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Transcript of Chap1- Time Value of Money (Ridha)[1]
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CHAPTER 1
Time Value of Money Simple interest
Compound interest Present and Future value
Annuities
Effective rate Loan Amortization
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The concept of Time Value
of Money If you are offered the choice between
having $100 today and having $100 one
year from now, what will you Prefer?
Why?
you will usually prefer to have $100
now.
because you can simply put the moneyin the bank and earn interest on it.
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$100 received today is worth morethan $100 received after one year
If the annual interest rate i=10%,
after 1 year you will earn :interest: 10% x $100 =$10
+ the original amount ($100)
= $110
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the fundamental principle behind the
concept of time value of money is that, asum of money received today, is worthmorethan if the same is received after acertain period of time.
Why?
The main reason why the value of moneyincreases with time is because of theinterest rate, which represents the returnobtainable by investing the money or thecost of borrowing it.
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Time lines
Show the timing of cash flows.
Tick marks occur at the end of periods, soTime 0 is today; Time 1 is the end of thefirst period (year, month, etc.) or thebeginning of the second period.
CF0 CF1 CF3CF2
0 1 2 3
I%
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Drawing time lines
100 100100
0 1 2 3I%3 year $100 (ordinary annuity)
100
0 1 2I%
$100 lump sum due in 2 years
70 10
0 1 2 3I%
50
Uneven cash flow stream (Mixed stream) : A series ofunequal cash flows reflecting no particular pattern.
60
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Present Value and Future Value
- Present value: is the value today of a sum of money to bereceived at a future point of time.
- Future value: represents the value of a given sum of moneytoday measured at a specific date
- Compouding: The process of going from todaysvalue (presentvalue) to future value.
- Discounting: The process we use to calculate the present value
of a future cash flow.
FV
0 1 2 ni%
PV
Compouding
Discounting
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The Interest Rate:
Simple interest:Interest on only the
original amount, or principal
Compound interest:Interest on the
principal as well as on any previousinterest earned
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A- The Simple interest In the simple of interest only the
principal earns interest in every period
over the life of the amount. The interestearned at the end of the period on theprincipal will not earn interest in any of
the subsequent periods
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Future Value of an amount
Example 1:Assume that you deposit $100in anaccount earning 10% simple interest for 2 years. Whatis the accumulated amount at the end of the 2nd year?
1-At the end of period 1, you will have:
Interest earned = 0.10 x $100 = $ 10
+ Principal $100
Total amount FV1= $100 + $10 = $110
100 FV1=? FV2=?
0 1 2
i=10%
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Under the simple rate of interest in the successiveperiod only the principal ($100) will earn the
interest.
The interest earned ($10) in period 1 will not earn interestin any of the subsequent periods.
2-Therefore, the total amount in the account at the end ofthe period 2will be FV2=$120, computed as follows:
Interest earned in period 1 = 0.10 x $100 = $ 10
+ Interest earned in period 2 = 0.10 x $100 = $ 10
+ Principal $100 Total amount FV2= $100 + $10 + $10 = $120
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Simple interest FormulaFuture Value = P+ SI
SI = P(i.n)
FV =P(1+ i.n)
SI: Simple Interest
P: Deposit today (t=0)
i: Interest Rate per Period
n: Number of Time Periods
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What if the interest rate does not
stay the same over time? If the simple interest rate is i1, for the
first n1years, i2
for the next n2years, i3 for
the next n3years, etc.
The principal P will accrue interest Pi1n1
for the first n1years, Pi2n2
for the next n2
years, and Pi3n3for the next n3years, etc.
FV = P(1 + i1n1+ i2n2
+ i3n3+ ....)
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Example 2:Suppose you deposit $1.000 in anaccount pays simple interest. What will be thefuture value of the account if the annual simpleinterest rate is 7% for the first 5 years, 10% for
the next 10 years, and 12% for the last 5 years?
