Chap012 Cost of Capital

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    Copyright 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin

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    Key Concepts and Skills

    Know how to determine:

    A firms cost of equity capital

    A firms cost of debt A firms overall cost of capital

    Understand pitfalls of overall cost of

    capital and how to manage them

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    Chapter Outline

    12.1 The Cost of Capital: Some Preliminaries

    12.2 The Cost of Equity

    12.3 The Costs of Debt and Preferred Stock12.4 The Weighted Average Cost of Capital

    12.5 Divisional and Project Costs of Capital

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    Cost of Capital Basics

    The cost to a firm for capital funding =the return to the providers of those funds The return earned on assets depends on

    the risk of those assets

    A firms cost of capital indicates how themarket views the risk of the firms assets

    A firm must earn at least the required returnto compensate investors for the financingthey have provided

    The required return is the same as theappropriate discount rate

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    Cost of Equity

    The cost of equity is the return required byequity investors given the risk of thecash flows from the firm

    Two major methods for determining thecost of equity

    - Dividend growth model

    - SML or CAPM

    Return toQuick Quiz

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    The Dividend Growth ModelApproach

    Start with the dividend growth modelformula and rearrange to solve forRE

    gP

    DR

    gRDP

    0

    1E

    E

    10

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    Example: Dividend Growth Model

    Your company is expected to pay a dividendof $4.40 per share next year. (D1)

    Dividends have grown at a steady rate of

    5.1% per year and the market expects that tocontinue. (g)

    The current stock price is $50. (P0)

    What is the cost of equity?

    139.051.50

    40.4RE

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    Example: Estimating the DividendGrowth Rate

    One method for estimating the growthrate is to use the historical average

    Year Dividend Percent Change

    2003 1.232004 1.30

    2005 1.36

    2006 1.432007 1.50

    (1.30 1.23) / 1.23 = 5.7%

    (1.36 1.30) / 1.30 = 4.6%

    (1.43 1.36) / 1.36 = 5.1%(1.50 1.43) / 1.43 = 4.9%

    Average = (5.7 + 4.6 + 5.1 + 4.9) / 4 = 5.1%

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    Advantages and Disadvantages ofDividend Growth Model

    Advantage easy to understand and use

    Disadvantages

    Only applicable to companies currently payingdividends

    Not applicable if dividends arent growing at a

    reasonably constant rate

    Extremely sensitive to the estimated growthrate

    Does not explicitly consider risk

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    The SML Approach

    Use the following information to computethe cost of equity

    Risk-free rate, Rf

    Market risk premium, E(RM)

    Rf

    Systematic risk of asset,

    )R)R(E(RR fMEfE

    http://www.bloomberg.com/
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    Example: SML

    Companys equity beta = 1.2

    Current risk-free rate = 7%

    Expected market risk premium = 6% What is the cost of equity capital?

    %2.14)6(2.17RE

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    Advantages and Disadvantagesof SML

    Advantages Explicitly adjusts for systematic risk

    Applicable to all companies, as long as beta is

    available Disadvantages

    Must estimate the expectedmarket risk premium,

    which does vary over time

    Must estimate beta, which also varies over time

    Relies on the past to predict the future, which is not

    always reliable

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    Example: Cost of Equity

    Data: Beta = 1.5 Market risk premium = 9% Current risk-free rate = 6%.

    Analysts estimates of growth = 6% per year Last dividend = $2. Currently stock price =$15.65

    Using SML: RE = 6% + 1.5(9%) = 19.5% Using DGM: RE = [2(1.06) / 15.65] + .06

    = 19.55%

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    Cost of Debt

    The cost of debt = the required return ona companys debt

    Method 1 = Compute the yield to

    maturity on existing debt Method 2 = Use estimates of current

    rates based on the bond rating

    expected on new debt The cost of debt is NOT the coupon rate

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    Example: Cost of Debt

    Current bond issue:

    15 years to maturity

    Coupon rate = 12%

    Coupons paidsemiannually

    Currently bond price =

    $1,253.72

    301253.72100060

    4.45%

    YTM = 4.45%*2 = 8.9%

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    Component Cost of Debt

    Use the YTM on the firms debt

    Interest is tax deductible, so the after-tax(AT) cost of debt is:

