Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from …Justin Kozak, PhD, CFM Researcher & Policy Analyst...
Transcript of Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from …Justin Kozak, PhD, CFM Researcher & Policy Analyst...
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Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana
November 6, 2019
Materials will be available at: www.eesi.org/110619lasafe
Tweet about the briefing: #eesitalk @eesionline
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Mathew D. Sanders, AICPResilience Policy & Program AdministratorLouisiana Office of Community Development
Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19
Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana
Liz Williams RussellCoastal Community Resilience DirectorFoundation for Louisiana
Elder Donald Bogen, Jr.OrganizerBayou Interfaith Shared Community Organizing
Justin Kozak, PhD, CFMResearcher & Policy AnalystCenter for Planning Excellence (CPEX)
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Historic Hurricane Tracks 1854-Present
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LAND & WETLANDS - 1960
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LAND & WETLANDS - 2017
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LAND LOSS – 2067
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FLOOD RISK & LAND LOSS - 2017
15’12’
9’6’3’
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FLOOD RISK & LAND LOSS - 2067
15’12’
9’6’3’
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POPULATION SHIFTS 2000-2010
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FEMA DECLAREDDISASTERS
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Working together for community resilience, economic prosperity, and a better quality of life
for everyone in Louisiana.
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1 3 4 5Identify
Challenges & Opportunities
Propose Strategies
Evaluate Vision &
Strategies
Policy, Program, &
Project Development
Project Evaluation
2
ParishwideMeeting
Community Meetings
ParishwideMeeting
Stakeholder Round-tables & Open Houses
ParishwideMeeting
March & April May & June July & August October December
71 Community Meetings2,835 Individual Participants
2017 Outreach & Engagement 2018 Plan Development
& Implementation
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LA SAFE combined the highest rated
community strategies with
future flood risk and existing
efforts in each parish to create
draft projects
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Public Boat DocksCross-Parish Stormwater ManagementCoastal Restoration and Jobs TrainingImproved Drainage SystemJob Training ProgramsIncreased Affordable Housing OptionsDrainage Requirements for New DevelopmentsCultural Camps & After School ProgramsCulvert & Ditch MaintenanceCommuter & Regional RailComplete StreetsCommunity Gardens & Planting ProgramsIncentivize Essential Service ProvidersMedium Density HousingImprove Public Transit Across Parish LinesCreate a full-time drain Maintenance DepartmentRestore Abandoned Property to Natural ConditionExpand Boat Harbors
Selected Project Portfolio Most popular strategies
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Planning Around Supply Chains and Industries
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Planning for Future Growth Corridors on High Ground
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Six Parish Plans, One Regional Approach
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Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19
LA SAFE & Community Organizing
Liz Williams RussellCoastal Community Resilience DirectorFoundation for Louisiana
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Philanthropy and Government Action• Civic Engagement, Leadership Development and
Relationship Infrastructure• Research and Analysis towards necessary policies
and practices• Storytelling to connect experiences of change to
narratives for action
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Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19
LA SAFE from the Community’s Perspective
Elder Donald Bogen, Jr.OrganizerBayou Interfaith Shared Community Organizing
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IN THEIR WORDS“When you have to relocate, it is like a death.
It plays on your mental and physical well-being.”
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4 in10know friends or neighbors who have left
Survey funded by National Association of Realtors
1 in 4 know family
who have left
MOVING AWAY
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Community Faith Leaders Politician
LA SAFE: LONG TERM IMPACTS ON SOCIAL
NETWORKS
Healthy community debate
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Government Led Planning often lacks inclusiveness
Local government
Federal government State government
Communities are often asked to comment on plans they didn’t make
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The LA SAFE Approach: Was It Effective?
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Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19
The Need for Transformative Policy & Governance
Justin Kozak, PhD, CFMResearcher & Policy AnalystCenter for Planning Excellence (CPEX)
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The Disconnect Between LA SAFE Planning and Local Adoption
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The Challenge: Lack of capacity and local context
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How do we buy down our risk?
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With Coastal Master Plan
Without Plan
Low Scenario (most optimistic)
Medium Scenario High Scenario(least optimistic)
Louisiana Coastal Master Plan ScenariosScenario Planning
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We’re used to responding to disasters
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Collaboration, Communication, Coordination
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Slower moving drivers of change
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
Rela
tive
Sea
Leve
l Cha
nge
(feet
)
Low
Intermediate-Low
Intermediate
Data source: NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 083.
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A collection of rational decisions adding up to an irrational result
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Society requires stability in our institutionsAdaptation requires flexibility
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Who should be thinking about the implications?
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LA SAFE – Terrebonne Parish, LAModerate Risk – 50 year vision
Rethinking Government’s Approach to Climate Adaptation Planning
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REALactions,
behaviours
CONCEPTUALrules, norms, governance
EXISTENTIALvalues, assumptions, beliefs
The Three Emergencies
James Butler, Ioan Fazey, Graham Leicester, Camille Manning Broome, Jeannette Dubinin
Visibility
Political
capitalAre we doing things right?
RESPONSES
Rethinking government’s approach to adaptation planning
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REALactions,
behaviours
CONCEPTUALrules, norms, governance
EXISTENTIALvalues, assumptions, beliefs
The Three Emergencies
James Butler, Ioan Fazey, Graham Leicester, Camille Manning Broome, Jeannette Dubinin
Visibility
Political
capitalAre we doing things right?
What are the right things?
RESPONSES
Rethinking government’s approach to adaptation planning
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REALactions,
behaviours
CONCEPTUALrules, norms, governance
EXISTENTIALvalues, assumptions, beliefs
The Three Emergencies
James Butler, Ioan Fazey, Graham Leicester, Camille Manning Broome, Jeannette Dubinin
Visibility
Political
capitalAre we doing things right?
What are the right things?
What is right?
RESPONSES
Rethinking government’s approach to adaptation planning
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An Existential Emergency Up and Down the Bayou
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What’s next?
How do we incentivize big ideas like LA SAFE?
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Good Data and Modeling
0
10
20
2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
Rela
tive
Sea
Leve
l Cha
nge
(feet
)
Low
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Start the Conversation
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Need to Build in Flexibility
Neighborhood
CommunityRegion
Site
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Leadership
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Mathew D. Sanders, AICPResilience Policy & Program AdministratorLouisiana Office of Community Development
Environmental and Energy Study Institute // 11.6.19
Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana
Liz Williams RussellCoastal Community Resilience DirectorFoundation for Louisiana
Elder Donald Bogen, Jr.OrganizerBayou Interfaith Shared Community Organizing
Dr. Justin KozakResearcher & Policy AnalystCenter for Planning Excellence (CPEX)
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Community-Centered Resilience: Lessons from Louisiana
Materials will be available at: www.eesi.org/110619lasafe
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