CFO Insights | Japan · tricks to sneak another muffin from the kitchen? ... //. ... So will the...
Transcript of CFO Insights | Japan · tricks to sneak another muffin from the kitchen? ... //. ... So will the...
CFO Insights | Japan 2016 Q4
The CFO Program | Japan
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Contents
Japan Economic Outlook: Two arrows too many P 3
Accounting News P 7
Tax News P 11
Front-office Finance: How CFOs Can Create Value Through Business Partnering P 13
The Working Styles of CFOs and Their CEOs: CFO Signals P 16
Why Many CFOs Are Retiring Early and Implications for Succession Planning P 19
Brexit: A Textbook Lesson on Disruption P 21
The CFO Program | Japan
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Japan: Two arrows too many
The Bank of Japan seems to have run
out of moves to strengthen the
economy through monetary policy.
Quantitative easing and negative
interest rates have had little effect.
Now the bank is targeting the long end
of the yield curve by keeping 10-year
bond yields close to zero.
Remember that time from childhood when you ran out of
tricks to sneak another muffin from the kitchen? Well, it
appears that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is sharing a similar fate.
As it announced its new policy stance on September 21, one
could not help but wonder if the central bank had indeed
emptied its ammunition. Be it quantitative easing or negative
interest rates, the BOJ for a long time now has been at the
forefront of using unorthodox monetary policy to counter
deflation and prop up the economy. So, as it declares that its
1 Bank of Japan, New framework for strengthening monetary easing: Quantitative and qualitative monetary easing with yield control, September 21, 2016,.
next target is the long end of the yield curve, it is worth
thinking whether the BOJ has been trying too hard for too
long.
“Be it quantitative easing or negative
interest rates, the BOJ for a long time
now has been at the forefront of using
unorthodox monetary policy to
counter deflation and prop up the
economy.”
Flipping as they flop? In addition to its annual asset purchase program—commonly
referred to as quantitative easing (QE)—and negative interest
rates, the BOJ has now decided to target the long end of the
yield curve. In short, the BOJ wants to keep 10-year bond
yields close to zero1. The move is not surprising given fears of
a prolonged period of below-zero long-term interest rates,
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which have dented banks’ margins—interest earnings on
bank loans (or assets) are dependent on long-term interest
rates—and the earnings of pensioners who depend on long-
term fixed-income assets.
Not surprisingly, the latest BOJ move has lifted bank stocks,
which have been under pressure since the advent of negative
interest rates. After the BOJ’s decision, the Topix Banks Index
went up 7.0 percent by end of day on September 21, the
highest single-day gain for the index since February. Prior to
September 21, the index had lost 27.1 percent this year,
much worse than the 12.7 percent decline in the overall Topix
Index (figure 1) 2.
Figure 1. Bank stocks have been hit this year due to
negative interest rates
Source: Bloomberg
The BOJ, in its monetary policy meeting, also tried to reassert
its commitment to fight deflation. The central bank stated that,
if required, it would let inflation overshoot its 2.0 percent
2 Bloomberg, September 2016. 3 Leika Kihara, “BOJ’s Kuroda says no plan to adopt negative interest rates now,” Reuters, January 21, 2016, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-japan-
economy-boj-idUSKCN0UZ0AN; Kevin Buckland and Chikako Mogi, “Kuroda emulates Draghi on negative interest rates as yield drop curbs yen,”
Bloomberg, January 29, 2016, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-29/kuroda-emulates-draghi-on-negative-rates-as-yield-drop-curbs-yen. 4 Chris Anstey, “Negative rates may do more harm than good, expert says,” Bloomberg, September 13, 2016,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-13/negative-rates-may-hurt-more-than-help-taylor-rule-creator-says.
5 Lucas Papademos, The contribution of monetary policy to economic growth, European Central Bank, June 12, 2003,
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2003/html/sp030612_3.en.html; Jerry L. Jordan, What monetary policy can and cannot do, Federal Reserve
Bank of Cleveland, May 15, 1992, https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/docs/historical/frbclev/econcomm/econcomm_19920515.pdf; Marc Labonte, Monetary
policy and the Federal Reserve: Current policy and conditions, Congressional Research Service, January 28, 2016,
https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL30354.pdf. 6 Akrur Barua and Rumki Majumdar, “Impact of negative interest rates: Living in the unknown,” Global Economic Outlook, Q2 2016, Deloitte University
Press, April 29, 2016, http://dupress.deloitte.com/dup-us-en/economy/global-economic-outlook/2016/q2-impact-of-negative-interest-rates-controlling-
inflation.html.
target. It’s not clear, however, what new measures it will use
in future. But, if one is to go by Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s
actions—aggressive QE and then negative interest rates—
then something similar to using perpetual bonds to fund
government spending cannot yet be ruled out.3.
Not much succor from
negative interest rates so far The BOJ’s latest gambit comes amid concerns about a
number of advanced nations’ overdependence on monetary
policy.4 The central bank, in particular, may be trying too hard,
when economic theory suggests that monetary policy alone
cannot bring in medium- to long-term growth.5 The data also
raise questions regarding the efficacy of continued
unorthodox policy. The BOJ’s policy of negative interest rates,
for example, has not had much impact of late compared with
the initial phase of aggressive QE since Kuroda took over in
2013.6 For starters, the country continues to grapple with
deflationary pressures. Core inflation—all items except fresh
food as defined by the BOJ—has been flitting in and around
negative territory since July 2015 and for much of 2016. In fact,
core inflation in July (-0.5 percent) was the lowest in more than
three years. The aggravation of deflationary pressures hints
at the lack of impact of unorthodox monetary policy,
especially negative interest rates, this year (figure 2).
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Figure 2. Deflationary pressures are once again asserting
themselves
Source: Haver Analytics
“The aggravation of deflationary
pressures hints at the lack of impact of
unorthodox monetary policy,
especially negative interest rates, this
year.”
