Clf 04242014 earnings call deck

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Q1 2014 Earnings April 25, 2014

Transcript of Clf 04242014 earnings call deck

Page 1: Clf 04242014 earnings call deck

Q1 2014 Earnings

April 25, 2014

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FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Although the Company believes that its forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties relating to Cliffs' operations and business environment that are difficult to predict and may be beyond Cliffs' control. Such uncertainties and factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements for a variety of reasons including without limitation: trends affecting our financial condition, results of operations or future prospects, particularly the continued volatility of iron ore and coal prices; uncertainty or weaknesses in global economic conditions, including downward pressure on prices, reduced market demand and any slowing of the economic growth rate in China; a currently pending proxy contest and any other actions of activist shareholders; our ability to successfully integrate acquired companies into our operations and achieve post-acquisition synergies, including without limitation, Cliffs Quebec Iron Mining Limited (formerly Consolidated Thompson Iron Mining Limited); our ability to successfully identify and consummate any strategic investments and complete planned divestitures; the outcome of any contractual disputes with our customers, joint venture partners or significant energy, material or service providers or any other litigation or arbitration; the ability of our customers and joint venture partners to meet their obligations to us on a timely basis or at all; our ability to reach agreement with our iron ore customers regarding any modifications to sales contract provisions; the impact of price-adjustment factors on our sales contracts; changes in sales volume or mix; our actual economic iron ore and coal reserves or reductions in current mineral estimates, including whether any mineralized material qualifies as a reserve; the impact of our customers using other methods to produce steel or reducing their steel production; events or circumstances that could impair or adversely impact the viability of a mine and the carrying value of associated assets; the results of prefeasibility and feasibility studies in relation to projects; impacts of existing and increasing governmental regulation and related costs and liabilities, including failure to receive or maintain required operating and environmental permits, approvals, modifications or other authorization of, or from, any governmental or regulatory entity and costs related to implementing improvements to ensure compliance with regulatory changes; our ability to cost-effectively achieve planned production rates or levels; uncertainties associated with natural disasters, weather conditions, unanticipated geological conditions, supply or price of energy, equipment failures and other unexpected events; adverse changes in currency values, currency exchange rates, interest rates and tax laws; availability of capital and our ability to maintain adequate liquidity and successfully implement our financing plans; our ability to maintain appropriate relations with unions and employees and enter into or renew collective bargaining agreements on satisfactory terms; risks related to international operations; availability of capital equipment and component parts; the potential existence of significant deficiencies or material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting; problems or uncertainties with productivity, tons mined, transportation, mine-closure obligations, environmental liabilities, employee-benefit costs and other risks of the mining industry; and other factors and risks that are set forth in the Company's most recently filed reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information contained herein speaks as of the date of this release and may be superseded by subsequent events. Except as may be required by applicable securities laws, we do not undertake any obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements contained in this release.

Important Additional Information

Cliffs, its directors and certain of its executive officers may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from Cliffs shareholders in connection with the matters to be considered at Cliffs' 2014 Annual Meeting. Cliffs intends to file a proxy statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") in connection with any such solicitation of proxies from Cliffs’ shareholders. CLIFFS SHAREHOLDERS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO READ ANY SUCH PROXY STATEMENT AND ACCOMPANYING WHITE PROXY CARD WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE AS THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION. Information regarding the ownership of Cliffs' directors and executive officers in Cliffs’ shares, restricted shares and options is included in their SEC filings on Forms 3, 4 and 5. More detailed information regarding the identity of potential participants, and their direct or indirect interests, by security holdings or otherwise, will be set forth in the proxy statement and other materials to be filed with the SEC in connection with Cliffs' 2014 Annual Meeting. Information can also be found in Cliffs' Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2013, filed with the SEC on Feb. 14, 2014. Shareholders will be able to obtain any proxy statement, any amendments or supplements to the proxy statement and other documents filed by Cliffs with the SEC for no charge at the SEC's website at www.sec.gov. Copies will also be available at no charge at Cliffs' website at www.cliffsnr.com or by contacting James Graham, Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Secretary at (216) 694-5504. Shareholders may also contact D.F. King & Co., Inc., Cliffs’ proxy solicitor, toll-free at (800) 487-4870 or by email at [email protected].

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CLIFFS’ EXECUTIVE MANAGEMENT

Gary Halverson

Terry Paradie

President & Chief Executive Officer

Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Kelly Tompkins

Executive Vice President, External Affairs & President - Global Commercial

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FIRST-QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

2014 ANNUAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS ON JULY 29, 2014, FOR SHAREHOLDERS OF RECORD AS OF JUNE 2, 2014.

1Excludes $5 million in severance-related expenses.

Capital

Spending Reduced by

55% to

$103 Million

SG&A and Exploration Expenses Down 30%1

32% Increase in

Liquidity Compared to the

Prior Year

USIO Maintains Full-Year 2014 Sales Volume Guidance

22 – 23 MT

APIO

Generated Over

$100 Million in

Cash Margin in the First Quarter

Bloom Lake Record

First-Quarter

Production of

1.5 MT

Q1

CO

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Q1

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MACRO CONSIDERATIONS

• In China, implementation of a reform

agenda with credit-tightening and

pollution-control measures hampered

growth and steel production during the

first quarter.

