CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

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Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling University of California at Riverside CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA) Gail Tonnesen, Bo Wang et al., Air Quality Modeling Group University of California, Riverside WRAP Attribution of Haze Meeting, Denver, CO July 22, 2004

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CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA). Gail Tonnesen, Bo Wang et al., Air Quality Modeling Group University of California, Riverside WRAP Attribution of Haze Meeting, Denver, CO July 22, 2004. Need to understand which emissions sources contribute to haze and other pollutants. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Page 1: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Gail Tonnesen, Bo Wang et al.,

Air Quality Modeling Group

University of California, Riverside

WRAP Attribution of Haze Meeting, Denver, CO July 22, 2004

Page 2: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Motivation

• Need to understand which emissions sources contribute to haze and other pollutants.

• Use this information to assist in developing control strategies.

Page 3: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Modeling Approaches for Source Apportionment

• Chemical Mass Balance analysis

• Back-trajectory models

• Lagrangian models

• Sensitivity Studies

• Mass tracking approaches.

Page 4: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Sensitivity Methods (1)

1. Run a model Base Case simulation.

2. Add-in or Zero-out a particular source and run a the model again.

3. The difference in the base case and the sensitivity case predicts the effect of changing that source on concentration at all receptor sites.

Page 5: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Sensitivity Methods (2)

• Advantages of Sensitivity Methods:– directly related to development of control measures.– Conceptually simple to apply.

• Problems with Sensitivity Methods:– Brute force approaches (removing one species in each

model run) are computationally expensive.– Sensitivity results depend on the base case scenario.– Sensitivities results can be non-linear and non-additive.– CMAQ exhibits numerical noise in PM sensitivity runs.

Page 6: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Sensitivity Methods (3)

• Decoupled Direct Method is a computationally efficient sensitivity method:– Calculates many sensitivities in one run.– Difficult to implement in PM models.– Calculates derivative – but sensitivities can be

non-linear.

• Recommendation: Sensitivity studies are a valuable tool, but expensive to apply, and care is needed in interpretation of results.

Page 7: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Mass Tracking Methods

• Mass Tracking Algorithms– Output and analyze mass flux terms and

chemical reaction rates for each grid cell.– Computationally prohibitive.

• OSAT– Uses tracers to track O3 formation that was

sensitive to VOC or NOx.

Page 8: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Tagged Species Approach (1)

• Use “Tagged Species” or Tracers to track chemical transformations and transport of each PM species or PM precursor .

• Add the tracers for key species and for defined source regions & source categories.

• Provides 3-D fields showing source attribution of of PM species for any grid cell in model domain.

Page 9: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Tagged Species Approach (2)

• Method: Add one new set of tagged species for each emissions source category or source location being tracked.– Straight forward for non-reactive species: add 1 tracer

for each source.– Example: in each grid cell the sum of all tracers for EC

equals the total (bulk) EC concentration in each cell.– Each tracer is defined for all grid cells and is emitted,

transported, and removed proportional to its weight of the bulk species in each grid cell.

Page 10: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Tagged Species Approach (3)

• More complicated for chemical reactive species and secondary particulates:– Must also track the chemical reactions that convert a

tracer between different gas species and from gas to PM.– Model include approximately 6 forms of N species, must

carry 6 additional tracers for each NOx source category to track the contributions to aerosol nitrate.

– SOA formation is still more complex, not included in current algorithm.

– SO4 and other PM species are easier and less computational expensive to treat.

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Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Traced Area: WRAP Modeling Domain0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91 91

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8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80

8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70

8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70

8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70

8 60 60 60 8 8 8 8 8 8 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 99

92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 99

92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70

92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70

92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70

92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70

92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 70

92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 70 0 70 70 70 70 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 60 60 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 60 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

91 91 91

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

44 0 0

44 44 0

44 44 44

44 44 44

33 44 44

33 33 44

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

33 33 33

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

59 59 59

75 59 59

75 75 59

75 75 59

75 75 75

75 75 75

80 75 65

80 75 65

80 80 65

80 65 65

80 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

99 99 99

70 70 70

70 70 70

70 70 70

70 70 70

70 70 70

70 70 70

0 70 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

0 0 0

Source Area Mapping File: Each state is distinguished by a unique number

Page 12: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Traced Source TagsTypes Source Category Notes

