Classification k-nearest neighbor classifier Naïve Bayes Logistic ... · Classification k-nearest...

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Classification k-nearest neighbor classifier Naïve Bayes Logistic Regression Support Vector Machines

Transcript of Classification k-nearest neighbor classifier Naïve Bayes Logistic ... · Classification k-nearest...

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Classification

k-nearest neighbor classifier

Naïve Bayes

Logistic Regression

Support Vector Machines

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Applications of Gradient Descent, Lagrange and KKT are countless I am

sure that each of you will have to use them some day (If you stay in

engineering)

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� Gradient descent is a first-order optimization algorithm. To find a local minimum of a function using gradient descent, one takes steps proportional to the negative of the gradient (or of the approximate gradient) of the function at the current point. If instead one takes steps proportional to the positive of the gradient, one approaches a local maximum of that function; the procedure is then known as gradient ascent.

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f = function(x){(x[1] - 5)^2 + (x[2] - 6)^2}

initial_x = c(10, 11)

x_optimal = optim(initial_x, f, method="CG")

x_min = x_optimal$par

x_min

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� In mathematical optimization, the method of Lagrange multipliers (named after Joseph Louis Lagrange) is a strategy for finding the local maxima and minima of a function subject to equality constraints.

� maximize f(x, y)subject to g(x, y) = c.� We need both f and g to have continuous first partial

derivatives. We introduce a new variable (λ) called a Lagrange multiplier and study the Lagrange function (or Lagrangian) defined by

� where the λ term may be either added or subtracted.

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Maximize expected return: f(x1, x2, x3) = x1*5% + x2*4% + x3*6%

Subjected to constraints:10% < x1, x2, x3 < 100%x1 + x2 + x3 = 1x3 < x1 + x2x1 < 2 * x2

library(lpSolve)library(lpSolveAPI)# Set the number of varsmodel <- make.lp(0, 3)# Define the object function: for Minimize, use -veset.objfn(model, c(-0.05, -0.04, -0.06))# Add the constraintsadd.constraint(model, c(1, 1, 1), "=", 1)add.constraint(model, c(1, 1, -1), ">", 0)add.constraint(model, c(1, -2, 0), "<", 0)# Set the upper and lower boundsset.bounds(model, lower=c(0.1, 0.1, 0.1), upper=c(1, 1, 1))# Compute the optimized modelsolve(model)# Get the value of the optimized parametersget.variables(model)# Get the value of the objective functionget.objective(model)# Get the value of the constraintget.constraints(model)

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� n mathematical optimization, the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) conditions (also known as the Kuhn–Tucker conditions) are first order necessary conditions for a solution in nonlinear programming to be optimal, provided that some regularity conditions are satisfied. Allowing inequality constraints, the KKT approach to nonlinear programming generalizes the method of Lagrange multipliers, which allows only equality constraints. The system of equations corresponding to the KKT conditions is usually not solved directly, except in the few special cases where a closed-form solution can be derived analytically. In general, many optimization algorithms can be interpreted as methods for numerically solving the KKT system of equations.

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Minimize quadratic objective function:f(x1, x2) = c1.x12 + c2. x1x2 + c2.x22 - (d1. x1 + d2.x2) Subject to constraintsa11.x1 + a12.x2 == b1a21.x1 + a22.x2 == b2a31.x1 + a32.x2 >= b3a41.x1 + a42.x2 >= b4a51.x1 + a52.x2 >= b5

library(quadprog)mu_return_vector = c(0.05, 0.04, 0.06) sigma = matrix(c(0.01, 0.002, 0.005,

0.002, 0.008, 0.006, 0.005, 0.006, 0.012),

nrow=3, ncol=3)D.Matrix = 2*sigmad.Vector = rep(0, 3)A.Equality = matrix(c(1,1,1), ncol=1)A.Matrix = cbind(A.Equality, mu_return_vector,

diag(3))b.Vector = c(1, 0.052, rep(0, 3))out = solve.QP(Dmat=D.Matrix, dvec=d.Vector,

