Comex2014 inomata ide

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Transcript of Comex2014 inomata ide

Page 1: Comex2014 inomata ide

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Satoshi Inomata

IDE-JETRO

Mapping Global Value Chains:

International Input-Output Table

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“3E” HOT TOPICS

- Employment and poverty

- Environmental issues

- Economic integration

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International value distribution of iPhone

Retail price of

iPhone in 2009

= $500 (64% margin for

the Apple)

Source:Xing, Y. and N. Detert (2010)

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Cost of parts for iPhone3G Manufacturer Components Unit Price

Toshiba (Japan) Flash Memory US$24.00

Display Module US$19.25

Touch Screen US$16.00

Samsung (Korea) Application Processor US$14.46

SDRAM-Mobile DDR US$8.50

Infineon (Germany) Baseband US$13.00

Camera Module US$9.55

RF Transceiver US$2.80

GPS Receiver US$2.25

Power IC RF Function US$1.25

Broadcom (US) Bluetooth/FM/WLAN US$5.95

Numonyx (US) Memory MCP US$3.65

Murata (Japan) FEM US$1.35

Dialog Semiconductor (Germany)

Power IC Application Processor Function

US$1.30

Cirrus Logic (US) Audio Codec US$1.15

Others US$48.00

Source:Xing, Y. and N. Detert (2010)

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Value- added

Production process

Pro

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“Smiley Curve”

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* Analytical focus is limited to a particular

product/firm. Not appropriate for economic

analyses at the national level.

* Firm-level data does not explicitly present

“compensation of employees”.

* The approach only considers the value-added

structure of direct input suppliers (the first tier).

Weakness of “firm-level” approach

→ International Input-Output Analysis

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Automobiles(Y10 billion)

Rough steel(Y8 million)

Electricity(Y400,000)

Coal products(Y100,000)

Petroleum products(Y40,000)

Steel(Y12 million)

Wholesale(Y2 million)

Road freight transport(Y400,000)

Sea shipping(Y200,000)

Dye(Y3.5 million)

Intermediate organicchemical products

(Y500,000)

Composite plastics(Y200,000)

Electricity(Y100,000)

Wood pulp(Y100,000)

Wholesale(Y100,000)

Chemical fiber(Y2.1 million)

Financing(Y300,000)

Wholesale(Y300,000)

Car parts(Y260 million)

Cold-finished steel(Y60 million)

Steel shar slit(Y20 million)

Paint(Y17 million)

Composite rubber(Y30 million)

Carbon black(Y10 million)

Silk and rayon textiles

(Y10 million)

Raw rubber (imported)

(Y10 million)

Car chassis(Y650 million)

Tires and inner tubes

Glass products(Y130 million)

Internal-combustionengines

(Y1.52 billion)

...

...

...

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...

...

...

InitialImpact

1st-roundImpacts

2nd-roundImpacts

3rd-roundImpacts

4th-roundImpacts

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added

Value-added Value-added

Value propagation (car industry)

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Bilateral IIOT

between

China and USA

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Main IIOT initiatives Database Producing

organisationReference years Number of

countriesIndustry/productclassification

AIIOT IDE-JETRO 1975、1985、1990、1995、2000、2005

10 56 (1975)78 (1985-95)76 (2000-05)

EORA University ofSydney

1990-2009:yearly Approx. 150 20~500

EXIOPOLDatabase(CREEA)

EuropeanCommission

2000 43 + ROW 129 industries129 products

GTAP-MRIO PurdueUniversity

1990、1992、1995、1997、2001、2004、2007

129 57 industries

ICIO OECD 1995、2000、2005、2008、2009

56 + ROW 18 industries

WIOD EuropeanCommission

1995-2011:yearly 40 + ROW 35 industries59 products

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Value- added

Production process

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R &

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Downstream Upstream

How to evaluate country’s

relative position

Backward

length

Forward

length

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China1985

China2005

Indonesia

JapanKorea

Malaysia

Chinese

Taipei

Philippines

SingaporeThailand

USA

2.7

2.9

3.1

3.3

3.5

3.7

3.9

2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9

Upstream

Downstream

Longersupply chains

Shorter supplychains

Backward APL

Fo

rward

AP

L

Backward Length

Fo

rwa

rd L

en

gth

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1985

2000

China

China

Indonesia

Indonesia

Japan

Japan

Korea

Korea

Malaysia

Malaysia

Taiwan

Taiwan

Philip

pines

Philip

pines

Singapore

Singapore

Thailand

Thailand

USA

USA

1985

2005

Downstream Upstream

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0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000

China

Japan

Korea

Traditional measurement

Value-added measurement

Million US$

33%

The US trade deficits:

Traditional vs value-added measurement

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Trade in value-added approach

• offers a better measurement of bilateral

trade in the world of increasing production

sharing among countries.

• can be a core apparatus for linking trade

policies to crosscutting economic and/or

social issues like job creation, poverty

alleviation, and energy and environmental

planning.