China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight...

6
CHINA POLYOLEFINS MARKET INSIGHT MARKET ANALYSIS ON CHINESE POLYPROPYLENE AND POLYETHYLENE MARKETS By Dora Xue & Angie Li

Transcript of China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight...

Page 1: China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets By dora Xue & angie

China Polyolefins Market insight

Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and

Polyethylene Markets

By dora Xue amp angie li

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

By Dora Xue JuNe 2018

ChiNa PolyolefiNsMarket analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets

TighT suPPly To suPPorT ChiNa PP markeT DesPiTe weak DemaND

Tight supply could buoy Chinarsquos polypropylene (PP) prices in the near term despite weak downstream demand

The market is expecting heavy production losses following recent unexpected outages at five domestic facilities from May and scheduled turnarounds at other plants

In the week ending 1 June domestic prices for PP flat yarn in east China were assessed at Chinese yuan (CNY) 9075tonne after a steady increase from early April according to ICIS data

Chinarsquos import prices for the same material stood at $1245tonne CFR (cost and freight) China largely tracking movement in the domestic market over the past two months according to ICIS data

The strong PP prices have also started to deter buyers from purchasing more spot cargoes

ldquoPP prices are too high We donrsquot want to store too much in our warehouserdquo a buyer said

Downstream demand typically is in a lull in June and July but any downward pressure on prices will be negated by a further tightening of supply as major plants will be taken off line for maintenance

ldquoWhen the maintenance season finishes in late June [PP] prices may start to go downrdquo a trader said

iMPort origins of Polyethylene

region CompanyCapacity lsquo000 tonnesyear

shut-down restart

east China Fund Energy (Changzhou)

300 1-Jul-17 unknown

northeast China

Jinxi Petrochemical

146 27-Dec-17

31-Jul-18

southwest China

Sichuan Petrochemical

450 9-Apr 24-Jun-18

north China Datang Duolun

230 15-Apr unknown

north China Datang Duolun

230 15-Apr unknown

east China Sinopec Zhenhai

Refinery and Chemical

350 27-Apr 8-Jun-18

east China Fund Energy (Ningbo)

300 5-May Jul-18

east China Sinopec Zhenhai

Refinery and Chemical

200 26-May 7-Jun-18

Middle China

Sinopec Zhongyuan

Ethylene

110 20-May Jul-18

northwest China

Pucheng Clean Energy

440 6-May 13-May-18

northwest China

Pucheng Clean Energy

440 22-May 28-May-18

northwest China

Pucheng Clean Energy

440 3-Jun unknown

south China

Guangzhou Petrochemical

200 3-May 7-May-18

north China PetroChina Daqing Refinery

300 16-May 22-May-18

north China Daqing Refinery

300 28-May unknown

north China Zhongtian Hechuang

350 28-May 6-Jun-18

north China Hebei Haiwei 300 29-May 6-Jun-18

northwest China

Shaanxi Yanchang Coal Yulin

300 30-May 29-Jun-18

northwest China

Shaanxi Yanchang Coal Yulin

300 30-May 29-Jun-18

northeast China

North Huajin Chemical

50 10-Jun 10-Jul-18

northeast China

North Huajin Chemical

330 10-Jun 10-Jul-18

northwest China

Ningxia Baofeng Energy

330 7-Jun unknown

CHINA DOMESTIC PRICES VS IMPORT PRICES

7000

7500

8000

8500

9000

9500

10000

10500

CNYtonne USDtonne

PP Yarn Ex-Warehouse China E Assessment Chinese Material Spot 2-4 Weeks Full Market Range (Mid)CNYtonne

PP Flat Yarn (Raffia) CFR China Assessment Import Spot 0-8 Weeks Full Market Range (Mid)USDtonne

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

Apr 2018Jan 2018Oct 2017Jul 2017Apr 2017

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Demand was considered weakest at Qingdao in the eastern Shandong province due to government-mandated production cuts and logistics restrictions ahead of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit on 9-10 June

As of 1 June the combined polyolefin inventories of Chinese petrochemical majors Sinopec and PetroChina had declined to normal levels of 700000 tonnes from a high of 1m tonnes in early March market sources said

Import supply to China may not improve in the short term

as suppliers still deem other markets to be more lucrative including southeast Asia and Europe where prices are higher and the US where supply is tight

Prices of PP flat yarn in southeast Asia at $1305tonne CFR were higher by $60tonne compared with Chinarsquos import prices according to ICIS data

Chinarsquos actual PP import volumes in February and March were lower on a year-on-year basis based on official data while April imports also registered a decline according to market sources

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

PP MONTHLY OUTPUT (IN THOUSAND TONNES)

