CNNIC UPDATE -...
Transcript of CNNIC UPDATE -...
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9/7/06
CNNIC UPDATE
APNIC 22
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Outline
1. Update of CNNIC IP allocation work
2. Historical Resources Status in
China Mainland
3. Our next plan
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CNNIC has 188 members
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The structure of CNNIC members
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Some service are welcome bymembers
Local service: language,Chinese Whois registration
Policy and application consultation
Address planning
Regular visiting, face to face:
IP address application period, annual fee period
Get information about the utilization of
their IP and as, assist them with getting necessary
new IP address
guide member how to deal with spam complaint
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The growth of CNNIC IP addressesallocation
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Historical Resources Status in
China Mainland
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What is Historical Resources?
Allocated before APNIC establishment
Early Registration Transfer (ERX)
completed in February 2005
Assisting holders to reclaim HRs
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Historical Resources Status inChina
Historical Resources -IPv4: 7 /16s -AS: none
Enterprises holding HistoricalResources
-59
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Historical Resources Status inChina
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Assignment Distributing Condition
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How we did the Transfer Project?
Time
May 2006 – Now
Procedure
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How we did the Transfer Project?
List of HRs in China
Sort out contacts of HRsthrough WHOIS
Contact relative persons
Discussion
Transfer theirHRs to CNNIC
Not plan to transferat this time
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Results
Results until now:
Hold Historical Resources: 59
Contact available: 12
Have intent to transfer: 7
(in discussion now)
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Problems
Fail to contact many HRs holders
Some HRs holders think there is nonecessity to transfer the HRs
Some HRs holders are reluctant topay maintenance fee for HRs,
we hope to adopt flexible fee policyfor them
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Our next plan
Improving member service platform
reverse delegation function,
utilization rate etc
Member meeting
IP policy training meeting for ChinaISP
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9/7/06
How many IP addresses does Chinamainland need in near future?
APNIC 22
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Backgroud
The research indicates that the IANAand RIR free pool of IPv4 addressesmay run out between 2009-2012.
CNNIC made a projection on IPaddress in China mainland as a partof CNGI project research.
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Two method
1.using historical IP addresses data
stable growth period: 1998 – 2005
2.using the historical number ofnetizen and online computer
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Sample data: the data of stablegrowth period of China Internet
743869442005
682910722005
603704322004
494136322004
416773122003
324858882003
295183362002
253219842002
218168322001
200965122001
132899842000
102056962000
75760641999
64947201999
54297601998
40568321998
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First method: function fitting
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Quadratic and cubic function aresuitable
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The second method: MultipleLinear Regression analysis
The number of IPv4 has strongpertinence with netizen and onlinecomputer
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We expect the number of netizen willincrease by 16,000,000 and theonline computer will increase by8,000,000 each year in order toproject the number of IPv4 requiredby China mainland
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IP address projection
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conclusion
1.Multiple Linear Regression give aconservative projection, but linearfunction do not fit the growth trend, itneglects new network application and otherfactors, so we adopt Quadratic and cubicfunction to make projection.
Using this first method, china mainlandneeds other 10 A – 15A class IP addressesby the end of 2012. We will assist APNICto allocate the enough IP address forChina ISP.
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9/7/06
Thank You!