Chambers Presentation - MN House Transportation Policy & Finance Committee 01.30.13

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Transcript of Chambers Presentation - MN House Transportation Policy & Finance Committee 01.30.13

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    Governors

    Transporta/onFinanceAdvisoryCommi8ee

    Whiletheexis/ngtransitsystemisefficientandcost-effec/ve,itisundersizedand

    needstoexpandtomaketheregion'sprojectedeconomicgrowthareality.

    Regionswithrobusttransitsystemsworkbe8erandarechoicedes/na/onsfor

    employersandemployees.

    Uncertaintyintransitdevelopmentdelaysprivateinvestment.

    Toremaincompe//veanda8ainregionaleconomicgoals,theTwinCi/esmustcon/nuetostrengthenitstransitsystem.

    www.dot.state.mn.usQac

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    ThebenefitsofaTFAC-recommendedtransitsystem:

    MinneapolisandSaintPaul

    ToddKlingel

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    Today

    Transitgetspeopletowork 0%ofridersgoingtoworkorschool

    40%ofdowntownMinneapolis

    USBank:50% Ameriprise:60%

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    Todayand

    tomorrow

    Weneedtransitto

    competefor

    workers

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    Transitmakespossiblearegion

    thatdrawsworkersandjobs

    Companiesarerecrui/ng

    andtarge/ngthenext

    genera/onoftalentedworkers,the

    Genera/onYmillennials

    whoincreasinglypreferurbanlifestyleswithmass

    transit. UrbanLandIns/tute

    Source:JeffreySpivak,UrbanOfficeMomentum,UrbanLand,

    September14,2011

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    Otherregionsknowthis

    Mapstosamescale

    Source:BillRankin,

    McKinseyteama

    naly

    sis

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    Andarebenefingfrom

    theirinvestments

    Denver:

    #1Des/na/onforMillennials

    Minneapolis:#39

    MayorHancock:Theyrecomingfortransit.

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    Athrivingregionisa

    productwearemaking.

    Transitisanecessarycomponent.

    Ifweputintooli8le,

    wellgetalesscompe//veproduct.

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    ThebenefitsofaTFAC-recommendedtransitsystem:

    SouthwestLRT

    JudyJohnson

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    SWLRT

    Transporta)ontoserveandconnectjobcenters* * * * * * *

    Downtown&

    Minneapolis&

    147,000&emp.*

    Highway&212&

    Corridor&

    16,000Golden&Triangle&

    Business&Park&

    18,000Opus&&

    Business&Park&

    11,000KFTel&Drive&

    Industrial&Park&

    3,500 East&End&Hopkins&(Cargill,&Supervalu)&

    5,000Methodist&

    Hospital&

    5,200Excelsior&&Grand&

    Park&Nicollet&

    1,000Beltline&Business&

    Park&

    6,000 West&Calhoun&4,200Downtown&

    Minneapolis&

    147,000

    Jobs&within&&

    Fmile&of&

    staVon&

    Neithermoreroadsnormorebusesworkinthiscase.

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    SWLRT

    Supportsjobgrowth

    ComcastCustomerLoyaltyCenter

    Couldgoanywhereinthecountry Workforceneedstransit

    UnitedHealthGroup

    4newtowers 6,600newemployees

    Southwest:

    2000:210,000jobs

    2030:270,000jobs

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    h8p:www.twinci/es.comopinionci_2049679klingel-kramer-sou

    thwest-twin-ci/es-needs-light-rail

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    Votersagree

    Support funding for

    Southwest Light Rail

    Statewide

    2012: 61% 2013:70%Metro

    2012: 64% 2013:75%ues/on:TheTwinCi/escurrentlyhasoneopera/nglight

    raillineandasecondline,betweenMinneapolisandSt.

    Paul,isunderconstruc/on.Inordertomoveforwardwith

    thenextplanedextensiontothesystemtheSouthwest

    LightRailLinethatwouldextendfromMinneapolistoEden

    Prairiethestatewoulddedicate$11millioninorderto

    secure$625millioninfederalmatchingfunds.Doyousupportoropposededica/ngthesefunds?

