Chapter 10 Decision Making. Human Behavior in Organizations, 2 nd Edition Rodney Vandeveer and...
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Transcript of Chapter 10 Decision Making. Human Behavior in Organizations, 2 nd Edition Rodney Vandeveer and...
Chapter 10Decision Making
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.2
Learning Outcomes: Decision Making Explain the satisficing model for
decision making. Describe the workings of the
implicit favorite model for decision making.
Outline the maximizing or rational decision making model.
Discuss the various group decision techniques.
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.3
Decision-Making The key to making a decision is
to understand the problem. Decision making would best be
described as an exercise in evaluating trade-offs.
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.4
ProblemsSituations in Life
Priority Problem
Causes for Problem
Most Likely Cause
Make A
Decision
Alternatives
1
2
3
4
5
6
Determining the need for a decision
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.5
Decision-Making Understanding the problem Problem-solving and decision-
making technique Analyze the facts Determining a course of action
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.6
Three Models for Decision-Making
Satisficing Model Implicit Favorite Model Maximizing or Rational
Decision-Making Model
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.7
The Satisficing Model
Expand onalternatives
Does alternativemeet satisficingCriteria?
Select firstalternative that meetscriteria and is considered“good enough”
Problemidentified
Problemsimplified
Satisficingcriteria set
Identifyalternatives
Comparealternativesone at a timeagainst criteria
YES
NO
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.8
The Implicit Favorite Model
Need for adecision isdetermined
Select an implicit favoritealternative
Identifyotheralternatives
Establishcriteria tomatch implicitfavorite
Comparealternatives withimplicit favoritecriteria
Confirmimplicitfavorite
Selectimplicitfavorite1 2 3
4
5
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.9
Six Steps to the Rational/Maximizing Decision-Making Model
Identify the need for a decision Identify the decision criteria Allocate weights to the criteria Develop the alternatives Evaluate the alternatives Select the best alternative
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.10
Determining a Course of Action
There are five basic types of action that can be taken in problem-solving and decision-making: corrective action interim action preventive action contingency action adaptive action
Which oneis the best?
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.11
Who makes the decision? The manager makes the decision. The manager sells the decision. The manager presents the ideas and invites questions.
The manager presents tentative decisions subject to change.
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.12
Who makes the decision? The manager presents the problem, gets suggestions, and makes the decision
The manager defines the limits an asks the group to make the decision
The manager permits the subordinates to function within the limits defined by the superior.
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.13
Decision-Making Other issues to consider are:
quality issues time and timing commitment control
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.14
Group Decision-Making Interacting technique Brainstorming Nominal group technique Delphi technique Electronic meetings
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.15
Summary There are many ways to make decisions and solve
problems. This chapter looks at several of the more common ways available to the leader.
The implicit favorite model will serve one well if he or she already knows what he or she wants to do.
The satisficing model works well if time is a consideration and one only needs to determine the criteria and then selects the first solution that meets the criteria.
Human Behavior in Organizations, 2nd EditionRodney Vandeveer and Michael Menefee
© 2010 Pearson Education, Upper Saddle River, NJ 07458.
All Rights Reserved.16
Summary The maximizing decision-making model
provides a means to prioritize and understand the problem, analyze the facts, and then determine a course of action.
There are five basic types of action that can be taken in problem-solving and decision-making: corrective action, interim action, preventive action, contingency action, and adaptive action.