Cf intro
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Transcript of Cf intro
April 13, 2006 2
Motivations
Wikimedia Foundation:“Imagine a world in which every single person is
given free access to the sum of all human knowledge. That's what we're doing.”
Cyc Foundation:“Imagine a world in which every single person is given free access to programs that reason with the sum of all
human knowledge. That's what we're doing.”
CycCyc
Ontology &Knowledge
Base
ReasoningModules
Interface to External Data Sources
Interface to External Data Sources
Cyc API
Cyc API
Knowledge
Entry ToolsKnow
ledge Entry Tools
User Interface(with Natural Language Dialog)
User Interface(with Natural Language Dialog)
DataBases
WebPages
Text Sources
Other KBs
OtherApplications
KnowledgeAuthors
KnowledgeUsers
ExternalData
Sources
Cyc Reasoning SystemCyc Reasoning System
April 13, 2006 5
Query:“Someone happy”
Caption:“A man watching his daughter take her first step”
Help Find Information by Help Find Information by Inference (+KB)Inference (+KB)
April 13, 2006 6
Query:“Someone happy”
Caption:“A man watching his daughter take her first step”
Help Find Information by Help Find Information by Inference (+KB)Inference (+KB)
(∃x) (feelsEmotion x Happiness Positive)
(∃x,y) (and (father x y) (gender x Female) (sees x y) (walking
Logi
cal I
nfer
ence
(ded
uctio
n)
April 13, 2006 7
Help Find Information by Help Find Information by Inference (+KB)Inference (+KB)
(∃x) (feelsEmotion x Happiness Positive)
(∃x,y) (and (father x y) (gender x Female) (sees x y) (walking
Logi
cal I
nfer
ence
(ded
uctio
n)(implies (and (isa ?BIG-EVENT HumanLifecycleMilestone) (doneBy ?BIG-EVENT ?CHILD) (sees ?PARENT ?BIG-EVENT) (children ?PARENT ?CHILD)) (holdsIn ?BIG-EVENT (feelsEmotionTypeAtLevel ?PARENT (PositiveAmountFn Pride))))
. . .. . .
. . .. . .
ALICE• JUDGE11[9:26:0]I WILL ASK YOU SOME QUESTIONS• PROGRAM[9:26:0]Do you think your plan will succeed?• JUDGE11[9:26:16]WHAT IS THE COLOR OF A BLUE CAR• PROGRAM[9:26:16]WHAT COLOR IS a blue car• JUDGE11[9:26:35]WHERE IS SUE’S NOSE WHEN SUE IS IN
HER HOUSE• PROGRAM[9:26:35]Where it belongs.
Try searching the World Wide Web.• JUDGE11[9:26:49]WHAT HAPPENS TO AN ICE CUBE IN A
HOT DRINK• PROGRAM[9:26:49]Try it.• JUDGE11[9:27:25]HOW IS THE FATHER OF ANDY S
MOTHER RELATED TO ANDY • PROGRAM[9:27:25]Fine as far as I know.
Natural Language Understanding requires having lots of knowledge
1.The pen is in the box. The box is in the pen.
2. The police watched the demonstrators…
…because they feared violence.
…because they advocated violence.
April 13, 2006 10
System: Ready for input.
User: what do you know about anthrax?System: By “anthrax” do you mean
(1) the heavy metal band or (2) bacteria?
User: 2System: Here is what I know about it:
Anthrax is a species of organism.
All anthrax is a bacterium.
All anthrax can lethally infect mammals.
Anthrax is extremely toxic for people to inhale.
Iraq has biological weapons that deliver anthrax.
Anthrax is opaque, tangible, microscopic, .
Anthrax can be dried into spores stored indefinitely
April 13, 2006 11
System: Ready for input.
User: what do you know about TR1?System: I know nothing about it.
What sort of thing is TR1?
