China futures
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This PP explores the future of the "new" China. What can go right and what can go wrong? Much in both directions!
Transcript of China futures
China Dream
Buddhattitude
World Is China
Country amp Folk
The New China
Donald C Menzel PhD
China Futures amp
the Chinese DreamSession 6
Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Portrait
bull Peaceful rise gentle giant actmdashTom Friedman
bull Slow motion revolutionmdashIan Johnson
bull Rogue economic superpowermdashPaul Krugman
bull Chinarsquos view--the future belongs to us
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
The New China
Donald C Menzel PhD
China Futures amp
the Chinese DreamSession 6
Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Portrait
bull Peaceful rise gentle giant actmdashTom Friedman
bull Slow motion revolutionmdashIan Johnson
bull Rogue economic superpowermdashPaul Krugman
bull Chinarsquos view--the future belongs to us
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Portrait
bull Peaceful rise gentle giant actmdashTom Friedman
bull Slow motion revolutionmdashIan Johnson
bull Rogue economic superpowermdashPaul Krugman
bull Chinarsquos view--the future belongs to us
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Portrait
bull Peaceful rise gentle giant actmdashTom Friedman
bull Slow motion revolutionmdashIan Johnson
bull Rogue economic superpowermdashPaul Krugman
bull Chinarsquos view--the future belongs to us
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
Portrait
bull Peaceful rise gentle giant actmdashTom Friedman
bull Slow motion revolutionmdashIan Johnson
bull Rogue economic superpowermdashPaul Krugman
bull Chinarsquos view--the future belongs to us
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Portrait
bull Peaceful rise gentle giant actmdashTom Friedman
bull Slow motion revolutionmdashIan Johnson
bull Rogue economic superpowermdashPaul Krugman
bull Chinarsquos view--the future belongs to us
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
What can go right
bull Economy amp employmentbull Exports amp Consumerism in Chinabull Standard of living improves
ndash Foodndash Healthndash Materialism
bull Social harmonybull International respect
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Growing Up is Hard to Do
bull The middle-income trapmdashHigh growth has been propelled by low cost labor and easy technology adoption but these disappear when countries reach middle and upper middle income levels forcing them to find new sources of growth
bull Chinese leaders are trying to deflate a real estate bubble by banning most purchases of second and third homes
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
The World BankOn the Road to 2030
bull Goalmdashto become a high income countrybull China should complete its transition to a
market economy bull Must focus on the quality of growth not just
quantity of growthbull A modern society is industrialized and
urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
What can go wrong
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Population
bull Expansionmdash15 billion people by 2030bull Approaching zero population growth
ndash Birth rates are low with 17 per woman per lifetime
ndash Need 21 for long-term replacementndash Due in part to 1979 population control 1-child
policybull Aging population with life expectancy
assumed to lengthen by 2030
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Consequence
bull 2030 Chinarsquos median age will be over 41 higher than Europe or the US
bull In this future China there would be more than three senior citizens for each young child
bull The growing army of older people in China are listless and lost pessimistic and frightenedrdquo says Gerard Lemos in The End of the Chinese Dream (2012)
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
China Futures
bull Demographic outlook is unfavorablebull Chinarsquos demographic trends are strikingly
similar to the Soviet Unionrsquos a generation ago
bull Rising nationalism Aggressiveness Militarism Or
bull Peaceful evolution and mature international responsibility
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Significant Events2013 amp Beyond
bull China becomes ldquoAmericanizedrdquobull China becomes a ldquoresponsiblerdquo international powerbull China becomes a ldquodemocracyrdquobull China becomes a ldquofailedrdquo state
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Is the China DreamBeginning or Ending
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
What is the China dream
bull 1980s it was prosperity security stability bull Not so nowmdashfamily well being keeping a job
not getting sick affording medical treatment paying for their childrsquos education having enough to live on in their old age and
bull Living in a neighborly community
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
The Happiness Factor
bull Can social stability be bought by rapid economic growth
bull Where has the ldquoiron rice bowlrdquo gone ndash Permanent jobsndash Extensive employer provided safety net
bull Despite much lower levels of income life satisfaction among urban Chinese was almost as high as in the developed worldmdashRichard A Easterlin
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Happiness continued
bull 2007mdashonly 27 of Chinese in lowest third of the income distribution expressed satisfaction with their financial situation down from 42 in 1990
bull Economic growth is not enoughmdashjob security and a social safety net are also critical to peoplersquos happiness
bull Capitalism hasnrsquot made the Chinese more satisfied with life
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Threats
bull Increasing wages for blue collar workers Wages have nearly tripled in the last seven years or so
bull Slow economic growth could disrupt Chinarsquos progress toward becoming a high income harmonious and creative society
bull Managing the transition from a middle-income to a high-income society will prove challenging World Bank rpt 2012
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Social Inequality
bull Deng Xiaopingrsquos admonishment ldquoTo get rich is glorious ldquo was followed by
bull ldquoLet some people get rich first rdquo And they havebull When Chinas leader Deng Xiaoping said To get rich
is glorious I dont think he imagined that the chasm between rich and poor in China could have serious political implications Zeng Xiangquan a labor economist at Peoples University
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Wealth Inequality
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Questions
ldquoCan China continue to prosper while censoring the Internet controlling its news media and insisting on a monopoly of political power by the Chinese Communist Partyrdquo asks Tom Friedman
ldquoCan China develop its full potential by offering its people economic freedom without political freedomrdquo
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
The End of the Chinese Dream
bull China is no longer a party-state as Mao and his successors intended
bull Instead it has become a market-state of plutocrats seeking to dominant the Leviathan with money if possible by force if necessary
bull The Chinese dream cultivated in the 1980s of prosperity security stability and even the beginning of freedom is at an endmdashGerard Lemos
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
Want to know more about the ldquonewrdquo China
You can find my new multi-touch book ldquoThe NEW Chinardquo in the iBookstore or the text version at Smashwordscom
Click on the images below
- Slide 1
- Slide 2
- Is there a 4th NEW China on the horizon
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China
- Is this the face of the 4th NEW China (2)
- Portrait
- Slide 7
- What can go right
- Growing Up is Hard to Do
- The World Bank On the Road to 2030
- What can go wrong
- Population
- Consequence
- China Futures
- Significant Events 2013 amp Beyond
- Slide 16
- What is the China dream
- The Happiness Factor
- Happiness continued
- Threats
- Social Inequality
- Wealth Inequality
- Questions
- Slide 24
- The End of the Chinese Dream
- Slide 26
-