If the BOJ had thought that a barrage of cheap money will
force demand up sharply through credit offtake, then so far it
has been proved wrong. Growth in loans outstanding from
domestic banks, for example, was 2.4 percent year over year
in Q2, down from 2.8 percent in Q1 and 3.4 percent a year
before. A deeper analysis of the distribution of loans by
sector—manufacturing, nonmanufacturing, and individual—
also highlights a similar story. 7 That the steady binge of
unorthodox monetary policies, including negative interest
rates, has not done much is also evident from diverging
trends in the growth of broad (M3) and narrow money (M1)
this year (figure 3).
7 Haver Analytics, September 2016. 8 Ibid. 9 Ibid.
Figure 3. Narrow money (M1) growth has far outpaced broad
money (M3) growth
Source: Haver Analytics
Slow credit growth despite easy credit conditions is primarily
the result of households and businesses remaining
circumspect about borrowing and spending more. In an aging
society, consumers are still grappling with slow earnings
growth, a deflationary environment, and uncertain economic
prospects. Monthly real and nominal household expenditure
growth (year over year), for example, has been negative for
much of the year.8 And in Q2, real household consumption
growth slowed to 0.6 percent (seasonally adjusted annual
rate, or SAAR) from 2.8 percent in Q1.
In the midst of volatile and weak consumer spending, it would
be wrong to assume that businesses will invest more.
Corporates are opting to hold on to cash rather than spend.
Real private nonresidential investment, for example,
contracted in both Q1 and Q2 (SAAR) despite healthy
corporate profits.9 Japanese businesses are also grappling
with declining exports; real exports fell 5.8 percent in Q2.
Surely, a strengthening Japanese yen has not helped. While
the initial bout of QE helped weaken the currency and boost
exports as the BOJ had hoped, the bout of yen weakening has
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run its course. In 2013 and 2014, the yen fell 16.4 percent and
12.9 percent, respectively, against the US dollar. But last year,
it remained almost unchanged. And despite aggressive QE
and negative interest rates this year, the currency is up 16.9
percent against the greenback (figure 4).
Figure 4. The yen has strengthened 16.9 percent against the
US dollar this year
Source: Haver Analytics
The yen’s strength has also dented the BOJ’s fight against
deflation. Due to the yen’s gains, import prices in yen have
dropped by anywhere from 17.9 to 23.3 percent year over
year in the first eight months of this year. This, in turn, has put
downward pressure on consumer prices.
Negative interest rates have also impacted money market
liquidity. In February—a month after the introduction of
negative interest rates—the average amount outstanding in
money markets (uncollateralized) during the month fell 39.5
percent, with market participants caught unaware.
Unfortunately, the scenario has only worsened since then
(figure 5).
10 Bruce Einhorn, “Helicopters circle over Bank of Japan with Kuroda running out of options,” Bloomberg, September 21, 2016,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-20/helicopters-gather-over-bank-of-japan-with-kuroda-running-out-of-options. 11 Akrur Barua, “Japan: Will households oblige by spending more?” Global Economic Outlook, Q3 2016, Deloitte University Press, July 22, 2016,
http://dupress.deloitte.com/dup-us-en/economy/global-economic-outlook/2016/q3-japan.html.
Figure 5. Money market liquidity has been hit due to negative
interest rates
Source: Haver Analytics
The continued purchase of Japanese government bonds by
the BOJ also raises concerns about the stability of
government debt (more than 250 percent of GDP) and the
BOJ’s balance sheet. The latter now owns about 38.0 percent
of the total Japanese government bonds, and this will go up
given the ongoing QE.10 With the government postponing its
fiscal targets, questions about the sustainability of debt
naturally arise. That can change, however, if a sizable portion
of the debt that the BOJ owns is changed to a zero-coupon
perpetual bond.11 Of course, such a move will not be without
controversy, as it will amount to some form of monetization
of government debt.
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No third arrow even now
To restore growth in the face of the fading impact of monetary
policy, Prime Minster Shinzo Abe announced a fiscal stimulus
measure of 28 trillion yen in July. So will the fiscal magic work
where the monetary one has not? Not likely, if medium- to
long-term growth is the issue. While the stimulus has come at
the right time—when economic growth is faltering—the new
fiscal package falls short on a number of issues:
Like previous measures, the immediate spending
component is smaller than the announced package.12
Only 13.5 trillion yen is dedicated to new measures, with
new spending of 7.5 trillion yen likely this year and the
next. The remaining 6.0 trillion yen will be in the form of
loans.13
A large chunk of the announced stimulus will be used
for infrastructure (such as ports and Maglev trains),
while some of it will be directed toward disaster relief.
Spending on these projects would have happened in
some form or the other even without the stimulus.
The fiscal package misses out on productivity-enhancing
investments. Productivity has been stagnant in Japan, a
major worry given the country’s aging population and
labor force.
What has been absent throughout has been Abe’s third
arrow: structural reforms. For example, there has been no
major move so far to deregulate the labor market and make
key services sectors more competitive. There is also no big
measure to reform corporate governance, essential for
enhancing economic competitiveness. And, although Abe
announced a 3.0 percent hike in minimum wages, there is no
frontal push yet to force businesses to raise wages—key to
higher consumer spending. Most importantly, subtle efforts
to raise female participation in the labor force—critical for
potential GDP growth—have not made much headway. With
so much still to do, it’s not surprising that repeated fiscal
stimulus and monetary easing are not making much of an
impact. If the yen’s movement is anything to go by, the BOJ’s
move on September 21 definitely falls short. After declining
initially, as the BOJ would have hoped, the currency climbed
up again later to end the day just 0.1 percent lower against
the US dollar. It’s imperative then that Abe release his third
arrow to regain momentum. Mere promises won’t suffice.
“What has been absent throughout
has been Abe’s third arrow: structural
reforms. For example, there has been
no major move so far to deregulate
the labor market and make key
services sectors more competitive. “
Acknowledgments
The author would like to thank Nobuhiro Hemmi, partner
and head of Global Business Intelligence at Deloitte
Tohmatsu Consulting, Japan, for his contributions. Hemmi is
also a member of the Deloitte Global Economist Council.
