Chp3 Slides Economics

80
 C h a p te r3 A p p ly i n g th e S u p p ly - a n d -  D e m a n d M o d e l  

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Economics grad study

Transcript of Chp3 Slides Economics

  • Chapter 3

    Applying the Supply-and-

    Demand Model

  • Applying supply and demand

    model

    1. shapes matter

    2. sensitivity of quantity demanded to price

    3. sensitivity of quantity supplied to price

    4. sensitivity is different in long run than in

    the short run

    5. effects of a sales tax

  • Questions

    1. electric power: why did price shoot up in

    2000?

    2. inelastic: can demand be everywhere

    inelastic?

  • What-if questions

    how do equilibrium price and quantity

    change when an underlying factor changes?

    use graphs to predict qualitative effects of

    changes: direction of change

    need to know shape of demand and supply

    curves to determine quantitative change:

    amount equilibrium quantity and price

    change

  • Shapes of demand and supply

    curves matter

    supply shock (25 increase in price of hogs)

    effect on Canadian processed pork depends

    on shape of demand curve

    supply shock causes supply curve of pork to

    shift left from S

    1

    to S

    2

  • p, $ per kg

    215 2201760

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    3.55

    3.30

    S

    1

    D

    1

    S

    2

    e

    1

    e

    2

    Pork demand and supply curves

  • If the demand curve is horizontal

    p, $ per kg

    2202051760

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    3.30

    S

    1

    S

    2

    D

    3

    e

    1

    e

    2

  • If the demand curve is vertical

    p, $ per kg

    2201760

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    3.675

    3.30

    S

    1

    S

    2

    D

    2

    e

    1

    e

    2

  • -49.5-150Horizontal

    82.5037.5Vertical

    37.25-525Actual:

    Downward slope

    R, $million/ yearQ, million kg/yearp, cents/kg

    Demand Curve

  • Review: Electric power

    Why did Californias wholesale electric

    power rates suddenly shoot up in 2000?

  • Answer

    demand increased 5% more than expected

    limited capacity short-run supply nearly

    vertical

  • price per kWh

    Quantity, million kWh per year

    D

    1

    D

    2

    S

    p

    1

    p

    2

    p*

    S*

  • Elasticity of demand

    summarize sensitivity of the quantity

    demanded to price in a single statistic: price

    elasticity of demand:

    %change in quantity demanded /

    %change in price /

    Q Q

    p p

    = =

    /

    /

    Q Q Q p

    p p pQ

    = =

  • Linear demand curve

    linear demand: Q = a bp

    elasticity of demand:

    pork demand curve: Q = 286 20p

    d

    d

    Q p Q p p

    b

    p Q p Q Q

    = = =

    3.30

    20 0.3

    220

    Q p p

    b

    p Q Q

    = = = =

  • Interpretation of pork demand

    elasticity

    1% increase in price of pork leads to an %

    = -0.3% change in the quantity demanded

    quantity falls less than in proportion to price

    negative price elasticity, -0.3, is consistent

    with Law of Demand

  • Types of elasticities

    elastic: the quantity demanded changes

    more than in proportion to a change in price

    inelastic: the quantity demanded changes

    less than in proportion to a change in price

    elasticity of demand varies along most

    linear demand curves

  • Figure 3.2 Elasticity Along the Pork Demand Curve

    p, $ per kg

    a/2 = 143a/5 = 57.2

    D

    a = 286220

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    0

    11.44

    a/b = 14.30

    3.30

    a/(2b) = 7.15

    Elastic: < 1

    = 4

    Unitary: = 1

    = 0.3

    Inelastic: 0 > > 1

    Perfectly

    inelastic

    Perfectly elastic

  • Downward-sloping linear

    demand curve

    perfectly elastic ( is -) where demand

    curve hits vertical axis

    unitary elasticity at midpoint:

    p = a/(2b) and Q = a/2

    therefore, = -bp/Q = -b(a/[2b])/(a/2) = -1

    perfectly inelastic ( = 0) where demand

    curve hits quantity axis

    = -bp/Q = -b0/Q = 0

  • Constant elasticity demand

    curves

    elasticity same at every point along curve

    smooth curves:

    Q = Ap

    , or,

    vertical demand curve: perfectly inelastic

    ( = 0) everywhere: essential good

    horizontal demand curve: perfectly elastic

    (-): perfect substitutes

  • Constant Elasticity Demand Curves

  • Figure 3.3c Individuals Demand for Insulin

    *

    p, Price of

    insulin dose

    * Q, Insulin

    doses per day

    p

    Q

  • Prove constant elasticity

    demand function: Q = Ap

    1

    1

    d

    elasticity

    d

    Q p p

    Ap

    p Q Q

    p p

    Ap

    Ap p

    = =

    = = =

  • Solved problem

    Is it possible that a demand curve is

    inelastic everywhere?

    restatement: Does the assumption that a

    demand curve is everywhere inelastic

    contradicts some known fact?

