Censorship Slides - Harvard University

115
Avian flu and scientific censorship When should scientists keep their mouths shut? Tina Liu Ann Fiegen Kevin Bonham

Transcript of Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Page 1: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Avian flu and scientific censorship When should scientists keep their mouths shut?

Tina Liu

Ann Fiegen

Kevin Bonham

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Meet H5N1, an avian flu virus

Nevit Dilman, CC Attribution Share-Alike 3.0

60% mortality

rate in

documented

cases of human

infection.

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“Deadly Flu Made

Airborne” -NYTimes, Dec 2011

“Dutch lab creates highly contagious

killer flu” -The Independent, Dec 2011

“‘mutant bird flu’ sparking terrorist fears” -The Telegraph, Dec 2011

“Bird Flu

strains should

be kept secret,

government

says”

-San Francisco Chronicle,

Dec 2011

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When should scientists keep their mouths shut?

Tina Liu – Censorship in the past:

recombinant DNA research

Ann Fiegen – Censorship today: A killer flu

virus created? How and why?

Kevin Bonham – Weighing the risks: how do

we proceed?

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US halts one DNA experiment

at Harvard Dec 16, 1977, Boston Globe

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Outline

1. Biological basics.

2. The first recombinant DNA

3. The “Frankenstein factor”: response of

science and society

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DNA is the blueprint of life

Alvesgaspar, CC Attribution Share-Alike 3.0; Nicolas Suzor, CC Attribution Share-Alike 2.0, Wikicommons

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How is the information in DNA used?

Booyabazooka, CC Attribution Share-Alike 3.0, Inner Schweinehund, CC Attribution Share-Alike 2.5

DNA (genes)

“Encyclopedia”

is transcribed to RNA.

“Messages”

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How is the information in DNA “read”?

Booyabazooka, CC Attribution Share-Alike 3.0, Inner Schweinehund, CC Attribution Share-Alike 2.5

DNA (genes)

“Encyclopedia”

RNA

“Messages”

is translated to Protein.

“Workers”

Changes in DNA lead to changes in protein

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Why is genetic research important?

Diabetes Cancer

Responsible for 13% of all

deaths worldwide in one

year

1 of 12 people in the U.S.

are affected.

Understand genetic basis Develop better treatments

Steven Depolo, CC Attribution Generic 2.0, Wikicommons

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Research isn’t just about doing experiments…

http://undsci.berkeley.edu/article/0_0_0/howscienceworks_02

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Outline

1. Biological basics.

2. The first recombinant DNA

3. The “Frankenstein factor”: response of

science and society

Page 13: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Biological research, pre-1970

Proteins or DNA

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Recombinant DNA: a new,

improved tool for biology

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, CC Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 United States License.

Stanley Cohen Stanford University

Herbert Boyer UC-San Francisco

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Construction of recombinant DNA

Frog DNA

Bacterial DNA

(plasmid)

Recombinant

DNA

+

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Construction of recombinant DNA

Recombinant

DNA

Bacterial cell

Frog

protein

Experiments

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Biological research, post-rDNA

Proteins or DNA

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Biological research, post-rDNA

Proteins or DNA

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Many diabetics lack

insulin, a hormone.

Treatment requires

regular insulin

injections.

Insulin!

World Health Organization, obtained from the National Library of Medicine.

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+

Bacteria

Potential of recombinant DNA?

= ?

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“Is this the answer to Dr. Frankenstein’s dream?”

-Alfred E. Vellucci, Mayor of Cambridge, 1976

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What do you think?

Questions?

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Outline

1. Biological basics.

2. The first recombinant DNA

3. The “Frankenstein factor”: response of

science and society

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Worries of a biologist...

1. Antibiotic resistance genes

2. Toxin genes

3. Cancer genes

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Asilomar: first of its kind

National Library of Medicine, USA

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Asilomar: who was there?

• Scientists

• Attorneys

• Reporters

National Library of Medicine, USA

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Fruits of

Asilomar

• NIH Committee

• Rules and proper

procedures for rDNA

handling

National Library of Medicine, USA

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Congress takes on DNA Mar 27, 1977, Chicago Tribune

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Frankenstein… or not?