12 Maiko Takahashi and Isabel Reynolds, “Japan fiscal plan gives $45 billion spending boost this year,” Bloomberg, August 1, 2016,
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-01/japan-set-to-give-details-of-28-trillion-yen-stimulus-package. 13 Robin Harding, “Japan’s fiscal stimulus: Will it work?” Financial Times, August 2, 2016, https://www.ft.com/content/d4ea5848-5896-11e6-8d05-
4eaa66292c32.
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Accounting News
IFRSs No new standards or interpretations were issued by the
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) during this
Quarter. However, the following amendments to existing
standards came out from the IASB:
Amendments to IFRS 4
The IASB has published 'Applying IFRS 9 Financial Instruments
with IFRS 4 Insurance Contracts’. The amendments are
intended to address concerns about the different effective
dates of IFRS 9 and the forthcoming new insurance contracts
standard (expected to be issued within the next six months).
The amendments to IFRS 4 provide two options for entities
that issue insurance contracts within the scope of IFRS 4:
An option that permits entities to reclassify, from profit
or loss to other comprehensive income, some of the
income or expenses arising from designated financial
assets; this is the so-called overlay approach;
An optional temporary exemption from applying IFRS 9
for entities whose predominant activity is connected
with issuance of insurance contracts within the scope of
IFRS 4; this is the so-called deferral approach.
The application of both approaches is optional and an entity
is permitted to stop applying them before the new insurance
contracts standard is applied.
An entity applies the overlay approach retrospectively to
qualifying financial assets when it first applies IFRS 9.
An entity applies the deferral approach for annual periods
beginning on or after 1 January 2018. Predominance is initially
assessed at the reporting entity level at the annual reporting
date that immediately precedes 1 April 2016. Subsequent
reassessment is also required upon certain change in the
entity’s activities. The deferral can only be made use of for the
three years following 1 January 2018.
Further information, see IASB press release (http://www.ifrs.
org/Alerts/PressRelease/Pages/IASB-issues-amendments-to-
insurance-contracts-standard.aspx), our IFRS in Focus
newsletter (http://www.iasplus.com/en/publications/global/
ifrs-in-focus/2016/ifrs-4-amendments) on the amendments
and our IAS Plus project page (http://www.iasplus.com/en/
projects/completed/fi/ifrs-9-insurance-effective) on issues
around the different effective dates of IFRS 9 and the new
insurance contracts standard.
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New Revenue Standards
Please see IFRS & U.S.GAAP – New Revenue Standards below.
U.S. GAAP
The FASB has issued several Accounting Standards Updates,
including:
ASU No. 2016-15 – Statement of Cash
Flows (Topic 230): Classification of
Certain Cash Receipts and Cash
Payments (a consensus of the
Emerging Issues Task Force)
ASU No. 2016-15 provides updated guidance to reduce
diversity in practice as to how certain cash receipts and cash
payments are presented and classified in the statement of
cash flows under Topic 230, such as:
debt prepayment or debt extinguishment costs;
settlement of zero-coupon debt Instruments or other
similar debt Instruments;
contingent consideration paid after a business
combination;
proceeds from the settlement of insurance claims;
proceeds from the settlement of corporate-owned life
insurance policies, including bank-owned life insurance
policies;
distributions received from equity method investees;
and
beneficial Interests in securitization transactions
The guidance in ASU No. 2016-15 is effective for public
business entities for fiscal years beginning after December 15,
2017. Early adoption is permitted.
The guidance in ASU No. 2016-15 should be applied using a
retrospective transition method to each period presented.
For more information, see our related Heads Up newsletter
(http://www.iasplus.com/en-us/publications/us/heads-
up/2016/issue-23) as well as the ASU on the FASB’s Web site
(http://www.fasb.org/cs/ContentServer?c=Document_C&pag
ename=FASB%2FDocument_C%2FDocumentPage&cid=117
6168389912).
IFRS & U.S. GAAP – New
Revenue Standards
IASB and FASB have been jointly trying to address
implementation issues identified since the issuance of new
converged revenue standards in 2014. However, the direction
of their travel has showed difficulty to get to the identical
solution for issues identified.
Clarifying Amendments
The IASB published final clarifications of IFRS 15 Revenue
from Contracts with Customers in April 2016.
The amendments address certain topics identified
subsequent to the issuance of the IFRS15 including transition
relief. In all its decisions, the IASB considered the need to
balance helping entities with implementing IFRS 15 and not
disrupting the implementation process.
The FASB issued in March 2016 ASU 2016-08 Revenue from
Contracts with Customers (Topic 606): Principal versus Agent
Considerations (Reporting Revenue Gross versus Net) in
response to concerns identified by stakeholders.
Similarly, in April 2016, the FASB issued ASU 2016-10
Identifying Performance Obligations and Licensing which
amends certain aspects of the Board’s new revenue standard.
Furthermore, the FASB published in May 2016, ASU 2016-012
Narrow-Scope Improvements and Practical Expedients
amending the guidance related to collectability, non - cash
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consideration, and completed contracts at transition, and the
addition of new practical expedients.
Since these clarifying proposals/amendments from both
Boards are not identical, a careful analysis is needed in
understand similarities and differences.
Refer to the previous CFO Insights | 2016 Q3 (http://www2.
deloitte.com/jp/en/pages/finance/articles/cfop/cfo-insight.
html), our IAS Plus project page (http://www.iasplus.com/
en/standards/ifrs/ifrs15) as well as US GAAP Plus project page
(http://www.iasplus.com/en-us/standards/fasb/revenue/
asc606) for further information.
Transition Resource Group (TRG)
activities
The TRG is responsible for soliciting, analysing, and discussing
issues arising from implementation of the new revenue
standards in order to assist the IASB and the FASB to
determine what, if any, action will be needed to address those
issues. Clarifying amendments discussed above reflect past
discussions by the joint TRG.
In January 2016 the IASB announced that it would not attend
future TRG meetings. Nonetheless, the FASB scheduled three
TRG meetings in 2016, being the following meeting in
November 2016.
Although the revenue TRG is now FASB only, IFRS reporting
companies, in particular, FPIs registered with the SEC, are
advised to monitor activities in line with the SEC Staff
suggestions.
