Changing trends in Indian Tele-Communication Industry-Abhisek Paul

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    Name: Anurag Gupta Enrollment no: 09BS0000377Mobile No: 9811682046 Email Id: [email protected]

    MANAGEMENT RESEARCH PROJECT

    INTERIM REPORT

    INTERIM

    REPORT

    December 6

    2010

    MANAGEMENT RESEARCH PROJECT

    SUBMITTED TO:PROF.Gautam Kaul

    Anurag Gupta

    09BS0000377

    IBS Gurgaon

    Class of 2011

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    Introduction:

    Telecommunication is the transmission of messages, over significant distances, for the purposeof communication. In earlier times, telecommunications involved the use of visual signals, suchas beacons, smoke, semaphore telegraphs, signal flags, and optical heliographs, or audiomessages via coded drumbeats, lung-blown horns, or sent by loud whistles, for example. In themodern age of electricity and electronics, telecommunications now also includes the use ofelectrical devices such as telegraphs, telephones, and teletypes, the use of radio and microwavecommunications, as well as fiber optics and their associated electronics, plus the use ofthe orbiting satellites and the Internet.The first breakthrough into modern electrical telecommunications came with the push to fullydevelop the telegraph starting in the 1830s. The use of these electrical means of communicationsexploded into use on all of the continents of the world during the 19th century, and these alsoconnected the continents via cables on the floors of the ocean. The use of the first three popularsystems of electrical telecommunications, the telegraph, telephone and teletype, all required theuse of conducting metal wires.A revolution in wireless telecommunications began in the first decade of the 20th century,with Guglielmo Marconi winning the Nobel Prize in Physics in 1909 for his pioneeringdevelopments in wireless radio communications. Other highly notable pioneering inventors anddevelopers in the field of electrical and electronic telecommunications include CharlesWheatstone and Samuel Morse (telegraph), Alexander Graham Bell (telephone), NikolaTesla, Edwin Armstrong, and Lee de Forest (radio), as well as John Logie Baird and PhiloFarnsworth (television).Telecommunications play an important role in the world economy and the worldwidetelecommunication industry's revenue was estimated to be $3.85 trillion in 2008. The servicerevenue of the global telecommunications industry was estimated to be $1.7 trillion in 2008, and

    is expected to touch $2.7 trillion by 2013.

    1.0 Executive Summary

    Over the last four years, Telecom Technology, a well respected $300 million steel

    conglomerate, has built up significant interests in the telecom sector ranging from wireless

    and paging services to billing software. Telecom Technology Taiwan, was formed in

    Taiwan in 1994 to pursue opportunities in the Operations Support Systems () telecom

    software market, with a particular focus on customer care and billing software solutions (CCB

    systems). Since 1994, Telecom Technology Taiwan has grown steadily, building acustomer base of 24 telecom operators for its software.

    In 1998, encouraged by the potential of the billing software market opportunity,

    Telecom Technology decided to pursue a more aggressive expansion strategy, appointing an

    experienced and credible executive management team to unleash the potential of the

    Telecom Technology Taiwan business. Corresponding with the placement of the executive

    management team, Telecom Technology was created. Telecom Technology has

    already made and continues to make significant investments in growing the business.

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    2.0 Situation Analysis

    Telecom Technology current situation:

    2.1 Market Summary

    Operations support systems encompasses a broad range of applications and services.

    Although definitions vary, typically includes applications geared toward customer

    acquisition, service provisioning, asset management, network management, customer care,

    and billing. Increasingly, these applications are becoming more interdependent and carriers

    are beginning to realize how important a world-class is to effective competition.

    Telecommunications

    The segment of the telecommunications industry is experiencing tremendous growth.

    The increasingly competitive telecommunications market, both wire line and wireless, has

    increased carriers' awareness of the importance of . As a result, companies are investingmillions of dollars in their in order to improve operations and create a competitive

    advantage.

    In terms of aggregate spending on , projections differ, mainly because there is no

    consensus on the exact definition of . Nevertheless, the Yankee Group predicts that the

    market will grow to almost $60 billion worldwide in 2003 before falling off slightly. The

    slight decrease in spending is the result of more companies choosing to build rather than buy

    certain components of their .Customer Care & Billing Overview

    Telecom Technology currently focuses on one aspect of , customer care and billing(CCB)

    systems. At its highest level, a CCB system provides a carrier with the means to bill itscustomers for service.

    However, bill generation is but one aspect of a complete CCB application. The data captured

    by the billing system provides valuable information to both the carrier and the customer on

    how services are used, what additional services are necessary, how services can be used

    more efficiently, or even how effective particular promotions or operations have been.

    Today's CCB systems collect, collate, manage, and report this valuable information to

    management, usually in real time.

    CCB systems are also vital in terms of customer service and satisfaction. By having real time

    access to customer information, customer service representatives can better respond to

    customer needs in a timely and efficient manner.

    In addition, modern CCB systems can turn the monthly bill into an invaluable marketing tool;

    this is important since the customer's bill is the only regular contact a company has with its

    customers. As a result, a great deal of attention is typically placed on a company's CCB

    applications.

    Connected to the Internet or "online." In 1991, only 4.5 million people were estimated to be

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    online. In September 1998 it was estimated that 148 million people were online worldwide.

    Undeniably this is substantial growth, and this growth has created unparalleled opportunities for

    those providing Internet connectivity. These companies, Internet service providers (ISPs), have

    enjoyed tremendous revenue growth over the last five years. Worldwide ISP revenues have

    increased from approximately $50 million in 1994 to an estimated $14 billion in 1998.

