Carol Tomé - The Home Depotir.homedepot.com/~/media/Files/H/HomeDepot-IR/reports-and... · Diane...
Transcript of Carol Tomé - The Home Depotir.homedepot.com/~/media/Files/H/HomeDepot-IR/reports-and... · Diane...
Diane DayhoffVice President, Investor Relations
Carol ToméExecutive Vice President, Corporate Services & Chief Financial Officer
EuropeJune 2017
Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measurements
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Certain statements contained in today’s presentations constitute "forward-looking statements" as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may relate to, among other things, the demand for our products and services; net sales growth; comparable store sales; effects of competition; state of the economy; state of the residential construction, housing and home improvement markets; state of the credit markets, including mortgages, home equity loans and consumer credit; demand for credit offerings; inventory and in-stock positions; implementation of store, interconnected retail, supply chain and technology initiatives; management of relationships with our suppliers and vendors; the impact and expected outcome of investigations, inquiries, claims and litigation, including those related to the 2014 data breach; issues related to the payment methods we accept; continuation of share repurchase programs; net earnings performance; earnings per share; dividend targets; capitalallocation and expenditures; liquidity; return on invested capital; expense leverage; stock-based compensation expense; commodity price inflation and deflation; the ability to issue debt on terms and at rates acceptable to us; the effect of accounting charges; the effect of adopting certain accounting standards; store openings and closures; guidance for fiscal 2017 and beyond; financial outlook; and the integration of Interline Brands, Inc. into our organization and the ability to recognize the anticipated synergies and benefits of the acquisition. These forward-looking statements are based on currently available information and current assumptions, expectations and projections about future events, and actual results could differ materially from our expectations and projections. You should not rely on our forward-looking statements as they speak only as of the date hereof, and we undertake no obligation to update these statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances except as may be required by law. Additionalinformation regarding risks and uncertainties is described in Item 1A, "Risk Factors," and elsewhere in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for our fiscal year ended January 29, 2017 and our subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
Today’s presentations are also supplemented with certain non-GAAP financial measures. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures better enable management and investors to understand and analyze our performance by providing them with meaningful information relevant to events of unusual nature or frequency that impact the comparability of underlying business results from period to period. However, this supplemental information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the related GAAP measures. Reconciliations of the supplemental information to the comparable GAAP measures can be found on our Investor Relations website at ir.homedepot.com.
Discussion Overview
Financial Results & Targets
Our View of the U.S. Home Improvement Market
Strategic Framework
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First Quarter Fiscal 2017 Results
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16% Earnings Per Share Growth in Q1 2017
($ Millions USD, except per share data)
Q1 2017 Q1 2016 V%Sales $23,887 $22,762 4.9%Comp Sales 5.5% 6.5%
Gross Profit $8,154 $7,791 4.7%Gross Profit Margin 34.14% 34.23% -9 bps
Total Operating Expenses $4,805 $4,714 1.9%
Operating Profit $3,349 $3,077 8.8%Operating Profit Margin 14.02% 13.52% 50 bps
Net Earnings $2,014 $1,803 11.7%
Diluted Earnings Per Share $1.67 $1.44 16.0%
Fiscal 2017 Outlook
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New store openings ~6
Sales growth ~4.6%
Comp store sales growth ~4.6%
Diluted EPS growth ~11.0% to $7.15
Capital expenditures ~$2 billion
(1)
(As of May 16, 2017)
(1) All guidance based on GAAP
(2) EPS growth guidance includes ~$5 billion of share repurchases using excess cash in FY 2017
(2)
2018 Financial Targets
Sales
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Revenue of $101 billion
Operating Margin of ~14.5%
Return on Invested Capital of 35%
(1) Established December 2015(2) Return on invested capital is defined as net operating profit after tax for the trailing twelve months divided by the average of beginning and ending long-term debt, including current installments, and equity. Assumes excess cash used to repurchase shares.