    If the corporate tax rate = 40%:

    )T1(RR CBT,DAT,D

    %34.5)40.1%(9.8R AT,D

    Return toQuick Quiz

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    Cost of Preferred Stock

    Preferred pays a constant dividend everyperiod

    Dividends expected to be paid forever

    Preferred stock is a perpetuity

    Example:

    Preferred annual dividend = $10 Current stock price = $111.10

    RP= 10 / 111.10 = 9%

    0

    PP

    DR

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    Weighted Average Cost of Capital

    Use the individual costs of capital tocompute a weighted average cost ofcapital for the firm

    This average = the required return onthe firms assets, based on themarkets perception of the risk ofthose assets

    The weights are determined by howmuch of each type of financing isused

    Return toQuick Quiz

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    Determining the Weights for theWACC

    Weights = percentages of the firmthat will be financed by each

    component

    Always use the target weights, if

    possible If not available, use market values

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    Capital Structure Weights

    NotationE = market value of equity

    = # outstanding shares times price per share

    D = market value of debt= # outstanding bonds times bond price

    V = market value of the firm = D + E

    WeightsE/V = percent financed with equity

    D/V = percent financed with debtReturn toQuick Quiz

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    WACC

    WACC = (E/V) x RE +(P/V) x RP + (D/V) x RD x (1- TC)

    Where:

    (E/V) = % of common equity in capital structure(P/V) = % of preferred stock in capital structure(D/V) = % of debt in capital structure

    RE = firms cost of equity

    RP = firms cost of preferred stockRD= firms cost of debt

    TC= firms corporate tax rate

    Weights

    Componentcosts

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    Estimating Weights

    Given: Stock price = $50

    3m shares common stock

    $25m preferred stock

    $75m debt

    40% Tax rate

    Weights:

    E/V = $150/$250 = 0.6 (60%)

    P/V = $25/$250 = 0.1 (10%)

    D/V = $75/$250 = 0.3 (30%)

    Component Values:VE = $50 x (3 m) = $150m

    VP = $25m

    VD = $75m

    VF = $150+$25+$75=$250m

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    WACC

    WACC = 0.6(14%)+0.1(9%) +0.3(10%)(1-.40)

    WACC = 8.4% + 0.9% + 1.8% = 11.1%

    Component W R

    Debt (before tax) 0.30 10%

    Preferred Stock 0.10 9%

    Common equity 0.60 14%

    WACC = E/V x RE +P/V x RP + D/V x RD (1- TC)

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    Table 12.1

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    Factors that Influence aCompanys WACC

    Market conditions, especially interestrates, tax rates and the market risk

    premium The firms capital structure and dividend

    policy

    The firms investment policy Firms with riskier projects generally have ahigher WACC

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    Eastman Chemical 1Equity

    Source: http://finance.yahoo.com

    http://finance.yahoo.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/
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    Source: http://finance.yahoo.com

    Eastman Chemical 2Dividend Growth

    http://finance.yahoo.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/
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    EastmanChemical

    - 3Beta andDividends

    Source: http://finance.yahoo.com

    http://finance.yahoo.com/http://finance.yahoo.com/
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    Market Risk Premium = 7% (assumed)

    T-Bill rate = 0.07% (90 day)

    Tax rate (assumed) = 35%

    Beta (Reuters):

    Source: http://www.reuters.com

    Eastman Chemical 4Other Data

    http://www.reuters.com/http://www.reuters.com/
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    Eastman Chemical - 5Cost of Equity - SML

    Beta Yahoo.Finance 2.01

    Reuters 1.92

    Average 1.965

    T-Bill rate 0.07%

    Market Risk Premium 7%

    Cost of Equity (SML) = .07% + (7%)(1.965)= 13.83%

    )R)R(E(RR fMEfE

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    Eastman Chemical - 6Cost of Equity - DCF

    Growth rate 7%

    Last dividend $1.76

    Stock price $52.99

    Cost of Equity (DCF) =

    %55.10R

    07.99.52

    )07.1(76.1$R

    gP

    DR

    E

    E

    0

    1E

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    Eastman Chemical - 7Cost of Equity