Japanese GAAP and other
local developments
ASBJ’s Mid-Term Operation Plan
In August, the ASBJ issued the Mid-Term Operation Plan (the
“Plan”). The Plan is designed to present the key policies that
will guide the accounting standards development activities of
the ASBJ for the next three years. The appendix to the Plan
document identifies significant new accounting standards
issued by the IASB, namely IFRS9, IFRS10-12, IFRS13 and
IFRS16 and that the ASBJ would consider the need for
converging Japanese GAAP with these IFRSs.
Revision to the “Work Plan for
Accounting Standards under
Development”
In September, the ASBJ released the revised work plan for
accounting standards that are under development. Major
accounting standards or interpretations include the following:
On February 4, 2016, the ASBJ published Request for
Information as an early step in considering the
development of a comprehensive accounting standard
for revenue recognition. Comments were due on May 31,
2016. The ASBJ is currently analyzing the comments
from constituents and targeting June 2017 to release an
exposure draft.
The ASBJ published the Guidance No.26
Implementation Guidance on Recoverability of Deferred
Tax Assets and No. 27 Implementation Guidance on tax
rates used in applying Tax Effect Accounting (collectively,
the ‘Guidance’) in December 2015 and March 2016,
respectively. The ASBJ is discussing the transactions that
are not in the scope of the Guidance and targeting
October or November 2016 to release an exposure draft
for current tax.
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On June 2, 2016, the ASBJ released the Exposure Draft
of ‘Practical Solution on Accounting for Risk Sharing
Pension Plan’ (the ‘Exposure Draft’) and is targeting
October or November to publish the final standard.
Amendments to ‘Japan’s Modified
International Standards’
In July, the ASBJ issued the amendments to Japan’s Modified
International Standards ( JMIS). JMIS are standards and
interpretations issued by the IASB with certain ‘deletions or
modifications’ where considered necessary by the ASBJ. The
ASBJ issued JMIS in June 2015 and examined the accounting
standards by the IASB during 2013 since then. The ASBJ
undertook the endorsement process on the standards issued
by the IASB during 2013 and decided to make ‘deletions or
modifications’ for the following two items related to IFRS9
(2013):
Non-recycling of the hedging gain or loss on fair value
hedges of investments in equity instruments measured
at fair value through other comprehensive income
Basis adjustments in cash flow hedges (including the
accounting for the time value of options in hedging
accounting)
In July, the FSA announced that the amendments were
designated for use by companies applying JMIS and the use
of JMIS is possible in consolidated financial statements.
English translation of these amendments is available from the
ASBJ website (https://www.asb.or.jp/asb/asb_e/endorsment
/jmis/20160725.jsp).
Proposed updates to the list of
‘designated’ IFRSs
On October 13, the FSA proposed that additional IFRSs issued
from January to June 2016 be designated for use by
companies voluntarily applying IFRSs in Japan. New IFRSs
proposed for designatation include IFRS16 Leases and
amendments to IFRS2, IFRS15, IAS7 and IAS12. The proposal
also include designation of amendments to JIMS issued by the
ASBJ in July, 2016, as discussed above. Comments are due by
11 November.
New data on voluntary IFRS adoption
in Japan from TSE
On July 29, the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) released data
showing that 141 companies listed on the TSE, accounting for
approximately 30 per cent of the market capitalisation, have
adopted or plan to adopt International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS). In addition, over 200 further companies are
actively considering adoption.
For more information, please visit: IASPlus.com (IFRS) or USGAAPPlus.com
(U.S. GAAP), or speak to our Deloitte experts Shinya IWASAKI, Partner
([email protected]) or Alejandro SAENZ, Senior Manager
The CFO Program | Japan
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Tax News
Japan’s Recent Tax Treaty
Negotiations - Evidence of a
Shifting Landscape
One of the primary reasons that countries conclude bilateral
tax treaties is to encourage cross border investment through
the elimination of double taxation on income. Treaties do
this by limiting the right to levy tax under domestic laws, and
by providing mechanisms for the relief of certain foreign taxes
suffered. Japan’s policy towards the conclusion of such
bilateral treaties has been to reduce or eliminate withholding
taxes, and to strengthen measures to prevent tax avoidance.
Strengthening anti-avoidance measures with a limitation on
benefits (“LOB”) article, and/or a principal purpose test, is
consistent with the aims of the Organization for Economic
Cooperation & Development’s (“OECD”) Base Erosion & Profit
Shifting (“BEPS”) project.
Japan is also an early adopter of the Authorized OECD
Approach (“AOA”) to the attribution of income to permanent
establishments (“PE”), and has enshrined these principles into
some of its recently negotiated treaties, including those with
the UK, and more recently, Germany, Belgium and Slovenia,
Under these treaties there will be a comprehensive
recognition of internal dealings between a corporation’s head
office and its PE based on the arm’s-length principle.
apan’s new tax treaty with Belgium was signed on 12 October
2016, and will enter into force on the 30th day after the
countries exchange diplomatic notification that ratification
procedures have been completed. Assuming that the treaty
enters into force during 2017, it will generally apply to
corporation tax in respect of periods beginning on or after 1
January 2018, and to withholding taxes on payments made
on or after 1 January 2018. Dividends paid from a 10% or
greater shareholding will generally be exempted from
withholding tax (lowest rate was previously 10%). Interest and
royalties will also be exempted from withholding tax, subject
to certain conditions (previously capped at 10%). The new
treaty also contains an LOB clause, limiting benefits of the
treaty to only those residents which meet certain objective
criteria, and a principal purpose test that denies benefits
where one of the principal purposes of a transaction was to
obtain that treaty benefit.
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Recent treaties concluded with other European nations,
Germany and Slovenia, show a similar trend. The new treaty
with Germany will enter into force on 28 October 2016, and
will apply to corporation tax in respect of periods beginning
on or after 1 January 2017 and to withholding tax on
payments made on or after 1 January 2017. Dividends in
respect of shareholdings of 25% or more will generally be
exempt from withholding tax (lowest rate was previously 10%).
Interest and royalties will also be exempted from withholding
tax, subject to certain conditions (previously capped at 10%).
