CE2451 Engineering Economics & Cost Analysis · 1/29/2015 1 CE2451 Engineering Economics & Cost...
Transcript of CE2451 Engineering Economics & Cost Analysis · 1/29/2015 1 CE2451 Engineering Economics & Cost...
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CE2451 Engineering Economics & Cost Analysis
Dr. M. Selvakumar
Associate Professor
Department of Civil Engineering
Sri Venkateswara College of Engineering
Objectives of this course
• The main objective of this course is to make the Civil Engineering
student know about the basic law of economics, how to organize a
business, the financial aspects related to business, different
methods of appraisal of projects and pricing techniques. At the end
of this course the student shall have the knowledge of how to start a
construction business, how to get finances, how to account, how to
price and bid and how to assess the health of a project.
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Unit 1: Basic Economics
Definition of economics - nature and scope of economic science -
nature and scope of managerial economics - basic terms and concepts -
goods - utility - value - wealth - factors of production - land - its
peculiarities - labour - economies of large and small scale -
consumption - wants - its characteristics and classification - law of
diminishing marginal utility – relation between economic decision and
technical decision.
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Basic Economics
Unit 1
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Why Study Economics?
– All your life – starts from cradle to grave and beyond –
you will run up against the brutal truths of economics!
– Choosing your life’s occupation is the most important
economic decision you will make. Your future depends
not only on your own abilities but also on how economic
forces beyond your control affect your wages.
– Example, software Booming (2000-2010)
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Logic of Economics
– Economic life is an enormously complicated hive
(enclosed structure) of activity, with people buying,
selling, bargaining, investing and persuading (induce
someone to do something).
– The ultimate purpose of economic science is to
understand this complex undertaking.
– Economics use the scientific approach to understand
economic life.
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Logic of Economics Cont…
– Often economics relies upon analyses and theories.
– Theoretical approach allows economists to make broad
generalizations.
– In addition, economics have developed a specialized
technique known as “econometrics”, which applies the
tools of statistics to economic problems.
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Definitions of Economics
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Economics-Term Definition
The term economics is derived from the word “oeconomicus” by
Xenophon in 431 B.C. It is derived from two words economy and
science. Economy means proper utilization of resources. It
means economics is the science of economy or science of proper
utilization of resources. It is comprised of theories, laws, principle
related to utilization of resources so as to solve the economic
problems, satisfy the human wants or need and so on.
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Definition by Sir James Steuart (1767)
Economy in general is the art of providing for all the
wants of a family, seeks to secure a certain fund of
subsistence (i.e. life) for all the inhabitants, to prevent
every circumstance which may render it precarious
(unstable/unsafe); to provide every thing necessary for
supplying the wants of the society, and to employ the
inhabitants (population) in such manner as naturally to
create reciprocal (mutual) relation.
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Definition by Smith & Say
• Adam Smith defined economics as “An Enquiry into the
Nature and Causes of the wealth of Nations.” (1776)
• J. B. Say (French economist) says that “ Economics is
the science which treats of wealth.”
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Adam Smith wrote a book ‘Wealth of Nations’ (1776)
Jean-baptiste Say
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Definition by Marshall
• Dr. Alfred Marshall defined as “Economics is a study of
man’s actions in the ordinary business of life; it
requires how he gets his income and how he uses it.
Thus it is on one side a study of wealth and on the other
part of the study of man.”
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Dr. Alfred Marshall
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Definition by Lionel Robbins (1932)
• Economics is a science which studies human behavior
as a relationship between ends and scare means which
have alternative uses.
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Definition of Economics
• The branch of knowledge concerned with the
production, consumption and transfer of wealth.
• The condition of a region or group as regards material
prosperity.
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Economics-www.investopedia.com
• A “social science” that studies how individuals,
governments, firms and nations make choices on
allocating scarce resources to satisfy their unlimited
wants.
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Economics-www.investopedia.com
• Economics can generally be broken down into:
macroeconomics, which concentrates on the behavior
of the aggregate economy; and microeconomics,
which focuses on individual consumers.
