Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF...

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The Impact of Knowledge AFRICA CENTER FOR STRATEGIC STUDIES Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel Ms. Laurence-Aïda Ammour

Transcript of Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF...

Page 1: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

The Impact of Knowledge

AFRICA CENTERFOR STRATEGIC STUDIES

Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel

Ms. Laurence-Aïda Ammour

Page 2: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE

SAHELLaurence-Aïda Ammour

Social Science Approach

Two types of violence coexist:

- Extremist jihadi violence

- Inter-community violence

These two types of violence can occasionally dovetail or overlap

Violent extremism takes advantage of environmental tensions

Violent extremism feeds local community violence

Some extremist groups use identity-focused rhetoric

Inter-community violence is the symptom and result of structural issues

Page 3: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

The movements in question are: Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), Ansar Dine, Movement for Oneness

and Jihad in West Africa (MOJWA), Al-Morabitoun, Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims (JNIM/GSIM),

Islamic State in Greater Sahara (ISGS), Ansar ul Islam, Macina Liberation Front (MLF). (Guichaoua, March 2019)

Location of armed incidents attributed to jihadist movements

August 2014 – December 2015

February 9, 2019

Produced by: @julesdhl

Page 4: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

Corruption by institution – Percentage of those surveyed who think that most people who

work in these institutions are corruptsource : Global Corruption Barometer Africa, 2019

Page 5: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

Bribery by service – Percentage of people questioned who use these services and have

paid a bribe in the previous 12 monthssource : Global Corruption Barometer Africa, 2019

Page 6: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

SAHEL PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES 1901-2017

Page 7: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

Food insecurity

phases(October-December 2018

and June-August 2019)

FOOD ISSUES IN WEST AFRICA

IN 2019

October-December 2018

June-August 2019

Cape Verde

The Gambia

Not analyzedPhases of food insecurity

Phase 1:

MinimalPhase 2:

PressurePhase

3: Crisis

Phase 4:

Emergency

Phase 5:

Famine

Cape Verde

The Gambia

Source: Harmonized framework analysis, PREGEC Regional Consultation, November 2018

©2018. Food Crisis Prevention Network (RPCA), maps produced by CILSS/Agrhymet

Page 8: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

Grazing situation in the Sahel – March 2019Movement causes

Pasture deficit

Insecurity

Overgrazing and likely

degradation of fodder

resources

Insecurity

Insecurity and intercommunity conflict

Insecurity and seeking pasture

Seeking pasture

Seeking pasture and markets

Early movement

Transhumance is

now prohibited in

Southern Benin

9-10,000 camelids

11-15,000

cattle and sheep

Thousands of head

Thousands of head

Thousands of cattle

15-23,000 head

423,458 head

4,400 head

44,232 head

15,000 sheep, 2,000 cattle

Cattle, goats

1,250-3,000

head

2,400-3,200

head

Page 9: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

PEOPLES AND LANGUAGES IN THE SAHARA-SAHEL

AND WEST AFRICA

Linguistic center

Language expansion area

Linguistic center overlap

Sources: CSAO/OECD – University of Vienna – S.I.L. 2005 Produced by Frederic Ocrisse-Aka © Club du Sahel et de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (CSAO)

Page 10: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

The “militiazation” of rural societies and security

privatization

- Dan Nan Ambassagou (Dogon) Militia

- Macina Liberation Front (MLF)

- Ansar ul Islam

- Alliance for the Salvation of the Sahel (ASS)

- The Koglweogos

Page 11: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

SUMMARY

Define the nature of the violence: violent extremism and/or extreme violence? To what extent do these two forms of

violence overlap in time and space?

Mixed motivations of violent activities and possible intermingling of forms of violence

Peoples’ perceptions of threats and insecurity are important to understanding the dynamics and logic behind how

the enemy is conceived of, and to implementing dialogue and mediation.

”Full-security” governance imposed by anti-terrorism efforts overlooks the rural, pastoral and agrarian dimensions of

violence.

By tolerating and/or encouraging security privatization, governments are delegating a sovereign power to armed

civilians and compromising domestic tranquility.

Jihadist groups intentionally politicize and fuel violence between communities by inserting themselves in the social

fabric.

”Militiazation” of rural societies exacerbates latent conflicts and provokes new conflicts (cycles of reprisals and

violence)

Page 12: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

FOR MORE INFORMATION ……

AMMOUR Laurence-Aïda, Wahabi penetration in Africa, Research report, 30 pages, CF2R, Paris, 2018 :

https://www.cf2r.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Rapport23-Wahhabisme-Afrique.pdf

INTERNATIONAL HUMAN RIGHTS FEDERATION, In the center of Mali, people are caught in the trap of terrorism and

counter-terrorism, Survey report, November 2018.

UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAM, Security of livelihoods. Climate change, migration and conflict in the Sahel,

2011.

INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR MIGRATION, Youth Violence and The Challenges of Violent Extremism in

Zinder, 2018.

TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL, Global Corruption Barometer, 10th Edition, 20 years of giving voice to Africans, Africa

2019.

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM, Center for Humanitarian Dialogue, Radicalization, violence and (in)security.

What 800 Sahelians say: Studies on perceptions of insecurity and violent extremism components in Sahel border regions,

International research report.

UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM, Journey to Extremism in Africa, Drivers, Incentives and the Tipping Point

for Recruitment, 2019.

Page 13: Causes and Components of Violent Extremism in the Sahel · 2019. 8. 5. · CAUSES AND COMPONENTS OF VIOLENT EXTREMISM IN THE SAHEL Laurence-Aïda Ammour Social Science Approach Two

www.africacenter.org

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