Changing the Paradigm: Accelerated Savings through ... · Savings through Innovative Pricing No...
Transcript of Changing the Paradigm: Accelerated Savings through ... · Savings through Innovative Pricing No...
Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP
Changing the Paradigm: Accelerated Savings through Innovative Pricing
No Better Time for the Right Outsourcing Series
April 28, 2009
1 | No Better Time for the Right Outsourcing
About the Presenters About Pillsbury Global Sourcing
More than US$450 billion in completed transactions
Over 20 years’ experience in structuring and implementing complex delivery arrangements
Over 500 transactions across a premier customer base
The most experienced firm in the business – architecting the largest service delivery projects and strategic alliances
No Better Time
The only sourcing advisory firm offering integrated professional services (legal, sourcing, domain, financial & change management)
Guiding clients through the full sourcing lifecycle
Using straight-through processing for speed-to-value
Deploying a unique visual sourcing technique using ourpatented ValueChain method
John Nicholson is counsel in Pillsbury's Global Sourcing group. In addition to helping clients structure, negotiate and document complex sourcing transactions, he is also a lead member of the firm’s Privacy and Data Protection practice and a member of the Virtual Worlds and Video Games team.
Mike Beasley is a consulting manager in Pillsbury's Global Sourcing group. He has more than 30 years experience in the sourcing industry working from both the customer and supplier perspectives.
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Why outsourcing makes sense Now
Reduced Execution risk
Favorable market engagement dynamics
Compelling Business cases
“Better resource management, more products at the same cost, efficient customer service at minimum dollar all continue to make outsourcing a viable and profitable option." New Trends to Watch in 2009: Raising Efficiency with Near-shoring , HRO Today February 2009
“In an effort to make its outsourcing and IT services more affordable in a down economy, Hewlett-Packard Co. is changing its services pricing to a model that's akin to ordering a customized laptop. ” - As Recession Hits IT, HP Tries Variable Pricing on Services, CIO, March 10, 2009.
“It is a good time to look at outsourcing as a means to cut costs, launch new business ventures, and improve efficiencies.” - Top Three Outsourcing Initiatives for 2009, CIO, January 27, 2009.
“The prospect of quick cost savings and improved results lead companies to take a closer look at external solutions.” - Savings Spur Interest in Learning Outsourcing, HRO Today, February 2009.
“Top Indian tech firms such as TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and HCL are signing new outsourcing contracts at 15-20% lower billing rates than last year, as customers including BT, Bank of America and Citibank renegotiate existing contracts and award new projects at much lower rates.” - IT majors sign new deals at a discount, The Economic Times (India), March 6, 2009.
The secret is out . . . . . . No Better Time
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Objectives of the pricing process
GoalsDevelop a “fair” priceThat reflects the scope of the transaction andAligns the interests of the parties
Alternative pricing mechanismsMonolithic fixed priceFixed unit ratesCost plusTime and materialsGain-sharing
The help desk example – pricing by:People resourcesNumber of calls
With a capNumber of users
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The elements of price
A supplier’s charge consists ofWhat it costs the supplier to provide the service, plusA reasonable profit – a function of risk assumed by the supplier
A supplier’s cost of service consists ofTransition costsDirect operating costs, typically
FacilitiesPeopleHardwareSoftwareThird-party contracts
Indirect costsAllocated overheadsGeneral and administrative expense (G & A)Others
A supplier’s cost depends on the technical / commercial solutionproposed by the supplier
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Where do the savings come from in outsourcing?
Who knows!!!A too-common and terrible answerMeans the supplier is buying the business and will be under internal pressures to make up the difference
The usual suspectsMarket knowledgeEconomies of scaleProcesses and procedures – efficiencyLabor “arbitrage”
These do not provide an outsourcing customer with competitive advantage.