P = $1.000, i1= 7%, n1= 5
i2= 10%, n2= 10
i3= 12%, n3= 5
FV = $1,000(1 + 0,075 + 0,1010 + 0,125)
= $1.000 (2,95) = $2.950
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Present Value of an amount
...1332211
ininin
FPV
If there are more than one simple interest rate over
time, (i1, for the first n
1
years, i2
for the next n2
years,i3 for the next n3
years, etc )
The PV shows the value of cash flows in terms
of todays purchasing power.The present value (PV) of an amount F received at the
end of n years with a simple rate of interest i, is given by
in
FPV.1
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The present and future value ofseries of payments (Annuity)
In the above time line, the same amount A is made atthe end of each year for n years.
A AA
0 1 2 3i%
We define a sequence of deposits as an annuityif it satisfies the following two conditions:
1. The deposits are of the same amount
2. The deposits must be made at equidistantintervals.
Considering the following timeline:
A A
n-1 n
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The difference between an ordinaryannuity and an annuity due
Ordinary Annuity
A AA
0 1 2 3
i%
A A
0 1 2 3i%
A
Annuity Due
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Future Value of an Ordinary annuityThe same amount A is made at the end of each year for n years
FV of first A = A [1+(n-1)i]
FV of 2nd A = A [1+(n-2)i]
FV of 3rd A = A [1+(n-3)i]
FV of (n-2)thA = A (1+2i)
FV of (n-1)thA = A (1+i)
FV of nth A = A
Thus the future value of this ordinary annuity (of the end)
FVAord
= A [1+(n-1)i] + A [1+(n-2)i] + + A (1+2i) + A (1+i) + A= A + A + + A + Ai [(n-1)+(n-2)++2+1]
A A
0 1 2 n-2i%
A AA
nn-1
2
)1(. nn
AinA
2
)1(1.
innAFVA
ord
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Future Value of an annuity DueIf the same amount A is made at the beginning of each
year for n years
FV of first A = A [1+n.i]
FV of 2nd A = A [1+(n-1)i]
FV of 3rd A = A [1+(n-2)i]
FV of (n-2)thA = A (1+3i)
FV of (n-1)thA = A (1+2i)
FV of nth A = A (1+i)
Thus the future value of this annuity Due (of the beginning):
FVAdue
= A [1+ni] + A [1+(n-1)i] + A [1+(n-2)i] + + A (1+2i) + A (1+i)= A + A + + A + Ai [n+(n-1)+(n-2)++2+1]
2
)1(. nn
AinA
2
)1(1.
innAFVA
due
AA
0 1 2 n-2i% n-1 n
AA A
..
..
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Example 3 :
Suppose an account earns a 15 percent simple rate of interest annually.What will the future value be of an annual deposit of:
(a) $20 at the end of each year for four years?
(b) $20 at the beginning of each year for four years? (Anuity due)
(a) FVAord = 20(1+0.15x3) + 20(1+ 0.15x2) + 20(1+0.15) + 20 = $98
or = 4x20[1+(3x0.15)/2] = $98
(b) FVAdue = 20(1+0.15x4)+20(1+0.15x3)+20(1+0.15x2)+20(1+0.15)
or = 4x20[1+(5x0.15)/2] = $110
2
)1(1.
innAFVA
ord
2
)1(1.
innAFVA
due
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Present Value:If the same amount A is made at the end of each year
for n years.PV of first A = A / (1+i)PV of 2nd A = A / (1+2i)PV of 3rd A = A / (1+3i)
PV of (n-1)thA = A / [1+(n-1)i]PV of nth A = A / (1+ni)
PVAord= A/(1+i) + A/(1+2i)++ A/(1+ni)
If the deposits are made at the beginning of each year
PVAdue= A + A/(1+i) + A/(1+2i)++ A/[1+(n-1)i]
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Example 4:
The deposit of $8 is made in an account for 20 years.If the rate of interest is 6%, obtain the present value
of this annuity as well as annuity due:
PVAord = 8/(1+0.06) + 8/[1+(2x0.06)] +
+ 8/[1+20x0.06)]
PVAdue = 8 + 8/(1+0.06) + 8/ [1+(2x0.06)] +
+ 8/[1+(19x0.06)]
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B- Compound interest
In compound rate of interest, theinterest earned on the principal during
the specified period also earns interestin the subsequent periods.