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Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics (from the Greek prefix makro- meaning
"large" and economics) is a branch of economics
dealing with the performance, structure, behavior, and
decision-making of an economy as a whole, rather than
individual markets. This includes national, regional, and
global economies.
Example: GDP
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Microeconomics
Microeconomics (from Greek prefix mikro- meaning
"small" and economics) is a branch of economics that
studies the behavior of individuals and small impacting
organizations in making decisions on the allocation of
limited resources.
Example: L&T company
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Nature of Economic Science
The most fundamental propositions of economic
analysis are the propositions of the general ‘Theory of
Value’.
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Nature of Economic Science
“Economics is a Science and an Art”
Like every other field of study, economics has two aspects,
one of science, the other of art; the one of knowledge, the
other of action; the one of principles, the other of their
application. Each science seeks to study and to understand
the world in some aspect, to reduce the multitude of facts to
order, and to understand their relations.1/29/2015 26SVCE, Sriperumbudur
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Nature of Economic Science
“Economics is a Science and an Art”
Then, however, whatever truth is discovered may be found to
be capable of some uses or applications, either in the hands
of the scientists themselves or in the hands of another body
of men, variously named practical workers, technicians, and
inventors, who develop the art side of the subject.
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“Economics is a Science and an Art”
Economics is both art and science. It is called a science
because it is the scientific study of relationships between
economic variables, behavior of consumers and firms, nature
of market and economy, effect of change in one or more
economic variables on the others and so on.
Nature of Economic Science
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“Economics is a Science and an Art”
Economics is an art. The different theories, laws are
explained with the help of graphs, figures, tables, charts,
equations etc simplifying and generalizing them.
Nature of Economic Science
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“Economics is a Science and an Art”
Simplification is to make them easily understandable and
generalization is to make them applicable to all economies.
In order to explain theories, laws and relationships between
economic variables we make some assumptions.
Nature of Economic Science
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“Economics is a Science and an Art”
The assumptions define the conditions for the application of
theories, laws and the relationships. That’s why economics is
an art.
Nature of Economic Science
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“Economics is a Positive Science or Normative Science”
Economics is sometimes divided into two parts. Positive
economics and normative economics. The former deals with
how the economic problem is solved; the later deals with how
the economic problem should be solved.
Nature of Economic Science
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“Economics is a Positive Science or Normative Science”
For example, the effect of price or rent control on the
distribution of income are problems of positive economics.
On the other hand, the desirability of these effects on income
distribution is a problem of normative economics.
Therefore, economics is a positive as well as normative
science.
Nature of Economic Science
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MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
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Managerial economics as defined by Edwin Mansfield is
"concerned with application of the economic concepts and
economic analysis to the problems of formulating rational
managerial decision.“
Managerial Economics
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It is sometimes referred to as business economics and is a
branch of economics that applies microeconomic analysis to
decision methods of businesses or other management units.
As such, it bridges economic theory and economics in
practice. It draws heavily from quantitative techniques such
as regression analysis, correlation and calculus.
Managerial Economics
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Managerial decision areas include:
1. assessment of investible funds
2. selecting business area
3. choice of product
4. determining optimum output
Managerial Economics
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Managerial decision areas include:
5. determining price of product
6. determining input-combination and technology
7. sales promotion.
Managerial Economics
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Managerial economics to a certain degree is prescriptive
in nature as it suggests course of action to a managerial
problem.
Scope of Managerial Economics
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Problems can be related to various departments in a firm like
production, accounts, sales, etc.
Demand decision.
Production decision.
Theory of exchange or Price Theory.
All human economic activities
Scope of Managerial Economics
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Demand refers to the willingness to buy a commodity.
Demand, here, defines the market size for a commodity,
i.e. who will buy the commodity. Analysis of the demand is
important for a firm as its revenue, profit, income of the
employees depend on it.
Demand Decision
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A firm needs to answer four basic questions:
What to produce?
How to produce?
how much to produce? and
for whom to produce?