Anti-avoidance measures have been strengthened with the
introduction of a principal purpose test to go along with an
LOB provision. Similarly, Japan signed a treaty with Slovenia
on 30 September 2016 which includes a principal purpose
test, and a reduction in withholding taxes on dividends,
interest, and royalties to 5%.
Japan’s pursuit of a modern and extensive network of bilateral
treaties continued with the first round of negotiations in early
October 2016 with Austria, to replace the existing treaty
which is over fifty years old. Outside of Europe, Japan is also
engaged in efforts towards the conclusion of treaties with
Kenya and Kyrgyzstan, in addition to a recently negotiated
treaty protocol with India that will enter into force on 29
October 2016. The protocol with India introduces new
provisions for the exchange of information and assistance
with tax collection, which are in line with the goals promoted
by the OECD’s BEPS initiative.
Changes in the field of international tax continue to reflect an
emphasis on the strengthening of measures to prevent tax
avoidance, increased transparency, and the arm’s length
attribution of income in accordance with transfer pricing
principles. Japan’s efforts to update and expand its treaty
network are consistent with these trends, and the measures
to reduce withholding taxes and prevent double taxation
provide welcome encouragement to cross border investment.
Given the proliferation of anti-avoidance measures, however,
it is important that foreign investors ensure that there are
sound business reasons for the way in which they structure
their transactions with Japan, and that their entities which
seek to benefit from a bilateral treaty with Japan have genuine
substance.
For more information, please speak to our Deloitte experts
Kazumasa YUKI, Tax Partner ([email protected]), or
David BICKLE, Tax Partner ([email protected]).
The CFO Program | Japan
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Front-office Finance: How CFOs Can Create Value
Through Business Partnering
With finance leaders being expected to help drive strategy
and improve performance, many are looking to build or
improve the finance function’s ability to be a “front-office”
business partner. These finance teams are seeking to
operate beyond traditional back-office roles to deliver value
by understanding the needs of the commercial enterprise,
acting as a cross-functional integrator and providing timely
and insightful decision support. Becoming a true partner to
the business means CFOs need to address issues related to
talent management, business analytics, pricing and service
delivery models
.While improving finance’s business partnering capabilities
has been a big part of the CFO agenda for the last several
years, findings from Deloitte’s first-quarter 2016 CFO
Signals™ survey14 suggest there remains a great deal of work
to be done. When asked to respond to the statement, “Within
my organization, finance is already an acknowledged partner
for sales, marketing and/or product,” only 40% of the 2,032
webcast respondents said they “agreed,” while 32%
“somewhat agreed,” 19% were “unsure,” and about 9%
disagreed. Moreover, 91% of CFOs responding to a Deloitte
survey on finance business partnering 15 indicated they
planned to increase the level of business partnering over a
three-year period.
14Deloitte CFO Signals™: 2016 Q1: http://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/finance/articles/cfo-signals-survey-executives-sentiment-rough-start-economies-equities-
2016q1.html 15Finance business partnering - Making the right move, Deloitte Statsautoriseret Revisionspartnerselskab, 2015:
http://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/dk/Documents/finance/Finance-Business-Partnering2015.pdf
Understand Where Business
Partnering Can Have a
Positive Impact
As CFOs work to build or improve finance’s relationship with
the business, it is critical that their teams understand where
the opportunities to drive value to the business and
shareholders lie, and the levers they can use to seize those
opportunities. Areas where business partnering can have a
positive impact include revenue and asset management,
operating margins and other key performance indicators.
Finance also can help improve account management as well
as visibility into price sensitivities and opportunities by
coupling accurate and timely data with advanced analytics.
Through decision-support analyses, finance can help
optimize inventory, increase management’s focus on
forward-looking information, and improve the accuracy of
sales, revenue and margin forecasts while minimizing
reporting gaps and failures. Just as strong business
partnering can help improve performance, a lack of, or
ineffective, business partnering can hurt shareholder value.
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Business Partnering Begins
with Building Trust
Business partnering is about contributing insights and being
recognized for the value provided. At the core of the
relationship between finance and operations is credibility,
which is the license to serve as a business partner.
Building trust with the business units is essential. You have
to put yourself in the shoes of the people you are supporting
so you understand the questions they are asked every day
and the decisions they have to make. That means you need
to start having conversations in the same manner that
business units discuss issues.
Examples of conversation topics range from assessing the
financial- and talent-related impacts of a new sales quota
system or analyzing the ROI of spending the next marketing
dollar on social media versus a new distribution channel. The
goal is to change the perception of finance from a policing
function to a knowledgeable partner that adds value and
addresses risk
Supporting the Business by
Leading Collaborative Efforts
Leading collaborative efforts is another important way
finance can support the businesses. By assuming the role of
cross-functional integrator, finance can act as a conduit for
functional groups that don’t necessarily work with one
another. At one organization, for example, the accounting
function was assigned to run the deal desk operation. The
accounting team brought together the sales, marketing and
product development teams early in the deal process so that
each function understood the impact of new pricing
structures and the marketing effort supporting those
structures. The collaboration provided a comprehensive view
of downstream impacts, which was critical for decision-
making, as well as optimizing and measuring profitability
upon signing deals.
Similarly, finance and sales can work together to improve
working capital by analyzing the tradeoff between pricing
concessions and days sales outstanding, and then developing
a plan to balance the two. Finance also can provide insights
about new business models by comparing revenue
generation under current contracts with contracts based on
new pricing and delivery models.
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Talent Capabilities for
Effective Business Partnering
Central to business partnering is business acumen, strategic
thinking, being customer focused and having the ability to
influence and challenge management. Business partnering
may require the finance team to develop new skills or prompt
the CFO to hire new team members. Transforming the
finance team into a business partner may entail difficult
discussions and hard decisions, especially when the CFO is
positioning the function to respond to the demands of the
marketplace and business.
For example, the required skills for data analytics usually are
associated with a data scientist rather than a staff person
experienced in using spreadsheets, audit software and ERP
systems. Data scientists develop predictive or visual analytics
to provide insights into trends and processes for decision-
making. However, traditional finance team members often
spend a significant amount of time on data manipulation,
reconciliations and reports that aren’t perceived as adding
direct value to the business.