• China’s ―mini stimulus‖ passed in April,

demonstrates that the government

remains committed to its target

GDP rate.

• The higher year-over-year quality

premiums for both Australian lump and

Bloom Lake concentrate products

have helped to partially offset the

decline in seaborne iron ore pricing.

1 Platts IODEX Iron ore fines 62% Fe ($/dmt) C.F.R China

$148

$126

$133 $135

$120

Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014

IRON ORE BENCHMARK PRICE1

(62% FE FINES PER DMT C.F.R. CHINA)

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ICY CONDITIONS ON THE GREAT LAKES

Impassable without ice breaker assistance

Source: NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory – April 2014

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ICY CONDITIONS ON LAKE SUPERIOR

Impassable without ice breaker assistance

Source: NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory March 2014

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U.S. IRON ORE

• Sales volume for the quarter was 2.8 million tons, down 8%, primarily driven by weather.

• Expecting to ship through the ―summer dip‖ with heavier vessels and additional fleet capacity.

• Successfully extended our Pellet Supply Agreement with ArcelorMittal USA Inc. through at least 2016.

• Cliffs is positioned to be the natural supplier of DR-grade pellets in the Midwest.

U.S. IRON ORE EXPECTED FULL-YEAR 2014 SALES VOLUME OF 22 - 23 MILLION TONS

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EASTERN CANADIAN IRON ORE EXPECTED FULL-YEAR 2014 SALES VOLUME OF 6 – 7 MILLION TONS

EASTERN CANADIAN IRON ORE

• Bloom Lake achieved record first-quarter production of 1.5 million tons.

• Decision to indefinitely suspend Bloom Lake’s Phase II expansion has given the Cliffs team the singular focus of improving Bloom Lake’s Phase I operations.

• All options remain on the table for the Bloom Lake asset, with extracting the highest value for shareholders the top priority.

• Successfully and safely idled Wabush mine and processing plant.

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ASIA PACIFIC IRON ORE

• Reported first-quarter sales volume of 2.6 million tons versus 2.3 million tons sold in the first quarter of 2013.

• Improvements in loading and hauling costs driven by less material moved, combined with favorable foreign exchange rates, continues to push this asset left on the cost curve.

• Full-year 2014 sales volume is comprised of approximately 50% lump and 50% fines.

ASIA PACIFIC IRON ORE EXPECTED FULL-YEAR 2014 SALES VOLUME OF 10 – 11 MILLION TONS

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NORTH AMERICAN COAL

• Sales volume of 1.6 million tons versus 1.8 million in the prior-year quarter.

• Focused on cash costs and remaining competitive in the current pricing environment.

• If pricing continues to decline, other options will be considered.

• In April, Pinnacle Mine broke another world record for most volume produced from a longwall in a 24 hour period.

NORTH AMERICAN COAL EXPECTED FULL-YEAR 2014 SALES VOLUME OF 7 – 8 MILLION TONS

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FIRST-QUARTER 2014 TOTAL LIQUIDITY & LEVERAGE PROFILE

1 Source: Company Filings 2 See Non-GAAP reconciliation in appendix.

Q1 2014 Adjusted

EBITDA2 $177M

Total

Liquidity over

$1.9B

TTM

Debt to EBITDA

<2.5x

$1.5

$1.5

$1.6

$2.1

$1.9

Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014

TOTAL LIQUIDITY1

($ IN BILLIONS)

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

1.0x

1.5x

2.0x

2.5x

3.0x

Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014

Debt to Cap Debt to EBITDA

LEVERAGE PROFILE

32% Increase

year over year

Debt to Total Capital

<35%

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• Realized revenue per ton and sensitivities are based on the

average year-to-date 62% Fe seaborne iron ore fines price

(C.F.R. China) of $120 per ton as of March 31, 2014.

• An 8% lower iron ore price assumption of $120 per ton,

reduced U.S. Iron Ore and Asia Pacific Iron Ore revenue-

per-ton outlook by $5 per ton.

• Eastern Canadian Iron Ore revenue-per-ton outlook

remains unchanged driven by lower freight rates and

increased iron-content premiums.

• North American Coal revenue-per-ton outlook reduced to

$80 - $85 per ton driven by market pricing for met coal.

FIRST-QUARTER REVENUE-PER-TON RESULTS AND FULL YEAR 2014 OUTLOOK

$109

$98 $96

$89

$120

$132

$117 $110

USIO ECIO APIO NAC

Q1 2014 Q1 2013

REVENUE-PER-TON RESULTS BY SEGMENT1

• Year-over-year decreases primarily driven by 19%

lower market pricing for iron ore and 13% lower

market pricing for metallurgical coal.