(1)
(2)
Solid Liquidity and Conservative Financial Risk Profile
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We continue to generate strong cash flow Debt Maturity Profile ($B)
FYE 2015 Net DebtIssuance
Dividends FYE 2016CashFlow from the
Business
CapEx
ShareRe-
purchases
0.5
1.21.0
1.8
2.4
1.3
1.01.11.1
2.3
3.0
0.5
1.0 1.01.01.0
1.6
0.81.0
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
2051
2052
2053
2054
2055
2056
Fixed Floating
Weighted Average Maturity: 14.3 yearsWeighted Average Coupon: 3.66%
$2.2
$9.8
$2.5 $1.6
$3.4
$7.0
$2.5
$0.95 $1.04 $1.16
$1.56
$1.88
$2.36
$2.76
$3.56
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017F
Committed to Dividend Payout
Annualized Dividend Paid
Increased Targeted Dividend Payout Ratio from 50% to 55% in February 2017
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Shareholder Return Principals
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Return on Invested Capital Principle Maintain high return on invested capital, benchmarking all uses of excess
liquidity against value created for shareholders through repurchases
Adjusted debt/EBITDAR ratio not to exceed 2x
Dividend Principle Targeting payout at approximately 55% of earnings. Intend to increase
dividend every year
Share Repurchase Principle After meeting the needs of the business, use excess liquidity to
repurchase shares, as long as value creating
Discussion Overview
Financial Results & Targets
Our View of the U.S. Home Improvement Market
Strategic Framework
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PFRI Still Below Historical Mean
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Private Fixed Residential Investment (PFRI) as a Percentage of GDP
Source: BEA, Moody’s Economy.com
4.0%
4.5%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
1950
1952
1954
1956
1958
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Q2
2015
Q4
2015
Q2
2016
Q4
2016
PFRI as % of GDP (Nominal $) 60-year Avg. (Nominal)
Home Price Recovery
12Source: S&P Case-Shiller, Moody’s Economy.com (Hist.)
Home Price Index by City
(65%)
(55%)
(45%)
(35%)
(25%)
(15%)
(5%)
5%
15%
25%
35%
Q2
2006
Q3
2006
Q4
2006
Q1
2007
Q2
2007
Q3
2007
Q4
2007
Q1
2008
Q2
2008
Q3
2008
Q4
2008
Q1
2009
Q2
2009
Q3
2009
Q4
2009
Q1
2010
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2010
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2011
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2012
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2015
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2016
Mar
-17
National Index 20-City Composite 10-City Composite Atlanta, GABoston, MA Charlotte, NC Chicago, IL Cleveland, OHDallas, TX Denver, CO Detroit, MI Las Vegas, NVLos Angeles, CA Miami, FL Minneapolis, MN New York, NYPhoenix, AZ Portland, OR San Diego, CA San Francisco, CASeattle, WA Tampa, FL Washington, DC
MarketIndexed to Q2 2006
(Mar 2017)Dallas, TX 42.3%Denver, CO 41.7%Seattle, WA 25.5%Portland, OR 23.2%Charlotte, NC 17.8%Boston, MA 13.1%San Francisco, CA 9.8%Atlanta, GA 3.2%National Index 2.7%20-City Composite (3.8%)Los Angeles, CA (4.7%)San Diego, CA (5.0%)Cleveland, OH (5.7%)10-City Composite (6.2%)Minneapolis, MN (7.2%)Detroit, MI (9.5%)Washington, DC (11.8%)New York, NY (12.3%)Chicago, IL (16.0%)Tampa, FL (19.5%)Miami, FL (20.3%)Phoenix, AZ (26.4%)Las Vegas, NV (32.7%)
Household Formation and Aging U.S. Housing Stock Supportive of Home Improvement Spend
Household Formation Aging Housing Stock
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%100%199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015
40+ yrs 30-39 yrs 20-29 yrs 10-19 yrs 0-9 yrs
1.9
0.4
1.3
0.9
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
E20
18E
Household Formation (m)Long-term Avg.
Source: Census, Moody’s Economy.com (Hist.) Moody’s Economy.com (Est.); John Burns Real Estate Consulting (Housing Stock) 13
Discussion Overview
Financial Results & Targets
Our View of the U.S. Home Improvement Market
Objectives & Strategy
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The Power of The Home Depot
Customer Experience Connect Associates to
Customer Needs Interconnected
Experience: Store to Online, Online to Store
Capital Allocation Driven By Productivity And Efficiency Innovate Our Business
Model and Value Chain
Product Authority Connect Products and Services
to Customer Needs Connect Product to Shelf, Site
and Customer
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Opportunities for Growth
17Sources: 2014 HIRI Reference Guide; 2015 Harvard University “Emerging Trends in the Remodeling Market”; NAICS; and external market analysis