User: bacteriaSystem: TR1 lethally infects_________?User: People
System: By “People”, I assume you mean human beings, not People Magazine.
System: Does it infect some broader category of animals (e.g., air-breathing vertebrates, chordates,placental mammals, primates, eucaryotes, etc.)?User: mammals
April 13, 2006 12
System: Is TR1 similar to anthrax?
User: yesSystem: Which of the following are true of TR1:
.
.
.User: Al Qaida possesses some TR1.System: Ready for input.User: Does Osama Bin Laden control anything that can be the basis of weapons of mass destruction?
System: Yes, some TR1.
User: please explainSystem: Osama Bin Laden controls Al Qaida.
Al Qaida posseses some TR1. TR1 is a bacteria that lethally infects people.
April 13, 2006 22
Eff
icie
ncy
Expressiveness
Efficiency vs. ExpressivenessEfficiency vs. Expressiveness
C++
PASCAL
LISP
English, GermanFirst-order logic nth-order logic
HL (heuristic level language)
EL (epistemological level language)
Use two cooperating languages (EL and HL)
to escape the limitations of an age-old tradeoff.
Continuing improvements in inference performance
won’t negatively effect expressiveness.
April 13, 2006 24
BURC: Bootstrapping Using ResearchCyc
• Goal: To extend Cyc’s knowledge base using “relationships implied to be possible, normal or commonplace in the world”
• Prior work with Cyc knowledge entry has been manually oriented
• How will we collect common sense without a body and manual labor…?
• Read, Parse, Mine!• Proposal: Read text, Parse into a database, Extract
relations between words, Propose hypothetical relations between concepts
April 13, 2006 25
BURC: Basic Analogy
• The Shotgun approach to the Human Genome• Extract millions of fragments • Knit them back together by finding commonalities• Will it work for the Human Memome?• James Burke: ‘Mr. Connections’
Lenat’s Bootstrap Hypothesis: once Cyc reaches a certain level/scale it can help in its own development and start using NLP to augment its knowledge base
April 13, 2006 26
Mining Adjective Knowledge Example
• “white blouse” as factoid fragment
• Hypothesis: (plausibleValueOfType Blouse mainColorOfObject WhiteColor)
April 13, 2006 27
Flow of Processing
BNC DataBNC Data
Frag Frag FileFile
Merged Merged Frag FileFrag File
Cyc/RcycCyc/Rcyc
Hypothesis File
Extractor Extractor / DBDB ManagerManager
Parser 1 Parser 2 Parser 3 Parser 4 Parser 5
Frag Frag FileFile
Frag Frag FileFile
Frag Frag FileFile
Frag Frag FileFile
LinkLink Fragments DBFragments DB
Facts(Database)
Facts(Database)
UpperOntology
CoreTheories
Domain-SpecificTheories
April 13, 2006 28
(Very) Brief History of Cyc
• c. 1967 – AI is used on toy problems.
• c. 1977 – Expert systems reason in narrow domains.
• c. 1983 – Lenat, Minsky, Feigenbaum, Kay, and others recognize need for a substrate of shared world knowledge; and realize it would take hundreds of person-years to “prime the pump”.
• 1984 – Admiral Bob Inman convinces Lenat to leave Stanford and pursue this high-risk, high-payoff project (Cyc) within MCC.
• 1994 – Cycorp is formed.
April 13, 2006 30
“The driver of the power of intelligent systems is the knowledge the systems have about their universe of discourse, not the sophistication of the reasoning process the systems employ. Cyc has not only the world’s largest knowledge base, but the best represented from a technical point of view.”
Ed Feigenbauminventor of the first expert system
editor of the AI Handbook
April 13, 2006 31
“People have silly reasons why computers don’t really think. The answer is we haven’t programmed them right; they just don’t have much common sense.
There’s been only one large project to do something about that, that’s the famous Cyc project…”.
-- Marvin Minsky
April 13, 2006 32
How has Cycorp done?