1400

1450

1500

1550

1600

1650

1700

1750

1800

1850

MayAprMarFebJan

CHINA PP IMPORT VOLUMES (IN THOUSAND TONNES)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

AprMarFebJan2018 2017 YOY MON

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

ChiNa Pe imPorTs To sTay sTroNg amiD DomesTiC PlaNT TurNarouNDs

By aNgie li JuNe 2018

Chinarsquos polyethylene (PE) imports are expected to remain strong for the rest of the year after posting record volumes in January to April 2018 amid turnarounds at domestic facilities

Buyers in China have been accumulating imported PE cargoes as these were priced lower compared to futures prices since the start of the year

More cargoes will be available to China as new capacities in the US are expected to boost production

For May the countryrsquos PE imports are projected to reach 12m tonnes higher than the monthly average in the first four months of 2018

In January to April 2018 its PE imports volumes totalled 447m tonnes up by 12 from the previous corresponding period according to industry sources

The import volumes were making up for the production losses in the domestic market due to

scheduled turnarounds

On 1 June low density PE (LDPE) imports were assessed at $1155-1180tonne linear low density PE (LLDPE)

iMPort origins of Polyethylene

Country2018

Jan-Marshare

()2017

Jan-Marshare

() yoy

saudi arabia 73 21 525 17 39

iran 466 14 52 17 -10

United arab emirates

419 12 325 11 29

south korea 251 7 237 8 6

singapore 239 7 173 6 38

thailand 197 6 226 7 -13

america 185 5 205 7 -10

Qatar 153 4 128 4 19

india 127 4 56 2 127

kuwait 81 2 8 3 1

others 559 16 576 19 -3

total 3407 100 3051 100 1170

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

stood at $1150-1170tonne while high density PE (HDPE) film products were at $1340-1400tonne according to ICIS data

The prices have increased 15-62 from the end of March but the gains came in lower than market playersrsquo expectations considering the heavy production loss due to turnarounds from April

An estimated 500000 tonnes are expected to be shaved in the second quarter due to scheduled maintenance at domestic facilities according ICIS data

ldquoWe thought the hefty plant turnarounds in the second quarter should lead to a surge in PE prices but the LDPE and LLDPE prices were less than satisfactory

although HDPE prices [were] highrdquo said an east China-based trader referring to both the import and domestic PE prices

Strong imports amid hedging activities bloated the total supply in China in January to April to 998m tonnes up by 8 from the previous corresponding period with supply of LDPE and LLDPE up by 14 and 8 respectively market sources said

Imports of HDPE inched up by 2 over the same period given the gradersquos higher prices compared with LLDPE and LDPE

Increased availability due to recent capacity expansions and start-ups in Asia and the Middle East also fuels Chinarsquos appetite for import cargoes

In the first quarter of 2018 additional cargoes from Saudi Arabia were mostly from Sadara Chemical which started up its 750000 tonneyear swing plant and 350000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Al Jubail during late 2016 and early 2017 respectively

Cargoes of Iran origin augmented the total volume from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as market players try to get around the financial sanctions on Tehran Kordestan Petrochemicalrsquos 300000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Iran

Polyethylene tUrnaroUnds

Producer

Pe Capacity lsquo000 tonnes

year scheduled tasichuan Petrochemical 600 8 April - 28 June

shanghai Petrochemical 90 From May to July

Jilin Petrochemical 610 10 May - 15 June

Zhenhai refining and Petrochemical 500 27 April - 8 June

daqing Petrochemical 1155 Estimated July to

September

Baotou Charcoal chemical 300 Estimated September

ningxia Baofeng energy 300 30 days from 7 June

to 7 July

shanghai secco 800 Estimated October to November

fujian refining and Petrochemical 1000

Estimated 40-50 days from November to Decemeber

shaanxi yanchang China Coal Chemical 600 30 May - 26 June

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

ningxia shenhua Chemical 450 8-23 April

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

CHINA POLYETHYLENE IMPORT PRICES IN H1 2018

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

Jun 2018May 2018Apr 2018Mar 2018Feb 2018

USDtonne

Source xxxxxxxxxx Note xxxxxxxxxx

PE HDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LLDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

MayMarJan2018

NovSepJulyMayMarJan2017

LLDPE futureImport LDPE E China low end

POLYETHYLENE SPOT PRICE AND LLDPE FUTUREVALUES IN H1 2018CNYtonne

Import LLDPE E China low end

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

came on stream in March 2017

UAErsquos Borouge has also ramped up pipe and HDPE film exports to China during the period according to a supplier in the Middle East

Meanwhile PE imports from Singapore surged 38 year on year while those from India more than doubled to 127000 tonnes according to China Customs data

The ban on waste plastics implemented in China in the year also bolstered imports of virgin PE Some waste plastics were processed overseas and then re-entered the market as virgin products but these volumes were limited

Last year China imported 194m tonnes of PE waste plastics while volumes in 2018 will be negligible with the implementation of the ban

