Center for Public Policy Priorities How to Use KIDS COUNT Data How to Use KIDS COUNT Data Houston...
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Transcript of Center for Public Policy Priorities How to Use KIDS COUNT Data How to Use KIDS COUNT Data Houston...
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
How to UseHow to Use KIDS COUNT KIDS COUNT DataData
Houston Conference on ChildrenJune 15, 2005
Frances Deviney, PhDKIDS COUNT Director
Eva DeLuna Castro, MPASenior Budget Analyst
Center for Public Policy Priorities
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Training Objectives
• Access the KIDS COUNT data from the CPPP website
• Examine the data for your county, region, and Texas
• Understand (some) data limitations
• Make your point using KC data in combination with other state/local data
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Why Do You Want Data?
• To describe a problem
• To answer a question
• To help set priorities
• To monitor changes
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
What Can the Data Tell You?
• Magnitude of the Problem – Number and Rate (Profiles)
• Scope of the Problem (Rates; Change over time)
• Relative Standing (Rankings)
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Getting Started: County Profiles
• Yearly County Profiles can tell you the magnitude of the problem you are examining & the relative standing of your county compared to other counties.
• TX KIDS COUNT Data Profiles from the “State of Texas Children 2004” Fact Book http://factbook.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Getting Started: Change over Time
Texas KIDS COUNT Interactive Database
http://kidscount.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
What You Should Know to Use the Data
• Percentages
• Rates (Numerators, Denominators)
• “Problems” with Small Numbers
• Considerations when Making Comparisons
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Things to Remember When Looking at Rates
• Percentages are calculated as follows:# Babies at Low Birthweight (LBW) ÷ # Live Births
= % of population
• Sometimes, useful to represent these numbers as rates: 35 babies born at LBW ÷ 5892 live births = .9%As a rate per 1,000 births, .9% = 9 LBW births per
1,000 live births
Caution: Looking at rates alone can sometimes mask key information needed to fully understand the problem
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Things to Remember When Looking at Rates
• Hypothetical Scenario– Outreach & education to reduce the
incidence of low birthweight babies in your region
• 2 different approaches to the problem– Focus on the counties with the greatest
need, regardless of differences between sub-populations
– Focus on the sub-populations most in need across counties
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Low Birthweight Data
NumberBirths LBW
County A 10,000 140 14.0
County B 10,000 110 11.0
Rate per 1,000 Births
Low Birthweight Example
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
NumberBirths LBW
County A White 6,000 60 10.0Black 4,000 80 20.0
Total 10,000 140 14.0
County B White 9,000 90 10.0Black 1,000 20 20.0
Total 10,000 110 11.0
Rate per 1,000 Births
Low Birthweight Example (cont.)
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Considerations when
Looking at Rates
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
What’s Up With Chambers County?
Juvenile Violent Crime Rate
050
100150200250300350400450500
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Rat
e p
er 1
00,0
00 1
5-19
yea
r-o
lds
Harris
Chambers
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Juvenile Violent Crime (Numbers)
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Chambers (Number)
2 1 6 12 9 4 3 4 7
Chambers (Pop 15-19)
3106 3159 3256 3277 3266 3227 3181 3614 3181
Harris (Number)
1613 1618 1478 1204 1016 869 787 745 749
Harris (Pop 15-19)
356,465
361,487
366,356
374,555
379,898
384,745
390,116
421,768
390,116
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Things to Remember When Looking at Rates
• Rates can change dramatically for smaller counties or smaller categories with a small shift in raw number
• Depending upon your interest, you may be better served by examining:– the change in raw # over time– how current data compare to the state,
nearby counties, or similar counties based on demographics & geography
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Things to Remember When Looking at Rankings
• Rankings are based on the Rates
– Thus, they are subject to the same considerations as described above
•Ranking can change dramatically for smaller counties or smaller categories with a small shift in raw number
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Things to Remember When Looking at Rankings
• In a state with 254 Counties and varying demographics & geographies, what does it mean to be ranked 127th on an indicator?
– Depending upon your interest, you may be better suited to look at:
• the change in raw # over time• how current data compare to the state, nearby
counties, or similar counties based on demographics & geography
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Things to Remember When Looking at Rankings
• A very good ranking can give a false sense of confidence, and leave some feeling like there is no work left to be done
• A very poor ranking can give the feeling that the task is insurmountable, and funds are better spent in an area where improvement seems more likely
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Examples: Using Texas Kids Count data in Budget Policy Analysis
Policy Analysis Assignment #1: Estimate the impact of S.B. 1 (General Appropriations Act), 2005 Session, on Harris County CHIP caseloads and funding.
Research involved:
1) From Kids Count database, get information showing that Harris County CHIP caseload is about 19% of Texas’ total enrollment in CHIP
2) From S.B. 1 (or CPPP), get information on total funding approved for CHIP ($610 million for 2006; $791 million for 2007), number of children funded at that level (362,175/398,630), and annual cost per child ($1,683/$1,985). While you’re at it, get same info for 2004/2005.
3) Make one assumption: that Harris County CHIP enrollment will continue to be about 19% of the state total. Apply this share to the information you have for 2004-07. Results?
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
$99.5$88.7
$115.8
$150.4
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
2004 2005 2006 2007
-
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
CHIP Spending in Million $ (left axis) Enrollment (right axis)
Estimated CHIP Enrollment and Spending in Harris County
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Policy Analysis Assignment #2: Estimate the impact of S.B. 1 on Harris County foster care caseloads and
payments.
Research involved:
1) From Kids Count database, get information showing that Harris County paid foster care clientele [unduplicated] is about 14.9% of the state total; foster care payments are about 14.6% of state total. (Average of 2003 and 2004 data.)
2) From S.B. 1 (or CPPP), get information on total funding approved for foster care payments ($377 million for 2006; $356 million for 2007), and number of children funded at that level (18,522/19,257 average monthly FTEs). Get same info for 2003/2004/2005.
3) Make two assumptions: that Harris County caseloads and payments will at least keep their same share of state total as in 2003 and 2004; and that Kids Count data are similar enough to what’s in S.B. 1. Apply this share to the information you have for 2003-07. Results?
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
$48.9$44.2
$50.5 $50.9$53.9
$-
$15.0
$30.0
$45.0
$60.0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
-
1,500
3,000
4,500
6,000
Foster Care Payments in Million $ (left axis) Foster Care Clients (right axis)
Estimated Foster Care Clientele and PaymentsHarris County
Center for Public Policy Priorities
www.cppp.org
Other Useful Websites
• Annie E. Casey Foundation – CLICKS data
http://www.aecf.org/kidscount/
• Health & Human Services Commission (birth, death, vital statistics data)
http://soupfin.tdh.state.tx.us/
• State Demographer (population data) http://txsdc.utsa.edu/