China Acrylic Fiber Industry during 12th Five-Year Plan Period – … · 2012-03-14 · nylon...

China Acrylic Fiber Industry during 12th Five-Year Plan Period –

Expanding or Shrinking?

Zheng Junlin

Secretary General

China Chemical Fiber Association

9th China International Acrylonitrile & Acrylic Fiber Forum

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China Acrylic Fiber Industry during 12th Five-Year Plan Period

—— Expanding or Shrinking?

ZhengZheng JunlinJunlin

China Chemical Fiber AssociationChina Chemical Fiber Association

8 Mar 2012 Shanghai, China8 Mar 2012 Shanghai, China

Outline:

• Targets for China acrylic fiber industry in the 12th

Five-Year Plan period

• Status quo and development of China AF industry

• Key factors for development of China AF industry

• Future developing direction for China AF industry


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Targets for China acrylic fiber industry in the 12th Five-Year Plan period

China aims to become a world acrylic fiber production base with global competitiveness.

Targets:�Total capacity of 1.2 million t/a, with capacity ut ilization ratio higher than 95% and average capacity of producers o ver 70kt/a.

� Consumption proportion — apparel: decoration: indust rial = 60:30:10。。。。

� Unit processing cost below 3,500 yuan

� Average labor productivity per capita above 1.08 mil lion yuan

� Higher quality, more environment-friendly; ISO18001, ISO19001 and ISO14001 certificated

Acrylic Fiber Capacity in China during 2002-2012

• In 2011, total capacity of acrylic fiber in China is 915 kt/a. With the three long-idled units (combined capacity of 135 kt/yr) excluded, the total capacity is actually 780 kt/a.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2012 2017

Capacity

Demand

Kt


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Status quo — Output and Consumption in China

5CCFA

Acrylic Fiber Production 2002-2011

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

World China

Status quo — Production in China and the World

kt


4

Development ———— Lower Import, Higher Output and Self-supply

Output & Import 2000-2010 Self-supply rate 1999-2011

70.2570.2570.2570.2574.0474.0474.0474.04 78.378.378.378.377777777

79.579.579.579.581.7281.7281.7281.72

59.1659.1659.1659.1660.8360.8360.8360.83

57.9257.9257.9257.9258.4158.4158.4158.41

58.1858.1858.1858.18

57.4457.4457.4457.44

61.7961.7961.7961.79

50505050

60606060

70707070

80808080

90909090

1999

1999

1999

1999

2001

2001

2001

2001

2003

2003

2003

2003

2005

2005

2005

2005

2007

2007

2007

2007

2009

2009

2009

2009

2011

2011

2011

2011

Self-supplySelf-supplySelf-supplySelf-supply

%

Development — Consumption and Demand

8CCFA


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In 2010, the proportion of AF consumption in textile & apparel, decoration and industrial

fields is 70%:27%:3%. Hereinto, the proportion of textile & apparel increases by 3 points,

that of decoration up by 7 points, while that of industry falls by 10 points, to 3%.

Acrylic Fiber Consumption

Structure in 2010

70%

27%

3%

Textile and ApparelDecorationIndustry and others

Acrylic Fiber Consumption Structure in China 2005-2 010

Acrylic Fiber Consumption Structure in 2005

67%

20%

13%

Textile and apparelDecorationIndustry and others

Development — Consumption Structure

China

70%

27%

3%

Textile and apparel

Decoration

Industry

World

61%

12%

27%

Textile and apparel

Decoration

Industry

China (2009) World (2009)


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11CCFA

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

1990-1995 1995-2000 2000-2005 2005-2010

Cotton PSF AF VSF Wool 线性 (AF)

Global Growth of Staple Fibers 1990-2010

Source: Oerlikon

Development — Global

linear

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Source: Oerlikon


Global Synthetic Fiber Output Proportion by Variety 1990-2010

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

PET Nylon Acrylic Others


7

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

1995 2000 2005 2010

China West EuropeJapan Others


Proportion of acrylic fiber output of major origins 1995-2010

Source: Oerlikon

Key Factors for Development of China AF Industry

� Smaller market share. To seek more applications?� Feedstock — short supply and high prices� Technology progress — equipments, R&D, applications� Industry integration — Mergers and acquisitions

— Wash-out— Intra-industry cooperation

2012-3-3 14CCFA


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� Downstream demand — to explore for more fields of application and wider market share

� To be more self-dependent in ACN supply� To accelerate technology progress — equipments,

R&D, applications� Measures for industry integration

— Mergers and acquisitions— Wash-out— Intra-industry Cooperation

2012-3-3 15CCFA

Key Factors for Development of China AF Industry

Characters and Applications of Acrylic Fibers� Main characters:

� Resilience: 2 times higher than nylon fibers, only just below PET fibers. Fluffy, curly and soft, with a resilience rate of 65% even after extended by 20%.

� Tenacity: 22.1～48.5cN/dtex, 1-2.5 times higher than wool, while lower than PET and nylon fibers.

� Heat-resistance: Softening point at 190～230℃, ranked just below PSE fibers.� Light-resistance: Losing just 20% tenacity after 1 year under direct sunshine, the best in

all synthetic fibers.

