Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

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Colorado CD04 Immigration Survey October 17 th – 18 th , 2013

description

Magellan Strategies public releases of the results of a 741n autodial survey of likely 2014 general election voters in Colorado Congressional District 3 regarding the opinion of Immigration reform. Conducted on October 17th - 18th, 2013.

Transcript of Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Page 1: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Colorado CD04 Immigration

SurveyOctober 17th – 18th, 2013

Page 2: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the results of a 741n autodial survey of likely 2014

general election voters in Colorado Congressional District

4. This survey was commissioned by America’s Voice. The

interviewing was conducted October 17th - 18th, 2013. This

survey has a margin of error of +/-3.60% at the 95 percent

confidence interval.

Page 3: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Gardner Image Rating

Page 4: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Cory Gardner?

39%

33%

22%

6%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

MEN WOMEN

46%

33%36%

29%

13%

31%

5% 7%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NO OPINIONNEVER HEARD OF

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

57%

18%

26%

18%

57%

37%

20%16%

32%

5% 9% 4%

Page 5: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Cory Gardner?

39%

33%

22%6%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

48%

24%

37%

42% 44%

35%

44%

28%

39%

24%

10%

25% 28%

16%

26%

7% 6% 7%4% 6%

Page 6: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Congressman Cory Gardner?

WHITE HISPANIC

41%

32%31%

45%

23%

18%

6% 5%

39%

33%

22%

6%

FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLENO OPINION NEVER HEARD OF

Page 7: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 8: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

76%

20%4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

MEN WOMEN

39%43%

34% 34%

12%6%

11% 12%3% 5%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE

SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

43% 43%

37%34%

38%

31%

8%8%

13%13%9% 10%

2% 4% 8%

Page 9: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

76%

20% 4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

23%

46% 45%42% 43%

46%

24%

35%32%

36%

20%

6%10% 8% 7%

11%

17%

5%

14%10%

5% 5% 4% 5%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 10: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Thinking now about immigration reform…As you may know, the House of Representatives is beginning to consider different immigration reform proposals. One option is legislation that would significantly increase border security, block employers from hiring undocumented immigrants, and make sure that undocumented immigrants already in the U.S. with no criminal record register for legal status.  If immigrants were to meet a list of requirements, they could eventually apply for citizenship. Knowing this information, would you support or oppose this legislation?

WHITE HISPANIC

41%

47%

36%

24%

7%

17%

11%9%

4% 3%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE

76%

20%4%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

Page 11: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Immigration

Reform

Page 12: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

69%

26% 5%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

MEN WOMEN

40%

32%36%

31%

13% 14%9%

16%

2% 6%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

47%

22%

29%33%

40%

29%

8%

20%17%

9%

16%17%

3% 3%8%

Page 13: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

69%

26% 5%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

25%

33%

40%38% 36%

29% 33%33% 34%

35%

37%

14%

8%

14%

8%8%12%

14%11%

16%

8% 6% 3% 4%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORT STRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSE UNSURE

Page 14: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Would you support or oppose an immigration reform plan that ensures undocumented immigrants currently living in the U.S. pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes, and wait a minimum of thirteen years before they can be eligible for citizenship?

WHITE HISPANIC

37%

33%32%

42%

14%11%

13%14%

5%1%

STRONGLY SUPPORT SOMEWHAT SUPPORTSTRONGLY OPPOSE SOMEWHAT OPPOSEUNSURE

69%

26% 5%

TOTAL SUPPORT TOTAL OPPOSEUNSURE

Page 15: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Voting for

Republican Candidate

Page 16: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

26%

29%

38%

7%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

MEN WOMEN

34%

18%

27%32%

36%

40%

3%10%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

41%

8% 12%14%

56%

32%

38%

31%

45%

6% 4%11%

Page 17: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

26%

29%

38%7%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

31%

12%

20%

33%28%

21%

39%

25%30% 30%

48%

39%43%

34% 34%

9%11%

3%8%

Page 18: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If the Republicans in the House do not pass an immigration reform bill this year, would you be more or less likely to vote for a Republican candidate in the 2014 general election, or would it not make a difference in your decision?

WHITE HISPANIC

25%27%

29%31%

38%40%

8%

1%

26%

29%

38%

7%

MORE LIKELY LESS LIKELY NO DIFFERENCE

UNSURE

Page 19: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Voter Opinion on Bi-Partisan Plan

~Image of Gardner

Page 20: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Cory Gardner worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Cory Gardner, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

43%

21%

30%

6%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

MEN WOMEN

34%

25%

12%16%

13% 13%

5% 11%

33%

27%

3% 7%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

REPUBLICAN DEMOCRAT UNAFFILIATED

35%

23%25%

16%

12% 13%9%

23%

11%

5%

14%

9%

31%

24%

35%

4% 4%8%

Page 21: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Cory Gardner worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Cory Gardner, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

43%

21%

30% 6%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLE TOTAL LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

30%34% 33%

26% 26%

4%8%

15%

21%

16%

27%

13%11% 12% 11%

5%

13%

4%8% 10%

17%

29%33% 32% 32%

17%

3% 4% 1%6%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE MUCH LESS FAVORABLESOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

Page 22: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

If your Congressman Cory Gardner worked with other Republicans and Democrats to pass an immigration reform plan that ensured undocumented immigrants currently living in the US pay a penalty, learn English, pass a criminal background check, pay taxes and wait a minimum of thirteen years before becoming eligible for citizenship, would you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of Cory Gardner, or would it not make a difference in your opinion of him?

WHITE HISPANIC

29%

32%

16%

3%

13%

10%

6%

21%

31%

23%

4%

12%

MUCH MORE FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE

MUCH LESS FAVORABLE SOMEWHAT LESS FAVORABLE

NO DIFFERENCE UNSURE

43%

21%

30%

6%

TOTAL MORE FAVORABLETOTAL LESS FAVORABLENO DIFFERENCEUNSURE

Page 23: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

Page 24: Colorado Congressional District 4 Immigration Reform Survey - Magellan Strategies

Demographics

52%

48%

Female Male

49%

25%

26%

Republican Democrat Independent

White Hispanic Black Other

85%

13% 1% 1%

18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+

11%15%

22%24%

28%