Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook

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Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook Mark Sellers-Vaughn Manager, Supply Resource Planning July 8, 2014 1

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Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook. Mark Sellers-Vaughn Manager, Supply Resource Planning July 8, 2014. Cascade Natural Gas Corporation. PRINCIPLE SUPPLY BASINS. SUMMARY OF CNGC WINTER TRANSPORT CAPACITY FLOW. REGIONAL FORWARD PRICE COMPARISON. Portfolio Guidelines. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook

Page 1: Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook

Cascade Natural Gas Corporation

2014 Natural Gas Outlook

Mark Sellers-VaughnManager, Supply Resource Planning

July 8, 2014

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Page 2: Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook

Cascade Natural Gas Corporation

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Page 3: Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook

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PRINCIPLE SUPPLY BASINS

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SUMMARY OF CNGC WINTER TRANSPORT CAPACITY FLOW

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AUG14 - JLY1

5 (Aug1

4 1 ye

ar)

AUG14 - J

LY16 (A

ug14 2

year)

AUG14 - JLY1

7 (Aug1

4 3 ye

ar)

AUG14 - JLY1

8 (Aug1

4 4 ye

ar)

AUG14 - MAR19 (A

ug14 5

6 month)

NOV14 - M

AR15 (Winter

14-15)

NOV15 - MAR16 (W

inter 15-16)

NOV16 - MAR17 (W

inter 16-17)

NOV14 - OCT1

5 (Nov1

4 1 year)

NOV14 - O

CT16 (N

ov14 2 ye

ar)

APR15 - MAR16 (A

pr15 1 ye

ar)

APR15 - MAR17 (A

pr15 2 year)

APR15 - MAR18 (A

pr15 3 year)

Aug1

4 - OCT1

4 (Bal-

Summer1

4)

APR15 - OCT1

5 (Summer1

5)

APR16 - OCT1

6 (Summer

16) $3.20

$3.70

$4.20

$4.70

$5.20

NYMEX

Sumas

Rockies

AECO

Malin

REGIONAL FORWARD PRICE COMPARISON

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Portfolio GuidelinesMEETING CUSTOMERS’ NEEDS - • Ensure All Core Customers’ Natural Gas Needs are Met -

– Through Disciplined Market Analysis, Long-term Contracts, and Prudent Storage Management• Actively Promote Customer Conservation• Mitigate Price Volatility for Customers -

– Through Multi-Year Hedging and a Diversified Portfolio

EMPLOYING EFFECTIVE SUPPLY-SIDE STRATEGIES -

• Maintain a Rolling Multi-Year Physical Supply Portfolio• Firm, Diversified Supply Contracts • Prices are Hedged with Fixed-price Physical contracts. Our portfolio also includes a mixture of

structured products designed to take advantage of both upside and downside price opportunities• Utilize Market Area Storage: Jackson Prairie

– Arranging for supplemental resources to replace Plymouth LNG this heating season– Considering additional storage opportunities for future years at Ryckman Creek and other

regional facilities• Effectively Manage Wholesale Prices -

– Through Cost-Effective FOM and Day Gas Purchases– By Participating in USA and Canadian Pipeline Rate Filings and Forums– By Optimizing Pipeline Capacity and Other Core Resources through available release

mechanisms (capacity release, asset management agreements)

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November 2014 through October 2015 Gas Supply Outlook and Strategies

• Peak events unlikely to occur based on most recent weather predictions

• Cascade has sufficient firm supply arrangements on firm transportation to meet load requirements

• Incremental firm peaking and citygate delivery contracts are being considered to enhance the resource options this heating season

• Jackson Prairie Storage accounts will be full by September 30, 2014• We will continue to use fixed-price physical supplies to minimize

impact of price fluctuations• Continual assessment of portfolio and market to seek out

opportunities to minimize portfolio costs in accordance with directives from Cascade’s Gas Supply Oversight Committee

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Page 8: Cascade Natural Gas Corporation 2014 Natural Gas Outlook

Cascade Natural Gas Corporation

2014 Natural Gas Outlook

Mark Sellers-VaughnManager, Supply Resource Planning

July 8, 2014

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