CHAPTER © jsnyderdesign / iStockphoto 12 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS.

57
CHAPTER © jsn yder de si gn / iSto ckph oto 12 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS

Transcript of CHAPTER © jsnyderdesign / iStockphoto 12 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS.

Page 1: CHAPTER © jsnyderdesign / iStockphoto 12 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS.

CHAPTER

© jsnyderdesign / iS

tockphoto12FINANCIAL STATEMENT

ANALYSIS

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HOW HEALTHY IS C&C?

► C&C’s cash balance has fallen dramatically, and George Douglas wonders why.

► Cedric Renn, a potential employee, wonders if C&C will be around for the long term.

► Meredith Lincoln wonders if she should increase C&C’s credit limit.

► Each can use C&C’s financial statements to help answer their question.

Page 3: CHAPTER © jsnyderdesign / iStockphoto 12 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS.

HORIZONTAL ANALYSISOF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

Unit 12.1

121.Unit 12.2Unit 12.3

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Unit 12.4

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HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS

► Shows the percentage increase or decrease in a particular line item on the financial statements; may also be expressed in dollars

► Requires two years’ of information to calculate► The earliest year is considered the “base year”

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HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS

Current Year Amount – Base Year Amount

Base Year Amount

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HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS: SALES REVENUE

12/31/13 12/31/12 $ Change % Change

Sales revenue $5,237,000 $4,654,000 $583,000 12.5%

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432 3,464,440 411,992 11.9%

Gross margin 1,360,568 1,178,560 171,008 14.4%

Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566 1,067,721 92,845 8.7%

Operating income 200,002 121,839 78,163 64.2%

Interest expense 41,715 43,210 (1,492) (3.5%)

Income before taxes 158,287 78,629 79,658 101.3%

Income tax expense 47,486 23,589 23,897 101.3%

Net income $ 110,801 $ 55,040 $ 55,761 101.3%

$5,237,000 - $4,654,000 = 12.5%

$4,654,000

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HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS: SALES REVENUE

12/31/13 12/31/12 $ Change % Change

Sales revenue $5,237,000 $4,654,000 $583,000 12.5%

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432 3,464,440 411,992 11.9%

Gross margin 1,360,568 1,178,560 171,008 14.4%

Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566 1,067,721 92,845 8.7%

Operating income 200,002 121,839 78,163 64.2%

Interest expense 41,715 43,210 (1,492) (3.5%)

Income before taxes 158,287 78,629 79,658 101.3%

Income tax expense 47,486 23,589 23,897 101.3%

Net income $ 110,801 $ 55,040 $ 55,761 101.3%

DO NOT add the % change column to get totals

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HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS ALLOWS US TO…

► Identify trends and changes in account balances over time

► Predict account balances based on the identified trend

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TREND ANALYSIS

► Shows account balances as a percentage of the base year

► Can see how account balances are changing over time

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TREND ANALYSIS CALCULATION FOR REVENUE

12/31/13 12/31/012 $ Change % Change

Sales revenue $5,237,000 $4,654,000 $583,000 112.5%

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432 3,464,440 411,992 111.9%

Gross margin 1,360,568 1,178,560 171,008 114.4%

Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566 1,067,721 92,845 108.7%

Operating income 200,002 121,839 78,163 164.2%

Interest expense 41,715 43,210 (1,492) (13.5%)

Income before taxes 158,287 78,629 79,658 201.3%

Income tax expense 47,486 23,589 23,897 201.3%

Net income $ 110,801 $ 55,040 $ 55,761 201.3%

$5,237,000 = 112.5%

$4,654,000

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COMMON SIZEFINANCIAL STATEMENTS

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COMMON-SIZE STATEMENTS

► Every line item on the financial statement is presented as a percentage of a major statement component• Total assets for the balance sheet• Net sales for the income statement