    Statewide:70%support,27%oppose,3%undecided.

    Metro1:75%support,23%oppose,2%undecided.

    h

    8p:www.m

    inneapolischamber.o

    rgnews20130117mrcc-featuredpoll-shows-strong-support-for-transit-funding

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    ThebenefitsofaTFAC-recommendedtransitsystem:

    Theregionandthestate

    WillSchroeer

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    Wouldtransitinvestmentbeworthithere?

    RegionalTransitSystem:

    ReturnonInvestment

    Assessment

    www.theitascaproject.comTransit%20ROI%20exec

    %20summary%20Nov%202012.pdf

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    Itascaasked3ques/ons

    1. Abuilt-outregionaltransitsystemwouldrequiresubstan/alinvestment.

    Whatwouldbethereturnontheregional2030transitplan?

    2. Investmentscanbemademoreorlessquickly.Wouldaccelera>ngbuildoutto2023changetheROI?

    3. Manycommuni/esdevelopingtransitsystemexperiencemoregrowthneartransitsta/ons.Wouldsuchexpecta>onsforgrowthchangethereturnon

    investment?

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    1. Vehicleopera/ngcosts2. Travel/mesandtravelreliability3. Shippersandlogis/cscosts4. Emissions5. Safetycosts6. Roadpavementcondi/ons

    Costsforeachscenario=capital+opera/ons&maintenance(MetropolitanCouncil)

    Wecalculatedsixkindsofdirectimpacts

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    DirectBenefits

    Note: Benefits and operating and maintenance costs are calculated for 15-year period 2030-2045 for regionalsystem, 2023-2045 for accelerated system. All are reported in 2010 dollars.

    *IRR = Internal Rate of Return, the discount rate often used in capital budgeting that makes the net present value of

    all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero

    Scenario

    Totaldirectimpacts

    2030Planwithmore

    growthnearsta/ons

    3

    AcceleratedRegional

    Plan

    2

    2030RegionalPlan1

    Investment

    $4,361

    $5,29

    $4,361

    Low

    $6,571

    $10,762

    $9,02

    High

    $10,03

    $16,516

    $13,927

    IRR*

    7.814.8%

    11.218.0%

    13.020.9%

    Comparedtobasecasescenario

    2010$Millions

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    Thebenefitsofregionaltransit

    faroutweighthecosts Buildingthe2030regionalplan=

    $6.610.1billionindirectbenefits,

    ona$4.4billioninvestment.

    Accelera/ngthesystembuild-outwouldincreasedirectbenefits:

    $10.716.5billion

    ona$5.3billioninvestment

    2030regionalplanwithgrowthneartransitsta/onswouldincreasereturnoninvestmentby$2-$4billion

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    Transitbuild-out

    increasesaccesstojobs

    Buildingtheregionaltransitsystemwouldenableemployersinthe

    re iontoaccess500 000moreem lo eeswithina30-minutecommute.

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    Thepublicunderstandsthis,and

    wantsmoretransitStatewide

    79%agreeMinnesotawouldbenefitfromhavinganexpandedandimprovedpublic

    transporta/onsystem,suchasrailandbuses.

    66%agreeIwouldliketousepublictransporta/onsuchasrailorbusesmoreoen,butitisnot

    convenientoravailablefrommyhomeorwork.

    83%supporttheStateofMinnesotainves/ngmoreinpublictransitimprovementstoeasetraffic

    conges/onandprovidemoretransporta/onop/ons.

    ThisincludesasolidmajorityofRepublicans(71%,Democrats(95%,andIndependents(80%.

    SurveyconductedinJanuary2013byFM3andPOSforMinneapolis

    andSaintPaulChambers.

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    Union Depot Track Work

    Construc/oncreatesjobsforthewholestate

    Homeof

    CentralCorridorconstruc/onworkers