    Although the Internet in total has expanded significantly, Internet access and actual use varygreatly among countries. On a usage basis, the U.S. accounts for the largest share at 55

    percent. On an access basis, Canada is the leader followed by the U.S.

    Market Forecast

    2.1.3 Market Growth

    Projected Market Growth

    While a historical perspective is valuable, what is most important with respect to

    Telecom Technology is future growth. While it is impible to predict the future with 100

    percent accuracy, it is pible to gain a sense of what is likely to happen and gain an

    appreciation for the size of this ever-expanding market.Telecommunications

    Historically, the global telecommunications marketplace has enjoyed tremendous growth in

    terms of network size, number of subscribers, number of operators, and overall revenues.

    While this growth has been impressive, of real importance is what is going to happen to the

    telecommunications market in the near future, say the next five years. The next five years

    will be a pivotal time for the telecommunications industry as the effects of global

    deregulation, the continued expansion of wireless services, and the further build out of

    developing countries combine to reshape the global marketplace. The build out of developing

    countries is critical if these countries are to increase teledensity and data capacity in order tojoin the 21st century.

    As a result of these fundamental influences in the telecommunications market, demand for voice

    telephone service alone is expected to increase dramatically. In fact, the total demand for voice

    telephony is expected to increase more than 50% from 1998 to 2004.

    Another fundamental influence that will drive the growth of telecommunications is the

    continued growth in the world's population. Obviously, as the population expands so does the

    need for telecommunication services.

    The historical growth in main telephone lines worldwide is expected to continue through the turn

    of the century. The number of main telephone lines worldwide is expected to grow fromapproximately 850 million in 1998 to 1.25 billion in 2004.

    The majority of the growth in main telephone lines is expected to come from non-U.S.

    regions. The bulk of that growth is expected in the Asia/Pacific region. Corresponding with the

    projected growth in main telephone lines is an expected growth in worldwide tele-density.

    Worldwide tele-density is expected to increase from 14 lines per 100 people in 1998 to

    approximately 19 in 2004.

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    Access to telecommunication services worldwide has grown at an impressive pace over the

    last twenty years. In large part this is due to the emergence of wireless telephony. This is

    especially true in emerging markets where it is considerably less expensive to deploy wireless

    infrastructure than it is to deploy traditional copper wire. As a result, the number of wireless

    subscribers has grown significantly over the past decade. This growth is projected to continue

    at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% from 1998 to 2004.A number of competing technologies exist in the global wireless market: analog, CDMA,

    TDMA, GSM, and PDC (PDC is Japan's digital technology). Most carriers today are in the

    process of upgrading their current systems from analog to digital technologies and new

    carriers are starting with digital technology. As a result, the technology mix is expected to

    change significantly from 1997 to 2004.

    Telecom Technology originally developed its products for use with GSM technologies.

    Therefore, the growth in GSM is of particular interest to Telecom Technology. GSM is

    rapidly becoming the standard digital wireless technology worldwide. In fact, GSM operators

    are currently adding four new subscribers every second.

    What all of this growth in wire line and wireless telephony drives is revenue. Worldwide telecomservice revenue is expected to grow from $840 billion in 1998 to $1.4 trillion in2004. This

    growth represents a compound annual rate of 8.7 percent.

    It is evident that the global telecommunications market is expanding and will continue to

    expand in the foreseeable future. This expansion has created tremendous opportunities for

    incumbent operators and emerging operators, who are, in turn, creating opportunities for

    companies that support them. Infrastructure vendors, consultants, software vendors, and

    many other types of suppliers are enjoying the expanded opportunities the telecom market is

    offering. Telecom Technology is positioning itself to take advantage of the growing

    telecom market.

    Internet

    In the entire scheme of communications, the Internet is still in its infancy. The technology is

    still evolving as are its applications and uses. Electronic commerce, perhaps the biggest

    revenue generating opportunity of all time, is just emerging. In addition, Internet telephony

    is showing promise and is beginning to attract meaningful support, as the technology is

    refined. As more and more information, entertainment, and goods & services become

    available on the Internet the number of host computers and Internet users is expected to

    increase. The number of host computers connected to the Internet is expected to mushroomto around 285 million by 2004.

    Corresponding to the growth in Internet infrastructure is the expected continued rapid growth

    in Internet users. The number of people projected to be online by 2004 increases to more

    than 500 million, more than three times the number of people online today.

    Without a doubt, the Internet has tremendous market potential. Every aspect of the Internet

    (hardware, software, and services) is projected to grow significantly in the next few years. In

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    total, the Internet market place is expected to be worth in excess of $22 billion in just two years.

    This is a rapidly expanding and, as of yet, largely untapped market.

    Currently, the numbers of ISPs operating worldwide is estimated at close to 4,000.

    Undoubtedly the number of ISPs is likely to increase as more and more people desire to be

    online, especially in non-U.S. regions where Internet usage is relatively low. Partially

    offsetting the growth in the number of ISPs is the eventual wave of consolidations that islikely to grip the industry.

    The Internet offers several opportunities for Telecom Technology, with respect to CCB

    applications. The biggest opportunity is in IP (Internet Protocol) telephony or voice-over IP

    (VoIP). Using the Internet to make phone calls has been pible for a few years now but

    although the rates were cheap quality was poor. However, recent technological

    advancements have made the prospects of wide reaching IP telephony a reality.

    In fact, IP telephony is poised to secure a significant portion of telephone traffic in the next

    several years. Probe Research predicts that by 2003, 18.5% of telephone traffic in the U.S. Will

    be via the Internet. As ISPs and other companies begin to offer IP telephony services, there will

    be a tremendous need for CCB applications capable of billing for this new service.Another CCB opportunity made pible by the Internet is usage-based pricing for data.

