Central Coast Seismicity Locations...Onshore section (“San Simeon Fault”): planar seismicity...
Transcript of Central Coast Seismicity Locations...Onshore section (“San Simeon Fault”): planar seismicity...
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Central Coast Seismicity Locations
Jeanne Hardebeck US Geological Survey
Menlo Park, CA
11/29/2011
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Seismic Network Issues for Earthquake Location:
- Many stations are single-component, difficult to identify S-wave arrivals.
- Sparser coverage outside of Parkfield and San Luis Obispo areas.
- One-sided station coverage for along-shore events, e.g. Hosgri and Shoreline Faults.
- No stations within a focal depth (rule of thumb for good location quality) for earthquakes further off-shore.
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Earthquake Locations
Data:
Phase Data
- Arrival times of P and S waves, provided by network operators.
Waveforms
- Relative arrival times of P and S waves from waveform cross-correlation.
Location Methods:
Catalog Locations:
- 1D seismic velocity model, phase data only
3D seismic velocity model from tomography; SIMULPS code (Thurber, 1993)
- 3D seismic velocity model improves absolute earthquake locations.
Double-difference relocation; “hypoDD” code (Waldhauser & Ellsworth, 2000)
- Improve relative earthquake locations using relative arrival times from cross-correlation.
Double-difference tomography; “tomoDD” code (Zhang & Thurber, 2003)
- Improve absolute and relative earthquake locations, using 3D velocity model and relative arrival times from cross-correlation.
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tomoDD
Two step: 3D velocity & hypoDD
Hardebeck, J. L., Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 100, 1031-1050, 2010. Locations available at: http://www.seismosoc.org/publications/BSSA_html/bssa_100-3/2009307-esupp/index.html
15,925 events
1987-2008
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Hardebeck, J. L., Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 100, 1031-1050, 2010. Locations available at: http://www.seismosoc.org/publications/BSSA_html/bssa_100-3/2009307-esupp/index.html
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Hosgri Fault:
Onshore section (“San Simeon Fault”): planar seismicity beneath surface trace, 2-14 km depth, deepens to the north.
Offshore Cayucos: planar seismicity, 4-10 km depth.
Offsore Point Buchon: planar seismicity beneath surface trace, 2-12 km depth, deepens to the east.
Locations along southern Hosgri Fault poorly constrained.
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Irish Hills:
Shoreline Fault: planar seismicity, from 2 km to 10-12 km depth, deepens slightly to the north.
Onshore seismicity bounded by Shoreline and Los Osos Faults.
No clear dipping structures under Irish Hills.
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Estimate Location Accuracy: Relocate Shots
Hardebeck, J. L., Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 100, 1031-1050, 2010.
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Estimate location uncertainty from synthetic catalogs:
• Known “true” locations.
• Forward problem with same source-station geometry as actual recorded events.
• Add random errors to phase arrival times and cross-correlation times.
• Relocate, using velocity model with random errors.
• Uncertainty from distribution of recovered locations, from ~300 synthetic catalogs.
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Consistency check for cross-correlation times:
errijk = |xcorij+xcorjk-xcorik|
- Almost always consistent to within sample rate for high-quality cross-correlation times (correlation coefficient ≥0.8).
- Loose lower bound on error of cross-correlation times.
- I’m not confident of apparent sub-sample precision. Use sample rate as a lower bound on the error.
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Estimate phase catalog arrival time errors:
errij = |xcorij-(tti-ttj)|
errij ≈ | error(tti) - error(ttj) |
- assuming error(xcor) << error(tt)
- Best model for error(tt) is exponential (long tailed distribution).
- Lower bound on arrival time error (can’t detect systematic errors).
Error normalized by network formal error:
Quality 0 : 0.1 sec
Quality 1 : 0.2 sec
Quality 2 : 0.5 sec
Quality 3 : 1.0 sec
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Estimate velocity model error:
• Checkerboard tests.
• errV = | vtrue - vrecovered| / vtrue
Hardebeck
BSSA, 2010
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Estimate location uncertainty from synthetic catalogs:
• Known “true” locations.
• Forward problem with same source-station geometry as actual recorded events.
• Add random errors to phase arrival times and cross-correlation times.
• Relocate, using velocity model with random errors.
• Uncertainty from distribution of recovered locations from ~300 synthetic catalogs.
• Lower bound on uncertainty, since random errors came from lower bounds on true error.
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Estimate location uncertainty:
- Systematic location offsets: warp or offset of the synthetic “Hosgri Fault” is an artifact.
- Largest horizontal uncertainty in the direction towards and away from the coast.
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Including OBS, best possible case:
- All events recorded on all OBSs.
- P-wave picks all quality 0 (best); S-wave picks all quality 1.
- All OBSs cross-correlate for all pairs of events within 3 km of each other.
1σ uncertainty
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Lower bound on uncertainty: 1987-2010 station configuration:
Adding planned OBS locations - best case scenario:
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Summary of Central Coast Earthquake Locations:
- Hosgri Fault: Planar seismicity beneath some sections of surface trace, in places down to 10-14 km depth. In Point Buchon area, deeper events are slightly to the east.
- Shoreline Fault: Planar seismicity, down to 10-12 km depth.
- Irish Hills seismicity bounded by Shoreline and Los Osos Faults. No clear dipping structures.
- Earthquake location uncertainty in Point Buchon area estimated by average error of shot relocations:
- Horizontal: 1.03 km; Vertical: 0.91 km.
- Lower bound on earthquake location uncertainty in Point Buchon area estimated from synthetic catalogs. Average 1σ uncertainty:
- Horizontal: 0.93 km; Vertical: 0.93 km.
- In the best case, planned OBS deployment will reduce uncertainty offshore Point Buchon by 30-50%. Given the current low seismicity rate it may take some time to accumulate many new events.