Cold War BRICS Detente

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    Presented By- Group 3

    HOW

    THE

    END

    OF

    WORLD

    WAR

    IIGAVERISETOCOLDWAR.EXPLAINUNI-POLARITY, BI-

    POLARITY, UNI-MULTIPOLARITY.EXPLAINTHEROLEOFBRICS.PHASESOFDTENTE.

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    ORIGINSOFTHECOLD WAR

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    ORIGINOFTHE COLD WAR

    The Cold War (1945-91) was one of perception

    where neither side fully understood the

    intentions and ambitions of the other. This led tomistrust and military build-ups.

    As early as 1925

    Stalin stated that he viewed international politics

    as a bipolar world in which the Soviet Union

    would attract countries gravitating to socialism

    and capitalist countries would attract states

    gravitating toward capitalism.

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    DEVELOPMENT

    Various events before the Second World War demonstrated the mutual

    distrust and suspicion between the Western powers and the Soviet Union

    General philosophical challenge the Bolsheviks made towards capitalism.

    Western support of the anti-Bolshevik White movement in the Russian

    Civil War

    1926 Soviet funding of a British general workers strike causing Britain to

    break relations with the Soviet Union

    Stalin's 1927 declaration of peaceful coexistence with capitalist countries

    "receding into the past"

    American refusal to recognize the Soviet Union until 1933

    Stalinist Moscow Trials of the Great Purge

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    INVASIONOF GERMANARMYIN USSR

    When the German Army invaded the Soviet

    Union in June 1941, the Allies decided to

    help the Soviet Union.

    Stalin remained highly suspicious.

    He felt that the Western Allies had

    deliberately delayed opening a second anti-

    German front in order to step in at the lastmoment and shape the peace settlement.

    Thus, Soviet perceptions of the West left a

    strong undercurrent of tension and hostility

    between the Allied powers.

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    ENDOF WWII ANDPOSTWAR

    The Allies disagreed about how the European map

    should look, and how borders would be drawn,

    following the war.

    The western Allies desired a security system in whichdemocratic governments were established as widely

    as possible.

    Given the Russian historical experiences of frequent

    invasions and the immense death toll and the

    destruction the Soviet Union sustained during WorldWar II, the Soviet Union sought to increase security by

    dominating the internal affairs of countries that

    bordered it.

    The Western Allies were themselves deeply divided in

    their vision of the new post-war world.

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    DEVELOPMENTOFTHE COLD WAR

    United States

    U.S. thought that Soviet expansion would continue and spreadthroughout the world.

    They saw the Soviet Union as a threat to their way of life; especiallyafter the Soviet Union gained control of Eastern Europe.

    Soviet Union

    They felt that they had won World War II. They had sacrificed the most(25 million vs. 300,000 total dead) and deserved the most.

    They wanted to economically raid Eastern Europe to recoup theirexpenses during the war.

    They saw the U.S. as a threat to their way of life; especially after the

    U.S. development of atomic weapons.

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    COLD WAR MOBILIZATIONBYTHE U.S.

    Alarmed Americans viewed the Soviet occupationof eastern European countries as part of acommunist expansion, which threatened to

    extend to the rest of the world.

    In 1946, Winston Churchill gave a speech at FultonCollege in Missouri in which he proclaimed that an

    IronCurtain had fallen across Europe. In March 1947, U.S. president Harry Truman

    proclaimed the Truman Doctrine.

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    THE TRUMANDOCTRINE (1947)

    Reasoning

    Threatened by Communist influence in Turkey and Greece

    Two hostile camps speech

    Financial aid to support free peoples who are resistingattempted subjugation

    Sent $400 million worth of war supplies to Greece and helped

    push out Communism

    The Truman Doctrine marked a new level of Americancommitment to a Cold War.

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    THE POLICYOF CONTAINMENT

    Definition:

    By applying firm diplomatic, economic, and military counterpressure,the United States could block Soviet aggression.

    Formulated by George F. Kennan as a way to stop Soviet expansionwithout having to go to war.

    NSC-68

    The Containment Doctrine would later be expanded in 1949 in NSC-

    68, which called for a dramatic increase in defense spending

    From $13 billion to $50 billion a year, to be paid for with a large tax

    increase.

    NSC-68 served as the framework for American policy over the next20 years.

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    THE MARSHALL PLAN(1947-48)

    War damage and dislocation in Europe invited Communist influence

    Economic aid to all European countries offered in the European RecoveryProgram

    The goals of the United States were to rebuild a war-devastated region,remove trade barriers, modernize industry, and make Europe prosperous again.

    $13 billion to western Europe

    Soviets refused The blame for dividing Europe fell on the Soviet union, not theUnited States. And the Marshall Plan proved crucial to Western Europes

    economic recovery.

    This boom helped push communist groups out of power and created aneconomic divide between the rich west and poor east as clear as the politicalone.

    Soviets came up with Comecon an economic union of the communist

    countries in the Eastern Europe.

