Competing for users' attention: On the interplay between...

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Problem Setting Nature of Interplay Diversity and Responsiveness Competing for users’ attention: On the interplay between organic and sponsored search results Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil 1 Andrei Broder 2 Evgeniy Gabrilovich 2 Vanja Josifovski 2 Bo Pang 2 1 Department of Computer Science, Cornell University 2 Yahoo! Research 04-29-2010 WWW 2010 Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil, Broder, Gabrilovich, Josifovski, Pang Competing for users’ attention. 1/ 24

Transcript of Competing for users' attention: On the interplay between...

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Competing for users’ attention:On the interplay between organic and sponsored search results

Cristian Danescu-Niculescu-Mizil1Andrei Broder2

Evgeniy Gabrilovich2

Vanja Josifovski2

Bo Pang2

1Department of Computer Science, Cornell University2Yahoo! Research

04-29-2010 WWW 2010

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Sponsored search

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Sponsored search

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Sponsored search

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Sponsored search

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Sponsored search - Why bother?

$10.7 billion in revenue in 200947% of all internet advertising revenue

Even though ads and organics coexist on the searchresults page, until now they have been largely studied inisolation.

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Sponsored search - Why bother?

$10.7 billion in revenue in 200947% of all internet advertising revenue

Even though ads and organics coexist on the searchresults page, until now they have been largely studied inisolation.

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Ads and organics studied in isolation

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Interplay between ads and organics

High level question:

What is the interplay between the ads and the organics?

1 Is there competition for clicks between ads and organics?2 Are users more attracted by ads that are similar to the

organic results or do they prefer diversity?

High level answer:

Well, it depends: the nature of the interplay is determined bythe type of query.

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Interplay between ads and organics

High level question:

What is the interplay between the ads and the organics?

1 Is there competition for clicks between ads and organics?2 Are users more attracted by ads that are similar to the

organic results or do they prefer diversity?

High level answer:

Well, it depends: the nature of the interplay is determined bythe type of query.

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Data

64,000 queriesAll ads and organics shown during a month onYahoo! Search for these queriesFor each query:

One representative organic.One representative (north) ad.

64,000 (query, organic, ad) tuples

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Data

Example tuple:

(query:“dog”,organic:wiki_dog,ad:Purina_ad)

title, text (snippet) and URL of the ad and organicaggregated click information for the ad and organic(click-through rate):

CTR_org = 730 clicks/1400 viewsCTR_ad = 30 clicks/900 views

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

A poverty of attention

“... a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention”

Herbert Simon, 1971

Question:Does this poverty lead to competition for attention between adsand organics?

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

A poverty of attention

“... a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention”

Herbert Simon, 1971

Question:Does this poverty lead to competition for attention between adsand organics?

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Relation between the CTR of ads and the CTR of organics

Negative correlation (competition)

Users are willing to spend limited time and effort for each query.

Positive correlationBased on the quality of the results:

Easy query: “Online radio”→ decent ads and organics→ clicks for both

Hard query: “Who is giving this talk?”→ poor ads and organics→ no clicks for either

Independence (null hypothesis)

Users consider ads and organics independent sources ofinformation

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Relation between the CTR of ads and the CTR of organics

Negative correlation (competition)

Users are willing to spend limited time and effort for each query.

Positive correlationBased on the quality of the results:

Easy query: “Online radio”→ decent ads and organics→ clicks for both

Hard query: “Who is giving this talk?”→ poor ads and organics→ no clicks for either

Independence (null hypothesis)

Users consider ads and organics independent sources ofinformation

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Relation between the CTR of ads and the CTR of organics

Negative correlation (competition)

Users are willing to spend limited time and effort for each query.

Positive correlationBased on the quality of the results:

Easy query: “Online radio”→ decent ads and organics→ clicks for both

Hard query: “Who is giving this talk?”→ poor ads and organics→ no clicks for either

Independence (null hypothesis)

Users consider ads and organics independent sources ofinformation

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Overall trend

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Each point = Bin of tuples

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Competition and positive correlation

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Separating out the effect of competition

Competition ⇐ Users are willing to spend limited effort foreach query

In order to separate out the competition effect, we try toaccount for the amount of effort a user is willing to spend.