In addressing the skills-gap challenge, the finance team may
need to focus on more strategic opportunities, including
understanding which processes drive value. For instance, in
the supply chain operation, if the objective is to provide
credible advice and have influence over business decisions,
the finance team may need to learn more about the
organization’s relationship with strategic vendors, how
customers buy and how products are sold, and how
transactions could be affected by various regulations.
Advanced analytics often provide finance with an
understanding of the upstream and downstream implications
of the levers that drive business, including metrics around
price realization, sales volume, SG&A and the cash conversion
cycle. As a result, finance could develop the capability to
provide important insights to operational partners once they
understand the levers. Such insights might include advanced
spend analysis around customers and products, proactive or
automated forecasting, analytical modeling and opportunity
valuation support.
Overcoming Barriers to
Developing Deeper Business
Relationships
Resource constraints can pose a challenge for CFOs seeking
to build finance’s business partnering capabilities. In
response, CFOs may need to open up their aperture a bit
from a talent perspective. Sometimes there may be team
members with backgrounds in areas other than finance and
accounting who could be tapped for partnering projects and
team members with traditional finance function backgrounds
willing to expand their scope.
Reporting structures also can be a barrier if collaboration
between business and finance professionals isn’t encouraged.
The issue can be addressed by creating organizational
structures, incentives and mandates that encourage finance
and business teaming, and clearly defining partner roles and
responsibilities. By taking a structured approach, regardless
of the project or business function, business partners will
know what to expect from a partnership and likely stay
interested in continued collaboration.
Access to high-quality and timely data also is critical if CFOs
and their teams hope to develop deep business relationships.
Finance should consider integrating relevant data from
disparate information systems and position itself as the
organization’s one source of “the truth” for providing decision
support.
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The bottom line is that finance cannot develop business
partnering relationships in a vacuum. Finance professionals
may need to better understand the levers that drive value
before earning enough trust to participate in the business
decision-making process. If you stay mired in the finance and
accounting weeds, it could be difficult to get business leaders
to perceive you as a business partner.
The Working Styles of CFOs and Their CEOs: CFO
Signals
CFOs are often regarded as detail-oriented, meticulous and
conscientious — a pattern of traits associated with the
Guardian, one of four working styles identified by Deloitte’s
Business Chemistry framework. However, CFOs increasingly
consider themselves to be Drivers, according to findings from
Deloitte’s second-quarter 2016 CFO Signals™ survey16. The
quarterly survey also found that most CFOs adapt to the
working style of their CEOs, although how they adapt
depends on the CEO/CFO working style pairing.
16 CFO Signals: What North America’s top finance executives are thinking—and doing, Deloitte CFO Program. Q2 2016
In the Q2 2016 CFO Signals survey, participating CFOs were
provided with the following descriptors typically associated
with the Business Chemistry types:
— Guardian: Concrete, process/detail oriented, meticulous,
traditional, calm, socially connected, loyal, conscientious;
— Integrator: Intuitive, imaginative, empathic, expressive,
consider all options and implications, web thinking,
diplomatic,
— Pioneer: Adventurous, creative, interested in new
experiences, high energy, spontaneous, optimistic,
adaptable.
— Driver: Analytical, logical, experimental, determined,
decisive, direct, tough-minded, competitive, pragmatic.
When asked to self-define their own dominant type and
working style, based on their own assessments of how they
aligned with these descriptions, it was found that the
surveyed CFOs increasingly consider themselves Drivers,
compared to when last asked this question, in 2014.
About 60% of the 140 CFOs of large North American
companies who were surveyed consider themselves and
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17
their working styles as Drivers. That is up from 50% in the Q4
2010 CFO Signals survey, the first time the survey asked CFOs
to characterize their dominant working styles.* Those CFOs
who describe themselves as Drivers account for more than
75% of the CFOs surveyed from the Technology, Telecom/
Media/Entertainment and Services sectors. They are least
common in the Manufacturing (50%) and Financial Services
(45%) sectors.
Integrators, the second most common self-identified working
style among the CFOs surveyed, nearly doubled in prevalence
to 19% in the Q2 2016 CFO Signals survey from 11% in the Q4
2010 survey. Executives with this type working style are
considered to be empathic, thoughtful of options and
implications, and diplomatic, according to Business
Chemistry. Self-described Integrators appear most
commonly among the CFOs surveyed from the
Manufacturing and Financial Services sectors (both at about
25%) and were not apparent among CFOs surveyed from the
Technology sector.
The rise in Drivers and Integrators may reflect the shifting
demands placed on CFOs. Based on what we see in our CFO
Transition Labs, CFOs are being increasingly tasked with
driving operations and getting the various parts of the
company to work together to execute the company’s strategy.
CFOs identifying themselves as Guardians totaled 16%, less
than the 29% in the Q4 2010 survey, and appear more often
in the Financial Services (24%) and Technology and
Retail/Wholesale (about 22%) sectors.
Only 5% of the surveyed CFOs indicated Pioneer as their
working style, and those were from the Energy/Resources,
Financial Services and Manufacturing sectors.
How CFOs View the Working
Styles of Their CEOs and
CEO/CFO Pairings
When surveyed CFOs were asked provide their perceptions
of their CEO’s working style, about 35% selected Pioneer, up
slightly from 33% in the Q4 2010 survey, while 33%
characterized their CEOs as Drivers, compared to 34% in the
Q4 2010 survey. Nineteen percent of surveyed CFOs said
their CEOs are Integrators, up from 11% the Q4 2010 survey.
According to the CFOs participating in the Q2 2016 survey,
12% of their CEOs are Guardians.
When asked which type of CEO they work best with, surveyed
CFOs overall were most likely to say Pioneer or Driver.
Driver CFOs are most likely to say they work best with Pioneer
and Driver CEOs. Integrator CFOs are most likely to say they
work best with Driver CEOs. Both Pioneer and Guardian CFOs
are most likely to say they work best with Driver and Pioneer
CEOs.
