Chap012 Cost of Capital
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Transcript of Chap012 Cost of Capital
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Copyright 2011 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin
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Key Concepts and Skills
Know how to determine:
A firms cost of equity capital
A firms cost of debt A firms overall cost of capital
Understand pitfalls of overall cost of
capital and how to manage them
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Chapter Outline
12.1 The Cost of Capital: Some Preliminaries
12.2 The Cost of Equity
12.3 The Costs of Debt and Preferred Stock12.4 The Weighted Average Cost of Capital
12.5 Divisional and Project Costs of Capital
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Cost of Capital Basics
The cost to a firm for capital funding =the return to the providers of those funds The return earned on assets depends on
the risk of those assets
A firms cost of capital indicates how themarket views the risk of the firms assets
A firm must earn at least the required returnto compensate investors for the financingthey have provided
The required return is the same as theappropriate discount rate
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Cost of Equity
The cost of equity is the return required byequity investors given the risk of thecash flows from the firm
Two major methods for determining thecost of equity
- Dividend growth model
- SML or CAPM
Return toQuick Quiz
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The Dividend Growth ModelApproach
Start with the dividend growth modelformula and rearrange to solve forRE
gP
DR
gRDP
0
1E
E
10
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Example: Dividend Growth Model
Your company is expected to pay a dividendof $4.40 per share next year. (D1)
Dividends have grown at a steady rate of
5.1% per year and the market expects that tocontinue. (g)
The current stock price is $50. (P0)
What is the cost of equity?
139.051.50
40.4RE
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Example: Estimating the DividendGrowth Rate
One method for estimating the growthrate is to use the historical average
Year Dividend Percent Change
2003 1.232004 1.30
2005 1.36
2006 1.432007 1.50
(1.30 1.23) / 1.23 = 5.7%
(1.36 1.30) / 1.30 = 4.6%
(1.43 1.36) / 1.36 = 5.1%(1.50 1.43) / 1.43 = 4.9%
Average = (5.7 + 4.6 + 5.1 + 4.9) / 4 = 5.1%
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Advantages and Disadvantages ofDividend Growth Model
Advantage easy to understand and use
Disadvantages
Only applicable to companies currently payingdividends
Not applicable if dividends arent growing at a
reasonably constant rate
Extremely sensitive to the estimated growthrate
Does not explicitly consider risk
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The SML Approach
Use the following information to computethe cost of equity
Risk-free rate, Rf
Market risk premium, E(RM)
Rf
Systematic risk of asset,
)R)R(E(RR fMEfE
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Example: SML
Companys equity beta = 1.2
Current risk-free rate = 7%
Expected market risk premium = 6% What is the cost of equity capital?
%2.14)6(2.17RE
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Advantages and Disadvantagesof SML
Advantages Explicitly adjusts for systematic risk
Applicable to all companies, as long as beta is
available Disadvantages
Must estimate the expectedmarket risk premium,
which does vary over time
Must estimate beta, which also varies over time
Relies on the past to predict the future, which is not
always reliable
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Example: Cost of Equity
Data: Beta = 1.5 Market risk premium = 9% Current risk-free rate = 6%.
Analysts estimates of growth = 6% per year Last dividend = $2. Currently stock price =$15.65
Using SML: RE = 6% + 1.5(9%) = 19.5% Using DGM: RE = [2(1.06) / 15.65] + .06
= 19.55%
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Cost of Debt
The cost of debt = the required return ona companys debt
Method 1 = Compute the yield to
maturity on existing debt Method 2 = Use estimates of current
rates based on the bond rating
expected on new debt The cost of debt is NOT the coupon rate
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Example: Cost of Debt
Current bond issue:
15 years to maturity
Coupon rate = 12%
Coupons paidsemiannually
Currently bond price =
$1,253.72
301253.72100060
4.45%
YTM = 4.45%*2 = 8.9%
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Component Cost of Debt
Use the YTM on the firms debt
Interest is tax deductible, so the after-tax(AT) cost of debt is:
If the corporate tax rate = 40%:
)T1(RR CBT,DAT,D
%34.5)40.1%(9.8R AT,D
Return toQuick Quiz
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Cost of Preferred Stock
Preferred pays a constant dividend everyperiod
Dividends expected to be paid forever
Preferred stock is a perpetuity
Example:
Preferred annual dividend = $10 Current stock price = $111.10
RP= 10 / 111.10 = 9%
0
PP
DR
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Use the individual costs of capital tocompute a weighted average cost ofcapital for the firm
This average = the required return onthe firms assets, based on themarkets perception of the risk ofthose assets
The weights are determined by howmuch of each type of financing isused
Return toQuick Quiz
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Determining the Weights for theWACC
Weights = percentages of the firmthat will be financed by each
component
Always use the target weights, if
possible If not available, use market values
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Capital Structure Weights
NotationE = market value of equity
= # outstanding shares times price per share
D = market value of debt= # outstanding bonds times bond price
V = market value of the firm = D + E
WeightsE/V = percent financed with equity
D/V = percent financed with debtReturn toQuick Quiz
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WACC
WACC = (E/V) x RE +(P/V) x RP + (D/V) x RD x (1- TC)
Where:
(E/V) = % of common equity in capital structure(P/V) = % of preferred stock in capital structure(D/V) = % of debt in capital structure
RE = firms cost of equity