• 20 years• 3 million facts and rules (hand-entered)• Compelling demos• Some applications (constrained by business model)• The basis for much greater growth• “If the right way to build an A.I. involves giving
Cyc away for free, that is what we will do.” – Doug Lenat (repeatedly)
– Note: Jury is out on what the “right way” is
April 13, 2006 33
Cycorp: True to its Promise• OpenCyc
– The entire Cyc structural ontology: FREE– 300,000 concept terms, ~2M facts and rules
• ResearchCyc– Equal to Full Cyc (w/ Research-only license)– Source code for inference engine not released– API with 18,000 functions and macros!– Ability to compile in your own additions
• Q: Will more be released? A: It depends. – Cycorp must financially support its own R&D.– Existing releases must result in major project benefits.
And it doesn’t really matter.
April 13, 2006 34
Time for the Next Phase• Cycorp has gotten us to where we are
– Representational ability– Inference ability– …and will continue (R&D leader, commercialization
• The rest of the world will help get us where we are going– Breadth of content– Broad real-world diffusion
The thinking that got us to where we are today is insufficient to solve the problems that exist today. To solve today's problems requires a new level of thinking.
-- Einstein
April 13, 2006 35
Building Cyc qua Engineering Task
amount known
rate
of l
earn
ing
learning by discove
ry
learning via
natural language
CYC
750 person-years
21 realtime years
$75 million
Frontier of human knowledge
198
4
200
420
06
codify & enter each piece of knowledge, by hand
April 13, 2006 36
Building Cyc qua Engineering Task
amount known
rate
of l
earn
ing
CYC
750 person-years
21 realtime years
$75 million
198
4
200
420
06
codify & enter each piece of knowledge, by hand 1000 years
10 years
April 13, 2006 38
Foundation as Continuation
• Are we trying to make an A.I.?– No.
• Are we trying to make computers behave much more intelligently?– Yes!
April 13, 2006 39
Mission (DRAFT)
The Cyc Foundation has been formed as an independent not-for-profit organization to hasten the arrival of intelligent tools
that will help humanity.
April 13, 2006 40
Assumptions
• (Currently) 9 ideas that shape strategy, objectives and policy
• These may need to be validated, modified or augmented
• In some cases, assumptions are followed by related policy
April 13, 2006 41
Assumption #1
Long before computers are as smart as people, they will be (in some cases already have been) put to use to cure disease, address hunger problems, make important new scientific discoveries and help people work together.
Smarter computers will do a better job of this.
April 13, 2006 42
Assumption #2Cycorp has developed and cared for what we believe is an important piece of the AI puzzle.
They have always wanted to release it to the public, but it had to be when people could realistically develop it further on their own without in some way endangering the project.
One fear was “forking”, or creating incompatible variants of the knowledge base.
Cycorp and The Foundation will cooperate on 1 KB.
April 13, 2006 43
Flow of Cyc Data
Cycorp
Cyc Foundation
RCyc User
Gamer / Wikipedia user
Team:- Subject-matter expert- Ontologist
April 13, 2006 44
Assumption #3The knowledge that will give computers human-like intelligence ultimately needs to be free.
That's our best hope of having it put to best use.
Portions of knowledge will always be held proprietary.
The more shared a piece of knowledge, the greater will be the force pulling all of its representations toward freedom (to avoid the burden of maintaining a non-standard representation).
April 13, 2006 45
Assumption #4Proposed Semantic Web standards (such as those related to OWL) are an important step in the right direction, because they provide a foundation for working with meaning on the Web.The Cyc ontology will be a valuable addition, because it can act as a semantic hub, allowing us to have shared meaning.There is some concern that a top-down central ontology will dictate use of terms that may not meet a project’s needs. We will be able to show that use of the Cyc ontology can satisfy both needs and will be a useful complement to the great work that has already been done toward the Semantic Web.
April 13, 2006 46
Assumption #5
We all have something to learn.