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    DIVIDINGGERMANY

    U.S., Britain, and France merged their

    zones in 1948 to create an independent

    West German state.

    The Soviets responded by blockading

    land access to Berlin. The U.S. began a

    massive airlift of supplies that lasted

    almost a year. (7,000 tons a day) In May

    1949 Stalin lifted the blockade,conceding that he could not prevent the

    creation of West Germany.

    Thus, the creation of East and West

    Germany

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    NORTH ATLANTIC TREATYORGANIZATION & THE WARSAW PACT

    Stalins aggressive actionsaccelerated the American effort touse military means to containSoviet ambitions.

    The U.S. joined with Canada,Britain, France, Belgium, theNetherlands, and Luxembourg toestablish NATO, a mutual defensepact in 1949.

    Pledged signers to treat an attackagainst one as an attack against all.

    When West Germany joined NATOin 1955, the Soviet Unioncountered by creating its own

    alliance system in eastern Europethe Warsaw Pact (1955)

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    THE COLD WAR HEATS UP:PROBLEMSOFTHE ATOMIC AGE

    The most frightening aspect of the Cold War was the constant

    threat of nuclear war.

    Russia detonated its first atom bomb in 1949.

    Truman ordered construction of the hydrogen bomb.

    Call for buildup of conventional forces to provide alternative to

    nuclear war.

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    POLARITY

    Polarity in international relations is a description

    of the distribution of power within the

    international system.

    Unipolarity-Distribution of power in which thereis one state with most of the cultural, economic,

    and military influence. Examples:

    The British Empire from the end of Napoleonic

    Wars - beginning of the 20th century

    The United States with the fall of the Soviet

    Union, the United States became the dominant

    military, economic, cultural, and influential force

    in the world.

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    BIPOLARITYAND UNI-MULTIPOLARITY

    Bipolarity -Distribution of power in which two states

    have the majority of economic, military, and cultural

    influence internationally or regionally. Often, spheres of

    influence would develop.

    For example, in the Cold War, most Western anddemocratic states would fall under the influence of the

    USA, while most Communist states would fall under the

    influence of the USSR.

    Great Britain and France during the colonial era.

    Uni-multipolar world, however, is one in which

    resolution of key international issues requires action by

    the single superpower plus some combination of other

    major states, and in which the single superpower is able

    to veto action by a combination of other states.

    The global power structure has four principal levels:

    Top level- United States is the only superpower with preeminence in every domain of

    power: economic, military, diplomatic, ideological, technological, and cultural.

    Second level-major regional powers, the dominant actors in important areas of theworld, but whose interests and capabilities do not extend as globally as those of the

    United States. Examples include the German-French condominium in Europe, India &

    China in South Asia, and Brazil in Latin America.

    Third level - secondary regional powers, whose influence is less than that of the major

    regional powers and whose interests often conflict with those of the major regionalpowers. Those include Britain in relation to the German-French combination, Pakistan

    in relation to India, and Argentina in relation to Brazil.

    Finally, the remaining countries, some of which are quite important, but which exist in

    some sense apart from the power structure described.

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    BRICS

    It refers to countries of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South

    Africa

    Acronym coined by Jim ONeill in a 2001 paper entitled

    Building better global economic BRICs

    Full-scale diplomatic meeting - May 16, 2008 -Yekaterinburg,

    Russia

    First official summit - 16 June 2009 - Yekaterinburg, Russia South Africa - Officially admitted as a BRIC nation on

    December 24, 2010

    African credentials gave BRICS a four-continent breadth,

    influence and trade opportunities

    Increased political cooperation - A way of influencing the UnitedStates position on major trade accords and political concessions

    Prediction by Goldman Sachs

    China and India - suppliers of manufactured goods andservices

    Brazil and Russia - suppliers of raw materials

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    POLITICAL SIGNIFICANCE

    The BRICS countries are contributing to thetransformation of today's unipolar world orderinto a multipolar system

    The rate of petroleum extraction will soon reachthe beginning of terminal decline

    Probability of disastrous climate change in thenext few decades

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    DISGRUNTLED WASHINGTON

    America's antagonism toward Iran

    America's wars in Central Asia and the Middle

    Replacing the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve

    currency with a basket of currencies

    Considerable clout in the UN Security Council

    BRICS - An active player safeguarding world peace and

    combating hegemony and power politics

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    ROLEIN GLOBAL ECONOMY

    Barring Brazil, with very modest growth rates over the last years,

    the three other Brics have been gaining weight and importance

    globally and within sectors

    The global economy is an arena for the exchange of ideas, in which

    the intellectual domination of the so-called developed Western

    world looks set to remain throughout the foreseeable future

    Brazil, China, Russia and India have either cut borrowing costs or

    lenders reserve requirements in recent weeks as the debt crisis in

    Europe saps global expansion

    Second meeting of the BRICS Trade Ministers

    will be held in New Delhi in March to review

    the Doha Development Agenda (DDA)