  • Answer

    1. assume that a demand curve is everywhere

    inelastic, and determine the properties of

    that demand curve:

    if demand curve is perfectly inelastic, quantity

    doesn't change as price increases so revenue

    rises in proportion to price

    as the price rise, the amount consumers spend

    grows without limit

  • Answer (cont.)

    2. check whether those properties violate a

    known fact:

    consumers cannot spend an infinite amount

    on a single good: They don't have unlimited

    wealth

    therefore, a demand curve cannot be

    everywhere inelastic (at a high enough

    price, the demand must be elastic)

  • Solved problem

    Will a profit-maximizing monopoly ever

    operate in the inelastic section of its demand

    curve?

    restatement: Can a monopoly make more

    money operating in a different section of its

    demand curve?

  • Answer

    1. show what happens to its revenue if the monopoly

    raises its price and it is in the inelastic section of

    its demand curve: quantity falls less than in

    proportion to price, so revenue rises

    2. discuss what happens to profit: cost falls with

    quantity, so profit rises

    3. conclude: monopoly raises its price when in the

    inelastic section section of its demand curve until

    its no longer in that section

  • Income elasticity of demand

    % change in quantity demanded

    % change in income

    /

    /

    Q Q Q Y

    Y Y Y Q

    =

    = =

  • Pork income elasticity of demand

    pork demand function is

    Q = 171 20p + 20p

    b

    + 3p

    c

    + 2Y

    so pork income elasticity is

    at Q = 220 and Y = 12.5

    = 2 x 12.5/220 = 0.114

    2

    Q Y Y

    Y Q Q

    = =

  • Cross-price elasticity of demand

    how quantity of one good changes as price

    of another good increases

    %change in quantity demanded

    %change in price of another good

    /

    /

    o

    o o o

    Q Q Q p

    p p p Q

    = =

  • Negative cross-price elasticity

    as the other goods price increases, people

    buy less of this good

    demand curve shifts to the left

    example: as price of cream rises, people

    consume less coffee (cross-price elasticity

    is negative)

  • Positive cross-price elasticity

    as the price of the other good increases,

    people buy more of this good

    demand curve shifts to the right

    example: demand for a Camry rises as the

    price of a Taurus increases

  • Pork-beef example

    pork demand function is

    Q = 171 20p + 20p

    b

    + 3p

    c

    + 2Y

    so cross-price elasticity of demand for pork

    and the the price of beef is

    at Q = 220 and p

    b

    = $4 per kg, cross-price

    elasticity is 20 x 4/220 = 0.364

    20

    o b

    o

    Q p p

    p Q Q

    =

  • Price elasticity of supply

    /

    /

    %change in quantity supplied

    %change in price

    Q Q Q p

    p p pQ

    =

    = =

  • Sign of elasticity of supply

    if supply curve slopes upward, p/Q > 0,

    then > 0

    if supply curve slopes downward, p/Q >

    0, then < 0

    supply curve is elastic if > 1

    supply curve is inelastic if 0 < 1

  • Pork supply elasticity

    pork supply curve is

    Q = 88 + 40p

    so pork supply elasticity is

    as price of pork increases by 1%, the quantity

    supplied rises by nearly two-thirds of a percent

    3.30

    40 0.6

    220

    Q p

    p Q

    = = =

  • Figure 3.4 Elasticity Varies Along Linear Pork Supply Curve

    p, $ per kg

    220 260176

    S

    0.71

    0.66

    0.6

    0.5

    300

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    0

    3.30

    2.20

    4.30

    5.30

  • Constant Elasticity Supply Curves

  • Long run versus short run

    SR and LR elasticities may differ

    substantially

    gasoline demand elasticities:

    SR elasticity = -0.35

    5-year intermediate-run elasticity = -0.7

    10-year, LR elasticity = -0.8

    if a good can be easily stored, SR demand

    curve may be more elastic than LR curve

  • OPEC restricts output

    according to news reports 1/17/01, OPEC

    planned to reduce its quantity of oil by 5%

    how would the price change in SR and LR?

    p/p = (Q/Q)/

    = -5%/(-0.35) = 14.3% (SR)

