Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies
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Transcript of Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies
Colorado CD04 Immigration
SurveyOctober 17th – 18th, 2013
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 741n autodial survey of likely 2014
general election voters in Colorado Congressional District
4. This survey was commissioned by America’s Voice. The
interviewing was conducted October 17th - 18th, 2013. This
survey has a margin of error of +/-3.60% at the 95 percent
confidence interval.
Gardner Image Rating
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Cory Gardner?
39%
33%
22%
6%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
MEN WOMEN
46%
33%36%
29%
13%
31%
5% 7%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINIONNEVER HEARD OF
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED
57%
18%
26%
18%
57%
37%
20%16%
32%
5% 9% 4%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Cory Gardner?
39%
33%
22%6%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
48%
24%
37%
42% 44%
35%
44%
28%
39%
24%
10%
25% 28%
16%
26%
7% 6% 7%4% 6%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Cory Gardner?
WHITE HISPANIC
41%
32%31%
45%
23%
18%
6% 5%
39%
33%
22%
6%
FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF
Voter Opinion on Immigration
Reform
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
76%
20%4%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE
MEN WOMEN
39%43%
34% 34%
12%6%
11% 12%3% 5%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE
SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED
43% 43%
37%34%
38%
31%
8%8%
13%13%9% 10%
2% 4% 8%
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
76%
20% 4%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
23%
46% 45%42% 43%
46%
24%
35%32%
36%
20%
6%10% 8% 7%
11%
17%
5%
14%10%
5% 5% 4% 5%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status. If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?
WHITE HISPANIC
41%
47%
36%
24%
7%
17%
11%9%
4% 3%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE
76%
20%4%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE
Voter Opinion on Immigration
Reform
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
69%
26% 5%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE
MEN WOMEN
40%
32%36%
31%
13% 14%9%
16%
2% 6%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED
47%
22%
29%33%
40%
29%
8%
20%17%
9%
16%17%
3% 3%8%
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
69%
26% 5%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
25%
33%
40%38% 36%
29% 33%33% 34%
35%
37%
14%
8%
14%
8%8%12%
14%11%
16%
8% 6% 3% 4%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE
Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?
WHITE HISPANIC
37%
33%32%
42%
14%11%
13%14%
5%1%
STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE
69%
26% 5%
TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE
Voter Opinion on Voting for
Republican Candidate
If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?
26%
29%
38%
7%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE
UNSURE
MEN WOMEN
34%
18%
27%32%
36%
40%
3%10%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED
41%
8% 12%14%
56%
32%
38%
31%
45%
6% 4%11%
If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?
26%
29%
38%7%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
31%
12%
20%
33%28%
21%
39%
25%30% 30%
48%
39%43%
34% 34%
9%11%
3%8%
If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?
WHITE HISPANIC
25%27%
29%31%
38%40%
8%
1%
26%
29%
38%
7%
MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE
UNSURE
Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan
~Image of Gardner
If your Congressman Cory Gardner worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Cory Gardner, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?
43%
21%
30%
6%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
MEN WOMEN
34%
25%
12%16%
13% 13%
5% 11%
33%
27%
3% 7%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED
35%
23%25%
16%
12% 13%9%
23%
11%
5%
14%
9%
31%
24%
35%
4% 4%8%
If your Congressman Cory Gardner worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Cory Gardner, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?
43%
21%
30% 6%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
30%34% 33%
26% 26%
4%8%
15%
21%
16%
27%
13%11% 12% 11%
5%
13%
4%8% 10%
17%
29%33% 32% 32%
17%
3% 4% 1%6%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLESOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
If your Congressman Cory Gardner worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Cory Gardner, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?
WHITE HISPANIC
29%
32%
16%
3%
13%
10%
6%
21%
31%
23%
4%
12%
MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE
NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE
43%
21%
30%
6%
TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE
Demographics
Demographics
52%
48%
Female Male
49%
25%
26%
Republican Democrat Independent
White Hispanic Black Other
85%
13% 1% 1%
18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
11%15%
22%24%
28%