    BRICS group is increasingly being recognizedas pivotal in furthering progress in the stalled

    Doha Round

    BRICS is uniquely positioned at the cusp of

    the developing and the developed world

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    SANYA SUMMIT 2011

    Theme - "Broad Vision, Shared Prosperity

    Vision - 'The 21st century should be marked by peace,

    harmony, cooperation and scientific development Discussions

    Economics - Reform of global monetary andfinancial institutions, greater co-operation

    International law - Early conclusion to deadlockedtalks an anti-terror law under UN auspices

    UNSC Reform

    Trade Medium

    BRICS covers 30% of the land on Earth, 40% of itspopulation,18% of global trade and 35% of global

    foreign exchange reserves

    Their joint contribution to the global economicgrowth exceeds almost 50%.

    The dragging financial crisis drew BRICS evencloser to seek deeper cooperation

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    DELHI SUMMIT 2012

    March 29, 2012

    Trade, the global economy, international security,

    agriculture, health and innovation, internationalterrorism, climate change, food and energy security

    and global governance reform

    Reform of the Bretton Woods institutions, trade

    protectionism and the Doha Development Round,achievement of the Millennium Development Goals

    (MDGs), and support for a multi-polar, equitable and

    democratic world order

    reform of the global governance institutions and

    ways to fix the festering recession will top theagenda

    In the run-up to the summit, a host of events will

    be held, including an academic forum of leading

    think tanks of BRICS countries, the meeting of aneconomic research group that will explore issues

    affecting economies of the developing world and

    a Financial Forum of development banks of these

    countries

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    DTENTE

    Dtente is a French term, meaning relaxation of the tension.

    Dtente is a process by which two or more nations move away from a

    continuous confrontation with each other in general direction of cooperation.

    It is the relaxation of the international tensions which can take place onlywhen certain objective conditions exist: a realization by the protagonists that

    there are political and economic limitations to the assertion of their power in

    the world, a change in the respective national perceptions of the "enemy" and

    a recognition of the necessity to seek improvement of nation' posture through

    a partial accommodation with the adversary.

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    DTENTEASAPPLIEDTOCOLDWAR

    Dtente does not signify the end of the adversary

    relationship between the U.S and the U.S.S.R.

    It only meant rejection of war and threat of war.

    Ultimate means of resolving their conflict and

    achieving their particular objectives; and since the

    two government also assumed that they could attain

    these objectives through negotiations.

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    FEATURES ANDELEMENTS OF DTENTE:

    1. Deterrence:

    To reduce the arms race and armament on the mutual consent.

    But the concept of the balance of the power would not be upset by

    this diplomacy of the dtente.

    2. Peaceful co-existence:

    Dtente did not seek to eliminate the ideological warfare

    Kissenger has rightly observed: "the US and Soviet - Union are

    ideological rivals.

    3. Mutual trust Out of Mutual Fear:

    Dtente was the result of the strategic

    necessity of avoiding suicidal nuclear war.

    To a great extent dtente was grown out ofmutual fear and not out of mutual trust.

    4. Negative and Positive Elements:

    Negative elements signify substantial

    reduction of tension between the two

    power blocs in general and between thetwo superpowers in particular.

    A positive element indicates increase in

    mutual trust and understanding between

    them .

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    MULTIPLELEVELSOFTHEDTENTE:

    1. Dtente in arms race:

    Reduction in the arms race by signing the agreements like "Camp David

    Spirit", SALT-I, SALTII, PTBT, START-I, and START-II.NPT.and etc.

    2. Dtente in Economic and Scientific level:

    American technology for oil exploration and further development in some key

    industrial agreements with France, Germany, and other Western countries.

    USSR and US had cooperated with each other in undertaking some scientific

    researches and space exploration

    Cultural exchanges have also been taking place between these countries.

    Dtente between different countries

    US-Soviet Dtente.

    Sino-USA Dtente.

    Sino-Soviet Dtente:

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    FACTORSLEADINGTODETENTE

    Nuclear Nightmare:

    Nuclear proliferation:

    USA's Compulsion:

    USSR's Compulsion:

    Principle of the Peaceful Co-existence:

    Role of the Non-alignment

    Rise of Multipolarism:

    Sino-Soviet Rift: Gorbachev Factor:

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    EVOLUTION AND PHASESOF THE DTENTE:

    Period of Thaw, 1959-1969:

    Heydays of Dtente, 1970-76.

    Problems in Dtente, 1977-1979.

    Setback to Dtente, 1979-1985:

    Re-emergence of Dtente, 1985-onwards:

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    IMPACT OF DTENTE

    End Of the Cold War:

    Disarmament:

    Proliferation of the Dtente.

    Irrelevance of the military Alliances:

    Resolving Regional Conflicts: Irrelevance of the NAM:

    De-idealogisation of international Relations:

    Unification of the Germany:

    Economic prosperity:

    Impact on UNO.

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    THANK YOU