    = -5%/(-0.7) = 7.1% (intermediate run)

    = -5%/(-0.8) = 6.3% (LR)

  • Predictions based on elasticities

    knowing only the elasticities of demand and

    supply, we can make accurate predictions

    about the effects of a new tax and determine

    how much of the tax falls on consumers

  • Two types of sales taxes

    ad valorem tax (the sales tax): for every

    dollar the consumer spends, the government

    keeps a fraction,

    specific (unit) tax: a specified amount, , is

    collected per unit of output

  • Tax on consumer

    pQ QT = Qspecific tax

    (1 - )pQT = pQad valorem tax p

    Firms after-tax

    revenue

    Total tax

    revenue

    Per unit tax

  • 4 Questions about sales taxes

    1. What effect does a specific sales tax have on

    equilibrium prices and quantity?

    2. Are sales taxes assessed on producers "passed

    along" to consumers? (Do consumers pay entire

    tax?)

    3. Do equilibrium price and quantity depend on

    whether the consumers or producers are taxed?

    4. Do both types of sales taxes have the same effect

    on equilibrium?

  • Specific tax

    assume the specific tax is assessed on firms

    at the time of sale

    consumer pays p

    government takes

    seller receives p -

  • Question 1

    What is the effect of a specific tax on the

    equilibrium?

    answer: See Figure 3.5 where we shift up

    the after-tax supply curve

    equilibrium price rises

    equilibrium quantity falls

    government collects tax revenues

  • Figure 3.5 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on the Pork Market

    Collected from Producers

    p, $ per kg

    Q

    2

    = 206 Q

    1

    = 220176

    T

    =

    $216.3 million

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    0

    p

    2

    = 4.00

    p

    1

    = 3.30

    p

    2

    = 2.95

    = $1.05

    S

    1

    e

    1

    e

    2

    S

    2

    D

  • Sin taxes

    because output falls after tax, governments

    can use taxes to discourage "sin" activities

    federal specific taxes have been used for:

    cigarettes

    alcohol

    playing cards (in an earlier day)

  • Question 2

    Who is hurt by the tax?

    What is the incidence of the tax?

  • In-class problem

    When a specific tax is imposed on pork,

    what happens to prices? Price consumers

    pay rises by

    A. more than the tax

    B. by the amount of the tax

    C. by less than the tax

  • Price impact of tax

    amount by which tax affects equilibrium

    price depends on elasticities of supply and

    demand

    government raises tax by = - 0 =

    price consumers pay increases by

    p

    =

  • Pork example

    Figure 3.5 shows p = $4 - $3.30 = $0.70

    demand elasticity: = -0.3

    supply elasticity, = 0.6

    = = $1.05

    therefore:

    0.6

    ($1.05) $0.70

    0.6 ( 0.3)

    p

    = = =

  • Figure 3.5 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on the Pork Market

    Collected from Producers

    p, $ per kg

    Q

    2

    = 206 Q

    1

    = 220176

    T

    =

    $216.3 million

    Q, Million kg of pork per year

    0

    p

    2

    = 4.00

    p

    1

    = 3.30

    p

    2

    = 2.95

    = $1.05

    S

    1

    e

    1

    e

    2

    S

    2

    D

  • Tax incidence

    incidence of a tax on consumers is share of

    tax that consumers pay

    p

    =

  • Incidence of a tax on pork

    figure 3.5 shows consumer incidence is

    p/ = $0.70/$1.05 = 2/3

    using elasticities, consumer incidence is

    /( - ) = 0.6/(0.6 - [-0.3]) = 2/3

  • Restaurant tax incidence

    estimated demand and supply for restaurant

    meals (Brown 1980):

    constant elasticity demand curve: = -0.188

    constant elasticity supply curve: = 6.47

    original equilibrium:

    Q

    1

    = 8.14 billion meals per year

    p

    1

    = $10.47 per meal ($1992)

  • Restaurant tax incidence

    most of the incidence falls on consumers:

    2 1

    $11.44 - $10.47

    = = = 97%

    $1

    6.47

    = =97%

    - 6.47 + 0.188

    p p p

    =

  • Overall effect of $1 meal tax

    raises $8 billion in tax revenues

    causes little drop in the number of

    restaurant meals purchased

  • Specific gasoline taxes

    federal range from nearly 11 and 20 per

    gallon

    state from 7 to 36 per gallon

  • Incidence of gas tax

    0-wholesale price

    +1+retail price

    statefederal

    1 increase in specific gasoline tax

  • Incidence ad valorem gas tax

    ad valorem gas tax

    CA, Georgia, IL, Indiana, Louisiana,

    Michigan, Mississippi, NY

    range up to 7% of retail price

    tax rate from 0 to 5%

    retail price 3.6

    wholesale price 1.8.