When it comes to pairings, the Q2 2016 CFO Signals survey
found pairings of CEO Pioneers with CFO Drivers the most
common overall. Guardian CFOs are most often paired with
a Driver CEO and are very unlikely to be paired with a
Guardian CEO, according to the survey. The CFO Signals
survey also found Integrator CFOs mostly paired with Pioneer
and Driver CEOs, and they work more with Pioneer CEOs than
they would prefer and less with Integrator CEOs than they
would prefer.
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How CFOs Adapt to Their
CEOs’ Working Styles
Most surveyed CFOs say they adapt to the working style of
their CEOs, with the type of adaptation depending greatly on
the CEO/CFO pairing. For example, Driver CFOs who are
paired with Driver CEOs indicate they tend to adopt more
Guardian traits. When Driver CFOs are paired with other
types of CEOs, they are likely to say they adapt to their CEO’s
type by adopting Integrator traits.
Pioneer CFOs paired with Driver CEOs say they adopt more
Guardian and Driver traits. Surveyed CFOs who are not paired
with a Driver CEO say they are likely to adopt Integrator traits.
When Integrator CFOs are paired with a Pioneer CEO, they
say they adopt Pioneer and Guardian traits, but they take on
Driver traits when working with Driver CEOs.
Guardian CFOs say they are likely to adapt to their CEO’s
working style, either by ratcheting up their Guardian traits or
by adopting more Driver traits.
It should be noted that the validity of these findings is limited
by the fact that they are based solely on CFOs’ perceptions
and also on the choice of a single working style. Despite these
limitations, these findings can provide insight into how CFOs
view themselves, their CEOs, and their working relationships
— and also into how these factors might have changed since
late 2010.
*The sample size for the fourth-quarter 2010 CFO Signals
survey was 91.
CFO Insights | 2016 Q3
19
Why Many CFOs Are Retiring Early and Implications for
Succession Planning
Research from executive search firm Spencer Stuart points to
a rising trend toward earlier retirement among large cap
public company CFOs. Beginning in 2015 and continuing
through the first half of 2016, the average retirement age
among Fortune 200 finance chiefs has dropped to 58.7 from
a recent peak of 60.6 in 2011. Moreover, the data indicates
the trend toward CFOs retiring at an earlier age may be
spreading beyond the largest companies, according to Joel
von Ranson, who leads Spencer Stuart’s Financial Officer
Practice in North America. What’s behind the trend? As Mr.
von Ranson explains, it may be a combination of increasing
demands of the CFO role, recent wealth creation and a rise in
the number of opportunities for CFOs to serve on outside
boards.
Whatever the reasons, if the trend lasts, it could have
significant implications for companies and how they respond,
as well as for aspiring CFOs.
Q: What specifically are you seeing in terms of CFO retirement,
and what might explain your findings?
Joel von Ranson: I’ve seen a marked decrease in the
retirement age of CFOs over the last eight years and an even
bigger dip in the last four to five years. According to Spencer
Stuart research, the average age of Fortune 500 CFOs who
retired in the first half of 2016 was 58.6 years, and 58.4 for
Fortune 1000 CFOs who retired in that same time period.
Those figures compare to a recent peak of 60.2 for Fortune
500 CFOs in 2012 and 60.7 for Fortune 1000 CFOs in 2012.
There are several factors at play. First is the increasing
opportunity to serve on outside boards. Since Sarbanes-
Oxley, active CEOs are serving on far fewer boards on average,
the thinking being that a public company CEO role is too time-
consuming to serve on more than one or two outside boards.
That has created increased demand for CFOs in the
boardroom and opened the way to CFOs to have a broader
board portfolio. Additionally, my impression is that many
boards are drawn to candidates who could have a significant
tenure on their board, meaning CFOs could feel more
marketable to boards at a younger age. A board role can
leverage all their experience and be very satisfying, engaging
and prestigious.
Wealth creation is another factor. Over the last five or six
years, the stock market has performed well overall, and that
has created a great deal of wealth through company stock
options for many of large-company CFOs. Related to that is
the increase in M&A activity over the last 18 months; when a
company makes an acquisition, it often results in a sizable
bonus for its sitting CFO, as well as a generous payout for the
CFO of the acquired company.
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20
A third contributor is the increasing demands and stress of
the CFO role. I think it is fair to say the job has never been
more demanding and more 24×7 than it is today. In coming
years, it may be harder for CFOs to experience the same jump
in their wealth that has occurred of late, and that may
encourage them to work a little bit longer. But the element
that is not going away is the intensely demanding and all-
consuming role of being a public company CFO.
As for the correlation between earlier retirement age and the
largest companies, I believe we at Spencer Stuart are seeing
this trend earlier and more clearly among Fortune 200 CFOs
because they are the ones receiving the most prestigious and
robust board opportunities and perhaps enjoying the most
wealth creation.
Q: Do you see this earlier retirement age trend playing out in
some sectors more than in others?
Joel von Ranson: Statistically speaking, we see the most early
retirements in the life sciences sector, with an average
retirement age recently around 56 years old. It’s probably not
a coincidence that there has been quite a bit of wealth
creation and merger activity in life sciences in the last few
years.
Q: What are some of the implications of these earlier
retirements for companies and CFO searches?
Joel von Ranson: In our CFO recruitment work, many larger
public companies focus on hiring a proven CFO. With the
trend toward earlier CFO retirements, this means we are
operating in a tight CFO marketplace. By and large, many
board directors are surprised to learn that CFOs at 56 or 57
want to retire. For companies, it may be that management
needs to build awareness among boards that the CFOs are
retiring at a younger age, which could lead to new approaches
to retention, external recruiting and development of internal
successors.
Q: Have companies begun responding to this trend, and if so,
how?
Joel von Ranson: We’re finding the topic of CFO succession is
an increasingly explicit part of the CFO search process. When
CFO candidates are brought in to talk to the CEO and board,
they are getting questions like, “How are you going to build
your team? What is your approach to succession planning?”
CEOs and boards want to know who the CFO sees as their top
lieutenant and what are their skillsets and strengths, as well
as what gaps they need to fill to get to the next level.