TransformationChanging the service paradigm (supply and/or demand)Altering the level of service (not everyone needs the gold standard)Eliminating or minimizing the service (NOT the same as de-scoping to get the price you want)
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CostMarking – new look at ITO pricing
Based on the premise that we know or can model the cost of:EquipmentSoftwareMaintenanceFacilitiesEnergy Consumption (direct and indirect)Risk premiums (if any)OverheadMarginThe scope of work – directly from the ValueChain processesLabor (geographically adjusted)
And . . . .That any other unaccounted for moneys should belong to the BUYERIt puts the supplier in a difficult position to explain
By creating a normalized evaluation universe – ValueChain is the enabler
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Revised approach
The important rowsThe battle is needlessly waged over the entire pricing modelOnly a few rows really count – classically
Always high Price times Quantity (P*Q) itemsAlmost always high Quantity itemsSometimes high Price items
Practically, in ITO deals that meansSevers (big, middle and small)Storage (JBOD, NAS and SAN)The rest generally is not material
Economic problems cannot be solved by chasing the high Quantity items…The large Price items are where the value is locked
A Quantity exampleTakes forever, requires resources that have other priorities, addresses onlypart of the price pie and not the biggest parts, frequently hard to test, andpotentially poses operational risk associated with migration activities
A Price exampleRequires the stroke of a pen, hired guns are available, no change, no ITresources needed, no operational risk, faster and cheaper (unlocks value)
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Where the money goes
Situation:Equipment: Typical Windows 2003 Server
– 2 x 3Ghz Xeon – 8 GB Memory
Quantity: 1000 in Tier III Data CenterOther: Three year hardware warrantySupplier Charge: $1000/month
Shown:Best case: Supplier’s machine running supplier’s software in supplier’s data centerEstimate of supplier’s FTE cost at $100k per year means servers per FTE is 11.62Worst Case: Client’s machine in client’sdata center running client’s softwareServers per FTE is 8.33Productivity should be between 35 and 55 servers per FTE (see next page)An all-in monthly Client Cost should be $556 to $457For 1000 Machines => Savings of $500/month or $6M/year
$42
$8
$50
$100
$83
$717
SoftwareSoftware MaintenanceHardwareSpaceElectricityServices @ 11.62 Servers/FTE
If you accept the price, you have accepted the imputed productivity
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What the data shows
Data points are for Windows or Linux on x86 @ $100k/FTE
p.a. loaded Assumes all
costs for servers and facilities are borne by the
client
186 167 152 139 129 120 112 105 99 93 88 84
209
834
556
417
334
278239
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100Imputed Servers per FTE
Supp
liers
Quo
ted
Pric
e pe
r Ser
ver
Full-scope server productivity
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Simple example
What’s this for – actual client data example
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Recent client examples
Client ABC~ 1000 MIPs, 3000 servers, 25 AS/400s, 150 TB of storage
– estimated new deal at or lower than 50% of current pricingClient DEF
~ 3000 servers, 150 TB of storage– estimated new deal at slightly above 33% of current pricing
Client GHI~ 3000 MIPs, 1500 servers in a very complex environment, 125 TB of storage
– transaction completed at 75% of current pricingSupplier offered < 10% price reduction for renewalWhile transaction was completed with the incumbent, an equally well-pricedback-up deal was also secured
Client JKL~1700 TBs of storage
– we expect results at less then 50% of current– double the benchmarker’s swag
Lesson Learned: Think Radically – Not Incrementally
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Price is a function of scope
Scope of an outsourcing relationship should include the broadest set of functions for which:
The customer is comfortable outsourcing; andThere is a valid business case
Bearing in mind that “business case” is frequently the fourth entry after lies, damn lies and statistics
Outsourced functions should give the supplier end-to-end responsibilities
Avoid retaining small pockets of isolated servicesBe aware of attempts to “protect” certain fiefdomsShould never include overall domain architecture, design or strategy
Start thinking of costs in terms of those that will be:OutsourcedRetainedTreated as pass-through
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Organizing thoughts – factors of production
1. For each service being outsourced, identify the factors of production (resources) needed to deliver that function
2. In general, services consist of the following five factors of productionFacilitiesPeopleHardwareSoftwareThird-party contracts
Anything that is not a facility, person, hardware or software is a third-party contract
3. The objective is for the supplier to have access to the necessary factors of production for each outsourced service, either because
The customer “transferred” access to that resource, orThe supplier will provide that resource
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Organizing thoughts – financial responsibility
4. Supplier should have financial responsibility for those assets that have the following characteristics
