Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development

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Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development Facility Support to infrastructure development in SADC

description

Transboundary Water Management Workshop held in Johannesburg, South Africa from April 29-30, 2014.

Transcript of Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development

Page 1: Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development

Climate Resilience Infrastructure

Development Facility

Support to infrastructure

development in SADC

Page 2: Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development

What is CRIDF?

Climate Resilience Infrastructure

Development Facility;

DFID’s new infrastructure support

programme in southern Africa;

Delivering water related infrastructure in SADC

Countries, building climate resilience for the poor;

“Peaceful and climate resilient management of

shared water resources in SADC for the benefit of

the poor.”

Page 3: Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development

Being implemented by;Being implemented by;

In association with;

Page 4: Climate Resilience Infrastructure Development

An introduction to SADCThe Southern African Development Community

15 nation block in southern Africa

- 12 mainland, and 3 island States.

281 million people

Botswana

GDP varies widely – wealthier

south, rapidly developing north.

South Africa’s economy is

2x the rest of SADC combined.

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Water in SADC

Rainfall varies widely – from

+2000 mm/a to < 100 mm/a.

15 Transboundary Basins hold 70%of surface waters.

5% of available water used.

Water availability varies over time

and space.

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Lead from SADC’s Vision for Infrastructure

Development;

Infrastructure development is seen as a central and key

pillar to SADC’s RSAP III delivering on;

Equitable and sustainable utilisation of water for

social and environmental justice and regional

integration and economic benefits for present and

future generations.

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CRIDF Strategy informed by demand

and climate vulnerability context:

Working with SADC and RBOs to respond

to demand for investments;

Differentiating between well watered

(northern) basins and water stressed

(southern) basins;

Pursuing a specific strategy in each basin

–improving climate resilience according

to context;

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Zambezi:

Orange:

Small scale storage and irrigation projects;

Enhancing and maintaining natural storage

infrastructure; and

Introducing the ‘water, food, and energy’

nexus in policy.

Stretching available resources further, and

equitable sharing of the saved water; and

Introducing strategic peace dividends into

Basin Planning

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Virtual Water

flows

4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 km33331.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 km3333

Data Sources: Mekonnen and Hoekstra (2011), SADC States & CRIDFDry south

Wet north

8.9 8.9 8.9 8.9 km333313.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 km3333

14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8 km333317.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 km3333

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Hydro north (uses 17%)

Thermal south (uses 83%)Source: Southern African Power Pool (Musaba 2010)

74.3 % Coal

20.1 % Hydropower

4.0% Nuclear

1.6 % Gas / Diesel

97% domestic demand & 3 % bilateral trades

Growth in demand > 5%

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6.540 GWh/yr

8.280 GWh/yr

Virtual Water in

electricity trades

Data Sources: ESKOM, SAPP, CRIDF – Year

2012/2013

1,936 Mill m3/yr (6%)

11.76 Mill m3/yr (3.5%)

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Source: World Bank 2010, Zambezi IWRM Strategy 2008, Beilfuss 2012

Drought of 1992:

Reduced generation

loss of U$ 102 million.

Drought of 1992:

Reduced generation

loss of U$ 102 million.

From 1981-2001 no overflow

from Kariba Dam.

From 1981-2001 no overflow

from Kariba Dam.

Drought of 1992:

Reduced generation

loss of U$ 102 million.

From 1981-2001 no overflow

from Kariba Dam.

+ 2,300 MW Inga III+ 2,300 MW Inga III+ 2,300 MW Inga III Evaporation off

hydro reserviors:

= 11-16% of MAR

Evaporation off

hydro reserviors:

= 11-16% of MAR

Evaporation off

hydro reserviors:

= 11-16% of MAR

Climate Change:

Firm Power down 43%

Average down 25%

Climate Change:

Firm Power down 43%

Average down 25%

Climate Change:

Firm Power down 43%

Average down 25%

Installed Hydro:

5000 MW (10%)

Planned:

additional 13000 MW

Installed Hydro:

5000 MW (10%)

Planned:

additional 13000 MW

Installed Hydro:

5000 MW (10%)

Planned:

additional 13000 MW

The Zambezi

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Source: World Bank 2010

Cooperating on hydropower:

Increase generation by 23%

Cooperating on hydropower:

Increase generation by 23%

Cooperating on Irrigation

and hydropower

Expanding irrigation:• Potential 184% expansion

• Firm Power decrease 21%

• Average decrease 9%

Expanding irrigation:• Potential 184% expansion

• Firm Power decrease 21%

• Average decrease 9%

Expanding irrigation:• Potential 184% expansion

• Firm Power decrease 21%

• Average decrease 9%

Moving 30,000 ha of irrigation:• 0.03 km3/a in Zambia, 0.08 km3/a in

Mozambique (if sugar).

• Firm Power increase 2%

• Net Present Value U$ 140 million

Moving 30,000 ha of irrigation:• 0.03 km3/a in Zambia, 0.08 km3/a in

Mozambique (if sugar).

• Firm Power increase 2%

• Net Present Value U$ 140 million

Moving 30,000 ha of irrigation:• 0.03 km3/a in Zambia, 0.08 km3/a in

Mozambique (if sugar).

• Firm Power increase 2%

• Net Present Value U$ 140 million

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The Orange-Senqu

> 85 % of water used in Power

Generation in South Africa

from the Orange-Senqu

≈ 280 million m3 at high

assurance (2% of total use)

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Water in energy:Move towards sovereign security and

regional surplus through investment in

generation and transmission infrastructure

and bilateral agreements

Provide for growing rural demand through

micro- and mini-hydropower

When water is available ramp down

thermal- and ramp up hydro-power

In drought ramp up thermal- and ramp

down hydro-power.

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Water in agricultural products:

Establish variable assurance of supply

based on usufruct rights

Manage energy and irrigation

conjunctively and regionally

For regional companies;;;;

• When water is available ramp up

production

• In drought ramp down production,

and meet demands through regional

trading

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