    Several companies are exploring the viability of charging customers based on the data they

    actually use. This type of arrangement would require billing systems beyond the typical ISP's

    current capabilities and therefore represents a significant opportunity for Telecom

    Technology and its competitors.

    Key concepts

    A number of key concepts reoccur throughout the literature on modern telecommunication

    systems. Some of these concepts are discussed below.

    Key elements:

    A basic telecommunication system consists of three primary units that are always present in

    some form:

    A transmitter that takes information and converts it to a signal.

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    A transmission medium, also called the "physical channel" that carries the signal. Anexample of this is the "free space channel".

    A receiver that takes the signal from the channel and converts it back into usable information.For example, in a radio broadcasting station the station's large power amplifier is the transmitter;

    and the broadcasting antenna is the interface between the power amplifier and the "free space

    channel". The free space channel is the transmission medium; and the receiver's antenna is the

    interface between the free space channel and the receiver. Next, the radio receiver is the

    destination of the radio signal, and this is where it is converted from electricity to sound for

    people to listen to.

    Sometimes, telecommunication systems are "duplex" (two-way systems) with a single box

    of electronics working as both a transmitter and a receiver, or a transceiver. For example,

    a cellular telephone is a transceiver. The transmission electronics and the receiver electronics in a

    transceiver are actually quite independent of each other. This can be readily explained by the fact

    that radio transmitters contain power amplifiers that operate with electrical powers measured in

    the watts or kilowatts, but radio receivers deal with radio powers that are measured in

    the microwatts or nano watts. Hence, transceivers have to be carefully designed and built to

    isolate their high-power circuitry and their low-power circuitry from each other.

    Telecommunication over telephone lines is called point-to-point communication because it is

    between one transmitter and one receiver. Telecommunication through radio broadcasts is

    called broadcast communication because it is between one powerful transmitter and numerous

    low-power but sensitive radio receivers.[

    Telecommunications in which multiple transmitters and multiple receivers have been designed to

    cooperate and to share the same physical channel are called multiplex systems.

    Analog or digital communications?

    Communications signals can be either by analog signals or digital signals. There are analog

    communication systems and digital communication systems. For an analog signal, the signal is

    varied continuously with respect to the information. In a digital signal, the information is

    encoded as a set of discrete values (for example, a set of ones and zeros). During the propagation

    and reception, the information contained in analog signals will inevitably be degraded

    by undesirable physical noise. (The output of a transmitter is noise-free for all practical

    purposes.) Commonly, the noise in a communication system can be expressed as adding or

    subtracting from the desirable signal in a completely random way. This form of noise is

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    called "additive noise", with the understanding that the noise can be negative or positive at

    different instants of time. Noise that is not additive noise is a much more difficult situation to

    describe or analyze, and these other kinds of noise will be omitted here.

    On the other hand, unless the additive noise disturbance exceeds a certain threshold, the

    information contained in digital signals will remain intact. Their resistance to noise represents a

    key advantage of digital signals over analog signals.

    Communications networks

    A communications network is a collection of transmitters, receivers, and communications

    channels that send messages to one another. Some digital communications networks contain one

    or more routers that work together to transmit information to the correct user. An analog

    communications network consists of one or more switches that establish a connection between

    two or more users. For both types of network, repeaters may be necessary to amplify or recreate

    the signal when it is being transmitted over long distances. This is to combat attenuation that can

    render the signal indistinguishable from the noise.

    Communication channels

    The term "channel" has two different meanings. In one meaning, a channel is the physical

    medium that carries a signal between the transmitter and the receiver. Examples of this include

    the atmosphere for sound communications, glass optical fibers for some kinds of optical

    communications, coaxial cables for communications by way of the voltages and electric currents

    in them, and free space for communications using visible light, infrared waves, ultraviolet light,

    and radio waves. This last channel is called the "free space channel". The sending of radio waves

    from one place to another has nothing to do with the presence or absence of an atmosphere

    between the two. Radio waves travel through a perfect vacuum just as easily as they travel

    through air, fog, clouds, or any other kind of gas besides air.

    The other meaning of the term "channel" in telecommunications is seen in the

    phrase communications channel, which is a subdivision of a transmission medium so that it can

    be used to send multiple streams of information simultaneously. For example, one radio

    station can broadcast radio waves into free space at frequencies in the neighborhood of

    94.5 MHz (megahertz) while another radio station can simultaneously broadcast radio waves at

    frequencies in the neighborhood of 96.1 MHz. Each radio station would transmit radio waves

    over a frequency bandwidth of about 180 kHz (kilohertz), centered at frequencies such as the

    above, which are called the "carrier frequencies". Each station in this example is separated from

    its adjacent stations by 200 kHz, and the difference between 200 kHz and 180 kHz (20 kHz) is

    an engineering allowance for the imperfections in the communication system.

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    In the example above, the "free space channel" has been divided into communications channels

    according to frequencies, and each channel is assigned a separate frequency bandwidth in which

    to broadcast radio waves. This system of dividing the medium into channels according to

    frequency is called "frequency-division multiplexing" (FDM).

    Another way of dividing a communications medium into channels is to allocate each sender a

    recurring segment of time (a "time slot", for example, 20 milliseconds out of each second), and

    to allow each sender to send messages only within its own time slot. This method of dividing the

    medium into communication channels is called "time-division multiplexing" (TDM), and is used

    in optical fiber communication Some radio communication systems use TDM within an allocated

    FDM channel. Hence, these systems use a hybrid of TDM and FDM.