Amat=A.Matrix, bvec=b.Vector, meq=1)

out$solutionout$value

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Apply

Model

Induction

Deduction

Learn

Model

Model

Tid Attrib1 Attrib2 Attrib3 Class

1 Yes Large 125K No

2 No Medium 100K No

3 No Small 70K No

4 Yes Medium 120K No

5 No Large 95K Yes

6 No Medium 60K No

7 Yes Large 220K No

8 No Small 85K Yes

9 No Medium 75K No

10 No Small 90K Yes 10

Tid Attrib1 Attrib2 Attrib3 Class

11 No Small 55K ?

12 Yes Medium 80K ?

13 Yes Large 110K ?

14 No Small 95K ?

15 No Large 67K ? 10

Test Set

Learning

algorithm

Training Set

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Atr1 ……... AtrN Class

A

B

B

C

A

C

B

Set of Stored Cases

Atr1 ……... AtrN

Unseen Case

• Store the training records

• Use training records to

predict the class label of

unseen cases

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� Examples:

� Rote-learner

▪ Memorizes entire training data and performs

classification only if attributes of record match one of

the training examples exactly

� Nearest neighbor classifier

▪ Uses k “closest” points (nearest neighbors) for

performing classification

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� Basic idea:

� “If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, then it’s

probably a duck”

Training

Records

Test RecordCompute

Distance

Choose k of the

“nearest” records

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� Requires three things

– The set of stored records

– Distance Metric to compute

distance between records

– The value of k, the number of

nearest neighbors to retrieve

� To classify an unknown record:

1. Compute distance to other

training records

2. Identify k nearest neighbors

3. Use class labels of nearest

neighbors to determine the

class label of unknown record

(e.g., by taking majority vote)

Unknown record

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X X X

(a) 1-nearest neighbor (b) 2-nearest neighbor (c) 3-nearest neighbor

K-nearest neighbors of a record x are data points that

have the k smallest distance to x

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Voronoi Diagram defines the classification boundary

The area takes the

class of the green

point

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� Compute distance between two points:

� Euclidean distance

� Determine the class from nearest neighbor list

� take the majority vote of class labels among the k-nearest

neighbors

� Weigh the vote according to distance

▪ weight factor, w = 1/d2

∑ −=i ii

qpqpd2)(),(

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� Choosing the value of k:� If k is too small, sensitive to noise points

� If k is too large, neighborhood may include points from

other classes

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� Scaling issues

� Attributes may have to be scaled to prevent

distance measures from being dominated by one

of the attributes

� Example:

▪ height of a person may vary from 1.5m to 1.8m

▪ weight of a person may vary from 90lb to 300lb

▪ income of a person may vary from $10K to $1M

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� Problem with Euclidean measure:

� High dimensional data

▪ curse of dimensionality

� Can produce counter-intuitive results

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0

0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1

vs

d = 1.4142 d = 1.4142

� Solution: Normalize the vectors to unit length

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� k-NN classifiers are lazy learners

� It does not build models explicitly

� Unlike eager learners such as decision trees

� Classifying unknown records are relatively

expensive

� Naïve algorithm: O(n)

� Need for structures to retrieve nearest neighbors

fast.

▪ The Nearest Neighbor Search problem.

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� Two-dimensional kd-trees� A data structure for answering nearest neighbor

queries in R2

� kd-tree construction algorithm� Select the x or y dimension (alternating between the

two)

� Partition the space into two with a line passing from the median point

� Repeat recursively in the two partitions as long as there are enough points

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2-dimensional kd-trees

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2-dimensional kd-trees

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2-dimensional kd-trees

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2-dimensional kd-trees

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2-dimensional kd-trees

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2-dimensional kd-trees

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region(u) – all the black points in the subtree of u

2-dimensional kd-trees

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� A binary tree:

� Size O(n)

� Depth O(logn)

� Construction time O(nlogn)

� Query time: worst case O(n), but for many cases O(logn)

Generalizes to d dimensions

� Example of Binary Space Partitioning

2-dimensional kd-trees

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install.packages(c("class"))library(class)train = rbind(iris3[1:25,,1], iris3[1:25,,2], iris3[1:25,,3])test = rbind(iris3[26:50,,1], iris3[26:50,,2], iris3[26:50,,3])cl = factor(c(rep("s",25), rep("c",25), rep("v",25)))knn(train, test, cl, k = 3, prob=TRUE)attributes(.Last.value)

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� Find a linear hyperplane (decision boundary) that will separate the data

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� One Possible Solution

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� Another possible solution

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� Other possible solutions

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� Which one is better? B1 or B2?� How do you define better?