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Example 5:
Assume that you deposit $100in an account earning10% compound interest for 2 years. What is theaccumulated amount at the end of the 2nd year?
1-At the end of period 1, you will have:Interest earned = 0.10 x $100 = $ 10
+ Principal $100
Total amount FV1= $100 + $10 = $110
100 FV1
=? FV2
=?
0 1 2
i=10%
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at the end of period 1, the account will have $110 under
both approaches (simple interest and compound interest). 2-But at the end of period 2, the total amount will be
FV2= $121 under the compound interest approach ratherthan $120 as we obtained in the simple interest approach.
Break down is as follows: Principal $100
Interest earned in period 1 = 10% x $100 = $ 10
Interest earned in period 2 = 10% x $100 + 10% x $10
= $ 11
Total amount FV2= $100 + $10 + $11 = $121
The difference of $1 between compound interest and simpleinterest approach is due to interest of $1 earned in period 2
on $10 interest that was earned in period 1.
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Compound interest Formula
Future Value of a Lump sum:
FV =PV
(1+ i)n
PV : Deposit today (t=0)
I : Interest Rate per Period
n : Number of Time Periods
FV = PV.(1+i)n= PV.(FVIF, i , n)The values of FVIF (Future Value Interest Factor) are given inthe table (A.1)
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What is the future value (FV) of an initial $100after 3 years, if the interest rate is 10%?
Finding the FV of a cash flow or series of cash flowsis called compounding.
The time line:
After 3 years: FV3= PV (1 + I)
3 = $100 (1.10)3 =$133.10 FV3= PV (FVIF,10%,3) = 100x1.3310 =$133.10
FV = ?
0 1 2 3
10%
100
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Present Value of an Amount
Finding the PV of a cash flow or series of cash flowsis called discounting (the reverse of compounding).
PV= FVn/ (1 + i)n
PV = FV.(1+i)-n= FV.(PVIF, i , n)
The values of PVIF (Present Value Interest Factor)
are given in the table (A.3)
PV = ?
0 1 2 n
i%
FV
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Solving for PV:The formula method
What is the present value (PV) of $100 duein 3 years, if interest rate is 10%?
PV = FV3/(1 + i)3= $100/(1.10)3= $75.13
PV = FV3(PVIF,10%,3) = $100x0.7513=$75.13
FV= 100
0 1 2 3
10%
PV?
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Future Value of an Ordinary AnnuityFV of first A = A [1+i]n-1
FV of 2nd A = A [1+i]n-2
FV of 3rd A = A [1+i]n-3
FV of (n-2)thA = A (1+i)2
FV of (n-1)thA = A (1+i)1
FV of nth A = A
Thus the future value of this ordinary annuity (of the end) will be:
FVAord= A [1+i]n-1+A [1+i]n-2++A (1+i)1+A
= A [1+(1+i)+(1+i)2++(1+i)n-1]
A sum of the nthfirst term of a geometric progression with first term U1=A and
random ratio q=(1+i), equal U1(1-qn)/1-q
Future Value Interest Factor
Annuity values given in
table (A.2)),,.(
1)1(. niFVIFAA
i
iAFVA
n
ord
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Future Value of an Annuity Due
FV of first A = A [1+i]n
FV of 2nd A = A [1+i]n-1
FV of 3rd A = A [1+i]n-2
FV of (n-1)thA = A (1+i)2
FV of nth A = A (1+i)
Thus the future value of this ordinary annuity (of the beginning) will be:
FVAdue= A [1+i]n+A [1+i]n-1++A (1+i)2+A(1+i)
= A(1+i).[1+(1+i)+(1+i)2++(1+i)n-1]
A sum of the nthfirst term of a geometric progression with first term U1=A(1+i)
and random ratio q=(1+i), equal U1=(1-qn)/1-q
)1.()1(1)1(
. iFVAii
iAFVA
ord
n
due
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Exemple 6: Future Value
Compute the FV of $100 payments occurring at theend of each period for 3 years, interest rate i=10%.
