DUTY

20,000 (ACTUAL IMPORT TILL JUNE

2019 WILL BE AROUND 60,000)

STOCKS 4,59,000 8,80,000 7,56,000 -14%

EXPORTS TOTAL FROM INDIA 85,000 2,10,000 1,20,000 -43%

DOMESTIC 2,85,000 4,00,000 4,50,000 13%

SEED 80,000 55,000 40,000 -28%

FEED & WASTE 4,000 9,000 7,000 -22%

TOTAL USAGE 4,54,000 6,74,000 6,17,000 -8%

ENDING STOCKS 5,000 2,06,000 1,39,000 -33%

BUT WE CONSIDERED ONLY 20,000, AS REST IS RUSSIAN CHICKPEAS

USED AS DESI CPS ALTERNATE FOR MAKING FLOUR

Page 8: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

INDIAN KABULI CHICKPEAS SUPPLY-DEMAND ESTIMATES MADHYA PRADESH

(INDORE CENTER)

2019

( ONLY MADHYA PRADESH STATE & ONLY KABULI TYPE )

( UNIT : METRIC TONS & HECTARE )

YEAR 2017 2018 2019 % CHANGE IN 2018-19

PLANTED AREA IN HECTARES 200,000 380,000 300,000 -21%

AVG.YIELD PER HECTARE IN KILOGRAM1,400 1,650 1,320 -20%

TOTAL PRODUCTION 280,000 625,000 395,000 -37%

CARRY IN 4,000 2,000 106,000 5200%

IMPORTS ( MENTIONED IN PAN INDIA DEMAND SUPPLY TABLE )

STOCKS 284,000 627,000 501,000 -20%

EXPORTS TOTAL 75,000 200,000 110,000 -45%

DOMESTIC USAGE 152,000 280,000 310,000 11%

SEED USAGE 52,000 35,000 30,000 -15%

FEED & WASTE 3,000 6,000 4,000 -33%

TOTAL USAGE 282,000 521,000 454,000 -13%

ENDING STOCKS 2,000 106,000 47,000 -56%

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INDIA MAIN HIGHLIGHTS

2019

• Production & Supply :- As per above data, 2019 production decreased in Pan India, but with

carry-in of 2018 crop, Total supply in 2019 is less by 14% only.

Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO)

In 2019 import done in India under the scheme of “Export against Import” ,Total quantity import till 2019 June, 60K MT approx. , 20K MT used as whole consumption , rest 40K used as alternate of DesiChickpeas.

To be continued…

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INDIA MAIN HIGHLIGHTS

2019

• Production & Supply :-

Carry-in in Pan India for 2020 Crop will be decreased by 33% and in Madhya Pradesh by 56%.

Page 11: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

INDIA MAIN HIGHLIGHTS

2019

Demand & Consumption :-

In bigger calibers, Buyers preferring Mexico compared to India as same prices and non weevils product.

In smaller calibers, Argentina, Turkey, Canada, Black Sea is the cheapest option for destination markets.

Global cash crunch and falling market, result in slow demands

To be continued…

Page 12: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import

INDIA MAIN HIGHLIGHTS

2019

Demand & Consumption :- Major destination market Turkey, not withdrawn import duty of 21%

this year as they have their own big production, Turkish Lira depreciation 40% as well played a big role.

Algeria unstable political conditions as well remain a concern.

Pakistan P&Q Department not issuing permits for Indian cps.

Pan India Domestic consumption will increase by 13% approx in 2019, as on support of high Desi Chickpeas & Yellow Peas prices compared to last year.

To be continued…

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INDIA MAIN HIGHLIGHTS

2019

Demand & Consumption :-

Exports of Feb/March/April 2019 is only 35,000 MT compared to same

period of last year is 55,000 MT. Since 2012, this year export is lowest in

this particular period.

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For time being demand & Supply of white chickpeas seems inequilibrium position globally. Now we need to keep watch on turningpoints of the market and the factors will be :-

USA / Canada harvest (seeding intention already less)

Argentina harvest (seeding intention already less)

To be continued…

TURNING POINT OF MARKET

2019

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2019

Turkey harvest (seeding intention is 20% more than 2018, becoz of govt. Minimum support prices 3.300 TL/MT i.e. 560 USD PMT ).

Russia harvest (seeding intention is already less).

India and Mexico seeding intentions for 2020 and carry-in from 2019 crop.

Page 17: COMPLETE STUDY ON INDIAN ORIGIN WHITE CHICKPEAS€¦ · Kabuli chickpeas sizes harvested normal in 2019, 50% bigger (38-46 AO) and 50% medium & smaller (46-80 AO) In î ì9 import