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Transcript of Chap 4.pdf beta
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Cost of Capital and Leverage.WACC
Chapter 4
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Outline
�Project selection for a levered firm
�Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm
� Hamada equation
�WACC
�Project selection in a diversified firm
� Mensac case
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What types of capital do firms use?
�Debt
�Preferred stock
�Common equity
� Existing shareholders
� New stock
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Do different investors ask for the same return?
� Example: A company has the following EBIT every year (see the table next page). kRF=4%, the market risk premium is 6%. If the company is all-equity financed, its beta is 1
• What is the cost of equity in this case? What is the company value? If there are 1,000 shares outstanding, what is the share price?
• If company wants to issue � 40,000 of debt to buy back some shares, what is the cost of debt and the new cost of equity assuming no taxes?
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EconomyBad Avg. Good
Prob. 0.25 0.50 0.25EBIT �5,000 �10,000 �15,000
Example (2)
� Cost of equity is • 4%+6%x1=10%
� The company value is• (0.25x5,000 + 0.5x10,000 + 0.25x15,000)/.1 =100,000 �
� The share price is 100 �
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Example (3)
Probability 0.25 0.5 0.25EBIT 5,000.00$ 10,000.00$ 15,000.00$ Interest -$ -$ -$ EBT 5,000.00$ 10,000.00$ 15,000.00$ Taxes -$ -$ -$ NI 5,000.00$ 10,000.00$ 15,000.00$ EPS 5.00$ 10.00$ 15.00$ Average NI 10,000$ Average EPS 10$ Standard deviation 3.54
Value of equity 100,000$ Share price 100.00$
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Debt 40,000$ Interest rate 4%Number of shares 600 Probability 0.25 0.5 0.25EBIT 5,000.00$ 10,000.00$ 15,000.00$ Interest 1,600.00$ 1,600.00$ 1,600.00$ EBT 3,400.00$ 8,400.00$ 13,400.00$ Taxes -$ -$ -$ NI 3,400.00$ 8,400.00$ 13,400.00$ EPS 5.67$ 14.00$ 22.33$ Average NI 8,400$ Average EPS 14.00$ Standard deviation 5.89
Example (4)
� For the levered firm let us assume that the debt is risk-free and check, whether this is the case or not:
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Example (5)
�The cost of equity of the levered firm becomes
cost of equity kLS = EPS/Share price = 14/100
= 14%
�Why?
� Return to shareholders is riskier now (look at EPS volatility)
� It should be higher
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Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm:Hamada equation (risk-free debt)
� Because the increased use of debt causes both the costs of debt and equity to increase, we need to estimate the new cost of equity
� The Hamada equation attempts to quantify the increased cost of equity due to financial leverage
� It uses the unlevered beta of a firm, which represents the risk of a firm as if it had no debt
� Hamada equation assumes that the debt is risk-free
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βL = βU [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
where T is the tax rate; D/E is the debt-equity ratio and βU is the beta of equity of an unlevered firm with the same operating cash flow
In our example βU = 1, D/E = 400/600 = 2/3
βL = 1(1+0.67)=1.67
kLS = 4% + 1.67 x 6% = 14 %
Notice that
Hamada equation (cont’d)
kLS = kU
S [1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]-kRF (1 – T)(D/E)
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Beta and cost of equity of a levered firm:risky debt
� If debt is risky, the cost of equity of a levered firm is found using the following equation:
where kD is the cost of risky debt. Similarly, for beta we can write
( ) ( )DUS
US
LS kk
ED
Tkk −−+= 1
( ) ( ) DUS
LS E
DT
ED
T β−−��
���
� −+β=β 111
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Example
� The risk-free rate is 6%, as is the market risk premium. The unlevered beta of the firm is 1.0. The total assets are �2,000,000
• Find the cost of equity of a levered firm if it has 250,000 of a risk-free debt
• The same if the beta of debt is 0.2
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ββββL = ββββU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)ββββL
Example (2)
�For riskless debt we have
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ββββL = ββββU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
ββββL = 1.0[1 + (1 – 0.4)(�250/�1,750)]
kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)ββββL
kL = 6.0% + (6.0%)1.0857
Example (3)
�For riskless debt we have
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ββββL = ββββU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]
kL = kRF + (kM – kRF)ββββL
kL = 6.0% + (6.0%)1.0857 = 12.51%
ββββL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)(0.1429)]= 1.0857
Example (4)
�For riskless debt we have
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ββββL = ββββU[1 + (1 – T)(D/E)]-(1 – T)(D/E)ββββD
kL = kU + (1 – T)(D/E)(kU - kD)
kL = 12% + (0.6)(0.1429)(4.8%) = 12.411%
kD = kRF + (kM – kRF)ββββD=6%+(6%)0.2 =7.2%
ββββL = 1.0[1 + (0.6)(0.1429)]- (0.6)(0.1429)0.2 = 1.0857-0.0171 = 1.0686
Example (5)
�For risky debt we have
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How to determine the cost of equity for a new company?
