Climate Change & India...• India had put out data of $2.5 trillion as total cost it would incur to...
Transcript of Climate Change & India...• India had put out data of $2.5 trillion as total cost it would incur to...
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Climate Change & India
Centre for Science and Environment
Centre for Science and Environment
New Delhi
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•How has India warmed over the past 117 years?
•How the temperatures have increased seasonally?
•How far away we are from 1.5 degree C target?
Centre for Science and Environment
•How far away we are from 1.5 degree C target?
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Methodology
•117 years (1901-1916) data on annual and seasonal mean, maximum & minimum temperature from IMD
Centre for Science and Environment
•1901-1930 average temperature considered as baseline
•Temperature anomaly calculated as departure from the baseline
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Spiraling Temperature
Centre for Science and Environment
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Spiraling Temperature
Centre for Science and Environment
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Spiraling Temperature
Centre for Science and Environment
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Spiraling Temperature -Winters
2.44
2.95
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
Temperature Anomaly in Winter Season (January-February)
from 1901-1930 Baseline
Centre for Science and Environment-2.00
-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
1901
1904
1907
1910
1913
1916
1919
1922
1925
1928
1931
1934
1937
1940
1943
1946
1949
1952
1955
1958
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
degree Celsius
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Spiraling Temperature -Summers
2.05
1.52
1.50
2.00
2.50
Temperature Anomaly in Pre-Monsoon Season (March-May)
from 1901-1930 Baseline
Centre for Science and Environment-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1901
1904
1907
1910
1913
1916
1919
1922
1925
1928
1931
1934
1937
1940
1943
1946
1949
1952
1955
1958
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
degree Celsius
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Spiraling Temperature -Monsoon
1.00
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
Temperature Anomaly in Monsoon Season (June-September)
from 1901-1930 Baseline
Centre for Science and Environment(0.80)
(0.60)
(0.40)
(0.20)
-
0.20
0.40
0.60
1901
1904
1907
1910
1913
1916
1919
1922
1925
1928
1931
1934
1937
1940
1943
1946
1949
1952
1955
1958
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
degree Celsius
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Spiraling Temperature –Post-Monsoon
1.69
1.30
1.5000
2.0000
Temperature anomaly during Post-Monsoon Season
(October-December)
Centre for Science and Environment-1.0000
-0.5000
0.0000
0.5000
1.0000
1901
1904
1907
1910
1913
1916
1919
1922
1925
1928
1931
1934
1937
1940
1943
1946
1949
1952
1955
1958
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
2015
degree Celsius
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Who is emitting how
Centre for Science and Environment
Who is emitting how much? Who is responsible?
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Present emissions: 2012
Centre for Science and Environment
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Per Capita Emissions: 2012
Centre for Science and Environment
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Who has contributed how much to climate change?
Centre for Science and Environment
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Coal, USA & India
Centre for Science and Environment
Coal, USA & India
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Coal truth: Power sector
Centre for Science and Environment
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Coal truth: Consumption
Centre for Science and Environment
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Coal truth: In the US
2014 coal use > 1990 coal use
Centre for Science and Environment
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Fossil truth: In the US
Shale gas use exploding: US today consumes more fossils than ever in its history
Centre for Science and Environment
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Coal power Truth: In the US
Centre for Science and Environment
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Coal power: USA in 2030
US coal production in 2030 same as India’s in 2014
Centre for Science and Environment
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US Clean power plan: 2030
No fossil shift. 60% electricity from fossils in 2030 marginally down from 65% in 1990 & 66% in 2005
Centre for Science and Environment
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India will be allowed to emit while the US will have
Centre for Science and Environment
emit while the US will have to stop emitting
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1 American = 4 Indians in 2030
Centre for Science and Environment
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Inconvenient truth: Rich Indians vs. Poor Americans
Centre for Science and Environment
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India needs trillions of dollars to meet its
Centre for Science and Environment
dollars to meet its commitments
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• False and wrong information• India had put out data of $2.5 trillion as total cost it would incur to meet its INDC.
Centre for Science and Environment
would incur to meet its INDC.• It had never asked for this money from climate funds.
Fact: India receives very little finance from climate funds.