We also see more companies focusing on planning for their
CFO’s eventual exit by grooming internal candidates. So when
Spencer Stuart is engaged to do a CFO search, we find it much
more common today that an internal candidate—and
sometimes more than one—is being seriously considered,
compared to five years ago.
Q: What are some key practices you see among organizations
that stress succession planning for the CFO role?
Joel von Ranson: I think the companies with more robust CFO
succession planning make it an ongoing topic in the
boardroom. It is important to have directors elevating their
interest in succession and communicating that interest to the
CEO, CFO and general counsel, even asking about specific
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21
plans and seeking exposure to the next level of talent
beneath the CFO. The management teams of organizations
with a deep bench of finance talent tend to develop their top
performers by rotation through diverse finance assignments
and board exposure. And they are bringing potential
successors into the boardroom earlier and more often to
interact with the directors and get that exposure.
Effective succession practices also include providing
exposure for that next level of finance talent to investors and
the analyst community. Gaining experience in that kind of
interaction with stakeholders can be an important
opportunity for aspiring CFOs, especially given the rising
importance of investor relations experience and credibility in
CFO searches17
Brexit: A Textbook Lesson on Disruption
Mention “disruption” and the conversation often defaults to
technology. As in, what new and emerging technologies are
both upending and changing what’s possible for business?
That’s an important story. But when it comes to disruption,
it’s not the only story. Disruption also occurs when the
conditions or assumptions that underlie an organization’s
business success change—and change quickly. A textbook
example? The shock and aftershocks brought about by the
Brexit referendum.
On June 23, 2016, the British people voted to leave the
European Union (EU). Even as the votes were counted, most
British citizens, U.K. government leaders, world leaders and
interested observers thought the Remain vote would win the
day. The next morning, the Leave campaign’s 52% victory was
met with both disbelief and alarm.
Some consequences were immediate: The resignation of the
British prime minister, the fall of the British currency, a tumble
in the equities market and the subsequent breakdown of the
opposition leadership. The impact was huge, the uncertainty,
unprecedented. Business leaders were forced to confront a
situation that few had taken seriously.
17 How Shareholder Activism Is Impacting CFO Searches, The Wall Street Journal,June 2015
What’s the Broader Lesson for Business Leaders?
Certainly, the Brexit referendum is important in and of itself.
This is particularly true for companies with investments,
people and exposure in the United Kingdom, as they face
unparalleled disruption and a reorientation to a new set of
trading relationships. But Brexit also offers a broader lesson:
Geopolitical, geo-economic and international issues beyond
our control can suddenly disrupt conditions that had only
yesterday seemed like safe bets, and the circumstances upon
which we make decisions on how to compete and win in the
marketplace can shift in abrupt and unexpected ways.
Brexit brings two challenges to the fore: The first and more
immediate challenge is how business leaders should react to
this prolonged uncertainty. There is no precedent to know
what this transformation will look like. Equally as challenging
is determining how long it might take, as estimates for the
transition range from at least two to 10 years. Without that
knowledge, it’s hard to make strategic decisions confidently.
The second and longer-term challenge for business leaders
is how to better anticipate and manage strategic surprise. It
is one thing to acknowledge that the world changes quickly
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22
and that events in distant markets may have unexpected
consequences on strategic commitments. It’s another to
create capabilities that can help companies be better
prepared and more resilient when those surprises occur.
Only time will tell what the Brexit vote really means. Is it a
domestic political story confined to the United Kingdom? Or
might it signal a broader retreat from globalization and a
withdrawal from economic trade relations that have been
developed over the last 60 years? If the latter, it could
potentially trigger a cascade of instability—not only within the
European Union, but also with the EU’s trading partners
around the world.
So where is the Upside?
At the moment, it’s difficult to know where opportunities may
lie. But sudden change means that advantage can be seized
by those who are ready to act. For example, there are already
opportunities where organizations can acquire valuable
assets that have suddenly dropped in price. There will also be
“relative” opportunities for organizations that can identify and
take advantage of circumstances more quickly than others.
When sudden and unexpected change occurs, there are two
dominant responses: denial and paralysis. Both are natural
tendencies but they do nothing to help a company gain or
maintain competitive advantage.
The upside, therefore, may be found for those organizations
that can mobilize before the dust settles. Companies that can
move beyond denial and paralysis, recognize the many
variables in play and develop a plan of attack should be better
positioned in the evolving U.K. and EU marketplace.
Companies that sit on the sidelines may see opportunity pass
them by.
What Can Executives Do Now?
Brexit is a call to arms for business leaders who are
concerned about where they see growth and opportunity and
how they win in a global marketplace. This call can be
answered with a commitment to:
Look out into the world beyond our control
Scan for changing circumstances
Rigorously explore, aggressively question and
methodically review how those circumstances could
threaten the fundamental assumptions of how to go to
market.
Every strategy and strategic commitment is built on
assumptions about how the world works. What Brexit has
shown us is that leaders must create the capacity to take
nothing for granted because circumstances can, literally
overnight, change the game, and upend the strategies they
have in place. And the resulting consequences may take years
to resolve.
Business leaders can’t singlehandedly make the world more
stable. But they are in a position to anticipate, adapt,
maneuver, make decisions and adjust course as needed to
help their organizations become more resilient. They also
have scenarios, simulations and other tools at their disposal
to support and accelerate this process.
Brexit isn’t the first big surprise that organizations have had
to manage, and it won’t be the last. As a leader, it is important
to consider how well prepared the organization is for
disruption, from wherever it may come.
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23
The CFO Program for International Companies
Deloitte’s Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Program brings together a multidisciplinary
team of Deloitte leaders and subject matter specialists to help CFOs stay ahead
in the face of growing challenges and demands. The Program harnesses our
organization’s broad capabilities to deliver forward thinking and fresh insights for
every stage of a CFO’s career - helping CFOs manage the complexities of their
roles, tackle their company’s most compelling challenges and adapt to strategic
shifts in the market. Deloitte’s vision is clear: To be recognized as the pre -
eminent advisor to the CFO.
The CFO Program in Japan hosts regular events for executives of international
companies to provide insights and networking opportunities.
Contact: Tom Hewitt | [email protected]
Website: http://www.deloitte.com/jp/en/cfo
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