We all have something to teach.
The Foundation mission will benefit from a very broad base of support, rather than the traditional rule by the technical elite.
April 13, 2006 47
Assumption #6
For this effort, focused work by many will be more valuable than genius work by a few.
To be most helpful, people should work together, and on tasks where they are capable of contributing successfully.
(Example: don’t go off and try to “solve the A.I. problem” by yourself.)
April 13, 2006 48
Assumption #7
Regular humans can be turned off by overly technical talk that is out of place – and rightly so.
We need to be inclusive in our language and in our activities in order to ensure the broadest base of support and participation.
This is especially true in the Cyclify initiative.
April 13, 2006 49
Assumption #8
There is no “us” and “them”
• The Foundation is managed by its volunteer board and run by its volunteer members
• The Foundation will start with no employees
• The will be no BDFL – Benevolent Dictator for Life
April 13, 2006 50
Assumption #9
Fun is mandatory!
• By comparison, contributing to SETI is like cleaning your oven while you sleep.
• This work will be hands-on, compelling and (hopefully) addictive.
• If you’re not having fun, find out why and fix it.
April 13, 2006 51
Foundation Goals
• Convert human knowledge to a form that computers can reason with
– Grow the Cyc Ontology and KB Exponentially
• Establish a standard vocabulary and language for representing concepts & knowledge
• Support the creation of intelligent tools
• Promote free and efficient knowledge transfer
Cyclify
April 13, 2006 52
Cyclify Knowledge Collection Activities• Web Games
– Validate acquired knowledge– Multiple-choice fact entry– More?
• Wikipedia Linking• KR Dating Service
– Wiki-based knowledge entry– A SME paired with an ontologist
• WordNet Linking
April 13, 2006 53
Playflow Within Cyclify
Wikipedia userTeam:- Subject-matter expert- Ontologist
GameServer
Wiki KnowledgeServer
WikipediaData
RCyc UserCycorp
K. AcquisitonData
Gamer
RCycRCyc
April 13, 2006 54
I’m thinking of a sentence…
Because I read about it on the web.
Status:I have 2 answers
TrueTrue Fibromyalgia is caused by ticks.
FalseFalse Don’t KnowDon’t KnowDoesn’t make senseDoesn’t make sense
Score: 24
April 13, 2006 55
Status:I think this sentence is probably not right
Submitting...
Thank you!Answers: 2
You agreed with: 100%
I now have a better understanding of:
Fibromyalgia is caused by ticks.
Score: +2NextNext
Score: 26
April 13, 2006 56
Cyc Image
DMZ Boundary
computer (inside) computer (outside)
KAGs
GAFsweb gatheredhypothesized
asserted…
Forwardrules
SubL form, runningKAG-collecting query
scpXMLfile
Populator (java)
Applet
XMLfile
PostGRESdatabase
Question Server (java)
Applet
Current Architecture
Applet
April 13, 2006 57
Cyc Foundation Projects
• Nonprofit Formation (planning/budgeting/filing)• Foundation Website• Cyclify• Fundraising• Membership management• Events• ResearchCyc
– Recommend Cyc features / functions / design– Help with ResearchCyc testing, documentation
April 13, 2006 58
Budgeting
• Must develop budget related to Year 1 plan
• Possible areas of spending– Legal filings– Server hosting– W3C membership
– Conference attendance– Fundraising
April 13, 2006 59
Foundation Website
• Requirements– Content management features– Collaboration features– Out-of-the-box ease of use
– Free
• Currently evaluating Joomla (Mambo)
• Desired launch: May 15
April 13, 2006 60
Cyclify Projects• First Web Game
– Develop game– Viral marketing– Add wiki linking activity
• Wiki Knowledge Collection– Set up wikip.cyclify.org– Add frame for ontologizing– Feed wikip links to Web game
• Back End– Design and implement PlayFlow– Submit collected knowledge to Cycorp
April 13, 2006 61
Fundraising• Individual Memberships
– Free membership for first 6 months for Cyclify members and ResearchCyc users?