  • Solved problem

    if supply curve is perfectly elastic,

    what is the effect of a $1 specific tax collected

    from producers on equilibrium price and

    quantity, and

    what is the incidence on consumers?

    why?

    [for simplicity, assume demand is a

    downward-sloping straight line]

  • Restatement

    what changes: specific tax, , goes from $0

    to $1 per unit

    this change affects equilibrium price and

    quantity

    use pretax and post-tax price to consumers

    to determine the incidence of the tax

  • p, Price per unit

    Q, Quantity per time period

    p

    2

    p

    2

    - = p

    1

    D

    e

    1

    e

    2

    S

    1

    S

    2

  • Question 3

    Does equilibrium depend on who is taxed?

  • Answer

    no: equilibrium is same whether government

    collects tax from firms or from consumers

    in a competitive market

  • = $1.05

    = 2.95

    Figure 3.6 Effect of a $1.05 Specific Tax on Pork Collected from

    Consumers

    p, $ per kg

    Q

    2

    = 206 Q

    1

    = 220176

    = $216.3 million

    Q, Million kg of pork per year0

    p

    2

    = 4.00

    p

    1

    = 3.30

    p

    2

    = $1.05

    Wedge,

    D

    1

    D

    2

    e

    1

    e

    2

    S

    T

  • Question 4

    How can an ad valorem and specific tax

    have the same effect on equilibrium (in a

    competitive market)?

  • Figure 3.7 A Comparison of an Ad Valorem and a Specific Tax

    on Pork

    p, $ per kg

    Q

    2

    = 206 Q

    1

    = 220176

    T

    =

    $216.3 million

    Q

    , Million kg of pork per year0

    p

    2

    = 4.00

    p

    1

    = 3.30

    p

    2

    = 2.95

    e

    1

    e

    2

    D

    a

    D

    s

    S

    D

  • Luxury taxes

    in 1990, an ad valorem tax was imposed on luxury

    goods

    tax was 10% of the amount over

    $100,000 paid for yachts

    $250,000 for private planes

    $10,000 for furs and jewels

    $30,000 for cars

    objective: raise tax revenues without harming the

    poor and middle class

  • Tax on automobiles

    worked better than planned

    expected: luxury tax would raise $25 million in 1991

    and $1.5 billion over 5 years

    actual: brought in $98.4 million in first year alone

    most tax revenue came from sales of expensive,

    foreign cars, whose sales fell

    27%, Mercedes

    10%, Lexus

    few lost jobs for Americans except for auto

    dealers

  • Taxes on other luxury goods

    raised relatively little revenue

    caused substantial loss of domestic output

    and jobs

    four bills brought before Congress within a

    year to remove those taxes

    in mid 1993, the taxes were revoked

  • Yacht tax harmed industry

    substantially

    in the first year sales of yachts costing over

    $100,000 fell by 71%;

    whereas, sales of unaffected less-expensive

    yachts fell only 28% (due to the recession)

    employment fell from 160,000 to 115,000

    workers

    loss in payroll taxes far outweighed the

    increase in the luxury tax revenues

  • Yacht tax raised only $7 million

    (well below the forecast)

    Congressional analysts underestimated the

    demand elasticity: ignored tax-avoiding

    behavior and ability of consumers to

    substitute

    wealthy consumers escaped the boat tax by

    buying yachts in the Bahamas

    buying yachts that cost just under $100,000

    (avoiding the luxury tax)

  • 1 Shapes of demand and supply

    curves matters

    shapes determine the size of the effect

  • 2 Elasticity of demand

    = percentage change in quantity demanded

    due to an increase in price divided by

    percentage change in price

    always negative due to the Law of Demand

  • 3 Elasticity of supply

    = percentage change in the quantity

    supplied divided by the percentage change

    in price

    may have any sign, but commonly positive

    (upward-sloping supply curve)

  • 4 LR and SR elasticities

    frequently differ

    usually more adjustment is possible in the

    long run than in the short run

  • 5 Sales taxes

    common types of sales taxes: ad valorem and

    specific

    both types of taxes usually raise equilibrium price

    and lower equilibrium quantity

    tax incidence depends on demand and supply

    elasticities

    in competitive markets, effect of a tax on

    equilibrium same whether collected from

    consumers or producers