► Also known as vertical analysis

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COMMON-SIZE BALANCE SHEET

Account BalanceTotal Assets

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COMMON SIZE BALANCE SHEET

12/31/13 12/31/12

$ % $ %

Cash $ 7,752 0.42% $ 22,114 1.23%

Accounts receivable, net 623,713 33.34% 583,429 32.46%

Total inventory 640,372 34.23% 547,109 30.44%

Prepaid expenses 24,388 1.30% 8,164 0.46%

Total current assets 1,296,225 69.29% 1,160,816 64.59%

Property, plant & equipment 532,858 28.48% 600,647 33.42%

Other assets 41,704 2.23% 35,812 1.99%

Total assets $1,870,787 100.00% $1,797,275 100.00%

$7,752 = 0.42%

$1,870,787

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12/31/13

Cash 0.42%

Accounts receivable, net 33.34%

Total inventory 34.23%

Prepaid expenses 1.30%

Total current assets 69.29%

Property, plant & equipment 28.48%

Other assets 2.23%

Total assets 100.00%

COMMON-SIZE BALANCE SHEET

12/31/13

Accounts payable 23.60%

Other accrued expenses 4.64%

Short-term debt 6.68%

Current maturities of LTD 1.07%

Total current liabilities 35.99%

Long-term debt 14.97%

Total liabilities 50.96%

Common stock 11.23%

Retained earnings 37.81%

Total stockholders’ equity 49.04%

Total liabilities & equity 100.00%

Notice that the Total Assets and Total Liabilities & Stockholders’ Equity lines must total to 100%

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12/31/13

Cash 0.42%

Accounts receivable, net 33.34%

Total inventory 34.23%

Prepaid expenses 1.30%

Total current assets 69.29%

Property, plant & equipment 28.48%

Other assets 2.23%

Total assets 100.00%

12/31/13

Accounts payable 23.60%

Other accrued expenses 4.64%

Short-term debt 6.68%

Current maturities of LTD 1.07%

Total current liabilities 35.99%

Long-term debt 14.97%

Total liabilities 50.96%

Common stock 11.23%

Retained earnings 37.81%

Total stockholders’ equity 49.04%

Total liabilities & equity 100.00%

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

33.34% of C&C’s assets are in the form of

accounts receivable.

23.60% of C&C’s capitalization is provided by short-term creditors.

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COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENT

Account BalanceNet Sales

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COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENT

12/31/13 12/31/12Sales revenue $5,237,000 100.00% $4,654,000 100.00%Cost of goods sold 3,876,432 74.02% 3,464,440 74.44% Gross margin 1,360,568 25.98% 1,178,560 25.56%Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566 22.16% 1,067,721 22.94%Operating income 200,002 3.82% 121,839 2.62%Interest expense 41,715 0.80% 43,210 0.93% Income before taxes 158,287 3.02% 78,629 1.69%Income tax expense 47,486 0.91% 23,589 0.51%

Net income $ 110,801 2.11% $ 55,040 1.18%

$3,876,432 = 74.02%

$5,237,000

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COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENT

12/31/13 12/31/12Sales revenue 100.00% 100.00%Cost of goods sold 74.02% 74.44% Gross margin 25.98% 25.56%Selling and administrative expenses 22.16% 22.94%Operating income 3.82% 2.62%Interest expense 0.80% 0.93% Income before taxes 3.02% 1.69%Income tax expense 0.91% 0.51%

Net income 2.11% 1.18%

Notice that we start with Net Sales at 100%. If there had been Gross Sales and then Sales

Returns, Gross Sales would be greater than 100%.

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WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

12/31/13 12/31/12Sales revenue 100.00% 100.00%Cost of goods sold 74.02% 74.44% Gross margin 25.98% 25.56%Selling and administrative expenses 22.16% 22.94%Operating income 3.82% 2.62%Interest expense 0.80% 0.93% Income before taxes 3.02% 1.69%Income tax expense 0.91% 0.51%

Net income 2.11% 1.18%

This means that for every $1.00 collected in sales revenue in 2013, 74.02¢ goes to

make C&C’s goods for sale.

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COMMON SIZE STATEMENTS ALLOW US TO…

► Look at changes in the makeup of the base component• Has COGS as a percentage of net sales increased

this year?► Compare companies of different absolute sizes

• Qualcomm vs. Ericsson► Compare a firm to industry averages

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RATIO ANALYSIS

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RATIO ANALYSIS

► A comparison of the relationship between two or more financial statement items

► Reveals symptoms of underlying strengths and weaknesses

► Four major categories• Liquidity ratios• Leverage ratios• Profitability ratios• Market measure ratios

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RATIO ANALYSIS ALLOWS US TO…

► Compare a company with industry averages or norms (cross-sectional analysis)

► Examine changes in a company’s ratios over time (longitudinal analysis)

► Focus further investigations into a company’s performance (reveals symptoms, not answers)

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LIQUIDITY RATIOS

► What is liquidity?• Ability to convert assets into cash within a year or the

length of the business cycle► Why is it important?