    Modulation

    The shaping of a signal to convey information is known as modulation. Modulation can be used

    to represent a digital message as an analog waveform. This is commonly called "keying" - a term

    derived from the older use of Morse Code in telecommunications - and several keying techniques

    exist (these include phase-shift keying, frequency-shift keying, and amplitude-shift keying). The

    "Bluetooth" system, for example, uses phase-shift keying to exchange information between

    various devices. In addition, there are combinations of phase-shift keying and amplitude-shift

    keying which is called (in the jargon of the field) "quadrature amplitude modulation" (QAM) that

    are used in high-capacity digital radio communication systems.

    Modulation can also be used to transmit the information of low-frequency analog signals at

    higher frequencies. This is helpful because low-frequency analog signals cannot be effectively

    transmitted over free space. Hence the information from a low-frequency analog signal must be

    impressed into a higher-frequency signal (known as the "carrier wave") before transmission.

    There are several different modulation schemes available to achieve this [two of the most basic

    being amplitude modulation (AM) and frequency modulation (FM)]. An example of this process

    is a disc jockey's voice being impressed into a 96 MHz carrier wave using frequency modulation

    (the voice would then be received on a radio as the channel "96 FM").[28] In addition, modulation

    has the advantage of being about to use frequency division multiplexing (FDM).

    Society and telecommunication

    Telecommunication has a significant social, cultural. and economic impact on modern society. In

    2008, estimates placed the telecommunication industry's revenue at $3.85 trillion (USD) or just

    under 3.0 percent of the gr world product (official exchange rate) The following sections discuss

    the impact of telecommunication on society.

    Economic impact

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    Microeconomics:

    On the microeconomic scale, companies have used telecommunications to help build global

    business empires. This is self-evident in the case of online retailer Amazon.com but, according to

    academic Edward Lenert, even the conventional retailer Wal-Mart has benefited from better

    telecommunication infrastructure compared to its competitors. In cities throughout the world,

    home owners use their telephones to organize many home services ranging from pizza

    deliveries to electricians. Even relatively-poor communities have been noted to use

    telecommunication to their advantage. In Bangladesh's Narshingdi district, isolated villagers use

    cellular phones to speak directly to wholesalers and arrange a better price for their goods. In Cte

    d'Ivoire, coffee growers share mobile phones to follow hourly variations in coffee prices and sell

    at the best price.

    Macroeconomics

    On the macroeconomic scale, Lars-Hendrik Rller and Leonard Waverman suggested a causal

    link between good telecommunication infrastructure and economic growth.[31] Few dispute the

    existence of a correlation although some argue it is wrong to view the relationship as causal.[32]

    Because of the economic benefits of good telecommunication infrastructure, there is increasing

    worry about the inequitable access to telecommunication services amongst various countries of

    the worldthis is known as the digital divide. A 2003 survey by the International

    Telecommunication Union (ITU) revealed that roughly one-third of countries have fewer than

    one mobile subscription for every 20 people and one-third of countries have fewer than one land-

    line telephone subscription for every 20 people. In terms of Internet access, roughly half of allcountries have fewer than one out of 20 people with Internet access. From this information, as

    well as educational data, the ITU was able to compile an index that measures the overall ability

    of citizens to access and use information and communication technologies.[33] Using this

    measure, Sweden, Denmark and Iceland received the highest ranking while the African

    countries Nigeria, Burkina Faso and Mali received the lowest.

    Social impact

    Telecommunication has played a significant role in social relationships. Nevertheless' devices

    like the telephone system were originally advertised with an emphasis on the practicaldimensions of the device (such as the ability to conduct business or order home services) as

    opposed to the social dimensions. It was not until the late 1920s and 1930s that the social

    dimensions of the device became a prominent theme in telephone advertisements. New

    promotions started appealing to consumers' emotions, stressing the importance of social

    conversations and staying connected to family and friends.

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    Since then the role that telecommunications has played in social relations has become

    increasingly important. In recent years, the popularity of social networking sites has increased

    dramatically. These sites allow users to communicate with each other as well as post

    photographs, events and profiles for others to see. The profiles can list a person's age, interests,

    sexuality and relationship status. In this way, these sites can play important role in everything

    from organizing social engagements to courtship.

    Prior to social networking sites, technologies like SMS and the telephone also had a significant

    impact on social interactions. In 2000, market research group Ipsos MORI reported that 81% of

    15 to 24 year-old SMS users in the United Kingdom had used the service to coordinate social

    arrangements and 42% to flirt.

    Other impacts

    In cultural terms, telecommunication has increased the public's ability to access to music and

    film. With television, people can watch films they have not seen before in their own home

    without having to travel to the video store or cinema. With radio and the Internet, people can

    listen to music they have not heard before without having to travel to the music store.

    Telecommunication has also transformed the way people receive their news. A survey by the

    non-profit Pew Internet and American Life Project found that when just over 3,000 people living

    in the United States were asked where they got their news "yesterday", more people said

    television or radio than newspapers. The results are summarized in the following table (the

    percentages add up to more than 100% because people were able to specify more than one

    source).

    Local TV National TV Radio Local paper Internet National paper

    59% 47% 44% 38% 23% 12%

    Telecommunication has had an equally significant impact on advertising. TNS MediaIntelligence reported that in 2007, 58% of advertising expenditure in the United States was spent

    on mediums that depend upon telecommunication. The results are summarised in the following

    table.