Production Decision
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Traditional Economics
Optimal Solution to BusinessProblem
Decision Science(Tools/
Techniques)
Decision Problem
Managerial Economics
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GOODS, UTILITY, VALUE & WEALTH
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GOODS
Goods - Objects that can satisfy people's wants.
GOODS
Free Goods Economic Goods
Consumer Goods Producer Goods (Capital Goods)
Durable Consumer Goods
Non-durable Consumer Goods
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UTILITY
Utility is usefulness, the ability of something to satisfy needs or
wants.
Utility is an important concept in economics and game theory,
because it represents satisfaction experienced by the
consumer of a good.
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UTILITY
It was recognized that one can not directly measure benefit,
satisfaction or happiness from a good or service, so instead
economists have devised ways of representing and measuring
utility by abstract methods.
In the simplest sense, economists consider utility to be
revealed in people's willingness to pay different amounts for
different goods.
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VALUE
The economic value of a particular item, or good, for example a
loaf of bread, is measured by the maximum amount of other
things that a person is willing to give up to have that loaf of
bread.
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VALUE
If we simplify our example “economy” so that the person only
has two goods to choose from, bread and pasta, the value of a
loaf of bread would be measured by the most pasta that the
person is willing to give up to have one more loaf of bread.
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VALUE
Thus, economic value is measured by the most someone is
willing to give up in other goods and services in order to obtain
a good, service, or state of the world.
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VALUE
In a market economy, dollars (or some other currency) are a
universally accepted measure of economic value, because the
number of dollars that a person is willing to pay for something
tells how much of all other goods and services they are willing
to give up to get that item.
This is often referred to as “willingness to pay.”
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VALUE
In general, when the price of a good increases, people will
purchase less of that good.
This is referred to as the law of demand—people demand less
of something when it is more expensive (assuming prices of
other goods and peoples’ incomes have not changed).
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VALUE
By relating the quantity demanded and the price of a good, we
can estimate the demand function for that good.
From this, we can draw the demand curve, the graphical
representation of the demand function.
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WEALTH
Measure of the value of all of the assets of worth owned by a
person, community, company or country. Wealth is the found
by taking the total market value of all the physical and
intangible assets of the entity and then subtracting all debts.
Essentially, wealth is the accumulation of resources. People
are said to be wealthy when they are able to accumulate many
valuable resources or goods. Wealth is expressed in a variety
of ways. For individuals, net worth is the most common
expression of wealth, while countries measure by gross
domestic product (GDP) or GDP per capita.1/29/2015 56SVCE, Sriperumbudur
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FACTOR OF PRODUCTION
In economics, factors of production are the inputs to the
production process. Finished goods are the output. Input
determines the quantity of output i.e. output depends upon
input. Input is the starting point and output is the end point of
production process and such input-output relationship is called
a production function. There are three basic factors of
production: land, labor, capital.
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Cost of ProductionShort-run Total Cost
In the short run, one or more (but not all) factors of
production (land, labour, machinery and materials) are fixed
in quantity. Total Fixed Cost (TFC) refers to total obligation
incurred by the firm per unit of time for all fixed inputs. Total
Variable Cost (TVC) are the total obligations incurred by the
firm per unit of time for all variable inputs it uses.
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Cost of Production
Short-run Total Cost
i.e. Total Cost equal to TFC + TVC
Consider a hypothetical case for different quantities (Q) of
production as shown below:
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Cost of Production
Q TFC TVC TC
0 60 0 60
1 60 30 90
2 60 40 100
3 60 45 105
4 60 55 115
5 60 75 135
6 60 120 180
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Cost of Production
Short-run Total Cost
0
50
100
150
200
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Quantity Produced
Co
st
TFC
TVC
TC
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Cost of Production
INFERENCE:
•TFC are constant regardless of the level of output
•TVC are zero, when the output is zero and rises as output
rises
•At every output level, TC equals TFC+TVC. Thus, the TC
curve has the same shape as the TVC curve but
everywhere above by an amount equal to TFC
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Cost of Production
Short-run Average Cost
Average Fixed Costs (AFC) equals to total fixed cost
divided by output. Average Variable Cost (AVC) equals total
variable costs divided by output.
