Cn tu12 5_isric_wb1_drivers_of_desertification_mantel
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Transcript of Cn tu12 5_isric_wb1_drivers_of_desertification_mantel
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Desertification drivers and policies in DESIRE study sites
S. Mantel (ISRIC)
G.W.J. van Lynden (ISRIC)
Marie-José van de Werff ten Bosch (Both Ends)
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
16 study sites
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Climatechange
Socio-economic drivers
DemographicsMigration
Policies Prices Markets
Social factors
Land useand management
Desertificationprocesses
Response
SLMstrategies
Other sourcesof income
People
Rurallivelihoods
Sustainabilitygoals
Bio-physical drivers
Environmentalconditions
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Climatechange
Socio-economic drivers
DemographicsMigration
Policies Prices Markets
Social factors
Land useand management
Desertificationprocesses
Response
SLMstrategies
Other sourcesof income
People
Rurallivelihoods
Sustainabilitygoals
Bio-physical drivers
Environmentalconditions
SLM loop
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Climatechange
Socio-economic drivers
DemographicsMigration
Policies Prices Markets
Social factors
Land useand management
Desertificationprocesses
Response
SLMstrategies
Other sourcesof income
People
Rurallivelihoods
Sustainabilitygoals
Bio-physical drivers
Environmentalconditions
Policy loop
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
DESIRE study sites
• Climate in the DESIRE study sites:
from (semi-)arid to sub-humid. High variation between sites. Av. Ann. rainfall < 600 mm, < 300 mm and sometimes <100 mm.
• Dominant land uses dryland farming and pastures, with increasing importance of irrigated arable farming and other forms of capital intense farming.
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Methods
• Data collected through emailed questionnaires (and discussed in group sessions)
• Structure and data fields used DPSIR concepts of socio-economic drivers, environmental drivers, pressures, impact, responses, and policies
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Drivers Socio economic drivers Environmental drivers
Pressures Impact
Study site: Guadalentin Basin, Murcia, Spain
Land abandonment
Aging farming population (traditionally dry land farmers), farming only part-time activity. Commercial, irrigated farms have developed at the cost of traditional dryland agriculture since the 1970's, Policy developed and implemented at many different levels within ministries and governments. Cross-sectoral cooperation and planning is extremely complex and difficult to implement.
Natural conditions such as topography, climate and lithology and active tectonic uplift favor overland flow and erosion.
Changes in soil quality, soil organic matter content and increased vegetation cover
Soil erosion (+)
Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)
Lack of investment at region, local, and farm level, the low profitability of agriculture calls for government intervention to provide incentives
The threatened mosaic landscape is crucial for SWC purposes
Changes in soil quality, soil organic matter content and increased vegetation cover
Soil erosion (+)
Intensive tillage Tillage under almonds is traditionally done 3-5 times a year
Soils are easily crusted without tillage which reduces infiltration capacity
Higher organic matter content, less runoff and erosion
Soil erosion (-)
Irrigated horticulture and illegal pumping of groundwater for irrigation
Irrigated horticulture is the most profitable land use type in the region
Land leveling is often practiced for irrigated agriculture
Changes in groundwater availability and quality
Ground water (quality+ quantity) decline
Intensive pig farming
Low land demand High demand for pork and ham
Changes in water and soil quality Soil and groundwater contamination
Decline of traditional knowledge
Land abandonment, due to out-migration to cities, has lead to increased soil erosion, causing damage to existing SWC strucutures such as terraces and water harvesting structures.
Long dry periods and intermittent rivers require structures to maintain water that is available during rainfall events throughout dry periods.
Changes in water availability and quality
Water stress
Drivers Socio economic drivers Environmental drivers
Pressures Impact
Zeuss-Koutine, Tunesia
Wood cutting and overgrazing
Out migration of active population, ageing population, land use change
Soil fertility decline, Insecure rainfall
Increased runoff processes and sediment production, decreased soil organic matter, increased unpalatable species, increased soil water repellency
Soil erosion,biodiversity loss
Wood cutting, overgrazing,and cultivation
Out migration of active population, land use change, ageing population, solutions focused on the forest sector, livelihood diversification.