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

The effort a user is willing to spend on a query

Low effort investment“Pandora radio”“Bank of America”“Cornell University”

High effort investment“Meaning of life?”“Make advisor happy”“Academia vs industry”

Navigational(27% of all queries)

[Broder, 2002]

Non-Navigational(27)

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

The effort a user is willing to spend on a query

Low effort investment“Pandora radio”“Bank of America”“Cornell University”

High effort investment“Meaning of life?”“Make advisor happy”“Academia vs industry”

Navigational(27% of all queries)

[Broder, 2002]

Non-Navigational(27)

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

The effort a user is willing to spend on a query

Low effort investment“Pandora radio”“Bank of America”“Cornell University”

High effort investment“Meaning of life?”“Make advisor happy”“Academia vs industry”

Navigational(27% of all queries)

[Broder, 2002]

Non-Navigational(27)

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Navigational queries only

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Navigational queries only → Competition

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Degrees of “navigationality” → Smooth transition

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Degrees of “navigationality” → Smooth transition

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Degrees of “navigationality” → Smooth transition

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Degrees of “navigationality” → Smooth transition

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Decoupling the forces

Non-Navigational queries only → Positive correlation

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Nature of interplay: Competition?

Question:Does this poverty lead to competition for attention between adsand organics?

Answer:Yes, but the amount of competition is mediated by thenavigational property of the query.

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

QuestionDo users prefer ads that are more similar to the organicresults or ads that provide diversity?

Preference for similarity

More likely to be relevant to the query.

This assumption made in query augmentation systems:[Broder et al., 2008]

Preference for diversity

Diversity among organic results was shown to be desirable:Diversity session today at WWW 2010,[Chen and Krager, 2006], [Gollapudi and Sharma, 2009]

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

Measure of similarityJaccard similarity coefficient between titles:

overlap =|BAd ∩ BOrg ||BAd ∪ BOrg |

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

Overall trend

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

Overall trend

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

Breakdown by navigationality

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

Breakdown by navigationality

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs.Similarity

Counterintuitive?

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Responsive and Incidental Ads

Responsive adsAds that directly address the user’s information need.

Not reasonable organic results

Incidental adsAds only loosely related to the user’s information need.

Not reasonable organic results

Example:For the query “free internet radio”:

Responsive ad: “Pandora Internet Radio”Incidental ad: “Discounted Bose Computer Speakers"

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Responsive and Incidental Ads

Responsive adsAds that directly address the user’s information need.

Not reasonable organic results

Incidental adsAds only loosely related to the user’s information need.Not reasonable organic results

Example:For the query “free internet radio”:

Responsive ad: “Pandora Internet Radio”Incidental ad: “Discounted Bose Computer Speakers"

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Responsive and Incidental Ads

Responsive ads→ more likely to be similar to the organics

Not reasonable organic results

Incidental ads→ more likely to be different from the organics

Not reasonable organic results

Example:For the query “free internet radio”:

Responsive ad: “Pandora Internet Radio”Incidental ad: “Discounted Bose Computer Speakers"

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Diversity vs. Similarity

Now it makes sense...

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Only correlations? Yes, but usefull...

Mathematical modelSimple mathematical model that formalizes and explains ourobservations.

Prediction

Task: given a pair of ads, which of them will get more clicks?

Features inspired by our observations perform better and arecomplementary to traditional features:

Features Accuracytraditional features 59.55interplay features 61.45

traditional + interplay 62.82

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Problem SettingNature of Interplay

Diversity and Responsiveness

Conclusions

We are the first to study the interplay between ads and organics.

We explore in detail two facets of this interplay:

Dependency between the CTR of ads and organicsInfluence of similarity with organics on the CTR of ads.

We discover the role of the navigational property of the query asan intermediator of this interplay.

We propose a simple mathematical model that formalizes andexplains the observed correlations.

Our observations can be transformed into prediction features.

Thank you!

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