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� Find hyperplane maximizes the margin => B1 is better than B2

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0=+• bxwrr

1−=+• bxwrr 1+=+• bxw

rr

−≤+•−

≥+•=

1bxw if1

1bxw if1)( rr

rrrxf

||||

2Margin

wr=

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� We want to maximize:

� Which is equivalent to minimizing:

� But subjected to the following constraints:

▪ This is a constrained optimization problem▪ Numerical approaches to solve it (e.g., quadratic programming)

2||||

2 Margin

wr=

2

||||)(

2w

wL

r

=

� ∙ �� � � � 1 if � 1� ∙ �� � � � �1 if � �1

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� What if the problem is not linearly separable?

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� What if the problem is not linearly separable?

��

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� What if the problem is not linearly separable?

� Introduce slack variables

▪ Need to minimize:

▪ Subject to:

+= ∑

=

N

i

k

iCw

wL1

2

2

||||)( ξ

r

� ∙ �� � � � 1 � � if � 1� ∙ �� � � � �1 � � if � �1

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� What if decision boundary is not linear?

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� Transform data into higher dimensional

space

Use the Kernel Trick

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A kernel is a function k(xi, xj) that given twovectors in input space, returns the dot product oftheir images in feature spaceK(xi. xj)= ϕ(xi). ϕ(xj)So by computing the dot product directly using akernel function, one avoid the mapping ϕ(x).This is desirable because Z has possibly infinitedimensions and ϕ(x) can be tricky orimpossible to compute. Using a kernel function,one need not explicitly know what ϕ(x) is. Byusing a kernel function, a SVM that operates ininfinite dimensional space can be constructed.

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# Example 1: XOR Functionx = array(data = c(0,0,1,1,0,1,0,1),dim=c(4,2))y = factor(c(1,-1,-1,1))model = svm(x,y)predict(model,x)

# Example 2: IRIS datasetdata(iris)attach(iris)x = subset(iris, select = -Species)y = Speciesmodel = svm(x, y)print(model)summary(model)pred <- predict(model, x)table(pred, y)

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� Instead of predicting the class of an record we

want to predict the probability of the class

given the record

� The problem of predicting continuous values

is called regression problem

� General approach: find a continuous function

that models the continuous points.

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� Given a dataset of the form ���, ��, … , ���, �� find

a linear function that given the vector �� predicts the � value as �� ����� Find a vector of weights �

that minimizes the sum of square errors

� �� �� ��

� Several techniques for solving the problem.

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� Assume a linear classification boundary

� ⋅ � 0

� ⋅ � � 0

� ⋅ � � 0

For the positive class the bigger the

value of � ⋅ �, the further the point is from the classification boundary, the

higher our certainty for the

membership to the positive class

• Define ����|�� as an increasing

function of � ⋅ �

For the negative class the smaller the

value of � ⋅ �, the further the point is from the classification boundary, the

higher our certainty for the

membership to the negative class

• Define ���!|�� as a decreasing

function of � ⋅ �

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" # 11 � $!%

� �� � 11 � $!&⋅'

� �! � $!&⋅'

1 � $!&⋅'

log � �� �� �! � � ⋅ �

Logistic Regression: Find the

vector�that maximizes the probability of the observed data

The logistic function

Linear regression on the log-odds ratio

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� Produces a probability estimate for the class

membership which is often very useful.

� The weights can be useful for understanding

the feature importance.

� Works for relatively large datasets

� Fast to apply.