• Need to pay bills on time• Need to take advantage of opportunities

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WORKING CAPITAL CALCULATION

Total Current Assets – Total Current Liabilities

Current Assets 12/31/13

Cash $ 7,752

Accounts receivable, net 623,713

Total inventory 640,372

Prepaid expenses 24,388

Total current assets $1,296,225

Current Liabilities 12/31/13

Accounts payable $441,602

Other accrued expenses 86,749

Short-term debt 125,000

Current maturities of LTD 20,000

Total current liabilities $673,351$1,296,225 – $673,351 = $622,874

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CURRENT RATIO CALCULATION

Total Current Assets

Total Current Liabilities

Current Assets 12/31/13

Cash $ 7,752

Accounts receivable, net 623,713

Total inventory 640,372

Prepaid expenses 24,388

Total current assets $1,296,225

Current Liabilities 12/31/13

Accounts payable $441,602

Other accrued expenses 86,749

Short-term debt 125,000

Current maturities of LTD 20,000

Total current liabilities $673,351$1,296,225

$673,351= 1.93

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CURRENT RATIO – WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

► Literally, that C&C has 1.93 times more current assets than current liabilities

► Measures the buffer to cover shrinkage in asset value in the event of forced liquidation

► Measures ability to absorb random business shocks and uncertain cash flows

► Rule of thumb 2:1, but don’t let it get too high; very industry-sensitive

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ACID-TEST RATIO CALCULATION

Cash + Cash Equivalents + A/R

Total Current Liabilities

Current Assets 12/31/13

Cash $ 7,752

Accounts receivable, net 623,713

Total inventory 640,372

Prepaid expenses 24,388

Total current assets $1,296,225

Current Liabilities 12/31/13

Accounts payable $441,602

Other accrued expenses 86,749

Short-term debt 125,000

Current maturities of LTD 20,000

Total current liabilities $673,351= 0.94$7,752 + $623,713

$673,351

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ACID-TEST RATIO – WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

► Literally, C&C has 0.94 times “highly liquid” current assets as current liabilities

► More stringent test than current ratio since it uses only the most liquid current assets

► Rule of thumb is 1:1

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CURRENT AND ACID-TEST RATIO LIMITATIONS

► Static measures of liquidity► Not useful for predictions of cash flows► No insight into quality of the assets► No insight into timing of cash conversion

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ACTIVITY RATIOS

► What are they used for?• Provides some insight into the quality of the assets

underlying the liquidity ratios• To measure how well a company is managing (using)

its assets► Two areas we’ll study

• Accounts Receivable• Inventory

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A/R TURNOVER CALCULATION

Net Credit Sales

Average A/R

Current Assets 12/31/13 12/31/12

Cash $ 7,752 $22,114

Accounts receivable, net 623,713 583,429

Total inventory 640,372 547,109

Prepaid expenses 24,388 8,164

Total current assets $1,296,225 $1,797,275

Income Statement 12/31/13

Sales revenue $5,237,000

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432

Gross margin 1,360,568

$5,237,000

($623,713 + $583,429) / 2= 8.68 times

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WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

► A/R Turnover• Measures how many times receivables are generated

and collected within a year• Higher turnover means faster collection of cash

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AVERAGE COLLECTION PERIOD

365 Days

A/R Turnover

365 days

8.68 times= 42 days

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INVENTORY TURNOVER CALCULATION

Cost of Goods Sold

Average Inventory

Current Assets 12/31/13 12/31/12

Cash $ 7,752 $22,114

Accounts receivable, net 623,713 583,429

Total inventory 640,372 547,109

Prepaid expenses 24,388 8,164

Total current assets $1,296,225 $1,160,816

Income Statement 12/31/13

Sales revenue $5,237,000

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432

Gross margin 1,360,568

$3,876,432

($640,372 + $547,109) / 2= 6.53 times

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WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

► Inventory Turnover• Measures how many times inventory is sold within a

year• Higher turnover means faster sale of inventory and

less likely to have obsolete items, but too high may indicate stock-out problems

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AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL INVENTORY CALCULATION