Chinarsquos PE production is expected to increase by around 7 to about 17m tonnes in 2018 with imports projected to grow by 102 to around 13m tonnes according to a source from state-owned petrochemical giant PetroChina

Domestic demand for PE is forecast to grow by 8 this year mainly from the packaging and pipe markets

Chinarsquos ongoing campaign to switch to using gas for power generation instead of coal is expected to continue boosting demand for PE gas pipes this year

The packaging industry will also drive up PE consumption underpinned by growth in electronic commerce Chinarsquos express delivery volumes reached 137bn packages during January-April 2018 based on data from the China Express Industry Development Conference in May

request a free sample report

Page 2: China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets By dora Xue & angie

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

By Dora Xue JuNe 2018

ChiNa PolyolefiNsMarket analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets

TighT suPPly To suPPorT ChiNa PP markeT DesPiTe weak DemaND

Tight supply could buoy Chinarsquos polypropylene (PP) prices in the near term despite weak downstream demand

The market is expecting heavy production losses following recent unexpected outages at five domestic facilities from May and scheduled turnarounds at other plants

In the week ending 1 June domestic prices for PP flat yarn in east China were assessed at Chinese yuan (CNY) 9075tonne after a steady increase from early April according to ICIS data

Chinarsquos import prices for the same material stood at $1245tonne CFR (cost and freight) China largely tracking movement in the domestic market over the past two months according to ICIS data

The strong PP prices have also started to deter buyers from purchasing more spot cargoes

ldquoPP prices are too high We donrsquot want to store too much in our warehouserdquo a buyer said

Downstream demand typically is in a lull in June and July but any downward pressure on prices will be negated by a further tightening of supply as major plants will be taken off line for maintenance

ldquoWhen the maintenance season finishes in late June [PP] prices may start to go downrdquo a trader said

iMPort origins of Polyethylene

region CompanyCapacity lsquo000 tonnesyear

shut-down restart

east China Fund Energy (Changzhou)

300 1-Jul-17 unknown

northeast China

Jinxi Petrochemical

146 27-Dec-17

31-Jul-18

southwest China

Sichuan Petrochemical

450 9-Apr 24-Jun-18

north China Datang Duolun

230 15-Apr unknown

north China Datang Duolun

230 15-Apr unknown

east China Sinopec Zhenhai

Refinery and Chemical

350 27-Apr 8-Jun-18

east China Fund Energy (Ningbo)

300 5-May Jul-18

east China Sinopec Zhenhai

Refinery and Chemical

200 26-May 7-Jun-18

Middle China

Sinopec Zhongyuan

Ethylene

110 20-May Jul-18

northwest China

Pucheng Clean Energy

440 6-May 13-May-18

northwest China

Pucheng Clean Energy

440 22-May 28-May-18

northwest China

Pucheng Clean Energy

440 3-Jun unknown

south China

Guangzhou Petrochemical

200 3-May 7-May-18

north China PetroChina Daqing Refinery

300 16-May 22-May-18

north China Daqing Refinery

300 28-May unknown

north China Zhongtian Hechuang

350 28-May 6-Jun-18

north China Hebei Haiwei 300 29-May 6-Jun-18

northwest China

Shaanxi Yanchang Coal Yulin

300 30-May 29-Jun-18

northwest China

Shaanxi Yanchang Coal Yulin

300 30-May 29-Jun-18

northeast China

North Huajin Chemical

50 10-Jun 10-Jul-18

northeast China

North Huajin Chemical

330 10-Jun 10-Jul-18

northwest China

Ningxia Baofeng Energy

330 7-Jun unknown

CHINA DOMESTIC PRICES VS IMPORT PRICES

7000

7500

8000

8500

9000

9500

10000

10500

CNYtonne USDtonne

PP Yarn Ex-Warehouse China E Assessment Chinese Material Spot 2-4 Weeks Full Market Range (Mid)CNYtonne

PP Flat Yarn (Raffia) CFR China Assessment Import Spot 0-8 Weeks Full Market Range (Mid)USDtonne

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

Apr 2018Jan 2018Oct 2017Jul 2017Apr 2017

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Demand was considered weakest at Qingdao in the eastern Shandong province due to government-mandated production cuts and logistics restrictions ahead of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit on 9-10 June

As of 1 June the combined polyolefin inventories of Chinese petrochemical majors Sinopec and PetroChina had declined to normal levels of 700000 tonnes from a high of 1m tonnes in early March market sources said

Import supply to China may not improve in the short term

as suppliers still deem other markets to be more lucrative including southeast Asia and Europe where prices are higher and the US where supply is tight

Prices of PP flat yarn in southeast Asia at $1305tonne CFR were higher by $60tonne compared with Chinarsquos import prices according to ICIS data

Chinarsquos actual PP import volumes in February and March were lower on a year-on-year basis based on official data while April imports also registered a decline according to market sources