FVAord
= 100[(1+10%)3-1]/10%=$331
=100(FVIFA,10%,3) = 100x3.31 = $331
Compute the FV of $100 payments occurring at the
beginning of each period for 3 years, interest ratei=10%.
FVAdue= 100x(1+10%)[(1+10%)3-1]/10%=$364.10
= FVAord(1+i) = $331(1.10) = $364.10
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Present Value of an Ordinary Annuity
PV of first A = A [1+i]-1
PV of 2nd A = A [1+i]-2
PV of 3rd A = A [1+i]-3
PV of (n-1)thA = A (1+i)-(n-1)
PV of nth A = A (1+i)-n
Thus the Present value of this ordinary annuity (of the end) will be:
PVAord= A [1+i]-1+A [1+i]-2++A (1+i)-(n-1)+A(1+i)-n
= A(1+i)-n[1+(1+i)+(1+i)2++(1+i)n-1]
A sum of the nthfirst term of a geometric progression with first term
U1=A(1+i)-n
and random ratio q=(1+i), equal U1(1-qn)/1-q
Present Value Interest Factor
Annuity values given in
table (A.4)
),,.()1(1
. niPVIFAAi
iAPVA
n
ord
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Present Value of an Annuity Due
PV of first A = A
PV of 2nd A = A [1+i]-1
PV of 3rd A = A [1+i]-2
PV of (n-1)thA = A (1+i)-(n-2)
PV of nth A = A (1+i)-(n-1)
Thus the Present value of this ordinary annuity (of the end) will be:
PVAdue= A +A [1+i]-1++A (1+i)-(n-2)+A(1+i)-(n-1)
= A(1+i)-(n-1)[1+(1+i)+(1+i)2++(1+i)n-1]
A sum of the nthfirst term of a geometric progression with first term
U1=A(1+i)-(n-1)
and random ratio q=(1+i), equal U1(1-qn)/1-q
)1.()1()1(1
. iPVAii
iAPVA
ord
n
due
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Exemple 7: Present Value
Compute the PV of $100 payments occurring at theend of each period for 3 years, interest rate i=10%.
FVAord
= 100[1-(1+10%)-3]/10%=$248.69
=100(PVIFA,10%,3) = 100x2.4869 = $248.69
Compute the PV of $100 payments occurring at the
beginning of each period for 3 years, interest ratei=10%.
PVAdue= 100x(1+10%)[1-(1+10%)-3-1]/10%= $273.55
= PVAord(1+i) = $248.69(1.10) = $273.55
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Example 8: What is the Present Value at 10% ofa 10-year ordinary annuity? A 25-year ordinary
annuity? A perpetuity?
10-year ord annuity PV = 100[1-(1.1)-10]/0.1=$614.46
25-year ord annuity PV = 100[1-(1.1)-25]/0.1=$907.70
Perpetuity PV = PMT / i = $100/0.1 = $1,000
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Will the FV of a lump sum be larger orsmaller if compounded more often,
holding the stated interest i% constant? LARGER, as the more frequently compounding
occurs, interest is earned on interest more often.
Annually: FV3= $100(1.10)3= $133.10
0 1 2 3
10%
100 133.10
Semiannually: FV6= $100(1.05)6= $134.01
0 1 2 35%
4 5 6
134.01
1 2 30
100
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Nominal Annual interest rateand Periodic rate
Nominal rate (INOM): also called the quoted or staterate. An annual rate that ignores compoundingeffects.
INOMis stated in contracts. Periods must also begiven, e.g. 8% compounded Quarterly or 8%compounded Daily.