Infrastructure in naturePerformance depends on service levels, not type of assetCustomer cares less about the type of assetCosts are measurable by volume-based billing elements (e.g., ARCs/RRCs)
5. Customer should have financial responsibility for those assets that have the following characteristics
Functionality is important to customer and is driven by customer preferencesCosts are not easily measurable by ARCs/RRCsSubject to unknown and swift technological change
6. The same party should have financial responsibility for upgrading existing equipment and for replacing existing equipment
If these responsibilities are divided, supplier’s analysis of what to do in a particular situation might not be based on the relative economics of the two choices, but upon the separate question of who pays for it
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Organizing thoughts – fundamentals
7. If financial responsibility is assigned to the supplier, it is necessary to ensure that the related costs are removed entirely from customer’s books
8. The foregoing guidelines may be roughly summarized in one helpful standard
Generally (not always), risk and control should go togetherThat is, the party having financial responsibility for an item also should be able to select the item (possibly subject to certain approval rights of the other party)
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Outsourcing charging structures
Classic approachSetting a baseline with key volume indicators
ARCs (additional resource charges)RRCs (reduced resource credits)
Issues to be addressedGuaranteed revenue stream or minimum annual charge (MAC)Establishing the baselineProtected growth and dead-bandsNetting of key volume indicators and ARCs == RRCsSetting the incremental priceAddressing extraordinary growth or extraordinary volume reductions
Revised (better) approachFixed charge plus variable chargefor each unit used
Mathematically equivalent to classic approachBut, the issues are expressed in different, more meaningful terms
BenefitsBetter transparency into what drivesa supplier’s pricePrincipled discussion about level offixed and variable chargesLess likelihood of “subsidization”across towersMeaningful relationship between fixed charges and termination for convenience fee
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Variability
Classic approachPricing based on inputsUnit prices based on factors of productionIT examples:
Expressed as computer resource unitsCPU minutes; MIPS; number of servers; gigabytes of storage; lines of print
Applications development & maintenanceFull-time equivalents (FTEs)
BenefitsUnderstandable to domain expertsEasy to implementCan be used to price new services
DisadvantagesDisincentive to be efficientOften requires benchmarkingCharge-back not in business units
Revised (better) approachPricing based on outputsUnit prices expressed as business transactions
Focus on the results produced
BPO examples:Health insurance claims processedInvoices issuedCost savings from procured items
Form of gain-sharing
BenefitsUnderstandable to end usersFacilitates charge-backCreates incentives to be efficient
DisadvantagesDifficult to formulateRequires supplier experience with businessNew services difficult to price
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Best Practices – modern deal structure for ITO
Pillsbury best practice for structuring a new IT infrastructure outsourcing relationship
Especially useful in a multi-sourced environment
Separate out capital costs from operating and support charges
Consider having the customer buy all equipment and pay all capital costs
House the hardware with someone other than the outsource supplierConsider a co-location supplier
Evaluate the outsourcing price as the charge for ongoing operations and support, including (if appropriate) for service management and integration
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Handling significant changes
The "New Service" concept
Different from, and in addition to
PricingAccording to volume chargesOr, if disproportionate, increase in resources or usageAs mutually agreedPursuant to default price listNet of cost savings
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Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA)
Index characteristicsMagnitudeVolatility
US Bureau of Labor Statistics IndicesConsumer Price Index (CPI)Employment Cost Index (ECI)Producer Price Index (PPI)
Global indicesWas a major driver of cost increases
May, again, become a major driver of cost increases
COLA algorithmsDeferralProtectionSharingCaps
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Termination fees
Termination fees are for terminations other than “for cause”For convenienceFor change of controlFor other reasons
What does the termination fee cover?Expectancy or lost profitsInvestment costs; so-called stranded costsAs a disincentive to terminate
What is a reasonable termination fee?Suggested “physical” interpretation: to eliminate the fixed fee componentComparison to transition fees, ongoing investment levelsComparison to net present value of remaining revenue stream
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Developing the customer base case
Identify the starting point – a so-called “Year 0”Gather the data
Information about the factors of production (facilities, people, hardware, software and third-party contracts)
Resource volumes, andResource costs
Be comprehensive – include all domain costs including those that will be outsourced, retained and treated as a pass-throughValidate the information against the general ledger and other corporate records