Average Cost (AC) equals total cost divided by output. AC
also equals AFC+AVC. Marginal Cost (MC) equals the
change in TC or change in TVC per unit change in output.1/29/2015 63SVCE, Sriperumbudur
Cost of Production
Q TFC TVC TC AFC AVC AC MC
1 60 30 90 60 30 90
2 60 40 100 30 20 50 10
3 60 45 105 20 15 35 5
4 60 55 115 15 13.75 28.75 10
5 60 75 135 12 15 27 20
6 60 120 180 10 20 30 45
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Cost of Production
Typical Cost Curve for Production
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Quantity Produced
Co
st
AFC
AVC
AC
MC
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Cost of Production
Marginal Cost (MC)
0
10
20
30
40
50
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Quantity Produced
Co
st
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Cost of Production
Note
•MC schedules are plotted halfway between successive
levels of output
•While AFC curve falls continuously as output is expanded,
the AVC, the AC and MC curves are U-shaped. The MC
curve reaches the lowest point at a lower level of output
than either the AVC or AC curve
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Cost of Production
The portion of MC intersects the AVC and AC at their lowest
points. This is so because whenever extra or marginal
amount added to total cost (or variable cost) is less than the
average of that cost, the curve necessarily falls. Conversely,
whenever the marginal amount added to TC (or TVC) is
greater than the average of TC, the average cost rises.
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Cost of Production
AVC = AC – AFC
When
MC < AC AC curve fall continuously
MC = AC Minimum AC
MC > AC AC starts rising
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Long Run Cost
Long-run is the time period long enough for a firm to be able
to vary the quantity used of all inputs. Thus, in the long-run,
there are no fixed factor and hence no fixed cost and the
firm can build any size or scale of plant.
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Long Run Cost
The Long-run Average Cost (LAC) curve shows the
minimum per unit of cost of producing each level of output
when any defined scale of plant can be built. LAC is given
by a curve tangential to all the short-run average cost (SAC)
curves representing all the alternative plant sizes that the
firm could built in the long-run.
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0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Quantity
Avera
ge C
ost
SAC-1
SAC-2
SAC-3
SAC-4
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Long Run Cost
If the firm expected to produce 2 units of output per unit of
time it would built the scale of plant given by SAC-1 and
operate it at point A where AC is 17. we could have drawn
many more SAC curves in the figure one for each
alternative scales of plant that the firm could built in the long
run. By then drawing a tangent to all these SAC curves, we
could get the LAC curve.1/29/2015 73SVCE, Sriperumbudur
Shape of Curve
While the SAC curve and the LAC curve have been drawn
as U-shaped, the reason for their shapes is quite different.
The SAC curves decline at first, but eventually rise because
of the LAW of Diminishing Marginal Returns (resulting from
the existence of fixed inputs in the short-run)
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Diminishing Marginal Return
In economics, diminishing returns (also
called diminishing marginal returns) is the decrease in
the marginal (per-unit) output of a production process as the
amount of a single factor of production is increased, while
the amounts of all other factors of production stay constant.
(Change in one factor of input--result)----Clay Pot
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Shape of Curve
In the long-run, there are no fixed inputs and the shape of
the LAC curve is determined by economies and
diseconomies of scale. That is, as output expands from very
low levels, increasing return to scale causes LAC curve to
decline initially. But as output becomes larger and larger,
diseconomies of scale may become prevalent, cause LAC
curve to start rising.1/29/2015 77SVCE, Sriperumbudur
• As a firm becomes too large, it becomes costlyto keep control of a sprawling corporateempire and so often results in bureaucracy asexecutives implement more and more levelsof management. As firms increase in size,managers will initially provide a net benefit tothe firm and increase productivity, however,as a firm grows and covers a largergeographical area and/or employs morepeople, a principle agent problem arises,leading to lower productivity.