• Not as dangerous as

suspected

• No public health disasters

to this day

• Exchange of DNA

between organisms occurs

in nature, too!

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Gene technology is generally

safe, panel concludes

Boston Globe, 1987

Despite questions, it’s time to

embrace gene therapy

Chicago Tribune, 1990

Genetic scientists close in on

cause of cystic fibrosis

Chicago Tribune, 1985

10 years

later…

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Uses of rDNA in medicine today

• Vaccines

• Drugs

• Gene therapy

• Diagnostic tools

• And many more…

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Outline

1. Biological basics.

2. The first recombinant DNA

3. The “Frankenstein factor”: response of

science and society

What about this new avian flu virus?

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“Dutch lab creates highly contagious

killer flu” -The Independent, Dec 2011

“Deadly Flu Made

Airborne” -NYTimes, Dec 2011

“‘mutant bird flu’ sparking terrorist fears” -The Telegraph, Dec 2011

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“This is an

Asilomar moment”

- Paul Keim

Chair of the U.S. National Science

Advisory Board for Biosecurity

December 2011

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When should scientists keep their mouths shut?

Tina Liu – Censorship in the past:

recombinant DNA research

Ann Fiegen – Censorship today: A dangerous

flu virus created? How and why.

Kevin Bonham – Weighing the risks: how do

we proceed?

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Part II: A dangerous flu virus created?

How and Why.

• Influenza virus: parts and life cycle

• Lock and Key: Cellular and Viral Receptors

• Human vs Avian vs Swine Flu

• The ‘censored’ studies

– The Goal

– The Experiments

– The Benefits

• “The Doomsday virus” and Censorship

Page 37: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Part II: A dangerous flu virus created?

How and Why.

• Influenza virus: parts and life cycle

• Lock and Key: Cellular and Viral Receptors

• Human vs Avian vs Swine Flu

• The ‘censored’ studies

– The Goal

– The Experiments

– The Benefits

• “The Doomsday virus” and Censorship

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Influenza Virus: Parts of a virus

Genome (RNA)

Surface Proteins:

Hemaglutinin (H)

Neuraminidase (N)

PRNewsFoto Zygote Media Group, TWIV.tv

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Influenza Virus: Life Cycle

Enter

Release Genome

Replicate Genome

Make Protein

Assemble

Exit

Cell Nucleus

Cell Membrane

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Part II: A dangerous flu virus created?

How and Why.

• Influenza virus: parts and life cycle

• Lock and Key: Cellular and Viral Receptors

• Human vs Avian vs Swine Flu

• The ‘censored’ studies

– The Goal

– The Experiments

– The Benefits

• “The Doomsday virus” and Censorship

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Cells have many proteins

RNA Protein

Inside the cell:

Building

Transporting

Outside the cell:

Hold the cell in place

Detect chemical signals

DNA

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Which cells does Influenza virus infect?

TWIV.tv, Clker.com

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Which cells does Influenza Virus infect?

TWIV.tv, Clker.com

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Part II: A dangerous flu virus created?

How and Why.

• Influenza virus: parts and life cycle

• Lock and Key: Cellular and Viral Receptors

• Human vs Avian vs Swine Flu

• The ‘censored’ studies

– The Goal

– The Experiments

– The Benefits

• “The Doomsday virus” and Censorship

Page 45: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Which cells does Influenza virus infect?

H1, H2, H3

H5, H7

Clker.com, virology.ws

H5, H7

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Seasonal Flu – easy come, easy go

“Seasonal Flu” (H1, H2, H3)

• Infects upper respiratory tract

• Excellent airborne transmission

• No lung infection – not severe

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Avian Influenza – damage in the deep

H5N1 “Avian Flu”

• Difficult to catch because air

droplets must get deep

• Severe symptoms due to

damaging infection of lungs

• Not transmissible to others,

because virus cannot escape lungs

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Questions?

Page 49: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Part II: A dangerous flu virus created?

How and Why.

• Influenza virus: parts and life cycle

• Lock and Key: Cellular and Viral Receptors

• Human vs Avian vs Swine Flu

• The ‘censored’ studies

– The Goal

– The Experiments

– The Benefits

• “The Doomsday virus” and Censorship

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Avian Influenza – the fear of change

H5N1 “Avian Flu”

• Not transmissible between humans

• Severe symptoms

Q: How might Avian Flu change, to gain

airborne transmission in humans?