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

PP MONTHLY OUTPUT (IN THOUSAND TONNES)

1400

1450

1500

1550

1600

1650

1700

1750

1800

1850

MayAprMarFebJan

CHINA PP IMPORT VOLUMES (IN THOUSAND TONNES)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

AprMarFebJan2018 2017 YOY MON

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

ChiNa Pe imPorTs To sTay sTroNg amiD DomesTiC PlaNT TurNarouNDs

By aNgie li JuNe 2018

Chinarsquos polyethylene (PE) imports are expected to remain strong for the rest of the year after posting record volumes in January to April 2018 amid turnarounds at domestic facilities

Buyers in China have been accumulating imported PE cargoes as these were priced lower compared to futures prices since the start of the year

More cargoes will be available to China as new capacities in the US are expected to boost production

For May the countryrsquos PE imports are projected to reach 12m tonnes higher than the monthly average in the first four months of 2018

In January to April 2018 its PE imports volumes totalled 447m tonnes up by 12 from the previous corresponding period according to industry sources

The import volumes were making up for the production losses in the domestic market due to

scheduled turnarounds

On 1 June low density PE (LDPE) imports were assessed at $1155-1180tonne linear low density PE (LLDPE)

iMPort origins of Polyethylene

Country2018

Jan-Marshare

()2017

Jan-Marshare

() yoy

saudi arabia 73 21 525 17 39

iran 466 14 52 17 -10

United arab emirates

419 12 325 11 29

south korea 251 7 237 8 6

singapore 239 7 173 6 38

thailand 197 6 226 7 -13

america 185 5 205 7 -10

Qatar 153 4 128 4 19

india 127 4 56 2 127

kuwait 81 2 8 3 1

others 559 16 576 19 -3

total 3407 100 3051 100 1170

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

stood at $1150-1170tonne while high density PE (HDPE) film products were at $1340-1400tonne according to ICIS data

The prices have increased 15-62 from the end of March but the gains came in lower than market playersrsquo expectations considering the heavy production loss due to turnarounds from April

An estimated 500000 tonnes are expected to be shaved in the second quarter due to scheduled maintenance at domestic facilities according ICIS data

ldquoWe thought the hefty plant turnarounds in the second quarter should lead to a surge in PE prices but the LDPE and LLDPE prices were less than satisfactory

although HDPE prices [were] highrdquo said an east China-based trader referring to both the import and domestic PE prices

Strong imports amid hedging activities bloated the total supply in China in January to April to 998m tonnes up by 8 from the previous corresponding period with supply of LDPE and LLDPE up by 14 and 8 respectively market sources said

Imports of HDPE inched up by 2 over the same period given the gradersquos higher prices compared with LLDPE and LDPE

Increased availability due to recent capacity expansions and start-ups in Asia and the Middle East also fuels Chinarsquos appetite for import cargoes

In the first quarter of 2018 additional cargoes from Saudi Arabia were mostly from Sadara Chemical which started up its 750000 tonneyear swing plant and 350000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Al Jubail during late 2016 and early 2017 respectively

Cargoes of Iran origin augmented the total volume from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as market players try to get around the financial sanctions on Tehran Kordestan Petrochemicalrsquos 300000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Iran

Polyethylene tUrnaroUnds

Producer

Pe Capacity lsquo000 tonnes

year scheduled tasichuan Petrochemical 600 8 April - 28 June

shanghai Petrochemical 90 From May to July

Jilin Petrochemical 610 10 May - 15 June

Zhenhai refining and Petrochemical 500 27 April - 8 June

daqing Petrochemical 1155 Estimated July to

September

Baotou Charcoal chemical 300 Estimated September

ningxia Baofeng energy 300 30 days from 7 June

to 7 July

shanghai secco 800 Estimated October to November

fujian refining and Petrochemical 1000

Estimated 40-50 days from November to Decemeber

shaanxi yanchang China Coal Chemical 600 30 May - 26 June

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

ningxia shenhua Chemical 450 8-23 April

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

CHINA POLYETHYLENE IMPORT PRICES IN H1 2018

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

Jun 2018May 2018Apr 2018Mar 2018Feb 2018

USDtonne

Source xxxxxxxxxx Note xxxxxxxxxx

PE HDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LLDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

MayMarJan2018

NovSepJulyMayMarJan2017

LLDPE futureImport LDPE E China low end

POLYETHYLENE SPOT PRICE AND LLDPE FUTUREVALUES IN H1 2018CNYtonne

Import LLDPE E China low end

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

came on stream in March 2017

UAErsquos Borouge has also ramped up pipe and HDPE film exports to China during the period according to a supplier in the Middle East

Meanwhile PE imports from Singapore surged 38 year on year while those from India more than doubled to 127000 tonnes according to China Customs data