    Interne Radi Cabl Syndicate Spot Networ Newspap Magazin OutdooTotal

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    t o e TV d TV TV k TV er e r

    Percen

    t7.6% 7.2%

    12.1

    %2.8%

    11.3

    %17.1% 18.9% 20.4% 2.7% 100%

    Dollar

    s

    $11.31

    billion

    $10.6

    9

    billio

    n

    $18.0

    2

    billio

    n

    $4.17

    billion

    $16.8

    2

    billio

    n

    $25.42

    billion

    $28.22

    billion

    $30.33

    billion

    $4.02

    billion

    $149

    billio

    n

    Telecommunication and government

    Many countries have enacted legislation which conform to the International Telecommunication

    Regulations establish by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), which is the

    "leading United Nations agency for information and communication technology issues." In 1947,

    at the Atlantic City Conference, the ITU decided to "afford international protection to all

    frequencies registered in a new international frequency list and used in conformity with the

    Radio Regulation." According to the ITU'sRadio Regulations adopted in Atlantic City, all

    frequencies referenced in the International Frequency Registration Board, examined by the

    board and registered on the International Frequency List"shall have the right to international

    protection from harmful interference."

    From a global perspective, there have been political debates and legislation regarding the

    management of telecommunication and broadcasting. The history of broadcasting discusses

    some of debates in relation to balancing conventional communication such as printing and

    telecommunication such as radio broadcasting. The onset of World War II brought on the first

    explosion of international broadcasting propaganda. Countries, their governments, insurgents,

    terrorists, and militiamen have all used telecommunication and broadcasting techniques to

    promote propaganda. Patriotic propaganda for political movements and colonization started the

    mid 1930s. In 1936, the BBC did broadcast propaganda to the Arab World to partly counter

    similar broadcasts from Italy, which also had colonial interests in North Africa.

    Modern insurgents, such as those in the latest Iraq war, often use intimidating telephone calls,

    SMSs and the distribution of sophisticated videos of an attack on coalition troops within hours of

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    the operation. "The Sunni insurgents even have their own television station, Al-Zawraa, which

    while banned by the Iraqi government, still broadcasts from Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, even as

    coalition pressure has forced it to switch satellite hosts several times."

    THE TELECOMMUNICATION HIERARCHY

    Computer networks

    y ARPANETy Ethernety Internety Wireless networksy Public switched telephone networks (PSTN)y Packet switched networksy Radio networksy Television networks

    Aspects of telecommunication transmission

    y Analogy Digitaly Opticsy Telecommunication technologyy

    Modulationy Amplitude modulationy Frequency modulationy Quadrature amplitude modulationy Nyquist ratey Nyquist ISI criteriony Pulse shapingy Inter-symbol interference

    Communications media types

    y Physical media for Telecommunicationy Twisted pairy Coaxial cabley Optical fibery Telecommunication through Free Spacey Broadcast radio frequency including television and radioy Line-of-sight propagation Line-of-sight

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    y Communications satellitey Terrestrial Microwavey Wireless LANy Relationship between media and transmittersy Physical access to mediay Simplexy Duplex (telecommunications)y Logical relationshipsy Return channely Two-way alternatingy Two-way simultaneous

    Multiple access to media

    y Multiplexingy Analogy Digitaly Time-division multiplexingy Statistical multiplexing and Packet switchingy Media Access Controly Contentiony Token-basedy Centralized token controly Distributed token controly Basic telecommunication conceptsy E-maily Instant messagingy Radioy Telephoney VoIPy Videoconferencingy Television

    Major telecommunications equipment manufacturers

    y Coral Telecom Limitedy Ericssony Alcatel-Lucenty Nokiay Avayay Aricenty NECy Nortel

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    y ZTEy Cisco Systemsy Huawei

    Terrestrial

    These are the world's 30 largest mobile network operators by number of subscribers (and

    by proportionate subscribers, if the company has holdings in other operators).

    Ra

    nk

    Company Main Markets Technology

    Propor

    tionate

    subscri

    bers

    (in millions)

    Total

    subscriber

    s

    (in millions

    )

    Ownership

    1China

    MobileChina[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    564.356 [1]

    (September

    2010)

    Government of

    the PRC (74.25

    %)[show]

    2 Vodafone

    United

    Kingdom (Vodafo

    ne UK)[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    323.27 [

    2]

    (Septem

    ber2009)

    427.99* [2]

    (September

    2009)

    3 Telefnica /

    Movistar / O2Spain ()[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    278 [3]

    (June 2010)

    4Amrica

    MvilMexico (Telcel)[s

    how]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    215.06 [4]

    (June 2010)

    5Bharti

    AirtelIndia (Airtel)[sho

    w]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    200 [5]

    (October

    2010)

    Bharti (64.76%)[

    show]

    6 TelenorNorway (Telenor

    GSM, GPRS,184.00 [6]

    (June 2010,

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    Norway)[show] EDGE[show] including

    VimpelCo

    m)

    7 Orange France (Orange

    France)[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    93.8 [7]

    (Septem

    ber

    2009)

    182.0 [7]

    (June 2010)

    France

    Tlcom (100%)

    8 T-Mobile Germany (Teleko

    m.de)[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    150.90 [8]

    (September

    2009)

    Deutsche

    Telekom (100%)

    9

    /

    TeliaSonera Sweden[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    143.9 [9]

    (September2009)

    10China

    Unicom

    China (China

    Unicom)

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    156.962 [10]

    (June 2010)

    China Unicom

    (BVI) Limited

    (state-owned)

    (40.92%)[show]

    11MTN

    Group

    South

    Africa[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    137.47 [11]

    (September

    2010)

    12

    Orascom

    Telecom / WI

    ND

    Egypt (Mobinil)[s

    how]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    127.39 [12]

    (September

    2010)

    Weather Investm

    ents[show]

    13 EtisalatUnited Arab

    Emirates ()[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    >100 [16]

    (February

    2010)

    14

    Reliance

    Communicatio

    ns

    India ()[show]CDMA, GPRS

    [show]

    110.8

    (March

    2010)

    Reliance Anil

    Dhirubhai

    Ambani Group

    15 MTS Russia (MTS GSM, GPRS,102.01 [17]

    (JanuarySistema

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    Russia)[show] EDGE[show] 2010)

    16Verizon

    Wireless

    USA (Verizon

    Wireless)

    cdmaOne[sho

    w]

    93.2

    (October

    2010)

    Verizon

    Communications

    (55%)[show]

    17AT&T

    MobilityUSA ()[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    92.81 [4] (O

    ctober

    2010)

    AT&T Inc.