Decrease of organic matter in the soil, severe drought periods
Decreased plant cover, increased runoff processes, decreased water quality, increased soil loss, decreased biomass, economic losses, loss of plant biodiversity
Vegetation degradation
Inadequate agricultural and forestry practices
abandonment of traditional agro-pasture practices for large scale mono-culture agriculture plantations (olives), land fragmentation through inheritance system
Soils sensitive to erosion, instable slopes
Decreased crop production, decreased farm income, decreased product diversification
Soil erosion, soil nutrient depletion
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Drivers Impact Responses Policies
Guadalentin Basin, Murcia, Spain
Land abandonment Soil erosion (+) Construction of terraces and check dams, reduced tillage, increased fallow periods, reforestation
Policies and regulations that focus on vegetation cover management, such as reforestation, crop rotations and fallow periods
Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)
Soil erosion (+) Construction of terraces and check dams, reduced tillage, increased fallow periods, reforestation
National Action Programme to Combat Desertification (NAPD), European Agricultural Guidance and Guarantee Fund (EAGGF), and the Regional development programmes
Intensive tillage Soil erosion (-) Reduced- and contour tillage Regional development programme
Irrigated horticulture and illegal pumping of groundwater for irrigation
Ground water (quality+ quantity) decline
Drip irrigation and plastic covers to reduce evaporation losses
Policy enforcement by the water authorities, water transfers, subsidies for irrigation infrastructure, European Agricultural Guidance and Guarantee Fund (EAGGF)
Intensive pig farming
Soil and groundwater contamination Controlled use of sludge for fertilization purposes
Regulations on waste treatment, storage and use of pig sludge
Decline of traditional knowledge
Water stress Construction of terraces and water harvesting structures
Regional development programme
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Source: De Vente et al., based on discussions between stakeholders during two stakeholder workshops in 2007 – 2008
Guadalentin basin, Spain: Sustainability Goals
Goal 1 Maintenance and restoration of the productive capacity of the agricultural-, forest-, and scrublands systems
Goal 2 Reduce water loss and maintain or restore aquifer levels
Goal 3 Reduce soil erosion and prevent flooding and siltation of reservoirs
Goal 4 Increase soil fertility and soil organic matter content
Goal 5 Integration of agriculture and ecological systems in a ‘mosaic landscape’
Goal 6 Conservation of biological diversity
Goal 7 Production of labelled ‘quality products’ from ecological agriculture
Goal 8 Use of organic waste and sludge for local green energy production
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Key drivers of desertification
• Out-migration• Lack of (integrated) planning• Land fragmentation
• Land management decline• Mono-culture tree planting• Population growth/poverty• Lack of land tenure
• Land use intensification
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
frequency of reported drivers for desertification/degradation in the 16 DESIRE study sites
0123456789
10
Out
mig
ratio
n
Lack
of p
lann
ing
Mon
o-pl
anta
tion
Land
frag
men
tatio
n
Inte
nsifi
catio
n
Pop
. gro
wth
/Pov
erty
Land
tenu
re
Land
man
agem
ent d
eclin
e
Frequency
Drivers
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Outmigration is a key driver of desertification (10 sites, 9 countries)
Driver / Issue Study Site Primary impact Secondary impact
Outmigration / low population/
Ageing
Portugal (2) Land use change/land abandonment, negligence of SWC structures, loss of (traditional) knowledge
Forest fires, soil erosion
Spain Mosaic landscape is lost, SWC structures damaged
Soil erosion
Tunesia Land use change (degradation of SWC structures)
Soil erosion
Greece, Crete Less land care Soil erosion(
(Population change) Russia (Dzhanybek) Introduction of mechanization Soil erosion, salinization
Cape Verde Land abandonment lead to invasive species
Biodiversity and soil quality decline
Chile Poor agricultural andlivestock practices
Soil erosion
Italy Poor land care Soil erosion,Mass movement, soil slip
Morocco, Sehoel Indirect effect: lack of labour for rotational cropping
Soil mining
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
• Lack of integrated planning and implementation of policies is considered to contribute to desertification (8 sites, 6 countries)
• E.g. Spain: effective policy is difficult due to multiple sectors and many administrative levels
• Botswana: Lack of coordination and implementation capacity resulting in low impact of policies. National policies do not always fit local conditions that sometimes cause negative side-effects
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Land fragmentation (7 sites, 6 countries)
E.g Portugal: Increased land abandonment, less managed forest and vegetation -> increased forest fires risk
E.g Turkey, Karapinar: Expansion of irrigated agriculture at the cost of traditional dry land farming ->lowering ground water levels
Land use intensification (7 sites, 6 countries)
Introduction of mono-culture tree plantations (6 sites, 5 countries)Mono-culture tree plantations: often decreased soil cover (e.g. Tunisia, Morocco), leading to greater forest/plantation fire risk (Portugal, Chile)
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Land management decline is considered a driver (5 study sites, 4 countries).
•E.g. Russia (Novy): decrease of irrigated area but use of inappropriate methods for irrigation; soil salinization, water logging
•Morocco: due to outmigration land tenure issues (land is rented out) and less labor available, rotational cropping is left for continuous wheat cultivation)
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
NOT (or hardly) reported by study sites:
•Tourism
•Transport/infrastructure
•Climate change
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Policies• The international policy agreements and national
contributions to them mentioned by the study sites:
• the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, and its National Action Plans (7 sites)
• Agenda 21 and environmental action plans and protection laws (7 sites)
• Common Agricultural Policy (in Europe) (3 sites)• National Strategy for Poverty Reduction (1 site)• Natura 2000 (1 site)• Convention on Biological Diversity, and national plans and
regulations (1 site)• European Water Framework Directive (1 site)
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Policies (2)The national and local agreements mentioned:
• Subsidy schemes, regulations, laws on irrigation, water management, waste and flood control (9 sites)
• Forestry laws and forest management regulations (5 sites)• agricultural laws and regulations, such as national policy on
agricultural development (5 sites)• laws and national strategies on soil conservation and prevention and
control of desertification (3 sites) • bonus programme on rehabilitation of degraded lands (1 site)• regional development plan (1 site)• official establishments of protected areas and national parks (1 site)• national strategy for rangeland improvement (1 site)• land management law (1 site) and grassland law (1 site)• Community Based Natural Resource Management Policy (1 site)• Tourism policies (1 site)• Emigration policies (1 site)• National plan for rural biogas development (1 site)• Revised National Policy on Education (1 site)• Order in council on protection of air (1 site)
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Policies (3)NOT (or hardly) reported by study sites:
•Trade and investment agreements
•Climate change protocols/agreements
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Conclusions• Drivers reported may have either negative
or positive effects on desertification depending on the environmental and socio-economic context (e.g. land abandonment)
• Local decisions on land use and management are highly influenced by national and global economy and trade and the resulting mobility of people
• Rural exodus is an indicator for change in economic conditions and the primary driver for desertification in several sites.
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Conclusions• Policies have diverse effects on land use
and management. Policies not targeted on environment or land management often as or even more influential
Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17Panel Review Meeting, Brussels, 17thth June 2009 June 2009LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010LANDCON, Xi’an, China October 12, 2010
ISRIC
Thank you for your attention