RP = firms cost of preferred stockRD= firms cost of debt
TC= firms corporate tax rate
Weights
Componentcosts
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Estimating Weights
Given: Stock price = $50
3m shares common stock
$25m preferred stock
$75m debt
40% Tax rate
Weights:
E/V = $150/$250 = 0.6 (60%)
P/V = $25/$250 = 0.1 (10%)
D/V = $75/$250 = 0.3 (30%)
Component Values:VE = $50 x (3 m) = $150m
VP = $25m
VD = $75m
VF = $150+$25+$75=$250m
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WACC
WACC = 0.6(14%)+0.1(9%) +0.3(10%)(1-.40)
WACC = 8.4% + 0.9% + 1.8% = 11.1%
Component W R
Debt (before tax) 0.30 10%
Preferred Stock 0.10 9%
Common equity 0.60 14%
WACC = E/V x RE +P/V x RP + D/V x RD (1- TC)
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Table 12.1
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Factors that Influence aCompanys WACC
Market conditions, especially interestrates, tax rates and the market risk
premium The firms capital structure and dividend
policy
The firms investment policy Firms with riskier projects generally have ahigher WACC
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Eastman Chemical 1Equity
Source: http://finance.yahoo.com
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Source: http://finance.yahoo.com
Eastman Chemical 2Dividend Growth
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EastmanChemical
- 3Beta andDividends
Source: http://finance.yahoo.com
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Market Risk Premium = 7% (assumed)
T-Bill rate = 0.07% (90 day)
Tax rate (assumed) = 35%
Beta (Reuters):
Source: http://www.reuters.com
Eastman Chemical 4Other Data
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Eastman Chemical - 5Cost of Equity - SML
Beta Yahoo.Finance 2.01
Reuters 1.92
Average 1.965
T-Bill rate 0.07%
Market Risk Premium 7%
Cost of Equity (SML) = .07% + (7%)(1.965)= 13.83%
)R)R(E(RR fMEfE
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Eastman Chemical - 6Cost of Equity - DCF
Growth rate 7%
Last dividend $1.76
Stock price $52.99
Cost of Equity (DCF) =
%55.10R
07.99.52
)07.1(76.1$R
gP
DR
E
E
0
1E
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Eastman Chemical - 7Cost of Equity
Cost of Equity In Textbook In Slideshow
SML Method 10.29% 13.83%
DCF Method 14.91% 10.55%Average 12.60% 12.19%
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Eastman Chemical - 8Bonds
Source: http://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/Bondcenter
http://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/bondcenterhttp://cxa.marketwatch.com/finra/bondcenter -
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Eastman Chemical - 9Bonds
Coupon Face Value Price Weighted
Rate Maturity (millions) % Par ($ m) % YTM YTM
7.00% 2012 $154 100.5 154.8 11.0% 6.784 0.748
6.30% 2018 207 104.0 215.3 15.3% 5.729 0.878
7.25% 2024 497 107.0 531.8 37.9% 6.489 2.457
7.63% 2024 200 100.0 200.0 14.2% 7.623 1.0867.60% 2027 298 101.5 302.5 21.5% 7.443 1.603
$1,356 1404.3 100.0% 6.772
Market Value
Since market values are deemed more relevant, we useonly market value weights
Average YTM = 6.772% versus 8.70% in the textbook
E t Ch i l 10
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Capital structure weights:
E = 72.67 million x $52.99 = $3.851 billion
D = 1.404 billion
V = $3.851 + 1.404 = 5.255 billion
E/V = 3.851 / 5.255 = .7328
D/V = 1.404 / 5.255 = .2672
WACC = .7328(12.19%) + .2672(6.772%)(1-.35)
= 10.11% (versus 9.79% in text)
Eastman Chemical - 10WACC
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Risk-Adjusted WACC
A firms WACC reflects the risk of an
average project undertaken by the firm
Average risk = the firms current operations
Different divisions/projects may have
different risks
The divisions or projects WACC should beadjusted to reflect the appropriate risk and
capital structure
Return to
Quick Quiz
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Using WACC for All Projects
What would happen if we use theWACC for all projects regardless of risk?
Assume the WACC = 15%
Project IRR WACC=15%
A 17% Accept
B 18% Accept
C 12% Reject
Decision
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Using WACC for All Projects
Assume the WACC = 15% Adjusting for risk changes the decisions
RequiredProject Return IRR WACC=15% Risk Adj
A 20% 17% Accept Reject
B 15% 18% Accept Accept
C 10% 12% Reject Accept
Decision
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Divisional Risk & the Cost of Capital
Rate of Return(%)
WACC
Rejection Region
Acceptance Region
Risk
WACCH
WACCL
WACCF
0 RiskL RiskH
Acceptance Region
Rejection Region
REPLACE WITH FIGURE 12.1
Di i i l Ri k & th C t f
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Divisional Risk & the Cost ofCapital
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Pure Play Approach
Find one or more companies thatspecialize in the product or servicebeing considered
Compute the beta for each company Take an average
Use that beta along with the CAPM to
find the appropriate return for a projectof that risk
Pure play companies difficult to find
Return to
Quick Quiz
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Subjective Approach
Consider the projects risk relativeto the firm overall
If the project is riskier than the firm,
use a discount rate greater than theWACC
If the project is less risky than the firm,
use a discount rate less than theWACC
Return to
Quick Quiz
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Subjective Approach - Example
Risk Level Discount Rate
Very Low Risk WACC 8% 7%
Low Risk WACC 3% 12%Same Risk as Firm WACC 15%
High Risk WACC + 5% 20%
Very High Risk WACC + 10% 25%
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Quick Quiz
What are the two approaches for computing thecost of equity? (Slide 12.5)
How do you compute the cost of debt and the aftertax cost of debt? (Slide 12.16)
How do you compute the capital structure weightsrequired for the WACC? (Slide 12.20)
What is the WACC? (Slide 12.18)
What happens if we use the WACC as the discountrate for all projects? (Slide 12.36)
What are two methods that can be used tocompute the appropriate discount rate whenWACC isnt appropriate? (Slide 12.41 and Slide 12.42)
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Chapter 12
END