Portray the dataDo not confuse operating costs with capital costsDevelop a simplified, consistent approach for grouping costs (row headings)Extend the cost from Year 0 for the proposed term of the agreement
Model flat scenarios versus growing/reducing scenarios
Give the underlying assumptions of the model to the supplierAs much a scope alignment issue as a pricing issue
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Supplier pricing proposals
Provide forms that the bidders must use:ValueChain process creates these as an artifact of building the Scope ModelIdentify charges that are assumed, retained and pass-throughClear identification of all billing elementsResource volumes by domain or platform, by year and by billing elementAnnual service charge by domain or platform, by yearSpecify adjustments for increases/decreases in outputs by domain or platform, by year or by billing elementTermination charges by type of termination, by year (specify as of date)
In whole or in partInterpolation for mid-year terminations
Ask for prices that do not involve financial engineering and do not involve cross-subsidization among different domains
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Supplier assumptions
Carefully review supplier statement of assumptions. They almost always:
Limit or change scopeImpose restraints or restrictionsContain extra cost itemsAre designed to limit supplier exposure or risk for what is not knownor what is not knowable
Ensure that assumptions are complete and specify the explicit consequence of the assumption not being true
I.e., The pricing assumes a minimum quantity of [x] units per year. If customer orders fewer than this amount, the per unit price will be increased to [y].
Need to eliminate changes based on post-contract due diligence
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Evaluate against base case
Start with supplier’s annual charge
Add client retained and pass-through
Add “adjustments” - both positive and negative
Sum is price of outsourcing that should be comparedto in-house base cost model
Perform net present value (NPV) analysisSetting an appropriate discount rate
Share each supplier’s evaluation with that supplier
Objective is to reach a jointly agreed-to supplier price model
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Other necessary evaluations
AdjustmentsPersonnel costs
Contract administration, etc.Retention bonus/severance costVariations in personnel taken
Timing of payments (beginning of month, end of month, after 30 days)
Taxes
Cost of living adjustments (COLA)
Contract risk issuesResponsibility for required consents
Scope mismatchBe wary of additional retained costs that are unknown or volatile
Service level mismatch
Sensitivity analysisChanged volumes
Changed economic assumptions (COLA)
Termination scenarios
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Benchmarking
Two basic forms of benchmarkingAgainst the marketplace – developing a “commercially competitive” priceAgainst the supplier’s other contracts – a “most favored customer” clause
Benchmarking may be useful, but is not as valuable as assumedSignificant lag before declining prices are reflected in benchmarkers’ databasesHardly any good data for BPO
Absent “action-forcing” clauses, benchmarking is not likely to result in price changesBenchmarking rights often create leverage to renegotiate price
Pillsbury CostMarking provides data for that renegotiation without requiring the benchmarking exercise
Factors to consider in structuring a benchmark provisionWhat can be benchmarked and how oftenWho is an acceptable benchmarkerHow will the benchmark process be defined in the contract
Peer groupsNormalizationReport from the benchmarker
What is to be done with the benchmarkHow are benchmark disputes to be handled
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No Better Time for challenging old assumptions
Most experience with outsourcing was developed during different timesCustomers had budget/staff for the projectCustomers could afford initial costsSuppliers were growing
Available staff was a constraintBusiness models reflected growth assumptions
When the environment changes, old rules of thumb need to be reexaminedNo one doubts that today is differentOutsourcing in hard times
All (remaining) client staff are fully employedClients face strong budget pressuresSuppliers are facing hard times, too
Deals are smallerGrowth rates are reduced (or worse)Existing customers want price reductionsBusiness models are being reexamined
Pillsbury offers new sourcing modelBetter, faster, cheaper
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Assumptions re-examined
1. Assumption: Outsourcing transactions have high upfront costsHigh upfront costs are the norm (for some transactions)
Transition and transformation takes timeInternal costs of redundancies and other changeExternal advisors’ work is front-loaded
BUT - Some things can change, with prudence – successful suppliers have lots of cash and fewer investment prospects
Supplier often agree to recover transition fees over timeSupplier might agree to reimburse customer for transaction costs and recover costs in fees over timeSupplier might agree to pay/reimburse staff separation costsSupplier might agree to treat some transition work as sales cost
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Assumptions re-examined (cont)
2. Assumption: Deals take 6-12 months (or longer) to get to contractOld ways of doing things
RFP, bidding, diligence, selection, contractWith loops in the process for clarification, correction, etc.