The ban on waste plastics implemented in China in the year also bolstered imports of virgin PE Some waste plastics were processed overseas and then re-entered the market as virgin products but these volumes were limited

Last year China imported 194m tonnes of PE waste plastics while volumes in 2018 will be negligible with the implementation of the ban

Chinarsquos PE production is expected to increase by around 7 to about 17m tonnes in 2018 with imports projected to grow by 102 to around 13m tonnes according to a source from state-owned petrochemical giant PetroChina

Domestic demand for PE is forecast to grow by 8 this year mainly from the packaging and pipe markets

Chinarsquos ongoing campaign to switch to using gas for power generation instead of coal is expected to continue boosting demand for PE gas pipes this year

The packaging industry will also drive up PE consumption underpinned by growth in electronic commerce Chinarsquos express delivery volumes reached 137bn packages during January-April 2018 based on data from the China Express Industry Development Conference in May

request a free sample report

Page 3: China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets By dora Xue & angie

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Demand was considered weakest at Qingdao in the eastern Shandong province due to government-mandated production cuts and logistics restrictions ahead of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit on 9-10 June

As of 1 June the combined polyolefin inventories of Chinese petrochemical majors Sinopec and PetroChina had declined to normal levels of 700000 tonnes from a high of 1m tonnes in early March market sources said

Import supply to China may not improve in the short term

as suppliers still deem other markets to be more lucrative including southeast Asia and Europe where prices are higher and the US where supply is tight

Prices of PP flat yarn in southeast Asia at $1305tonne CFR were higher by $60tonne compared with Chinarsquos import prices according to ICIS data

Chinarsquos actual PP import volumes in February and March were lower on a year-on-year basis based on official data while April imports also registered a decline according to market sources

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

PP MONTHLY OUTPUT (IN THOUSAND TONNES)

1400

1450

1500

1550

1600

1650

1700

1750

1800

1850

MayAprMarFebJan

CHINA PP IMPORT VOLUMES (IN THOUSAND TONNES)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

AprMarFebJan2018 2017 YOY MON

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

ChiNa Pe imPorTs To sTay sTroNg amiD DomesTiC PlaNT TurNarouNDs

By aNgie li JuNe 2018

Chinarsquos polyethylene (PE) imports are expected to remain strong for the rest of the year after posting record volumes in January to April 2018 amid turnarounds at domestic facilities

Buyers in China have been accumulating imported PE cargoes as these were priced lower compared to futures prices since the start of the year

More cargoes will be available to China as new capacities in the US are expected to boost production

For May the countryrsquos PE imports are projected to reach 12m tonnes higher than the monthly average in the first four months of 2018

In January to April 2018 its PE imports volumes totalled 447m tonnes up by 12 from the previous corresponding period according to industry sources

The import volumes were making up for the production losses in the domestic market due to

scheduled turnarounds

On 1 June low density PE (LDPE) imports were assessed at $1155-1180tonne linear low density PE (LLDPE)

iMPort origins of Polyethylene

Country2018

Jan-Marshare

()2017

Jan-Marshare

() yoy

saudi arabia 73 21 525 17 39

iran 466 14 52 17 -10

United arab emirates

419 12 325 11 29

south korea 251 7 237 8 6

singapore 239 7 173 6 38

thailand 197 6 226 7 -13

america 185 5 205 7 -10

Qatar 153 4 128 4 19

india 127 4 56 2 127

kuwait 81 2 8 3 1

others 559 16 576 19 -3

total 3407 100 3051 100 1170

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

stood at $1150-1170tonne while high density PE (HDPE) film products were at $1340-1400tonne according to ICIS data

The prices have increased 15-62 from the end of March but the gains came in lower than market playersrsquo expectations considering the heavy production loss due to turnarounds from April

An estimated 500000 tonnes are expected to be shaved in the second quarter due to scheduled maintenance at domestic facilities according ICIS data

ldquoWe thought the hefty plant turnarounds in the second quarter should lead to a surge in PE prices but the LDPE and LLDPE prices were less than satisfactory

although HDPE prices [were] highrdquo said an east China-based trader referring to both the import and domestic PE prices

Strong imports amid hedging activities bloated the total supply in China in January to April to 998m tonnes up by 8 from the previous corresponding period with supply of LDPE and LLDPE up by 14 and 8 respectively market sources said

Imports of HDPE inched up by 2 over the same period given the gradersquos higher prices compared with LLDPE and LDPE

Increased availability due to recent capacity expansions and start-ups in Asia and the Middle East also fuels Chinarsquos appetite for import cargoes

In the first quarter of 2018 additional cargoes from Saudi Arabia were mostly from Sadara Chemical which started up its 750000 tonneyear swing plant and 350000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Al Jubail during late 2016 and early 2017 respectively

Cargoes of Iran origin augmented the total volume from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as market players try to get around the financial sanctions on Tehran Kordestan Petrochemicalrsquos 300000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Iran