Periodic rate (IPER): amount of interest charged each
period, e.g. monthly or quarterly. IPER= INOM/ M, where M is the number of
compounding periods per year. M = 4 for quarterly,M= 12 for monthly and M = 365 for daily
compounding.
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Nominal Annual interest rateand Periodic rate
Nominal rate (INOM)
Periodic rate (IPER):
IPER= INOM/ Mwhere M is the number of compounding periods peryear. M = 4 for quarterly, M= 12 for monthly andM = 365 for monthly compounding.
iSEMIANNUALY= INOM/2
iQUARTERLY= INOM/4
iMONTHLY= INOM/12
iDAILY
= INOM
/365
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Effective interest rate
Effective (or equivalent) annual rate (Ieff=Ieq) is the annual rate of interest actuallybeing earned, that reflects the impact ofmultiple compounding during the year.
Ieff= ( 1 + INOM/ M )M1
Ieff is the annual effective rate
INOM is the annual nominal rate
M is the number of compounding periods per year
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Example 9: What is the Annual Effective Rateequivalent to a nominal rate INOM=10%compounded semiannually?
100 FV1= 100(1.1) =110
0 1i=10%
100 FV1=100(1.05) FV2=100(1.05)2=110.25
1 20 i/2=5% i/2=5%
10% compoundedannually
10% compoundedsemi-annually
The annual rate equivalent to nominal rate of 10% compounded semi-
annually is ieffsolving:100(1.05)2=100(1+ieff)
ieff = (1+05)2 -1 = 10.25%
We should be indifferent between receiving 10.25% annual interestand receiving 10% interest, compounded semiannually.
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INOM iSEMIANNUALY= INOM/2 ieff= (1+ INOM/2)2 -1
iQUARTERLY= INOM/4 ieff= (1+ INOM/4)4 -1
iMONTHLY= INOM/12 ieff= (1+ INOM/12)12 -1
iDAILY= INOM/365 ieff= (1+ INOM/365)365 -1
The Equivalence relation:
(1+ieff)= (1+ INOM/2)2 =(1+ INOM/4)
4
=(1+ INOM/12)12= (1+ INOM/365)365
The Equivalence Relation
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Compute the effective rate equivalent to anominal rate of 10% compounded semiannualy,quaterly, monthly, daily.
INOM= 10%
EFFSEMIANNUALY = (1+10%/2)2
-1 =10.25%EFFQUARTERLY = (1+10%/4)4 -1 = 10.38%
EFFMONTHLY = (1+10%/12)12-1= 10.47%
EFFDAILY (365) = (1+10%/365)365-1=10.52%
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Investments with different compoundingintervals provide different effective returns.
To compare investments with differentcompounding intervals, you must look at theireffective returns (IEff%).
See how the effective return varies between
investments with the same nominal rate, butdifferent compounding intervals.
Why is it important to considereffective rates of return?
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When is each rate used?
INOM written into contracts, quoted bybanks and brokers. Not used incalculations or shown on time lines.
IPER Used in calculations and shown ontime lines. If M = 1, INOM= IPER=EAR.
EAR Used to compare returns oninvestments with different paymentsper year. Used in calculations whenannuity payments dont matchcompounding periods.
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Example 11: What is the FV of $100 after 3years under 10% semiannual compounding?
Quarterly compounding?
$134.490.1/4)(1$100FV
$134.01(1.05)$100FV
)2
0.101($100FV
)M
I1(PVFV
34
3Q
63S
32
3S
NMNOMn
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Can the effective rate ever beequal to the nominal rate?
Ieff= ( 1 + INOM/ M )M1
Yes, but only if annual compoundingis used, i.e., if M = 1.
If M > 1, Ieffwill always be greaterthan the nominal rate.
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Example 12: Whats the FV of a 3-year $100annuity, if the quoted interest rate is 10%,
compounded semiannually?
Payments occur annually, but compounding
occurs every 6 months. Cannot use normal annuity valuation
techniques.