BUT - Pillsbury ValueChain approach is much quickerStraight through means touch things onceValueChain makes this go a lot faster
Combination of consultants and lawyers using the same tools and speaking the same language reduces inefficiencyStandard process/element definitions
Many suppliers have already seen and approved Pillsbury’s ITIL-based Process Definitions – eliminates negotiation about the words describing the scope and focuses attention on responsibility forelements of scope
Re-negotiations have an even faster time line
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Assumptions re-examined (cont)
3. Assumption: Outsourcing deals lose money in the first yearTransaction and transition costs associated with lengthy negotiations may eat up first year’s savingsBUT - Transaction costs are lower if the time to agreement is shorter
Pillsbury calls this “Time to Value”Suppliers can agree to different payment schedules
4. Assumption: Competition (always) yields the best dealCompetition, especially in the current economy when there are fewer deals, can drive to better pricingBUT - Competition has costs
Both monetary and intrinsicSole-source speed Wringing out the last percent of savings
Pillsbury’s CostMarking provides a suitable proxy for competition, especially for contract renewals/renegotiationsRenegotiation can be done with market testing as a next step
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Assumptions re-examined (cont)
6. Assumption: Each deal stands on its own for the supplierEach deal is compared to the suppliers’ internal standards profitability and cash flowBUT - Suppliers are facing extraordinary times, and re-working business modelsSome fixed costs become variable in hard timesStrong suppliers will use hard times to capture market share
If savings are coming from buying the business, look outSome suppliers are cash-rich, with fewer investment opportunities
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Using pricing to structure manageable relationships
The likelihood that a supplier will undertake a particular action is independent of what the contract says
All parties (including both customer and supplier) always (and only) act in their best interest
Therefore, responsiveness is a function of:Aligning incentivesEstablishing a framework of principlesDeveloping a process to address change
These considerations produce manageable relationships and should guide the parties as they begin to craft the pricing structure
Pricing algorithms can achieve these results if they are:EfficientFlexibleEasy to administerDesigned to minimize the need to renegotiate
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Conclusion
Pillsbury’s ValueChain method using CostMarking drives value to both customers and suppliers by:
Speeding up the deal process and decreasing time to value
Providing a uniform methodology for comparing the customer’s business case and supplier pricing proposals
Clearly allocating responsibilities so that both sides understand scope and associated pricing and
Enabling both supplier and customer to build a lasting relationship based on value
No Better Time than now for the right outsourcing
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Upcoming Sessions
May 19 IT Outsourcing: Devising a Fast and Sustainable Diet
June 9 Renegotiations: Positioning for the Fast Path to Savings
June 30 Procurement & Real Estate Outsourcing: Short Term Strategy with Long Term Results
July 14 M&A – Business Continuity and Cost Effective Operations through Outsourcing
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Questions and Answers