365 Days

Inventory Turnover

365 days

6.53 times= 55.9 days

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LEVERAGE RATIOS

► Longer time-frame of concern than short-term creditors

► Interested in short-term position for payment of interest

► Interested in long-term position for repayment of loan balance

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DEBT RATIO CALCULATION

Total Liabilities

Total Assets

Assets 12/31/13

Total current assets $1,296,225

Property, plant & equipment, net 532,858

Other assets 41,704

Total assets $1,870,787

Liabilities 12/31/13

Total current liabilities $673,351

Long-term debt 280,000

Total liabilities $953,351

$953,351

$1,870,787= 50.9%

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DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO CALCULATION

Total Liabilities

Total Stockholders’ Equity

Liabilities 12/31/13

Total current liabilities $673,351

Long-term debt 280,000

Total liabilities 953,351

Common stock 210,000

Retained earnings 707,436

Total stockholders’ equity 917,436

Total liabilities & stockholders’ equity $1,807,787

$953,351

$917,436= 1.04

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WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

► Debt-to-Equity Ratio• At C&C there is $1.04 in debt for every $1 of

stockholder’s equity. Put another way, about 50% of the asset base is financed through debt, or borrowed money, while 50% is financed by stockholders’ capital

• The higher the ratio, the greater the risk assumed by the creditors

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THE TIMES-INTEREST-EARNED CALCULATION

Earnings before Interest and Taxes

Interest ExpenseIncome Statement 12/31/13

Sales revenue $5,237,000

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432

Gross margin 1,360,568

Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566

Operating income 200,002

Interest expense 41,715

Income before taxes 158,287

Income tax expense 47,486

Net income $ 110,801

$200,002

$41,715

= 4.79 times

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PROFITABILITY RATIOS

► Focuses on returns to the stockholder

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GROSS MARGIN CALCULATION

Gross Margin

Net Sales

$1,360,568

$5,237,000

= 25.98%

Income Statement 12/31/13

Sales revenue $5,237,000

Cost of goods sold 3,876,432

Gross margin 1,360,568

Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566

Operating income 200,002

Interest expense 41,715

Income before taxes 158,287

Income tax expense 47,486

Net income $ 110,801

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RETURN ON ASSETS CALCULATION

NI + [ Interest Expense × (1 – tax rate) ]

Average Total AssetsIncome Statement 12/31/13

Operating income 200,002

Interest expense 41,715

Income before taxes 158,287

Income tax expense 47,486

Net income $ 110,801

Balance Sheet 12/31/13 12/31/12

Total assets $1,870,787 $1,797,275

= 7.63%

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RETURN ON COMMON STOCKHOLDER’S EQUITY CALCULATION

NI – Preferred Dividends

Average Common Stockholders’ EquityIncome Statement 12/31/13

Operating income 200,002

Interest expense 41,715

Income before taxes 158,287

Income tax expense 47,486

Net income $ 110,801

Balance Sheet 12/31/13 12/31/12

Common stock 210,000 210,000

Retained earnings 707,436 596,635

Total common equity $917,436 $806,635

$110,801 - $0

($917,436 + $806,635) / 2= 12.85%

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MARKET MEASURE RATIOS

► Only calculated for publicly traded stocks

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EARNINGS PER SHARE CALCULATIONNI – Preferred Dividends

Average Number of Shares Outstanding

$2,485 - $0 = $2.77

897.3

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PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO CALCULATION

Market Price per Share

Earnings per Share

$61.66

$2.77= 21.90 times

(Closing market price, 05/31/13)

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DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO CALCULATION

Dividends per Share

Earnings per Share

$0.81

$2.77= 29%

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SOME THINGS TO REMEMBER…

► Ratios are a snapshot► The firm’s choice of accounting principles

influences reported income► Read the footnotes to find unusual items► Contingent liabilities could influence future

earnings► Discontinued operations or extraordinary items

may influence future performance

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INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

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INDUSTRY CLASSIFICATION

► Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code• 2329 for C&C

► North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) code• 315280 for C&C

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SOURCES OF INDUSTRY DATA

► Published Industry Analyses► Government Statistics► Industry trade groups

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GOVERNMENT DATA EXAMPLE

Value of U.S. Men’s and Boys’ Team Sports Uniform Shipments

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Survey of Manufactures Value of Product Shipments: 2001, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010

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TRADE ASSOCIATION DATA EXAMPLE

Sources: SMGA, Sports Participation Topline Report: 2006 Edition; 2007 Sports and Fitness Participation Report; 2008 Sports and Fitness Participation Report; 2009 Sports and Fitness Participation Report

U.S. Participants in Team Baseball, 6 Years of Age or Older, at Least Once per Year