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H5N1 Studies: The Goal

Dirk-Jan Visser, ScienceInsider Michael Forster Rothbart, UW-Madison

“… to understand what it takes for flu to go airborne [in

humans].” – Ron Fouchier, Erasmus Medical Center

“To identify novel mutations in avian H5… that confer

human-type receptor-binding preference.”

– Yoshihiro Kawaoka, UW-Madison

RNA Protein Ron Fouchier Yoshihiro Kawaoka

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H5N1 Studies: Ferrets as a model

Ferret infections similar to human infection

Similar cellular receptors as humans

Similar symptoms of infection

Better than mice or monkeys

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H5N1 Studies: The Experiments

1. Begin with H5N1 Avian flu from a sick bird

2. Engineer ‘starter’ changes in virus’s RNA

3. Infect ferrets

4. Collect virus

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1. Begin with H5N1 Avian flu from a sick bird

2. Engineer ‘starter’ changes in virus’s RNA

3. Infect ferrets

4. Collect virus

- check airborne transmission

- check virulence

H5N1 Studies: The Experiments

Page 55: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

H5N1 Studies: The Experiments

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H5N1 Studies: The Results – “Doomsday”

virus?

“Four [mutations] in H5 …confer efficient

respiratory droplet transmission in ferrets

to a virus possessing an H5 HA in a

2009 pandemic H1N1 backbone.”

Page 57: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

H5N1 Studies: Benefits

• Surveillance

• Pandemic control

• Virus evolution

• Vaccines

• Drugs

Dual-use Research: “..with the potential for

both benevolent and malevolent

applications…”

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H5N1 Studies: NSABB Censorship

National Science Advisory Board for Biosecurity (NSABB)

• Federal committee to guide dual-use research

• 25 voting members

• Does not fund or approve research

• Provides recommendations

Microbeworld.tumblr.com

“...the NSABB recommended that the manuscripts not include the methodological...details that could enable replication of the experiments by those who would seek to do harm.”

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H5N1 Studies: Benefits

• Surveillance

• Pandemic control

• Virus evolution

• Vaccines

• Drugs

Page 60: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

When should scientists keep their mouths shut?

Tina Liu – Censorship in the past:

recombinant DNA research

Ann Fiegen – Censorship today: A dangerous

flu virus created? How and why.

Kevin Bonham – Weighing the risks: how do

we proceed?

Page 61: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 62: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 63: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

The 1918 Spanish Flu

• Lasted from Jan 1918

to Dec 1920

• Between 50-100 million

people killed (3-6% of

the world population)

– About 27% of humans

were infected

• ~ 10-20% mortality Wikimedia commons

Page 64: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Recipe for Danger

Highly transmissible + High mortality = Deadly pandemic

Wikimedia commons

Page 65: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Recipe for Danger

Highly transmissible + High mortality = Deadly pandemic

Wikimedia commons

Page 66: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Recipe for Danger

Highly transmissible + High mortality = Deadly pandemic

Wikimedia commons

Page 67: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Spanish Flu, Bird Flu and “Ferret Flu”

• Highly infectious

(transmissible

from human to

human)

• High mortality rate

in humans

• Not transmissible

from human to

human (yet)

• High mortality rate in

humans (as high as

60%*)

• Unknown person-

person transmission

• Unknown mortality

rate in humans

Wikimedia commons

Page 68: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Brief Interlude on Mortality

# of deaths attributed to H5N1

# of clinically confirmed cases of H5N1 = H5N1 Mortality

(~60%)

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QUESTIONS?

Page 70: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 71: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Biosafety containment

BSL2 BSL3 BSL4

Wikimedia commons

Page 72: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 73: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What Was Censored?

Page 74: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Bits of DNA

Sequence Enzymes

DNA

building

blocks

Page 75: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 76: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Cells

Virus Genes

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 77: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 78: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Cells

Virus Genes

Virus

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 79: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Is this process easier than repeating

serial passage experiment?

• This is possible without knowing

anything about the genetic

sequence of the virus

• The resulting mutations might be

completely different

Page 80: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

– By nature

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 81: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Interspecies transmission may happen

regardless of human intervention

Page 82: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

QUESTIONS?

