Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

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Colorado CD6 Immigration Survey October 16 th – 17 th , 2013

description

Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 706n autodial and cell phone survey of likely 2014 general election voters in California Congressional District 10 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 16th - 17th, 2013.

Transcript of Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Page 1: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Colorado CD6 Immigration

SurveyOctober 16th – 17th, 2013

Page 2: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 706n autodial survey of likely 2014

general election voters in Colorado Congressional District 6. The survey was completed on behalf of America’s Voice. The interviewing was conducted

October 16th - 17th, 2013. This survey has a margin of error of

+/-3.69% at the 95 percent confidence interval.

Page 3: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Mike Coffman Image Rating

Page 4: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Coffman?

37%

47%

15%1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE NEVER HEARD OF

MEN WOMEN

41%33%

46% 48%

12%

18%

1% 1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE NEVER HEARD OF

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

57%

9%

40%

27%

73%

45%

14% 17% 14%2% 1% 1%

Page 5: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Coffman?

37%

47%

15% 1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE NEVER HEARD OF

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

31%

34%43%

33%

40%

52%

45% 47% 49%44%

17% 16%

10%

17%15%

0%

5%

0% 1% 1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE UNSURE NEVER HEARD OF

Page 6: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Coffman?

37%

47%

15%1%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE NEVER HEARD OF

WHITE HISPANIC

37%36%

47%53%

15%

8%1% 3%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLEUNSURE NEVER HEARD OF

Page 7: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 8: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

20% 6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

MEN WOMEN

41%38%34% 36%

13%9%

9%

9%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

35%

45%

41%36% 36%

30%

14%

7%

12%10%

5%14%

Page 9: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

45%

37% 38%38%

41%

22%

34% 33%

42%

36%

17%

12%13% 9% 8%3% 10% 11%

8% 10%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

74%

20%6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 10: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform...As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

74%

20% 6%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

WHITE HISPANIC

40%

30%34%

42%

11%

17%

9% 8%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 11: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 12: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

65%

33% 2%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

36%30%29%

34%

18%16%16% 17%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

39%

25%

34%

31%

35%

29%

16% 18%16%

13%18%

18%

Page 13: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

65%

33%2%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE NO OPINION

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

50%

30% 29% 30%

34%

25%

31%35%

30%35%

16%17% 19%

20%

13%8%

21%

15%18% 16%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 14: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

65%

33% 2%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

32%

40%

34%

23%

18%

12%15%

23%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE

Page 15: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Republican

Reform

Page 16: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

26%

34%

36%

4%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

MEN WOMEN

28%24%

37%32%33%

39%

2%5%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

41%

8%

26%

19%

56%

32%

38%

32%

39%

3% 4% 3%

Page 17: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

40%

23%26%

23%26%

19%

31%

38%37%

39%41%

44%

35% 36%

29%

0%2% 1%

4%6%

26%

34%

36%4%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 18: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

WHITE HISPANIC

25%

42%

35%

23%

37%

29%

3%6%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

26%

34%

36%

4%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELYNO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 19: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Bi-partisan Plan

~Image of Coffman

Page 20: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Mike Coffman worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Mike Coffman, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

MEN WOMEN

22%

18%17%16%15%

17%

11%9%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT

24%

10%

24%

17% 17%15%

14%18%

17%

11% 10%

8%

36%

26%

36%2%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 21: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Mike Coffman worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Mike Coffman, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

33%

11%

17%

20% 22%

25%

21%

14% 13% 14%

22%

15%17%

14% 14%

0%6%

20%

7%

11%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLE

SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

36%

26%

36%2%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

Page 22: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Mike Coffman worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Mike Coffman, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

36%

26%

36% 2%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCE UNSURE NO OPINION

WHITE HISPANIC

20%

15%

17% 17%15%

17%

10%

16%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLEMUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

Page 23: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

Page 24: Colorado Congressional District 6 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

53%

47%

Female Male

41%

33%

26%

Republican Democrat Independent

White Hispanic Black Other

78%

11%6% 5%

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

12%

17%

22%24%

25%