ICON ICON Initial Concentration

BCON BCON Boundary Concentration

Emissions MV_* Mobile sources of any state

BG_* Biogenic sources of any state

RD_* Road dust of any state

NR_* Non- Road dust of any state

PN_* Point sources without SO2 of any state

PS_* Point sources with SO2 of any state

AR_* Area sources of any state

WF_* WF Fire of any state

AG_* AG Fire of any state

RX_* RX Fire of any state

MX_* Mexico Fire

ET_* Total Emission of any state

*_WRAP Any type of emission of WRAP domain

Others OTHERS Any sources other than all of the above

Page 13: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Transport & Loss Terms• Advection

– Calculate mass flux between grid cells to update tracers.

• Vertical Diffusion– Apply the CMAQ diffusion algorithms to tracers.– Also evaluate new algorithms to estimate actual 2-way mass

transfer between layers.

• Update for mass flux in CLOUD & aqueous chemistry algorithm.

• Update tagged species for emissions and deposition terms.• Check for mass conservation at each step and adjust mass

if needed. Halt if large errors.

Page 14: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

TSSA Structure Design driver.F:

read tssa configuration, ptssa_init …

do n = 1, nsteps

tssa_couple

tssa_decouple

write tssa output

end do

sciproc.F

Xadv

Yadv

Yadv

Xadv

Zadv

Tssa Adjadv

Hdiff

Tssa Decouple

Vdiff

Tssa Cldproc

Chem

Tssa Aero

Tssa Couple

Hppm

Tssa adv update

vppm

Tssa hdiff update

Tssa vdiff update

smvgear Tssa chem update

TSSA mass normalization

Page 15: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Tagged Species for Nitrates

• NOX = reactive N family.= { NO, NO2, NO3, 2*N2O5, HONO, PNA}

• HNO3• PAN• RNO3• ANO3J• ANO3I

Page 16: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Chemical Transformations

• Emissions are as NOx = NO + NO2 • Use integrated reaction rates at each time step

to update the tagged species:– NOX PAN

– NOX RNO3

– NOx HNO3

– HNO3 ANO3

Page 17: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Implementation in CMAQ

• Previously implemented in CMAQ v4.2.2. (12/03)

• Currently implemented in CMAQ v4.4

• Programming Language: Fortran 90

• Compilers: pgf90 or intel fortran compiler (ifc)

• Parallelism: supports multi-processor usage (MPI)

• Currently implemented with GEAR & QSSA chemistry solvers.

Page 18: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Output Formats

• 3-d concentration field for each tagged species– Each model grid cell is included as a receptor.– Results can be viewed as 3-d animation of the

tagged species, or layer 1 animations in PAVE– Bar plots for receptor showing attribution is most

useful for the receptor sites.

• Output files for annual simulation are too large with over 12 GB per day.– Currently outputting only layer 1.

Page 19: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Computational Cost/Constraints

• Slower run time because we use GEAR or QSSA chemistry (about 4x cost of EBI solver).

• RAM memory is primary constraint:– For many tracers we split them between 2 model

runs to avoid paging memory to disk.

• Run Time: about 3 hours per day using 8 Opteron CPUs with 2 GB RAM.

• With 32 CPUs, running CMAQ in 4 seasons, takes about 2 weeks for an annual simulation.

Page 20: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Animation gifs demo:

Page 21: CMAQ Tagged Species Source Apportionment (TSSA)

Center for Environmental Research and Technology/Air Quality Modeling

University of California at Riverside

Future Work

• Test alternate treatments of HNO3 NO3 and H2SO4 SO4 equilibrium.

• Implement organic aerosols and ozone.• Improve Graphics/Statistics Program to automate

Tracer Result Evaluation.• More Testing- comparisons with CAMx PSAT runs,

and testing for mass conservation.• Scalability in supporting other modeling domains

– Create corresponding source area mapping files

– county domains.