Polyethylene tUrnaroUnds

Producer

Pe Capacity lsquo000 tonnes

year scheduled tasichuan Petrochemical 600 8 April - 28 June

shanghai Petrochemical 90 From May to July

Jilin Petrochemical 610 10 May - 15 June

Zhenhai refining and Petrochemical 500 27 April - 8 June

daqing Petrochemical 1155 Estimated July to

September

Baotou Charcoal chemical 300 Estimated September

ningxia Baofeng energy 300 30 days from 7 June

to 7 July

shanghai secco 800 Estimated October to November

fujian refining and Petrochemical 1000

Estimated 40-50 days from November to Decemeber

shaanxi yanchang China Coal Chemical 600 30 May - 26 June

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

ningxia shenhua Chemical 450 8-23 April

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

CHINA POLYETHYLENE IMPORT PRICES IN H1 2018

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

Jun 2018May 2018Apr 2018Mar 2018Feb 2018

USDtonne

Source xxxxxxxxxx Note xxxxxxxxxx

PE HDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LLDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

MayMarJan2018

NovSepJulyMayMarJan2017

LLDPE futureImport LDPE E China low end

POLYETHYLENE SPOT PRICE AND LLDPE FUTUREVALUES IN H1 2018CNYtonne

Import LLDPE E China low end

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

came on stream in March 2017

UAErsquos Borouge has also ramped up pipe and HDPE film exports to China during the period according to a supplier in the Middle East

Meanwhile PE imports from Singapore surged 38 year on year while those from India more than doubled to 127000 tonnes according to China Customs data

The ban on waste plastics implemented in China in the year also bolstered imports of virgin PE Some waste plastics were processed overseas and then re-entered the market as virgin products but these volumes were limited

Last year China imported 194m tonnes of PE waste plastics while volumes in 2018 will be negligible with the implementation of the ban

Chinarsquos PE production is expected to increase by around 7 to about 17m tonnes in 2018 with imports projected to grow by 102 to around 13m tonnes according to a source from state-owned petrochemical giant PetroChina

Domestic demand for PE is forecast to grow by 8 this year mainly from the packaging and pipe markets

Chinarsquos ongoing campaign to switch to using gas for power generation instead of coal is expected to continue boosting demand for PE gas pipes this year

The packaging industry will also drive up PE consumption underpinned by growth in electronic commerce Chinarsquos express delivery volumes reached 137bn packages during January-April 2018 based on data from the China Express Industry Development Conference in May

request a free sample report

Page 4: China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets By dora Xue & angie

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

ChiNa Pe imPorTs To sTay sTroNg amiD DomesTiC PlaNT TurNarouNDs

By aNgie li JuNe 2018

Chinarsquos polyethylene (PE) imports are expected to remain strong for the rest of the year after posting record volumes in January to April 2018 amid turnarounds at domestic facilities

Buyers in China have been accumulating imported PE cargoes as these were priced lower compared to futures prices since the start of the year

More cargoes will be available to China as new capacities in the US are expected to boost production

For May the countryrsquos PE imports are projected to reach 12m tonnes higher than the monthly average in the first four months of 2018

In January to April 2018 its PE imports volumes totalled 447m tonnes up by 12 from the previous corresponding period according to industry sources

The import volumes were making up for the production losses in the domestic market due to

scheduled turnarounds

On 1 June low density PE (LDPE) imports were assessed at $1155-1180tonne linear low density PE (LLDPE)

iMPort origins of Polyethylene

Country2018

Jan-Marshare

()2017

Jan-Marshare

() yoy

saudi arabia 73 21 525 17 39

iran 466 14 52 17 -10

United arab emirates

419 12 325 11 29

south korea 251 7 237 8 6

singapore 239 7 173 6 38

thailand 197 6 226 7 -13

america 185 5 205 7 -10

Qatar 153 4 128 4 19

india 127 4 56 2 127

kuwait 81 2 8 3 1

others 559 16 576 19 -3

total 3407 100 3051 100 1170

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

stood at $1150-1170tonne while high density PE (HDPE) film products were at $1340-1400tonne according to ICIS data

The prices have increased 15-62 from the end of March but the gains came in lower than market playersrsquo expectations considering the heavy production loss due to turnarounds from April

An estimated 500000 tonnes are expected to be shaved in the second quarter due to scheduled maintenance at domestic facilities according ICIS data

ldquoWe thought the hefty plant turnarounds in the second quarter should lead to a surge in PE prices but the LDPE and LLDPE prices were less than satisfactory

although HDPE prices [were] highrdquo said an east China-based trader referring to both the import and domestic PE prices

Strong imports amid hedging activities bloated the total supply in China in January to April to 998m tonnes up by 8 from the previous corresponding period with supply of LDPE and LLDPE up by 14 and 8 respectively market sources said