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# Example 1: Linear Regressionx = c(1, 2, 3, 4)y = 2*x + 3lm(y~x)

# Example 2: Logistic Regressiondata(iris)iris.sub <- subset(iris, Species%in%c("versicolor","virginica"))model <- glm(Species ~ Sepal.Length + Sepal.Width, data = iris.sub,

family = binomial(link = "logit"))hist(predict(model), type = "response")

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� A probabilistic framework for solving classification problems

� A, C random variables� Joint probability: Pr(A=a,C=c)� Conditional probability: Pr(C=c | A=a)� Relationship between joint and conditional

probability distributions

� Bayes Theorem:)(

)()|()|(

AP

CPCAPACP =

)Pr()|Pr()Pr()|Pr(),Pr( CCAAACAC ×=×=

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� Consider each attribute and class label as

random variablesTid Refund Marital

Status Taxable Income Evade

1 Yes Single 125K No

2 No Married 100K No

3 No Single 70K No

4 Yes Married 120K No

5 No Divorced 95K Yes

6 No Married 60K No

7 Yes Divorced 220K No

8 No Single 85K Yes

9 No Married 75K No

10 No Single 90K Yes 10

categoric

al

categoric

al

continuous

class

Evade C

Event space: {Yes, No}

P(C) = (0.3, 0.7)

Refund A1

Event space: {Yes, No}

P(A1) = (0.3,0.7)

Martial Status A2

Event space: {Single, Married, Divorced}

P(A2) = (0.4,0.4,0.2)

Taxable Income A3

Event space: R

P(A3) ~ Normal(µ,σ)

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� Given a record X over attributes (A1, A2,…,An) � E.g., X = (‘Yes’, ‘Single’, 125K)

� The goal is to predict class C� Specifically, we want to find the value c of C that

maximizes P(C=c| X)▪ Maximum Aposteriori Probability estimate

� Can we estimate P(C| X) directly from data?� This means that we estimate the probability for all

possible values of the class variable.

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� Approach:

� compute the posterior probability P(C | A1, A2, …, An) for all values of C using the Bayes theorem

� Choose value of C that maximizes P(C | A1, A2, …, An)

� Equivalent to choosing value of C that maximizesP(A1, A2, …, An|C) P(C)

� How to estimate P(A1, A2, …, An | C )?

)(

)()|()|(

21

21

21

n

n

n

AAAP

CPCAAAPAAACP

K

KK =

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� Assume independence among attributes Ai when class is

given:

� ��+�, +�, … , +�|�� ��+�|����+� � ⋯ ��+�|��

� We can estimate P(Ai| C) for all values of Ai and C.

� New point X is classified to class c if

� � - . � � - ∏ ��+�|-��is maximum over all possible values of C.

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� Class Prior Probability: � � - 01

0e.g., P(C = No) = 7/10,

P(C = Yes) = 3/10

� For discrete attributes:

� +� 2 � - 34,535

where 34,5 is number of instances having attribute +� 2andbelongs to class -

� Examples:

P(Status=Married|No) = 4/7P(Refund=Yes|Yes)=0

Tid Refund Marital Status

Taxable Income Evade

1 Yes Single 125K No

2 No Married 100K No

3 No Single 70K No

4 Yes Married 120K No

5 No Divorced 95K Yes

6 No Married 60K No

7 Yes Divorced 220K No

8 No Single 85K Yes

9 No Married 75K No

10 No Single 90K Yes 10

categoric

al

categoric

al

continuous

class

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� For continuous attributes: � Discretize the range into bins ▪ one ordinal attribute per bin

▪ violates independence assumption

� Two-way split: (A < v) or (A > v)▪ choose only one of the two splits as new attribute

� Probability density estimation:▪ Assume attribute follows a normal distribution

▪ Use data to estimate parameters of distribution (i.e., mean µ and standard deviation σ)

▪ Once probability distribution is known, we can use it to estimate the conditional probability P(Ai|c)

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� Normal distribution:

� One for each (ai,ci) pair

� For (Income, Class=No):

� If Class=No

▪ sample mean = 110

▪ sample variance = 2975

Tid Refund Marital Status

Taxable Income Evade

1 Yes Single 125K No

2 No Married 100K No

3 No Single 70K No

4 Yes Married 120K No

5 No Divorced 95K Yes

6 No Married 60K No

7 Yes Divorced 220K No

8 No Single 85K Yes

9 No Married 75K No

10 No Single 90K Yes 10

categoric

al

categoric

al

continuous

class

2

2

2

)(

22

1)|( ij

ija

ij

ji ecaAPσ

µ

πσ

−−

==

0072.0)54.54(2

1)|120( )2975(2

)110120( 2

===−

eNoIncomePπ

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� Creating a Naïve Bayes Classifier, essentially

means to compute counts:Total number of records: N = 10

Class No:

Number of records: 7

Attribute Refund:

Yes: 3

No: 4

Attribute Marital Status:

Single: 2

Divorced: 1

Married: 4

Attribute Income:

mean: 110

variance: 2975

Class Yes:

Number of records: 3

Attribute Refund:

Yes: 0

No: 3

Attribute Marital Status:

Single: 2

Divorced: 1

Married: 0

Attribute Income:

mean: 90

variance: 25

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120K)IncomeMarried,No,Refund( ===X

� P(X|Class=No) = P(Refund=No|Class=No)

× P(Married| Class=No)

× P(Income=120K| Class=No)

= 4/7 × 4/7 × 0.0072 = 0.0024

� P(X|Class=Yes) = P(Refund=No| Class=Yes)

× P(Married| Class=Yes)

× P(Income=120K| Class=Yes)

= 1 × 0 × 1.2 × 10-9 = 0

P(No) = 0.3, P(Yes) = 0.7

Since P(X|No)P(No) > P(X|Yes)P(Yes)

Therefore P(No|X) > P(Yes|X)

=> Class = No

Given a Test Record:

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� If one of the conditional probability is zero,

then the entire expression becomes zero

� Probability estimation:

mN

mpNcCaAP

NN

NcCaAP

N

NcCaAP

c

aci

ic

aci

c

aci

+

+===

+

+===

===

)|(:estimate-m

1)|(:Laplace

)|( :OriginalNi: number of attribute

values for attribute Ai

p: prior probability

m: parameter

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120K)IncomeMarried,No,Refund( ===X

� P(X|Class=No) = P(Refund=No|Class=No)

× P(Married| Class=No)

× P(Income=120K| Class=No)

= 5/9 × 5/10 × 0.0072

� P(X|Class=Yes) = P(Refund=No| Class=Yes)

× P(Married| Class=Yes)

× P(Income=120K| Class=Yes)

= 4/5 × 1/6 × 1.2 × 10-9

P(No) = 0.7, P(Yes) = 0.3

Since P(X|No)P(No) > P(X|Yes)P(Yes)

Therefore P(No|X) > P(Yes|X)

=> Class = No

Given a Test Record: With Laplace Smoothing

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� Computing the conditional probabilities involves multiplication of many very small numbers � Numbers get very close to zero, and there is a danger

of numeric instability

� We can deal with this by computing the logarithm of the conditional probability

log � � + ~ log � + � � log � + � log +� � � log ��+�

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� Naïve Bayes is commonly used for text classification

� For a document 7 �#�, … , #8�� - 7 ��-� 9 ��#�|-�

%:∈<� � #� - = Fraction of terms from all documents in

c that are#�.

� Easy to implement and works relatively well� Limitation: Hard to incorporate additional

features (beyond words).

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� Robust to isolated noise points

� Handle missing values by ignoring the instance during probability estimate calculations

� Robust to irrelevant attributes

� Independence assumption may not hold for some attributes� Use other techniques such as Bayesian Belief Networks

(BBN)

� Naïve Bayes can produce a probability estimate, but it is usually a very biased one� Logistic Regression is better for obtaining probabilities.

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install.packages(e1071)

library(e1071)

classifier<-naiveBayes(iris[,1:4], iris[,5])

table(predict(classifier, iris[,-5]), iris[,5],

dnn=list('predicted','actual'))

classifier$apriori

classifier$tables$Petal.Length

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� Naïve Bayes is a type of a generative model� Generative process: ▪ First pick the category of the record

▪ Then given the category, generate the attribute values from the distribution of the category

▪ Conditional independence given C

� We use the training data to learn the distribution of the values in a class

C

+� +� +�

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� Logistic Regression and SVM are discriminative models� The goal is to find the boundary that discriminates

between the two classes from the training data

� In order to classify the language of a document, you can � Either learn the two languages and find which is

more likely to have generated the words you see

� Or learn what differentiates the two languages.