• Revenues reflect the following premiums:

• USIO Export pellet premium - $38 per ton

• Bloom Lake quality premium - $12 per ton

• APIO lump premium - $16 per ton

1 U.S. Iron Ore (USIO) tons are reported in long tons. Eastern Canadian Iron Ore (ECIO) tons are reported in metric tons, F.O.B. Eastern

Canada. Asia Pacific Iron Ore (APIO) tons are reported in metric tons, F.O.B. the port. North American Coal (NAC) tons are reported in

short tons at the mine.

REVENUE-PER-TON OUTLOOK BY SEGMENT1

USIO

REVENUE

PER TON

SENSITIVITY

PER TON (+/- $10)

$100 - $105

$95 - $100

$95 - $100

+/- $1

+/- $6

+/- $7 APIO

ECIO

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• Excluding LCM adjustments of $7 per ton, Bloom Lake cash costs were $87 per ton.

• Decrease versus prior

year was driven by favorable FX rates, partially offset by increased mine development activities.

FIRST-QUARTER CASH-COST-PER-TON1 RESULTS AND FULL YEAR 2014 OUTLOOK

1 Cash cost per ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization per ton, which is a non-GAAP financial

measure, that management uses in evaluating operating performance. The presentation of this measure is not intended to be considered in isolation from, as a substitute for,

or as superior to, the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The presentation of these measures may be different from non-GAAP

financial measures used by other companies. USIO tons are reported in long tons. ECIO tons are reported in metric tons, F.O.B. Eastern Canada. APIO tons are reported in

metric tons, F.O.B. the port. NAC tons are reported in short tons at the mine.

• Cash cost per ton was $56, down 25% versus the prior year.

• Decrease driven by favorable FX rates and additional cost benefits from moving less material, which is driving improvements in loading and hauling costs.

• Excluding LCM adjustments of $14 per ton, first-quarter cash cost per ton was $86.

• Decrease versus

previous year was driven by a continued focus on improving operating efficiencies.

• Cash cost per ton was $65 in the first quarter, up 9% versus the prior year.

• Increase was driven by higher maintenance and energy costs, which were elevated due to extreme weather conditions.

USIO ECIO APIO NAC

$65 - $70 per ton $85 - $90 per ton $60 - $65 per ton $85 - $90 per ton

FULL-YEAR 2014 CASH-COST-PER-TON OUTLOOK

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Q&A

News releases and other information on the Company are available on the Internet at:

http://www.cliffsnaturalresources.com

Follow @CliffsNR on Twitter

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Appendix

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17 1 In millions of tons. 2 Realized revenue sensitivities based on average Mar. 31, 2014 year-to-date 62% Fe seaborne iron ore fines price (C.F.R. China) of $120. 3 U.S. Iron Ore tons are reported

in long tons. 4 Eastern Canadian lron Ore tons are reported in metric tons, F.O.B. Eastern Canada. 5 Asia Pacific Iron Ore tons are reported in metric tons, F.O.B. the port.6 North American

Coal tons are reported in short tons at the mine. 7Cash cost per ton is defined as cost of goods sold and operating expenses per ton less depreciation, depletion and amortization per ton,

which is a non-GAAP financial measure, that management uses in evaluating operating performance. The presentation of this measure is not intended to be considered in isolation from, as a

substitute for, or as superior to, the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The presentation of these measures may be different from non-GAAP

financial measures used by other companies.

Revenues/ton2 Cash Cost/ton7 DD&A/ton

U.S. Iron Ore3

Eastern Canada Iron Ore4

Asia Pacific Iron Ore5

North American Coal6

$100 - $105

(+/- $1)

$95 - $100

(+/- $6)

$95 - $100

(+/- $7)

$80 - $85

$65 - $70

$85 - $90

$60 - $65

$85 - $90

$7

$25

$14

$15

Sales Volume1

22 - 23

6 - 7

10 - 11

7 - 8

SG&A

$185 million

Exploration

$15 million

Capital Expenditures

$375 - $425 million

Other

$100 million Wabush related

DD&A

$600 million

FULL-YEAR SEGMENT EXPECTATIONS

FULL-YEAR OTHER CONSOLIDATED EXPECTATIONS

2014 OUTLOOK

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NON-GAAP RECONCILIATION – EBITDA AND ADJUSTED EBITDA

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In addition to the consolidated financial statements presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP, the Company has presented EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA, which are non-GAAP

financial measures that management uses in evaluating operating performance. The presentation of these measures is not intended to be considered in isolation from, as a

substitute for, or as superior to, the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The presentation of these measures may be different from non-

GAAP financial measures used by other companies. A reconciliation of these measures to its most directly comparable GAAP measure is provided in the table below.

(In Millions)

Three Months Ended

March 31,

2014 2013

Net Income (Loss) to Cliffs' Shareholders $ (70.3) $ 107.0

Less:

Interest expense, net (42.7) (49.1)

Income Tax Benefit 21.8 6.0

Depreciation, depletion and amortization (141.1) (140.6)

EBITDA $ 91.7 $ 290.7

Less special items:

LCM Adjustments $ (35.5) $ 2.0

Wabush-related costs (39.0) —

Currency Remeasurements (6.5) (3.7)

SG&A Severance (4.7) —

Adjusted EBITDA $ 177.4 $ 292.4