� Identify the peer companies
� For each peer, find its unlevered β and cost of equity using their cost of debt and D/E ratio
• Try using market values of debt and equity
� Find the average unlevered β and kSU
� Find β and kSL for your company, using its
cost of debt and D/E ratio
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ED
t
kED
tkk
c
DcLS
US
)1(1
)1(
−+
−+=
( ) ( )DUSC
US
LS kk
ED
tkk −−+= 1
Determining levered cost of equity, kLs
�Find kU directly
�Find average kUs
�Find kLs
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( )
( ) ��
���
� −+==
−+=
VD
tVE
kWACCkk
ktVD
kVE
WACC
cUSfD
DcLS
1 , if
1
WACC
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Example: Find WACC, given these inputs:
Target D/E ratio = 66.7 %
kD = 10%
kRF = 7%
Tax rate = 40%
Market risk premium = 6%
Industry Beta = 0.95
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( )
( )
%4.11
10.67.1
67.4.115.
67.11
%1515.006.33.107.
33.132
4.01195.0
=
×+
×−+×+
=
==×+=
=��
���
� −+×=β
WACC
WACC
kLS
L
Example: Find WACC
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Company WACCIntel 12.9%General Electric 11.9Motorola 11.3Coca-Cola 11.2Walt Disney 10.0 AT&T 9.8Wal-Mart 9.8Exxon 8.8H. J. Heinz 8.5BellSouth 8.2
WACC Estimates for Some Large U. S. Corporations, Nov. 1999
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Should the company use the composite (company average) WACC as the hurdle
rate for each of its projects?
�NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by the firm. Therefore, the WACC only represents the “hurdle rate” for a typical project with average risk.
�Different projects have different risks. The project’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect the project’s risk.
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Rate of Return(%)
WACC
Rejection Region
Acceptance Region
Risk
L
B
A
H12.0
8.0
10.010.5
9.5
0 RiskL RiskA RiskH
Risk and the Cost of Capital
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Rate of Return(%)
WACC
Project H
Division H’s WACC
Risk
Project L
Composite WACCfor Firm A
13.0
7.0
10.0
11.0
9.0
Division L’s WACC
0 RiskLRiskAverage
Risk H
Divisional Cost of Capital
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What are the types of project risk?
�Stand-alone risk
�Corporate risk
�Market risk
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How is each type of risk used?
�Market risk is theoretically best in most situations.
�However, creditors, customers, suppliers, and employees are more affected by corporate risk
�Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant
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How to determine the risk-adjusted cost of capital for a particular project or division?
�By making subjective adjustments to the firm’s composite WACC
� Not very scientific!
�By attempting to estimate what the cost of capital would be if the project/division were a stand-alone firm with the same capital structure. This requires estimating the project’s beta
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Methods for Estimating a Project’s Beta
�Pure play:
� Find several publicly traded companies exclusively in project’s business
� Use average of their betas as proxy for project’s beta
�Difficulties: Sometimes it is hard to find such companies
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Methods for Estimating a Project’s Beta
� Using Accounting beta (won’t use in the class)
• Estimate the project’s beta by running regression between project’s ROA and market ROA (S&P index)
� Problems: • Accounting betas are not perfectly
correlated with market betas (correlation is about 0.5–0.6)
• Normally can’t get data on new projects’ ROAs before the capital budgeting decision has been made
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Example
�Find the division’s market risk and cost of capital based on the CAPM, given these inputs
� Target debt/value ratio = 40% (D/E = 66.7%)
� kD = 10%
� kRF = 7%
� Tax rate = 40%
� betaDivision = 1.7
� Market risk premium = 6%.
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Example (contd.)
�Levered beta = 1.7, so division has more market risk than the company on average (1.33).
�Division’s required return on equity:
� ks = kRF + (kM – kRF)βDiv.
= 7% + (6%)1.7 = 17.2%
� WACCDiv. = wdkd(1 – T) + wcks
= 0.4(10%)(0.6) + 0.6(17.2%)
= 12.72%
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Mensac case