� Widely applied in apparel, decoration and industri al fields. 100 acrylic yarn or blended yarns with natural fibers.

� Acrylic fiber — resistant to acid, oxidant and many organic solvents, unresisting to alkali� Acrylic fiber end products — Fluffy, soft touch, warm-keeping, good weather resistance,

mould-and-moth-proof� Warm-keeping — 15% higher than wool, could be blended with wool, mainly used to

produce textiles including hand-knitting yarn, blanket, knitted spots suits, tarpaulin, curtain,artificial fur, plush, etc.

� Acrylic fiber is the feedstock for high-performance carbon fiber


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Differentiated Acrylic Fiber

• The differentiated acrylic fiber is defined as a chemically or

physically modified acrylic fiber, an innovation to regular acrylic

fibers, or providing acrylic fiber with some special characters.

• Types of such fibers: High-shrinkage, compound, cross-section-

profiled, antistatic, UV-cut, far-infrared, antibacterial, flame-

retardant, fragrant, negative ion, anti-pilling, etc. 。

• Begin to take shape

• Just make some achievements in technology

• Primarily meet the requirement for economy and society development

General Evaluation

Projects of carbon fiber, aramid fiber, UHMWPE fiber and PPS fiber

have successfully realized commercial production, and many other high-

tech-fiber projects are in smooth progress, with notable achievements in

production process, equipments, products’ application and standardization.


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Engineering of R&D achievements

Pilot application• Comonomer production process for PAN precursor• Fast pre-oxidation process • Engineering solutions for PAN-based carbon fiberand aramid fiber• Start commercial production

Initial Stage（（（（1950-1975））））

Diversified production tech, matured recycling tech

Lower costs,Matured material production tech

More varieties and advanced molding technologies

Improving performance and quality

Reason

Wider application in industry fields• Wide application of carbon fiber and aramid fiber in new industries such as energy and automobile • Large aircraft project• Wind power generation and marine crude oil exploration• Automobile

Recent Development（（（（2005-2015））））

Industrial applications• Carbon fibers used as primary structural materials of B777and A380• Aramid fibers widely used in industries• Carbon fibers started industrial application

Wide Application

（（（（1995-2005））））

Wider applications• Carbon fibers widely applied in rackets and golf club• Carbon fibers used as primary structural materials ofAirbus A330• Aramid fibers used in military bulletproof helmet

Expansion（（（（1985-1995））））

Trial application• Carbon fibers used in fishing rod and golf club• Carbon fibers used as secondary structural materials of Boeing 757 and 767• Aramid fibers used in police bulletproof vest for the first time

Promotion（（（（1975-1985））））

History

Stage

Application Progress of Carbon Fiber and Aramid Fibe r

Development

NDRC started high-tech and high-performance compound fiber project in 2008NDRC continuously supported new-type and special fiber projects, allocating RMB 230 million for 9 projects in 2007, 164 million for 12 projects in 2008, and more projects in evaluation

2007-2009

Primarily achieving stable pilot production of homemade CCF-1(T300), setting a mile stone for industrialization and wider applications.NDRC had supported Weihai Tuozhan Fiber’s 1,000-t/a CCF-1 project and Anhui HuawanCarbon Fiber’s 500-t/a project.

2005-2006

RMB 30 million for basic research for Project 9732005

MOST allocated RMB 100 million in Project 863 for R&D of carbon fiber MOST started basic research for Project 973RMB 6 million for key theoretical researches

2002

Jilin Petrochemical and JLICT cooperated in R&D of high-performance DMSO PAN precursor1996-2000

Introducing tow pre-oxidization line and carbonizing equipments but not carbonizing processMid 80,s

Starting R&D for HT T300 Type-11981-1985

The pilot line transferred to Liaoyuan Special Fiber Plant; starting R&D for T300Late 70’s

ICC built the first pilot carbon fiber production line (with tech level close to Japan’s T200)1976

Starting R&D of carbon fibersLater 60’s

History and InvestmentsPeriod

Development Progress of Carbon Fiber in China

Progress of Carbon Fiber


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Development of Carbon Fiber

Aircraft, automobile, shipEnergy (wind power generation, uranium enrichment, marine oil exploration)Machinery, compound material products

Wider

Rackets, gulf club, primary structural material of aircraftMachinery, pressure vessel, ship, reinforcementExpanded

Satellite, fishing rod, secondary structural material of aircraftNarrow

FieldsScope

Japan and the US are Dominating Global Carbon Fiber Market

Toray (Japan),20.1%

Formosa (Taiwan),7.9%

Mainland China,6.8%

Zoltek(the US),

21.3%

MRC (Japan), 7.9%

CYTEC (the US), 2.0%

HEXCEL (the US), 7.4%

AKSA (Turkey), 1.6%

Toray (Japan), 0.3%SGL, 3.2%

Toho (Japan), 2.4%

Aldila (the US), 4.3%

TOHO (Japan),14.8%


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Thank You!

2012-3-3 23CCFA

China Acrylic Fiber Industry during 12th Five-Year Plan Period – … · 2012-03-14 · nylon...

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