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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

For release: Tuesday, October 25, 20117:00 am (ET)

The Race for the Republican NominationOctober 19-24, 2011

Herman Cain and Mitt Romney continue to the lead the pack of Republican candidates for thepartys nomination, with the edge going to Cain in this poll. These two candidates were tied forthe lead earlier this month. Interviews for this poll were conducted after last Tuesdays debate.

Rick Perry - who led the field a month ago - has now slipped to fifth place, just behind NewtGingrich and Ron Paul. Only 6% of Republican primary voters would like to see Perry as theRepublican nominee just a quarter of the support he received in September.

Cain, however, has vaulted to the top. A month ago, only 5% of Republican primary voterssupported him; that number has risen to 25% today. Romneys support has risen 5 points sinceSeptember.

2012 Republican Nomination for President(among Republican primary voters)

Now 10/3/2011 9/16/2011Herman Cain 25% 17% 5%Mitt Romney 21 17 16Newt Gingrich 10 8 7Ron Paul 8 7 5Rick Perry 6 12 23Michele Bachmann 2 4 7Rick Santorum 1 3 1Jon Huntsman 1 2 1

Undecided/Dont know 14 18 22

Cains rise is largely due to Tea Party supporters within the Republican primary electorate. 32%of that group backs him now, more than four times the number that supported him in September.Romneys support among Tea Partiers is similar to what it was earlier this month, and up 6 pointsfrom September, while Perrys support has declined. Just 7% of Tea party supporters back Perrynow, compared to 30% in September.

Cain leads among self-identified conservatives, while he and Romney are virtually tied amongmoderates.

Tea Party Supporters: 2012 Republican Nomination for President(among Republican primary voters who support the Tea Party)

Now 10/3/2011 9/16/2011Herman Cain 32% 24% 7%Mitt Romney 18 17 12Newt Gingrich 15 13 8Ron Paul 9 2 6Rick Perry 7 12 30Michele Bachmann 2 4 8Jon Huntsman 1 1 0Rick Santorum 1 1 1Undecided/Dont know 8 16 18

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However, the race remains fluid: Just 19% of Republican primary voters with a candidate choicesay their minds are made up, while 80% say its too early to say for sure who they support for thenomination. This is similar to the state of the race in late 2007.

Mind Made Up Whom to Support?(among Republican Primary Voters with a Choice)

Now 10/3/2011 12/2007Yes 19% 19% 23%Too early 80 76 76

Americans are getting interested in the 2012 race for president. 70% of registered votersnationwide are paying at least some attention to the 2012 election campaign, including 31% whoare paying a lot of attention. Majorities of both parties are tuning in, but 78% of Republicans arepaying attention, compared to 68% of Democrats.

Attention to the 2012 Campaign(among registered voters)All Reps Dems Inds

A lot 31% 34% 35% 24%Some 39 44 33 41Not much 21 12 25 24None 10 10 8 10

____________________________________________________________________This poll was conducted by telephone from October 19-24, 2011 among 1,650 adults nationwide. 1,475 interviews wereconducted with registered voters and 455 with voters who said they plan to vote in a Republican primary. Phonenumbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to sampling for resultsbased on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. The margin of error for the sample ofregistered voters could be plus or minus three points and four points for the sample of Republican primary voters. Theerror for subgroups may be higher. An oversample was conducted for this survey which will be analyzed in a future pollrelease. This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLLThe Race for the Republican Nomination

October 19-24, 2011

q26 How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2012 presidential campaign -- a

lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

** REGISTERED VOTERS **

*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Sep11b

% % % % %

A lot 31 34 35 24 32

Some 39 44 33 41 38

Not much 21 12 25 24 22

None 10 10 8 10 8

DK/NA 0 0 0 1 0

q27 Which one of these candidates would you like to see the Republican Party nominate for

President in 2012 - Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron

Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, or would you like to see someone else

nominated?

** REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ** Sep11b*

Herman Cain 25 17

Mitt Romney 21 17

Newt Gingrich 10 8

Ron Paul 8 7

Rick Perry 6 12

Michele Bachmann 2 4

Jon Huntsman 1 2

Rick Santorum 1 3

Someone else 12 10

Undecided (Vol.) 11 8

No one na 2

DK/NA 3 10

q28 Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?

* REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE *

Cain Romney

Total Supporters Supporters Sep11b

Mind made up 19 18 23 19

Still too early 80 82 76 76

DK/NA 1 0 1 5

UNWEIGHTED WEIGHTED

Total Respondents 1650

Total Registered Voters 1475 1329

Total Republicans 399 419 (25%)

Total Democrats 583 574 (35%)

Total Independents 668 657 (40%)

Total Republican Primary Voters 455 422

Note: An oversample was conducted for this survey which will be analyzed in a future poll release.