– How much?– What do you get?
• Corporate Donations– Need to prepare story– Seems feasible to get donations
April 13, 2006 62
What does nonprofit mean?
• Cannot have investors or disburse earnings
• Can have earnings, though
• Revenues must come from services that are within mission
• 501(c)(3)? (like Wikimedia Foundation)
• Or 501(c)(6)? (like Eclipse Foundation)
April 13, 2006 63
The Foundation Board of Directors
John De Oliveira Founder and President Strategy, Corp. Fundraising
Mark Baltzegar Co-Founder and Vice President Strategy, Game Devel., IT
OPEN Secretary, Treasurer Secretary, Treasurer
David James Board Member Organizational Dynamics
OPEN Board Member Standards
OPEN Board Member Events, Operations Delegator
OPEN Board Member Architecture, Playflow Design
TBD Sept. 2006 Board Member Oversight
Name Position Role
April 13, 2006 64
The Foundation: MembershipProject Leader, Cyclify Stu Baurman Keith Wright
Project Leader, ResearchCyc Kino Coursey Pierluigi Miraglia
High Scorer (current month) Douglas Miles Gavin Matthews
High Scorer (all time) Arturo Hernandez Joe Simone
David Whitten Guyren Howe ~100 ResearchCyc Users
Brad Bouldin John Cabral YOU!
Larry Lefkowitz Ben Rode
Bill Jarrold Jason Azbahr
April 13, 2006 65
ResearchCyc Users
Xerox PARC
Daxtron Labs Lockheed Martin ATLD
Government
Government-related
Commercial
HoustonVA Medical Center
Air ForceRome Labs
Institute for the StudyOf Accelerating Change
U of Maryland
Language ComputerCorporation
NTTCommunications Science
Laboratories (Japan)
Northwestern U Stanford NLP Dept.
ANSER, Inc.
LBJ School of Public Affairs
Fraunhofer Institute
U of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
New MexicoHighlands Univ.
Harvard U
Linkoping U (Sweden)
Radboud U (Netherlands)
Tokyo Inst.of Technology
Terra IncognitaUniversity
Microfabrica, Inc.
U of Stuttgart
NPOs
MIT Media Lab
Witan International
U of Pennsylvania
SRI21st Century
Technologies
U of Minnesota
Stone’s Throw Technologies
ISI
Trimtab Consulting
U of Hawaii
Rensselaer AI and Reasoning LabTNO-DMV (Netherlands)
Sapio Systems (Denmark)
U of Toronto
Knowledge Media Institute, Open
University
Austin Info Systems
April 13, 2006 66
How can I help?
• Humans (a.k.a. common sense experts)
• Programmers– Web programmers– Cyc programmers
• Ontologists
• Subject-matter experts
• Bloggers
April 13, 2006 67
Human Cyclists*• Play the Web Game• Come up with new game ideas• Link Wikipedia to Cyc• Learn more about Cyc• Befriend an ontologist• Tell a friend about Cyclify• Write to a blog about Cyclify• Help with viral marketing• Design a logo• T-Shirts: Buy one, or Create and sell them
* From now on, we’re all “Cyclists” – people who interact with Cyc in one way or another.
April 13, 2006 68
Programmers
• Help design and build a web services interface• Learn the architecture of Web Game #1• Design an add-on for the Web game• Learn how to use the question server• Propose a new game• Help develop/support technical infrastructure• Help organize documentation• Help write the Cyc books
– to be published by O'Reilly
April 13, 2006 69
Ontologists
• Identify gaps in the knowledge base
• Befriend a Subject Matter Expert– Work together on a domain
• Befriend a Human Cyclist– Teach one who wants to learn basic ontology skills
• Help organize documentation
• Help write the Cyc books