EXAMPLE CASE
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• To counter this, executives introducestandards and controls in order to maintainproductivity and this necessitates the hiring ofmore managers to apply these thesestandards and controls, hence the proportionof managerial to working class begins to leantowards managerial and the companybecomes "top-heavy". However, theseadditional managers are not providingadditional output, they are spending theirtime implementing standards and carrying outsupervision that is unnecessary in smallerfirms, hence the cost-per-unit has increased.1/29/2015 79SVCE, Sriperumbudur
Shape of Curve
Empirical studies seem to indicate that for some firms the
LAC is either U-shaped and has a flat bottom (implying
constant return to scale over wide range of output) or is L-
shaped (indicates that over the observed levels of outputs
there were no diseconomies of scale)
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Human Wants
Man is a bundle of desires.
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Human Wants
Basically requires food, cloth & shelter
Wants vary based on education, temperature &
taste
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Characteristics of Human Wants
HUMAN WANTS ARE UNLIMITED
When one want is satisfied, another crops!!
Never ending cycle
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Characteristics of Human Wants
ANY PARTICULAR WANT IS SATIABLE
Particular want can be satisfied, if one has money
enough for the purpose
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Characteristics of Human Wants
WANTS ARE COMPLEMENTARY
We want things in group
A single thing may need another for full satisfaction
Example: car needs petrol
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Characteristics of Human Wants
WANTS ARE COMPETIVE
One commodity competes with another
Since we have limited disposal of money, accepting
something and rejecting others
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Characteristics of Human Wants
WANTS ARE BOTH COMPLEMENTARY & COMPETIVE
Machines Versus Man
Competes as well as go along with each other
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Characteristics of Human Wants
WANTS ARE ALTERNATIVE
COFFEE VS TEA
OWN HOUSE VS RENTED
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Characteristics of Human Wants
WANTS VARY WITH TIME/PLACE/PERSON
TRANSPORT MODES
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Why ‘wants’ important in economics?
The characteristics of human wants need a close study as
they give birth to some of the most important laws of
science of economics!!
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Law of Diminishing Utility
A law of economics stating that as a person increases
consumption of a product - while keeping consumption of
other products constant - there is a decline in the marginal
utility that person derives from consuming each additional
unit of that product.
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Law of Demand
A microeconomic law that states, all other factors being
equal, as the price of a good or service increases,
consumer demand for the good or service will decrease,
and vice versa. The law of demand says that the higher the
price, the lower the quantity demanded, because they must
make more tradeoffs to acquire the more expensive
product.1/29/2015 100SVCE, Sriperumbudur
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Consumers’ Surplus
An economic measure of consumer satisfaction, which is
calculated by analyzing the difference between what
consumers are willing to pay for a good or service relative to
its market price. A consumer surplus occurs when the
consumer is willing to pay more for a given product than the
current market price.
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Consumers’ Surplus
For example, assume a consumer goes out shopping for a
CD player and he or she is willing to spend 2500. When this
individual finds that the player is on sale for 1500,
economists would say that this person has a consumer
surplus of 1000..
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Classification of Wants
Necessaries
Necessaries of Existence
Necessaries of Efficiency
Conventional Necessaries
Comfort
Luxuries
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Necessaries
Necessaries
Necessaries of Existence: Without which we
cannot exist e.g. food
Necessaries of Efficiency: some goods may not
be necessary to live, but necessary to make us
efficient worker. E.g. table & chair are necessary
for better writing1/29/2015 107SVCE, Sriperumbudur
Conventional Necessaries
These are the things which we are forced to use by social
custom. For example, we must dress according to our
manner acceptable to people
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Comforts
Having satisfies our wants for the necessaries of life, we
desire to have some comforts too. For a student, a book, a
table and a chair are necessary; but cushioned chair is
comfort. Comforts make for a fuller life.
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Luxuries
Man does not stop even at comforts. After comforts have
been provided, he wants luxuries too. Luxury is defined as a
superfluous (additional) consumption, something we could
easily do without. Luxuries car; jewellery; silk cloth; washing
machine;
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