    18VimpelCom

    Russia (Beeline

    Russia, GT)[show]

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    89.40[18]

    (Q2 2010)

    Alfa

    Group (44,65%)[

    show]

    19 Telkomsel Indonesia (Telko

    msel)

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    88.32 [5] (J

    uly 2010)

    TelkomIndonesia (65%)[

    show]

    21Telecom

    Italia / TIM Italy (TIM)[show]GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    71.50 [19]

    (September

    2009)

    Telefonica (24.5

    %)

    22 AxiataGroup Berhad

    Malaysia (Celcom

    )(100%)[show]

    GSM, GPRS,EDGE[show]

    72.7(exclud

    ed Idea

    Cellular, M1 )

    (September

    2010)

    Malaysian (93.26%):[show]

    23 Turkcell Turkey (Turkcell)

    [show]

    GSM, GPRS, P

    DC[show]

    61.9 [21]

    (June 2009)

    Turkcell

    Group[show]

    24 Qtel Qatar ()[show]GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    33.60 [2

    2]

    (Decem

    ber

    2009)

    60.53 [22]

    (December

    2009)

    25 Tata India GSM, GPRS, 72.53 [6](J Tata

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    Teleservices EDGE[show] une 2010) Group (>50%)[s

    how]

    26Idea

    CellularIndia

    GSM, GPRS,

    EDGE

    62.14 [7] (F

    ebruary

    2010)

    Aditya Birla

    Group (49.05%)[

    show]

    20 BSNL IndiaGSM, GPRS,

    EDGE[show]

    81.00 [8] (

    October

    2010)

    Government of

    India

    27China

    TelecomChina

    PHS

    CDMA, EV-

    DO

    74.52 [23](J

    une 2010)

    28 Vivo BrazilGSM, CDMA,

    3G

    57.30 [9] (S

    eptember

    2010)

    Telefonica[show

    ]

    29NTT

    docomo

    Japan (NTT

    docomo)[show]

    GSM, GPRS, P

    DC[show]

    56.08 [10] (

    March

    2010)

    Nippon

    Telegraph and

    Telephone

    30

    Maxis

    Communications

    Malaysia (Maxis)[show]

    GSM, GPRS,EDGE[show]

    54.64 [11]

    [12] (March 2010)

    Ananda

    Krishnan (75%)[show]

    Satellite based

    These are the world's 5 largest satellite network operators by number of subscribers.

    Rank Operator TechnologySubscribers

    (in millions)Ownership

    1 GlobalstarProprietary CDMA 0.383 (September 2010)[24]

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    2 Iridium Proprietary TDMA 0.347 (June 2009)[25]

    3 Thuraya Proprietary FDMA/GSM 0.260 (December 2007)[26] Etisalat(28%)

    4 Inmarsat Proprietary GSM 0.254 (September 2009)[27]

    5 ACeS 0.020 (December 2007)

    Introduction to the Project:

    "Analysis on changing trends of customer needs and strategies adopted by the

    Telecommunication Industry"

    Trends and developments in the telecommunication environment

    The global market for telecommunications is expanding rapidly. It is not a question of demandpull or supply push. Both are happening. The interaction of these two forces has madetelecommunications one of the leading growth sectors in the world economy. It has also madetelecommunications one of the most important components of social, cultural and politicalactivity.

    On the demand side, growth is pulled by an increasing reliance on telecommunicationsand information technology in every area of human life in all sectors of economic and social

    activity; in government, in the provision of public services, and in the management of publicinfrastructures; in the pursuit of knowledge and the expression of culture; in the control of theenvironment; and in response to emergencies, whether natural or man-made.

    On the supply side, growth is pushed by rapid technological developments whichcontinuously improve the efficiency of existing products, systems and services, and provide thefoundation for a continuing stream of innovations in each of these areas. Particularly noteworthyis the convergence of telecommunication, information, broadcasting and publishing technologies,which has greatly enriched the communication choices available to consumers.The effect of the fundamental forces driving demand and supply has been amplified by the

    worldwide trend to liberalize markets for telecommunication and information technology goodsand services. As a result of this trend, the majority of telecommunication networks are now

    privately owned and operated. Significant developments have also taken place to introducecompetition at the national, regional and international levels. Of particular importance is theWorld Trade Organization (WTO) agreement to liberalize trade in basic telecommunicationservices which was concluded in February 1997 by 69 countries which together account for morethan 90% of global telecommunication revenues. The agreement entered into force on 5 February1998.

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    The new framework developed by WTO to govern trade and regulation of telecommunicationservices will facilitate further globalization of the telecommunication equipment and servicesindustries, as well as the closely-related information technology industry.

    In the 1995-1999 planning period, "globalization" was more a slogan than a reality, since

    it referred mainly to alliances between major operators to provide end-to-end services tomultinational enterprises. Public networks and residential customers were relatively unaffectedby this kind of globalization, although various forms of "alternative calling procedures" providedconsumers in countries which allowed such practices a "poor-man's version" of the benefitsenjoyed by big business users.