0 1
100
2 3
5%
4 5
100 100
6
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Method 1:Compound each cash flow
110.25121.55331.80
FV3= $100(1.05)4+ $100(1.05)2+ $100
FV3= $331.80
0 1
100
2 3
5%
4 5
100
6
100
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Method 2:Find the Ieffand treat as an annuity
Ieff= (1 + 10%/2 )21 = 10.25%.
FV3= 100 [(1+10.25%)3-1]/10.25%
= $331.80
100FV3= ?
0 1 2 3
10.25%
100100
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Loan amortization
Amortizationrefers to the process of paying off adebt (often from a loan or mortgage) over time
through regular payments.
A portion of each payment is for interest whilethe remaining amount is applied towards theprincipal balance
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amortizationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amortization -
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Loan and required annualpayments
PMTn
0 1 2 ni%
PMT2PMT
1Loan
int1 int2 intn
Principal1 Principal
2 Principal
n
A portion of each payment is for interestwhile theremaining amount is applied towards the principalbalance
Loan Amortization Schedule
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oa o t at o Sc edu e(General case)
An amortization scheduleis a table detailing each
periodic payment on an amortizing loan
Ln-1= Pn PMTn= Pn (1+i) L0= P1+ P2
+.. + Pn
Period Debt in beginningof period
Interest Principal Loan payment(Annuity)
Debt remainingin the end of
Period
1
2...
n-1n
L0 (or D0)
L1= L0 - P1...
Ln-2=Ln-3 - Pn-2Ln-1=Ln-2 - Pn-1
I1=i.L0
I2=i.L1...
In-1=i.Ln-2In=i.Ln-1
P1
P2...
Pn-1Pn
PMT1=P1+ i.L0
PMT2=P2+ i.L1...
PMTn-1=Pn-1+ i.Ln-2PMTn= Pn+ i.Ln-1
L1= L0 - P1
L2=L1 - P2...
Ln-1=Ln-2 - Pn-1Ln=Ln-1Pn=0
loan amortization rules
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amortizing_loanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amortizing_loan -
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loan amortization rules
case of reimbursement through constant
annuity Link between Principal portions amounts: Pk= Pj(1+i)
k-j
Link between the capital Borrowed (L0) and the annual Payment (PMT)
Link between the capital Borrowed (L0) and the First Principal portion (P1)
Link between the amount of the loan (L0) and the amount of the loan not yetreimbursed(Lk)
Lkis the debt not yet reimbursed at the end of period k.
i
i
PMTL
n)1(1
.0
i
iPL
n 1)1(.10
i
iPLL
k
k
1)1(.10
L A i i i h l
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Loan Amortization with equalPayements
EXAMPLE 13: Construct anamortization schedule for a $1,000,
10% annual rate loan with 3 equalpayments.
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Step 1:Find the required annual payment
i
iPMTLoan
n)1(1.
ni
i
LoanPMT )1(1.
11.402$%)101(1
%10000,1
3
PMT
PMT
0 1 2 310%
PMTPMTPMTLoan
=$1,000
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Step 2:Find the interest paid in Year 1
The borrower will owe interest upon theinitial balance at the end of the first
year.Interest to be paid in the first year canbe found by multiplying the beginningbalance by the interest rate.
INTt= Beg balt(I)
INT1= $1,000 (0.10) = $100
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Step 3:
Find the principal repaid in Year 1 If a payment of $402.11 was made at
the end of the first year and $100 was
paid toward interest, the remainingvalue must represent the amount ofprincipal repaid.
PRIN1= PMTINT1
= $402.11 - $100 = $302.11
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Step 4:Find the ending balance after Year 1
To find the balance at the end of theperiod, subtract the amount paid
toward principal from the beginningbalance.
END BAL = BEG BALPRIN
= $1,000 - $302.11
= $697.89
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Constructing an amortization table:Repeat steps 14 until end of loan
Interest paid declines with each payment asthe balance declines.
Year
BEG
BAL PMT INT PRIN
END
BAL
1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $6982 698 402 70 332 366
3 366 402 37 366 0
TOTAL 1,206.34 206.34 $1,000