Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs,...

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Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 •Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group •Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services •Paul Breuer, SIOR Colliers International

Transcript of Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs,...

Page 1: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Columbia Corridor Association

April 25, 2007

Columbia Corridor Association

April 25, 2007

•Don Ossey, SIORCapacity Commercial Group

•Mark Childs, SIORIntegrated Corporate Property Services

•Paul Breuer, SIORColliers International

•Don Ossey, SIORCapacity Commercial Group

•Mark Childs, SIORIntegrated Corporate Property Services

•Paul Breuer, SIORColliers International

Page 2: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Market ConditionsMarket Conditions

2007 Columbia Corridor Market:

Total Inventory: 33,310,200 SF

Vacancy: 2,221,122 SF

Absorption: 351,706 SF

Construction Starts: 956,842 SF

2007 Columbia Corridor Market:

Total Inventory: 33,310,200 SF

Vacancy: 2,221,122 SF

Absorption: 351,706 SF

Construction Starts: 956,842 SF

Page 3: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Vacancy RatesVacancy Rates

Page 4: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Absorption RatesAbsorption Rates

Page 5: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Construction StartsConstruction Starts

Page 6: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Construction CostsConstruction Costs

Page 7: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Construction CostsConstruction Costs

Page 8: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Land SalesLand Sales

Year Buyer Address Size Price/SF

2004 Miller Paint 12715 NE Marx 2.09 AC $4.12

2004 Oregon Transfer 7828 N. Leadbetter 13.52 AC $4.75

2005 Navistar NE 223rd 10.00 AC $5.37

2006 Knight Trans. NE 230th & Sandy 6.64 AC $5.49

2007 Redside NE 201st & San Rafael 16.00 AC $5.25

2007 DPI NE 185th & Portal 13.60 AC $5.75

Year Buyer Address Size Price/SF

2004 Miller Paint 12715 NE Marx 2.09 AC $4.12

2004 Oregon Transfer 7828 N. Leadbetter 13.52 AC $4.75

2005 Navistar NE 223rd 10.00 AC $5.37

2006 Knight Trans. NE 230th & Sandy 6.64 AC $5.49

2007 Redside NE 201st & San Rafael 16.00 AC $5.25

2007 DPI NE 185th & Portal 13.60 AC $5.75

Page 9: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Land SalesLand Sales

2.09

AC

13.5

2 A

C

10.0

0 A

C

6.64

AC

8.15

AC

16.0

0 A

C

13.6

0 A

C

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

Pri

ce P

er S

qu

are

Fo

ot

2004 2004 2005 2005 2006 2007 2007

Page 10: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Land SalesLand Sales

Page 11: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Development CostsDevelopment Costs

Page 12: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Development CostsDevelopment Costs

Page 13: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Significant Lease TransactionSignificant Lease TransactionBybee Lake Logistics Center, Phase I7828 N. Leadbetter

Tenant: Moran Foods

Landlord: Capstone Partners

Size: 182,000 SF

Bybee Lake Logistics Center, Phase I7828 N. Leadbetter

Tenant: Moran Foods

Landlord: Capstone Partners

Size: 182,000 SF

Page 14: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Significant Lease TransactionSignificant Lease TransactionRiverside Parkway North18225 NE Riverside Parkway

Tenant: Nautilus

Landlord: Panattoni

Size: 250,100 SF

Riverside Parkway North18225 NE Riverside Parkway

Tenant: Nautilus

Landlord: Panattoni

Size: 250,100 SF

Page 15: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Significant Lease TransactionSignificant Lease TransactionTownsend Business ParkNE Sandy Boulevard

Tenant: Navistar

Landlord: Panattoni

Size: 210,000 SF

Townsend Business ParkNE Sandy Boulevard

Tenant: Navistar

Landlord: Panattoni

Size: 210,000 SF

Page 16: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Transactions in ProgressTransactions in Progress

Estimated Shell Rates:

Rivergate: 136,000 SF$0.36/SF

Gresham: 131,000 SF$0.40/SF

Rivergate / Airport Way: 300,000 SF $0.35/SF

Estimated Shell Rates:

Rivergate: 136,000 SF$0.36/SF

Gresham: 131,000 SF$0.40/SF

Rivergate / Airport Way: 300,000 SF $0.35/SF

Page 17: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

New DevelopmentNew DevelopmentProject Planned SF Expected SF

CalWest Industrial Properties 409,500 409,500

DP Partners 262,640 262,640

Weston 366,000 66,000

ProLogis 329,305 83,077

Trammell / Kennedy 2,600,000 570,000

McMorgan & Company 502,000 259,000

ING/Trammell Crow 279,282 279,282

OPUS Development 303,000 303,000

Birtcher Development 397,905 397,905

5,449,632 2,630,404

Project Planned SF Expected SF

CalWest Industrial Properties 409,500 409,500

DP Partners 262,640 262,640

Weston 366,000 66,000

ProLogis 329,305 83,077

Trammell / Kennedy 2,600,000 570,000

McMorgan & Company 502,000 259,000

ING/Trammell Crow 279,282 279,282

OPUS Development 303,000 303,000

Birtcher Development 397,905 397,905

5,449,632 2,630,404

Page 18: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

New DevelopmentNew Development

Historical Deliveries

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

2004 2005 2006

Other

Columbia Corridor

Page 19: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

New DevelopmentNew Development

Historical & Expected Deliveries

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

2004 2005 2006 2007

Other

Columbia Corridor

Page 20: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

ProjectionsProjections

Page 21: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Economic ConditionsEconomic Conditions

Factors Impacting Future:

Interest Rates

Global Economy

Energy

Consumer Demand

Factors Impacting Future:

Interest Rates

Global Economy

Energy

Consumer Demand

Page 22: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Political EnvironmentPolitical Environment

Factors Impacting Future:

Attitude Toward Business

Investment in Infrastructure

Factors Impacting Future:

Attitude Toward Business

Investment in Infrastructure

Page 23: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Window of OpportunityWindow of Opportunity

Current Vacancy: 2,221,122 SF

Expected 2007 Construction: 2,630,404 SF

Potential Development: 3,000,000 SF

Total 7,851,526 SF

At a projected absorption rate of approximately 2,000,000 SF per year, it is estimated that a 4-5 year supply of land and buildings currently exists.

Current Vacancy: 2,221,122 SF

Expected 2007 Construction: 2,630,404 SF

Potential Development: 3,000,000 SF

Total 7,851,526 SF

At a projected absorption rate of approximately 2,000,000 SF per year, it is estimated that a 4-5 year supply of land and buildings currently exists.

Page 24: Columbia Corridor Association April 25, 2007 Don Ossey, SIOR Capacity Commercial Group Mark Childs, SIOR Integrated Corporate Property Services Paul Breuer,

Thank youThank you

•Don Ossey, SIORCapacity Commercial Group

•Mark Childs, SIORIntegrated Corporate Property Services

•Paul Breuer, SIORColliers International

•Don Ossey, SIORCapacity Commercial Group

•Mark Childs, SIORIntegrated Corporate Property Services

•Paul Breuer, SIORColliers International