Imports of HDPE inched up by 2 over the same period given the gradersquos higher prices compared with LLDPE and LDPE

Increased availability due to recent capacity expansions and start-ups in Asia and the Middle East also fuels Chinarsquos appetite for import cargoes

In the first quarter of 2018 additional cargoes from Saudi Arabia were mostly from Sadara Chemical which started up its 750000 tonneyear swing plant and 350000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Al Jubail during late 2016 and early 2017 respectively

Cargoes of Iran origin augmented the total volume from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as market players try to get around the financial sanctions on Tehran Kordestan Petrochemicalrsquos 300000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Iran

Polyethylene tUrnaroUnds

Producer

Pe Capacity lsquo000 tonnes

year scheduled tasichuan Petrochemical 600 8 April - 28 June

shanghai Petrochemical 90 From May to July

Jilin Petrochemical 610 10 May - 15 June

Zhenhai refining and Petrochemical 500 27 April - 8 June

daqing Petrochemical 1155 Estimated July to

September

Baotou Charcoal chemical 300 Estimated September

ningxia Baofeng energy 300 30 days from 7 June

to 7 July

shanghai secco 800 Estimated October to November

fujian refining and Petrochemical 1000

Estimated 40-50 days from November to Decemeber

shaanxi yanchang China Coal Chemical 600 30 May - 26 June

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

ningxia shenhua Chemical 450 8-23 April

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

CHINA POLYETHYLENE IMPORT PRICES IN H1 2018

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

Jun 2018May 2018Apr 2018Mar 2018Feb 2018

USDtonne

Source xxxxxxxxxx Note xxxxxxxxxx

PE HDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LLDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

MayMarJan2018

NovSepJulyMayMarJan2017

LLDPE futureImport LDPE E China low end

POLYETHYLENE SPOT PRICE AND LLDPE FUTUREVALUES IN H1 2018CNYtonne

Import LLDPE E China low end

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

came on stream in March 2017

UAErsquos Borouge has also ramped up pipe and HDPE film exports to China during the period according to a supplier in the Middle East

Meanwhile PE imports from Singapore surged 38 year on year while those from India more than doubled to 127000 tonnes according to China Customs data

The ban on waste plastics implemented in China in the year also bolstered imports of virgin PE Some waste plastics were processed overseas and then re-entered the market as virgin products but these volumes were limited

Last year China imported 194m tonnes of PE waste plastics while volumes in 2018 will be negligible with the implementation of the ban

Chinarsquos PE production is expected to increase by around 7 to about 17m tonnes in 2018 with imports projected to grow by 102 to around 13m tonnes according to a source from state-owned petrochemical giant PetroChina

Domestic demand for PE is forecast to grow by 8 this year mainly from the packaging and pipe markets

Chinarsquos ongoing campaign to switch to using gas for power generation instead of coal is expected to continue boosting demand for PE gas pipes this year

The packaging industry will also drive up PE consumption underpinned by growth in electronic commerce Chinarsquos express delivery volumes reached 137bn packages during January-April 2018 based on data from the China Express Industry Development Conference in May

request a free sample report

Page 5: China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets By dora Xue & angie

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

stood at $1150-1170tonne while high density PE (HDPE) film products were at $1340-1400tonne according to ICIS data

The prices have increased 15-62 from the end of March but the gains came in lower than market playersrsquo expectations considering the heavy production loss due to turnarounds from April

An estimated 500000 tonnes are expected to be shaved in the second quarter due to scheduled maintenance at domestic facilities according ICIS data

ldquoWe thought the hefty plant turnarounds in the second quarter should lead to a surge in PE prices but the LDPE and LLDPE prices were less than satisfactory

although HDPE prices [were] highrdquo said an east China-based trader referring to both the import and domestic PE prices

Strong imports amid hedging activities bloated the total supply in China in January to April to 998m tonnes up by 8 from the previous corresponding period with supply of LDPE and LLDPE up by 14 and 8 respectively market sources said

Imports of HDPE inched up by 2 over the same period given the gradersquos higher prices compared with LLDPE and LDPE

Increased availability due to recent capacity expansions and start-ups in Asia and the Middle East also fuels Chinarsquos appetite for import cargoes

In the first quarter of 2018 additional cargoes from Saudi Arabia were mostly from Sadara Chemical which started up its 750000 tonneyear swing plant and 350000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Al Jubail during late 2016 and early 2017 respectively

Cargoes of Iran origin augmented the total volume from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as market players try to get around the financial sanctions on Tehran Kordestan Petrochemicalrsquos 300000 tonneyear LDPE plant in Iran