    Cost of Equity In Textbook In Slideshow

    SML Method 10.29% 13.83%

    DCF Method 14.91% 10.55%Average 12.60% 12.19%

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    Eastman Chemical - 8Bonds

    Source: http://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/Bondcenter

    http://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/bondcenterhttp://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/bondcenter
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    Eastman Chemical - 9Bonds

    Coupon Face Value Price Weighted

    Rate Maturity (millions) % Par ($ m) % YTM YTM

    7.00% 2012 $154 100.5 154.8 11.0% 6.784 0.748

    6.30% 2018 207 104.0 215.3 15.3% 5.729 0.878

    7.25% 2024 497 107.0 531.8 37.9% 6.489 2.457

    7.63% 2024 200 100.0 200.0 14.2% 7.623 1.0867.60% 2027 298 101.5 302.5 21.5% 7.443 1.603

    $1,356 1404.3 100.0% 6.772

    Market Value

    Since market values are deemed more relevant, we useonly market value weights

    Average YTM = 6.772% versus 8.70% in the textbook

    E t Ch i l 10

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    Capital structure weights:

    E = 72.67 million x $52.99 = $3.851 billion

    D = 1.404 billion

    V = $3.851 + 1.404 = 5.255 billion

    E/V = 3.851 / 5.255 = .7328

    D/V = 1.404 / 5.255 = .2672

    WACC = .7328(12.19%) + .2672(6.772%)(1-.35)

    = 10.11% (versus 9.79% in text)

    Eastman Chemical - 10WACC

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    Risk-Adjusted WACC

    A firms WACC reflects the risk of an

    average project undertaken by the firm

    Average risk = the firms current operations

    Different divisions/projects may have

    different risks

    The divisions or projects WACC should beadjusted to reflect the appropriate risk and

    capital structure

    Return to

    Quick Quiz

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    Using WACC for All Projects

    What would happen if we use theWACC for all projects regardless of risk?

    Assume the WACC = 15%

    Project IRR WACC=15%

    A 17% Accept

    B 18% Accept

    C 12% Reject

    Decision

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    Using WACC for All Projects

    Assume the WACC = 15% Adjusting for risk changes the decisions

    RequiredProject Return IRR WACC=15% Risk Adj

    A 20% 17% Accept Reject

    B 15% 18% Accept Accept

    C 10% 12% Reject Accept

    Decision

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    Divisional Risk & the Cost of Capital

    Rate of Return(%)

    WACC

    Rejection Region

    Acceptance Region

    Risk

    WACCH

    WACCL

    WACCF

    0 RiskL RiskH

    Acceptance Region

    Rejection Region

    REPLACE WITH FIGURE 12.1

    Di i i l Ri k & th C t f

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    Divisional Risk & the Cost ofCapital

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    Pure Play Approach

    Find one or more companies thatspecialize in the product or servicebeing considered

    Compute the beta for each company Take an average

    Use that beta along with the CAPM to

    find the appropriate return for a projectof that risk

    Pure play companies difficult to find

    Return to

    Quick Quiz

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    Subjective Approach

    Consider the projects risk relativeto the firm overall

    If the project is riskier than the firm,

    use a discount rate greater than theWACC

    If the project is less risky than the firm,

    use a discount rate less than theWACC

    Return to

    Quick Quiz

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    Subjective Approach - Example

    Risk Level Discount Rate

    Very Low Risk WACC 8% 7%

    Low Risk WACC 3% 12%Same Risk as Firm WACC 15%

    High Risk WACC + 5% 20%

    Very High Risk WACC + 10% 25%

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    Quick Quiz

    What are the two approaches for computing thecost of equity? (Slide 12.5)

    How do you compute the cost of debt and the aftertax cost of debt? (Slide 12.16)

    How do you compute the capital structure weightsrequired for the WACC? (Slide 12.20)

    What is the WACC? (Slide 12.18)

    What happens if we use the WACC as the discountrate for all projects? (Slide 12.36)

    What are two methods that can be used tocompute the appropriate discount rate whenWACC isnt appropriate? (Slide 12.41 and Slide 12.42)

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    Chapter 12

    END