CGD | Conferência Bridges - Paulo Ferrão
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Transcript of CGD | Conferência Bridges - Paulo Ferrão
Population
United Nations – Population Division
0
1 000 000
2 000 000
3 000 000
4 000 000
5 000 000
6 000 000
7 000 000
8 000 000
9 000 000
10 000 000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
WORLD
More developed regions
Less developed regions
Economy and material resources
Adapted from Bringezu and Schütz, 2000, Total Material Requirement of the European Union, European Environment Agency, Technical report No 55.
(1988-1997)
Ma
teria
l co
nsu
mp
tio
nper
ca
pita
(t)
Canas, A., Ferrão, P. and Conceição, P. (2003) “A new environmental kuznets curve? Relationship between direct material input and income per capita: evidence from industrialized countries”. Ecological Economics, 46 - 2, pp. 217-229.
An “universal law” ?
Economy and urbanisation
Urbanização e PIB per Capita de vários países, 2000 (1996 US$)World Bank 2009
Source: Data on urbanization: World Bank World Development Indicators 2005. Data on per capita GDP: Heston, Summers, and Aten n.d.; Penn World Table Version 6.2; Center for International Comparisons of Production, Income and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania, real 1996 GDP per capita (chain), September 2006 (http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/).
Urban metabolism
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
DM
I p
er
cap
ita
(t/
cap
)
GDP per capita (thousand international US$ / cap)
Paris
Lisbon
Bangkok
Shanghai
Bangalore
Ho Chi Minh
Seoul
Manila
median
Is there hope ?
Thomas O. Wiedmann, Heinz Schandlb,d, Manfred Lenzenc, Daniel Moranc,e, Sangwon Suhf, James Westb, and Keiichiro Kanemotoc (2013)“The material footprint of nations”, PNAS
Industrial Ecology - metabolisms
Producers Consumenrs
DecomposersNutrients reservoir
Energy
Nutrients
ECONOMY
METABOLISM