    In the 1999-2003 planning period, globalization is likely to become much more of areality. The WTO agreement will make it possible for foreign operators to have direct accessthrough interconnection and interoperability to public networks in most of the world's majortelecommunication markets, as well as to make direct investments in the development of thosenetworks.Five years ago, few would have predicted that the Internet would emerge so rapidly as a serious

    competitive force in telecommunications. However, today's Internet is only a precursor to thenew competitive forces that are likely to emerge in the next five to ten years in the new"communications and information sector" which will result from technological convergence.

    The essential lesson to be learned from the Internet phenomenon is that competition is no longera public policy tool which can be introduced in a completely controlled fashion and regulatedwithin the confines of the traditional telecommunication sector. Competition intelecommunications is rapidly becoming a true market force whose evolution cannot be plannedby policy-makers, a force which increasingly is seen as best regulated on the basis of principlesthat are not specific to telecommunications, but derived from a broader economic, social andcultural perspective.

    Although far from universally accepted, the sweeping changes in telecommunications describedabove have broad support among many countries, including a number of developing countrieswho see it as the best way forward in developing their telecommunication networks and servicesto the benefit of their overall economic and social development.

    The liberalization of telecommunications does not mean an end to regulation but it has changedboth the role of government and the nature of telecommunication regulation:

    In the past, most administrations of ITU Member States tended to be "all-purpose"creatures policy-makers and operators which both provided and regulated telecommunicationson the basis of a "public utility" model.

    The liberalization of telecommunications has been accompanied by a separation of thesefunctions. The trend now is for administrations of ITU Member States to be policy-makers,nested within a general department of government (e.g. industry and trade); fortelecommunications to be operated by corporations whether public, private or mixed; and for"the public interest" in telecommunications to be protected by an independent regulatoryauthority.

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    In countries that have introduced partial or full competition, the model for regulatingtelecommunications is changing. Principles derived from competition law are taking their placealongside the classical precepts of public utility regulation. In some jurisdictions, sector-specifictelecommunication regulation has been abandoned.

    Again, the WTO agreement will amplify these regulatory trends. More than 60

    signatories accounting for more than 90% of global telecommunication revenues have madecommitments to apply in whole or in part a set of regulatory principles includinginterconnection, transparency and anti-competitive safeguards. These regulatory commitments,and indeed all other commitments, are subject to the WTO dispute resolution mechanism. Theyare therefore more than a voluntary code of conduct. They are binding commitments which areenforceable under the WTO dispute resolution mechanism.In the 1999-2003 planning period, it is likely that the trends noted above with respect toliberalization, competition and globalization will begin to combine in new ways that mayultimately change the way the telecommunication industry sees itself and is seen by itsregulator(s) and customers.

    Countries that began permitting competition in telecommunications 10 or 20 years agogenerally introduced it in a planned and orderly manner: first in terminal equipment; then invalue-added services; then in the long-distance service; and finally in local and internationalservices. In addition, competition was generally permitted among different service providersusing the same infrastructure before being allowed between different infrastructure providers.Even today, most countries that permit competition do so on a highly regulated basis

    As a result of technological progress, convergence and market liberalization, countriesonly now beginning to introduce competition are less likely to be in a position to plan anevolution of this kind

    Even in those countries that have experience with competition, service providers andregulators that have based their respective plans on an orderly evolution of this kind are findingthat the "rules of the game" are suddenly changing, that competition is coming from unforeseendirections, and that it cannot be regulated as it was in the past

    More than any other phenomenon, the Internet symbolizes the changing nature oftelecommunications. It is based on different technologies, network architectures, standardizationand addressing schemes. Its economic foundations and charging principles are diametricallyopposed to those of public telecommunication operators. It has experienced phenomenal growthand it has largely been outside government regulation. Yet it is emerging as a serious alternativeto the traditional services provided by the telecommunication industry in every market segment,from intra-corporate communications to public voiceFrom one point of view, encouraging progress has been made in the 1995-1999 period in certaincountries and some regions in forging the "missing link" identified by the Maitland Commission.Overall, the gap between developed and developing countries in access to basictelecommunication services is closing. However, from other points of view, new gaps arebeginning to appear:

    In general, the majority of the least developed countries (LDCs) have made little progressin the past five years in closing the gap in access to basic telecommunication services. In somecases, teledensity (the number of telephone lines per 100 people) has fallen, as population growthhas outstripped telecommunication growth. New technologies such as global mobile personal

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    communications by satellite (GMPCS) may help close the "telecommunication gap". This willonly be possible, however, if their services are affordable to inhabitants of the LDCs.

    There is currently an enormous gap between developed and developing countries inaccess to the Internet. Even as the telecommunication gap which has preoccupied the Union forso many years is beginning to close, an "information gap" of even greater proportions is opening

    up. A difference in regulatory practices is emerging between countries which have decided toliberalize their telecommunication markets under the WTO agreements, and those that have not.If competition brings the first group of countries the anticipated benefits in terms of investment,technology transfer, innovative services and lower prices, these regulatory differences maybecome a new development gap. In this regard, it is important to recall that although the 119 ITUMember States that are not yet part of the WTO basic telecommunications agreement generateless than 10% of global telecommunication revenues, they include more than 45% of the world'speople.On the eve of the 21st century, the Union thus finds itself in a dynamic situation. On the onehand, the goal established by the Maitland Commission of achieving universal access to basic

    telecommunications will be technically achieved, and the overall gap between developed anddeveloping countries is steadily narrowing. However, at the same time, new differences aredeveloping, for example within the developing world, between the LDCs and other developingcountries, between liberalized and non-liberalized countries which may be either developed ordeveloping, and between countries that are moving rapidly towards competition and thosemoving at a slower pace.This raises important questions in relation to the vision of the global information society (GIS).This vision was the subject of considerable discussion during the 1995 1999 period, initiallyin the G-7 group of advanced industrial economies, then in the broader international community.Today, the basic ideas behind the concept of the GIS have been broadly accepted and indeedendorsed. In this vision, all forms of economic, social, cultural and political activity willincreasingly depend on access to the telecommunication and information services provided bythe global information infrastructure (GII). The rapid development of electronic commerce onthe Internet is one tangible example of how the GIS is becoming a reality. The challenge facingthe international community is to find ways to ensure that the GIS is truly global, and that peopleeverywhere are able to share in its benefits.