Polyethylene tUrnaroUnds

Producer

Pe Capacity lsquo000 tonnes

year scheduled tasichuan Petrochemical 600 8 April - 28 June

shanghai Petrochemical 90 From May to July

Jilin Petrochemical 610 10 May - 15 June

Zhenhai refining and Petrochemical 500 27 April - 8 June

daqing Petrochemical 1155 Estimated July to

September

Baotou Charcoal chemical 300 Estimated September

ningxia Baofeng energy 300 30 days from 7 June

to 7 July

shanghai secco 800 Estimated October to November

fujian refining and Petrochemical 1000

Estimated 40-50 days from November to Decemeber

shaanxi yanchang China Coal Chemical 600 30 May - 26 June

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

ningxia shenhua Chemical 450 8-23 April

huajin Chmeical 330 10 June - 10 July

CHINA POLYETHYLENE IMPORT PRICES IN H1 2018

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

Jun 2018May 2018Apr 2018Mar 2018Feb 2018

USDtonne

Source xxxxxxxxxx Note xxxxxxxxxx

PE HDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

PE LLDPE Film CFR China Assessment Import Spot Week-Ahead Full Market Range (Mid)

8000

9000

10000

11000

12000

MayMarJan2018

NovSepJulyMayMarJan2017

LLDPE futureImport LDPE E China low end

POLYETHYLENE SPOT PRICE AND LLDPE FUTUREVALUES IN H1 2018CNYtonne

Import LLDPE E China low end

request a free sample report

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

came on stream in March 2017

UAErsquos Borouge has also ramped up pipe and HDPE film exports to China during the period according to a supplier in the Middle East

Meanwhile PE imports from Singapore surged 38 year on year while those from India more than doubled to 127000 tonnes according to China Customs data

The ban on waste plastics implemented in China in the year also bolstered imports of virgin PE Some waste plastics were processed overseas and then re-entered the market as virgin products but these volumes were limited

Last year China imported 194m tonnes of PE waste plastics while volumes in 2018 will be negligible with the implementation of the ban

Chinarsquos PE production is expected to increase by around 7 to about 17m tonnes in 2018 with imports projected to grow by 102 to around 13m tonnes according to a source from state-owned petrochemical giant PetroChina

Domestic demand for PE is forecast to grow by 8 this year mainly from the packaging and pipe markets

Chinarsquos ongoing campaign to switch to using gas for power generation instead of coal is expected to continue boosting demand for PE gas pipes this year

The packaging industry will also drive up PE consumption underpinned by growth in electronic commerce Chinarsquos express delivery volumes reached 137bn packages during January-April 2018 based on data from the China Express Industry Development Conference in May

request a free sample report

Page 6: China Polyolefins Market insight - Amazon S3 · 2018-10-22 · China Polyolefins Market insight Market analysis on Chinese PolyProPylene and Polyethylene Markets By dora Xue & angie

Copyright 2018 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

Do you have The righT Tools To NavigaTe ChiNarsquos volaTile PolyProPyleNe markeTs

sPoT aND oPTimise oPPorTuNiTies iN The ChiNese PolyProPyleNe markeT

get the latest prices and commentary on price drivers with access to all of the following

n Importexport spotcontract and domestic pricesn Inventory levels and domestic price marginsn Plant and production news ndash shutdowns maintenance and turnaroundsn Commentary on supplydemand trends trading activity and updownstream markets as well as changes in

government policy

iCis now provides diagnostic and prescriptive solutions that offer a 360-degree view for China styrene complementing each pricing report subscription with these powerful tools

n live supply disruption tracker ndash Real-time view of domestic supply plant outages and start-ups for the next 12 months plus the impact of these changes

n Price drivers analytics ndash Key performance indicators such as importexport parity feedstock and downstream spreads substitution trends and arbitragenetback data

n a quarterly supply and demand outlook

request a free sample report

request a free demo

came on stream in March 2017

UAErsquos Borouge has also ramped up pipe and HDPE film exports to China during the period according to a supplier in the Middle East

Meanwhile PE imports from Singapore surged 38 year on year while those from India more than doubled to 127000 tonnes according to China Customs data

The ban on waste plastics implemented in China in the year also bolstered imports of virgin PE Some waste plastics were processed overseas and then re-entered the market as virgin products but these volumes were limited

Last year China imported 194m tonnes of PE waste plastics while volumes in 2018 will be negligible with the implementation of the ban

Chinarsquos PE production is expected to increase by around 7 to about 17m tonnes in 2018 with imports projected to grow by 102 to around 13m tonnes according to a source from state-owned petrochemical giant PetroChina

Domestic demand for PE is forecast to grow by 8 this year mainly from the packaging and pipe markets

Chinarsquos ongoing campaign to switch to using gas for power generation instead of coal is expected to continue boosting demand for PE gas pipes this year

The packaging industry will also drive up PE consumption underpinned by growth in electronic commerce Chinarsquos express delivery volumes reached 137bn packages during January-April 2018 based on data from the China Express Industry Development Conference in May

request a free sample report