Page 83: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

– By nature

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 84: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

H5N1 Studies: Benefits

• Surveillance

• Pandemic control

• Virus evolution

• Vaccines

• Drugs

Page 85: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Science Works Best When

Information is Freely Shared

http://undsci.berkeley.edu/article/0_0_0/howscienceworks_02

Page 86: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

– By nature

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 87: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

The Life of Risky Research

Risky Research

Funding?

Positive outcomes

Negative Consequences Threat of Inaction

X X

Page 88: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

The Path Forward is Up to Us

• Scientists have an obligation to

communicate the risks and rewards of

their research

• Policy makers and the public should try to

stay informed

• Scientists need to be proactive in

addressing risk and self-regulating

Page 89: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Summary

• The dangers of pandemic flu are real (though often

exaggerated)

• “Ferret flu” research has a risk of releasing dangerous

virus (due to accident or malicious intent)

– Risk is unknown

– The withheld data does not necessarily eliminate the risk

• There are also dangers to not doing the research

• Scientists must engage with the public and with policy

makers to communicate risks and benefits of dual-use

research

Page 90: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 91: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 92: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

The 1918 Spanish Flu

• Lasted from Jan 1918

to Dec 1920

• Between 50-100 million

people killed (3-6% of

the world population)

– About 27% of humans

were infected

• ~ 10-20% mortality Wikimedia commons

Page 93: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Recipe for Danger

Highly transmissible + High mortality = Deadly pandemic

Wikimedia commons

Page 94: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Recipe for Danger

Highly transmissible + High mortality = Deadly pandemic

Wikimedia commons

Page 95: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Recipe for Danger

Highly transmissible + High mortality = Deadly pandemic

Wikimedia commons

Page 96: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Spanish Flu, Bird Flu and “Ferret

Flu”

• Highly infectious

(transmissible

from human to

human)

• High mortality rate

in humans

• Not transmissible

from human to

human (yet)

• High mortality rate in

humans (as high as

60%*)

• Unknown person-

person transmission

• Unknown mortality

rate in humans

Wikimedia commons

Page 97: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

Page 98: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Biosafety containment

BSL2 BSL3 BSL4

Wikimedia commons

Page 99: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 100: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Is this process easier than

repeating serial passage

experiment?

• This is possible without knowing

anything about the genetic

sequence of the virus

• The resulting mutations might be

completely different

Page 101: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Bits of DNA

Sequence Enzymes

DNA

building

blocks

Page 102: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 103: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Cells

Virus Genes

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 104: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 105: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Cells

Virus Genes

Virus

How do you turn a genetic

sequence into virus?

Page 106: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Is this process easier than

repeating serial passage

experiment?

• This is possible without knowing

anything about the genetic

sequence of the virus

• The resulting mutations might be

completely different

Page 107: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

– By nature

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 108: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Interspecies transmission may

happen regardless of human

intervention

Page 109: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

– By nature

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 110: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

H5N1 Studies: Benefits

• Surveillance

• Pandemic control

• Virus evolution

• Vaccines

• Drugs

Page 111: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Science works as a network

http://undsci.berkeley.edu/article/0_0_0/howscienceworks_02

Page 112: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

What’s the Harm?

• The danger of an outbreak – worst case

scenario (1918)

• How could the virus be released?

– By scientists (by accident)

– By terrorists (on purpose)

– By nature

• What are the dangers of censoring the

data?

• Where do we go from here?

Page 113: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Timeline from Tina

Page 114: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Summary

• The dangers of pandemic flu are real (though

often exaggerated)

• “Ferret flu” research has a risk of releasing

dangerous virus (due to accident or malicious

intent)

– Risk is unknown

– The withheld data does not necessarily decrease the

risk

• There are also dangers to not doing the research

Page 115: Censorship Slides - Harvard University

Thank you! SITN would like to acknowledge the following

organizations for their generous support.

Harvard Medical School Office of Communications and External Relations

Division of Medical Sciences

The Harvard Graduate School of Arts and Sciences (GSAS)

The GASA Graduate Student Council (GSC)

The Harvard Biomedical Graduate Students Organization

(BGSO)

The Harvard/MIT COOP