    Project Implementation and Schedule

    Methodology & Schedule: The various methodologies that will be used in order to collect thedata for this project Probability of Acceptance of Philips upcoming LED technology in Indian

    market.

    Primary data:

    y The primary data will be directly collected from the Research and technical journals ofthe telecommunication Industry

    y Responses of the Sample size.Secondary data:

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    y By company websites and journals.y Web study regarding Telecommunication Technology.

    Phase 1:Extensive study:

    y Study of brochure, literature and itinerary to acquire market and technical knowledgey Observing closely by looking in to the market trends and product Induction techniques of

    the Market Leaders.

    y Through internet surfing and Secondary DataPhase2:Data Collection (Survey Method)

    y Market segmentation study (disposable Income)y Market analysisy Trend Analysisy Trend hypothesis and analysis.y Brand Goodwill evaluation

    Data Collected - Through Questionnaire and Feedback formsType of Data - Primary DataMode of Data Collection - One-to-one SurveySource of Data - Telecom Mass Market.Respondents - Markets of Delhi-NCRSample Size - 60

    Phase 3:

    Analysis:

    Analysis Tools; SPSS Tools-(Factor Analysis)Data Organizing and Mining-(MS-EXCEL)

    Limitation of the study:

    y Misleading Reponses.y Respondents lack of will to respond/Biased or false data.y Unavailability of confidential data.y Location confined to Delhi-NCR.y Organization lack of will provide access to exact data and process.

    Main Text:

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    PHASE-I: Understanding the Telecommunication Industry

    Over the last four years, Telecom Technology, a well respected $300 million steel

    conglomerate, has built up significant interests in the telecom sector ranging from wireless

    and paging services to billing software. Telecom Technology Taiwan, was formed in

    Taiwan in 1994 to pursue opportunities in the Operations Support Systems () telecomsoftware market, with a particular focus on customer care and billing software solutions (CCB

    systems). Since 1994, Telecom Technology Taiwan has grown steadily, building a

    customer base of 24 telecom operators for its software.

    In 1998, encouraged by the potential of the billing software market opportunity,

    Telecom Technology decided to pursue a more aggressive expansion strategy, appointing an

    experienced and credible executive management team to unleash the potential of the

    Telecom Technology Taiwan business. Corresponding with the placement of the executive

    management team, Telecom Technology was created. Telecom Technology has

    already made and continues to make significant investments in growing the business.

    PHASE 2: Survey through Questionnaire(Direct Method)

    Preparation of the Questionnaire . Data collection through questionnaire. Systems Analysis

    QUESTIONNAIRE

    FOR|ANALYSIS OF CHANGE IN TRENDS IN THE INDIAN

    TELE-COMMUNICATION INDUSTRY}

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    I would like to take few moments of your precious time with your permission to

    find out few details that are considered to be a requirement for the survey process.

    Question 1-7 are to be ticked, questions 8&9variant and are to be rated on a scale

    of 1-10 based on your preferences and the questions .Question no 10 is a

    percentage allotment 11-13 are brief descriptive type feedback questions.

    Requesting your valuable observation and thanking for not being biased.

    Your participation is praiseworthy. Before proceeding can I request you to fill up

    the contact details for future references????

    CUSTOMER DETAILS:

    Name: __________ Occupation: ___________

    Contact No:_______ Email id: _____________

    Sex: M F

    Contact details: +91-___ -____-_____ (India)

    Thank you once again. So can I request you to proceed to the next part of the

    questionnaire?

    Following questions are to be ticked in the boxes provided

    1. What is your perception about the frequency of change in the telecommunication

    industry?

    VeryHigh High Neutral

    Medium Low Very Low

    2. how do you classify your technical know-how about the Industry?

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    Very Technical High Medium Low

    3. What is your perception level about Telecommunication Industry?

    Emerging Incubating Hibernating

    Dominating Penetrating No Idea

    4. What is your income range p.m ?

    >5,00,000 3,00,000-4,99,000 1,00,000-2,99,000

    50,000-99,000

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    y With the range and strengthy With the Techniques and Value Add-ons

    8. What is your expectation percentage from the upcoming technology

    developments and trend inductions ?

    (Rate between 10-100 in the box provided)

    9. What kind of expectation and perception you have from the upcoming trend

    variations?

    __________________________________________________________________

    __________________________________________________________________

    __________________________________________________________________

    __________________________________________________________________

    10.What all specifications & features you would like the new technology to come

    up with ?

    __________________________________________________________________

    __________________________________________________________________

    __________________________________________________________________

    __________________________________________________________________

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    We would like to have feedback and suggestions if any, on your part.

    Thanking you for the wonderful effort provided by you and the precious time you spent,

    and looking forward to strengthen our relationship further.

    THANKYOU

    PHASE 3: Analysis of Collected Data and report generation

    The 3rd

    phase deals entirely with the analysis of the collected data and using the

    available technology to do the same. The analyzed report helps in suggestions andinferences that are the needful of the project as well as the company.

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